TAPCHiGQNeTHIfdIVG CAC NHAN TO ANH Hl/OfNG TCfl SlJ HAI LONG CUA NGlJOfl DAN VE CHlJCfNG TRINH XAY D U N G NONG THON MCfl TREN DIA BAN TINH THAI NGUYEN • HO CHI DIEN TOM TAT: Nghidn edu dUdc thUc hidn nham xac dinh cac yd'u td' anb hUdng dd'n mdc dd hai long eda ngddi dan khu vdc ndng thdn tinh Thai Nguydn De tbdc hien nghien edu, 10 ngUdi dan va cdn bp khu vdc ndng thdn tJnb Thai Nguydn da dUde phdng va'n dinh tinb cung vdi 300 ngddi dan da tham gia vae qua trinh khao sat Dda trdn phUdng phap phan tich nhan to (EFA) va pbUdng phdp hdi quy tuyd'n tinh, nghidn edu da tim bang chdng thdc ngbidm cho tha'y cd sd tac ddng eua yeu td thu nhap, trinh dp hpc va'n, chinh quyln tdi mdc dp hai long ci^a ngUdi dan, Mdt so'khuyd'n nghi dd dUde dl xud't ttdn cd sd kd't qua nghien edu Tiif khoa: Xdy ddng ndng thdn mdi, ddnh gia, ngddi dan, tinh Thai Nguydn Gidi thieu Ndng nghidp, ndng dan, ndng thdn ed vi tri chid'n Iddc sd nghiep cdng ngbidp hda, bidn dai hda, xdy dUng vd bao vd td qud'c, la cd sd va ngudn Idc quan trdng cho phdt trien kinh td' - xa hdi Viet Nam, Dd' phat triin ddng bd ndng ngbidp ndng thdn, tdng budc nang cao ddi sd'ng vat chat tinh than cua ngUdi ndng dan Dang vd Nha nddc Viet Nam da cd nhieu chu ttddng, chinh sach quan trdng cd ChUdng trinb muc tieu qudc gia ve xdy ddng ndng thdn mdi (XDNTM) Sau gan 10 ndm thUe hidn (2010-2019), tinh dd'n cud'i nam 2018, ca nude da ed 420 xa chie'm 38,32% xd dUdc cdng nhan dat tidu chuan ndng thdn mdi, 53 ddn vi cd'p huydn thupc 27 tinb, thanb pbd trdn ca nddc d\i(ic cdng nhdn dat chuan ndng thdn mdi ChUdng nTnb XDNTM da dem lai nhieu tbay doi rd net, cd ca'u kinh td' ndng thdn ed nhieu chuyen 40 S d - T h a n g 3/2019 dich tich cdc, nganh ngbl d ndng thdn phat trien tddng dd'i da dang, ndng nghidp - nganh kinh td' ebu ye'u cua khu vUe ndng thdn dang chuyin manh sang sdn xud't hang hda, kd't ca'u tang phat trien manh, nhilu md hinh phdt trien san xua't da tao ndn ddng lUc mdi cho phat ttien kmb td' khu vdc ndng thdn Ben canh dd, ke't qua XDNTM gida cac vung cdn ed sd chenh Idcb, nhieu ndi trien khai cdn mang tinb binh tbdc, tbUe hidn de Id'y thdnh tich, chira cd cac boat ddng mang tinh kidn tao, ehUa khai thac dddc bd't tiem nang the' manh cua khu VUc ndng thdn, thu nhdp, ddi sd'ng cua cdc vung ndng thdn cdn tbd'p Theo bao cdo kd't qua tdng dieu tta cua Bp Ndng nghidp va Phdt trien ndngthdn(nam2017)chotba'y, tyle xa dat chuan ndng thdn mdi cd sU khac bidt Idn gida cdc vung ed nUdc, vung Ddng Nam bd dat cao nha't (47%), gd'p gan Ian ty Id cua viing dat thap nba't KINH IE la TDMNPB (TDMNPB) (9,5%) Ly ebo ty Id dat tbd'p nhd't cua vung TDMNPB la vung cd dia hinh chii yd'u la ddi nui tbd'p va nui cao gay khd khan cho ngUdi dan di