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Such insights into the impacts of various (nexus and non nexus scenarios) and, more pertinently (19)

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222 1 6% of the total investment This is equivalent to a decrease of USD 80 million, USD 40 million, and USD 160 million compared with SC1, SC3, and SC4 However, it is equivalent to an increase of USD[.]

222 1.6% of the total investment This is equivalent to a decrease of USD 80 million, USD 40 million, and USD 160 million compared with SC1, SC3, and SC4 However, it is equivalent to an increase of USD 190 million and USD 220 million compared with SC2 and SC5 (Figure 6-36, Figure 6-37) The efficiency of the investments made in SC6 is similar to in SC5 while further embracing the low carbon pathway through greater investment in new technologies in energy supply and consumption This scenario will need an additional USD 29.2 billion for power systems, compared with SC1-BAU to ensure energy supply for increased energy demand in this scenario (Figure 6-38) Over the next 16 years, considering the objective to accelerate Vietnam’s transformation into an upper-middle income country, the role of investment in economic progress in the power and water sectors will be even more critical It is, therefore, significant to investigate the requirement for infrastructure’s investment in coming decades to ensure the sufficient and effective investment for the country to support its socio-economic development strategy 6.5 Impacts on Environment – CO2 Emissions Over the next 16 years, Vietnam is likely to have to deal with heavy degradation of its environment and rapid increase of CO2 emissions, while simultaneously boosting economic prosperity and industrialization There will be at least a threefold increase in all scenarios SC2, with its energy-centric policy, is likely to account for the major impact with a contribution of more than 50% from total emissions In particular, CO emissions in SC2 will peak at 516.4 Million toes in 2030; while the least serious environmental impact is expected in SC3, with 403.1 Mt of CO2 emissions in 2030 This result indicates that the food- and water-centric scenarios have similar improvement to BAU and SC2 The SC5 nexus scenario is projected to give rise to the second largest contribution from total CO2 emissions among the scenarios All CO2 emission data across various scenarios in this research are represented in Figure 6-39 and Table 6-7

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