224 contributes the second most to CO2 emissions among the non nexus scenarios, despite its lowest total economic gain and GDP growth during 2014–2030 In the SC2 Energy scenario, Vietnam is projected[.]
224 contributes the second most to CO2 emissions among the non-nexus scenarios, despite its lowest total economic gain and GDP growth during 2014–2030 In the SC2 Energy scenario, Vietnam is projected to experience the most negative impact on its environment in term of CO2 emissions, which would reach 516.4 Mt in 2030, with an average annual increase of 9.1% during the next 16 years (Figure 6-39, and Table 65) This is due primarily to the energy-centric approach of SC2, which focuses on overexploiting coal and heavy reliance on fossil energy resources This is equivalent to an increase of 19.8 % compared with the SC1 scenario The highest contribution to this increase is from the energy sector, which accounts for 56.5% of the total, reaching 291.9 Mt, followed by the residential sector with 104.4 Mt, and transport and services with 80.2 Mt Finally, agriculture and other components emit the least at 39.4 Mt (7.6%) The SC2 scenario would eventually exacerbate the damage to the environment by heavy reliance on fossil fuels and over-focus on maximizing energy production capacity without regard for the impacts on other sectors Figure 6-40: Changes of total emissions in 2030 compared with others Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research In the SC3 Food scenario, total CO2 emissions are projected to reach 403.1 Mt with an average annual increase of 7.5% during the next 16 years This is equivalent to a decrease of 28.1 Mt and 113.3 Mt compared with SC1 and SC2, respectively However, the composition of CO2 emissions remains unchanged from previous scenarios, with the highest contribution (55.9%) from the energy sector (225.4 Mt), followed by 21.1% from