lai, sinh boat va san xud't, ddi sd'ng vat chd't tinh thdn cua ngUdi ddn ndng thdn cdn tha'p; ti Id bp ngheo cao, nha't Id vung ddng bao dan tdc thieu so, viing sdu, vung xa; san xua't ndng ngbidp nbd le, manh mun; kd't ed'u tang kinh t e - xa hdi cdn khd khan Thdi Nguydn, mdt dnh thudc ttung tdm chinh tn, kinh td' cua khu Vidt Bae ndi rieng, cua viing TDMNPB ndi chung, la cda ngd giao luu kinh te' xa hdi gida vung Trung du mien nui vdi vung ddng bang Bac Bd Thai Nguydn la tinb da trien khai chUdng trinh XDNTM td ra't sdm (nam 2010), tinh dd'n bd't ndm 2017, toan tinh da cd 68 xa cd quyd't dinh cdng nhan dat chuan; dd, ndm 2017 cd them 12 xa dat chuan (Sd NN&PTNTTN, 2018) Kd't qua eua tinb ddng gdp mdt phan tao nen ty Id xa dat ndng thdn mdi cua vung TDMNPB tbd'p nha't ttong cdc vung cua ca nddc Do dd, can thie't phai ed nghidn edu danh gia chddng trinh XDNTM, dac biet can ed danh gia eua ngUdi ndng ddn, dd'i tUdng quan trpng eua chUdng tiinh va cung la phan chu ye'u sinh sd'ng tai khu vdc ndng thdn (chid'm gdn 70%) VI vay, nghidn edu "Cae nhan td' anh hddng dd'n kd't qua danh gia cua ngddi dan vdi chddng trinh XDNTM trdn dia ban tinh Thdi Nguydn" dddc thUe hien nham khao sat kd't qua ddnh gia eua ngUdi ddn ve chddng trinh XDNTM, ddng thdi xac dinh cae yd'u td'dnh bddng dd'n kd't qua ddnh gid ndy, td dd cd nhdng khuyd'n nghi nham gdp phan ndng cao cha't Iddng chddng trinh XDNTM trdn dia ban tinh Thai Nguydn ndi rieng vd gdp phan cdi thien kd't qua XDNTM vung TDMNPB ndi chung £>ac diem dia ban nghien ciiu Thai Nguyen la tinh thupc trung tam vung Trung du miln nui Ddng bdc; phia Bac tie'p gidp vdi tinh Bae Kan, phia Tdy giap vdi cdc dnh VTnh Phuc, Tuyen Quang, phia Ddng giap vdi cdc tmh Lang Sdn, Bac Giang vd phia Nam tid'p giap vdi tbu dd Ha Ndi (cdch 80 km); didn ticb tU nhidn 3.562,82 km^ Tinb Thai Nguyen ed ddn vi hdnh chinh gdm: phd' (Thdi Nguydn va Sdng Cdng), I thi xa (Pho Ydn) va huydn Id Phu Binh, Dong Hy, Vo Nhai, Dinh Hda, Dai Td, Phu LUdng Tong sd gdm 180 xa, ttong dd cd 125 xa vung cao va mien nui, cdn lai la cae xa ddng bang vd trung du Ddi sd'ng ngUdi ddn ndng tbSn cdn gap nhilu khd khan, phu thupc chu ye'u vao san xua't ndng ngbidp, thu nhap binh qudn eua ngUdi dan ndng thdn tha'p dat 26,2 ttidu ddng/ngudi/nam Thai Nguyen la mdt nhdng tinh di dau ttong phong trao XDNTM cua vung TDMNPB, cung la tinb cd ke't qua xay dUng NTM cao nha't cua vung, tinh dd'n thdi dilm nam 2018 Hinh 1: Vj tri tinh Thai Nguyen vung TDMNPB Vdi sU tUdng ddng mdc sd'ng, dilu kidn va tap qudn san xud't vdi cdc dnh khde thudc vdng TDMNPB, vide lUa ebon Thai Nguydn la dia ban nghien edu dam bdo dUdc tinh dai didn cho cae dia phddng khde vung Ddng thdi ke't qua nghidn edu d Thai Nguyen