223 Figure 6 39 Share of CO2 Emissions by Scenarios Source Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Table 6 7 Total emissions by sectors CO2 emissions by sector (Mt) 2014 Base –year[.]
223 Figure 6-39: Share of CO2 Emissions by Scenarios Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Table 6-7: Total emissions by sectors CO2 emissions 2014 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 by sector (Mt) Base –year BAU Energy Food Water FEW Low Carbon Energy 60.1 243.0 291.9 225.4 210.8 275.8 235.0 Industry 9.2 31.2 39.4 28.6 28.9 33.4 31.5 Transport and Services 18.7 66.5 80.2 63.5 64.0 69.9 66.6 Residential 39.2 89.8 104.1 85.1 94.4 97.2 58.8 Other 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.8 Total 127.4 431.1 516.4 403.1 398.2 477.1 392.6 Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research In the SC1 BAU scenario, total CO2 emissions are projected to reach 303.7 Mt in 2030 with an average annual increase of 7.9% during the next 16 years In terms of output, the highest value (243 Mt) was for energy (56.4%), followed by residential (20.8%) and transport and services (15.4%) (Figure 6-39) Therefore, the continuation of existing policy would inevitably lead to negative impacts on the environment The BAU scenario