228 Table 6 8 Summary of scenario outcomes during 2014–2030 Year 2014 2030 SC1 BAU SC2 Energy SC3 Food SC4 Water SC5 E–F– W Nexus SC6 Low Carbon Nexus GDP (billion dollars) 123 2 144 8 330 2 344 2 346[.]
228 Table 6-8: Summary of scenario outcomes during 2014–2030 2030 Year GDP (billion dollars) 2014 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 BAU Energy Food Water SC5 SC6 E–F– Low W Carbon Nexus Nexus 123.2 144.8 330.2 344.2 346.2 383.1 426.6 Trade surplus (billion dollars) 1.3 32.1 36.5 36.9 37.9 113.4 109.2 Jobs (million people) 52.7 182.2 235.4 195.6 193.9 205.1 218.3 Energy import dependency (%) 14.9 16.5 10.9 19.4 17.6 13.4 12.8 Energy affordability (%) 4.2 3.9 4.9 3.6 3.6 4.9 4.8 273.6 480.3 234.8 487.1 461.7 253.4 245.2 Energy diversity 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 Energy efficiency (%) 74.0 70.7 85.8 70.2 71.9 81.6 83.0 Food accessibility (%) 8.7 8.3 8.2 10.2 8.4 9.7 9.8 Food import dependency (%) 18.7 19.2 19.0 15.7 18.9 17.6 18.0 Food affordability (%) 41.2 39.5 36.8 44.8 41.1 42.5 41.9 59.0 62.2 66.3 65.8 52.1 55.9 56.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Water intensity (m /dollar) 24.1 27.0 35.0 28.4 21.5 23.5 23.9 Water efficiency (%) 23.4 19.5 21.3 19.1 27.4 24.8 24.6 1.4 4.2 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.6 3.8 968.9 1,305.8 1,500.4 1,164.2 1,052.1 1,118.3 929.9 Energy Security Energy intensity (toe/million dollars) Food Security Water Security Water stress (%) Water affordability (%) Environment CO2 emissions per capita (tons per person) CO2 emission intensity (tCO2/thousand dollars of GDP) Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research