cd triin vpng md rdng cho cac tmbkhae vung, cung nhd mdt so dnh ed dilu kien san xua't tUdng ddng ca nUdc Phddng phap nghien edu 3.1 PhUdng phdp thu thap solieu 3.1.1 Sd lieu sO cdp Sd' lieu dddc sd dung nghien edu la sd lieu sd ca'p dUde thu thap thdng qua khao sdt bdng hdi De phan dnh dddc chinh xac cdc y kien cua ngddi dan, cudc phdng vd'n dinh tinb vdi 10 ngddi ddn da dddc tid'n hanh, treng sd' dd ed cdn bd lanh dao thudc Sd Ndng nghidp va Phdt trien ndng thdn (NN&PTNT) va ngddi dan sinh sdng tai khu vUe ndng thdn trdn dia ban linh Thai Nguyen, Ndi dung phdng vd'n vl y kid'n danh gia chddng trinb xdy dung ndng thdn, qua cupc khao sdt ndy, tac gia nhan tha'y cdc dd'i tUdng dIu danh gid d hai khia So - T h a n g 3/2019 41 TAP CHi CONG THlffllNG CAC NHAN TO ANH HlTCJNG TCfl SlJ HAI LONG CUA NGUOfi DAN VE CHlJCfNG TRINH XAY Dl/NG NONG THON M I TREN DIA BAN TINH THAI NGUYEN • HO CHI DIEN TOM TAT: Nghidn edu dUde thuc hidn nham xac dinh cdc yd'u td anh hddng den mdc dd bdi Idng cda ngddi ddn khu vdc ndng thdn dnh Thdi Nguyen De tilde hidn nghidn edu, 10 ngUdi dan va cdn bp khu vUc ndng thdn tinb Thai Nguydn dd dUpe phdng va'n dinh tinh cung vdi 300 ngUdi ddn da tham gia vdo qua trinh khao sat Dda tren phUdng phdp phan tich nhan to (EFA) va phddng phap hdi quy tuyen tinh, nghidn edu da tim bang chdng tbdc ngbidm cho thd'y cd su tac ddng ciia yd'u td' thu nhdp, trinh dp hpc vd'n, cbinh quyen tdi mdc dp hai long cua ngddi ddn Mdt so' khuyd'n nghi da dddc dl xua't trdn cd sd ke't qua nghien edu Tuf khoa: Xdy ddng ndng thdn mdi, ddnh gid, ngUdi ddn, tinh Thai Nguydn, Gidi thidu Ndng ngbidp, ndng ddn, ndng thdn cd vj tri chid'n lUdc ttong sU nghidp cdng nghidp hda, hidn dai boa, xdy dUng va bdo vd to qud'c, Id cd sd va ngudn lUc quan cho phdt triin kinh td' - xa hdi Viet Nam, De phdt triin ddng bd ndng nghiep ndng thdn, tdng budc nang cao ddi sd'ng vat cha't tinh thin cua ngddi ndng dan Dang va Nha nddc Viet Nam dd cd nhieu chu trddng, chinb sach quan trpng dd cd ChUdng trinh muc tidu qud'c gia ve xdy dUng ndng thdn mdi (XDNTM) Sau gan 10 nam thUc bidn (2010-2019), tinb dd'n cud'i ndm 2018, ca nude dd ed 3.420 xa chid'm 38,32% xd dUdc cdng nhan dat tieu chud'n ndng thdn mdi, 53 ddn vi ca'p huyen thudc 27 tinh, phd' ttdn ea nddc dddc cdng nhdn dat chuan ndng thdn mdi Chddng trinh XDNTM da dem lai nhilu thay ddi rd net, cd ca'u kinh te' ndng thdn ed nhilu chuyen 40 S o - T h a n g 3/2019 dich tich cdc nganh nghe d ndng thdn phdt triin tddng dd'i da dang, ndng ngbidp - nganh kmb td' ebu yd'ucuakhuvUc ndng thdn dang chuyen manh sang san xud't bang hda, ke't cd'u tang phdt tridn manh, nbilu md binh phdt trien sdn xud't da tao ndn ddng lUc mdi cho phat triin kinh te' khu vdc ndng thdn Bdn canh dd, kd't qud XDNTM gida eac vung cdn cd sd chenh Idcb, nhieu ndi trien khai cdn mang tinb binh tbdc, tbUc hien de la'y tich, ehUa cd cac hoat ddng mang tinb kie'n tao, chua khai tbdc dUpc hd't tilm nang the' manh cua khu vdc ndng thdn, thu nhap, ddi sd'ng eua cac vung ndng thdn cdn tbd'p Tbeo bao cao ke't qua tdng dieu tra cua Bd Ndng nghiep va Phat trien ndng thdn (nam 2017) eho tha'y, ty le xa dat chuan ndng thdn mdi ed sd khde bidt Idn gida cdc vimg ca nUdc, vung Ddng Nam bd dat cao nha't (47%), ga'p gan lan ty le cua vung dat tbd'p nha't KINHTE la TDMNPB (TDMNPB) (9,5%) Ly cho ty Id dat tha'p nba't cua vung TDMNPB la vung ed dia hlnb chu yd'u Id ddi ndi thd'p va nui cao gdy khd khan cho ngddi ddn di lai, sinh boat va san xua't, ddi sd'ng vat cha't tinh than cua ngddi ddn ndng thdn cdn tbd'p; ti le bp ngheo cao, nha't la vung ddng bao dan tdc thieu sd', vung sdu, vung xa; san xua't ndng nghiep nho le, manh mdn; ket cd'u tang kinh te'- xa bdi cdn khd khan Thai Nguydn, mdt tinh thupc trung tdm cbinh tri, kinh td'cua khu Viet Bac ndi ridng, cua vung TDMNPB ndi chung Id eda ngo giao Idu kinh td' xa hdi gida vung Trung du mien nui vdi vung ddng bang Bac Bp Thai Nguyen la tinh da ttien khai chddng trinh XDNTM tdrd't sdm (nam 2010), tinb dd'n bd't nam 2017, toan tinh da cd 68 xa cd quye't dinh cdng nhdn dat chuan; dd, nam 2017 ed thdm 12 xd dat chudn (Sd NN&PTNTTN, 2018) Kd't qua cua dnh ddng gdp mdt phan tao nen ty le xa dat ndng thdn mdi eua vung TDMNPB thd'p nba't eac vung eua ca nUdc Do do, can thid't phai cd nghidn edu ddnh gid chddng trinh XDNTM, dac bidt can ed danh gia eua ngUdi ndng dan, ddi tddng quan trpng cua chddng trinh va cung la phan ebu yd'u sinh sd'ng lai khu vUe ndng thdn (chie'm gan 70%) VI vay, nghidn edu "Cac nhdn to' anh hddng dd'n kd't qua danh gid eua ngddi ddn vdi chUdng trinh XDNTM trdn dia ban dnh Thai Nguydn" dUdc thiic hien nham khao sat ke't qua ddnh gia cua ngddi ddn vl chddng trinb XDNTM, ddng thdi xdc dinb cac yd'u td' anb hUdng ddn kd't qua danh gia nay, td cd nhdng khuyen nghi nham gdp phan ndng cao chd't Iddng cbUdng trinh XDNTM trdn dia bdn tinb Thai Nguydn ndi ridng va gdp phan eai tbien kd't qua XDNTM vung TDMNPB ndi chung D^c didm dja ban nghien cvtu Thai Nguydn la tinh thupc trung tdm vung Trung du mien nui Ddng bae; phia Bae tid'p giap vdi tinb Bae Kan, phia Tdy gidp vdi cdc tinh VTnh Phdc, Tuyen Quang, phia Ddng gidp vdi cae dnh Lang Sdn, Bac Giang vd phia Nam tid'p gidp vdi thu dd Hd Ndi (each 80 km); didn ticb tU nbidn 3.562,82 km^ Tinh Thai Nguyen cd ddn vi banh cbinh gdm: thanb phd' (Thai Nguydn vd Sdng Cdng), thi xa (Pbd Yen) va huydn Id Pbu Binh, Ddng Hy, Vo Nhai, Dinh Hda, Dai Td, Pbu Lddng Tdng sdgdm 180 xa, dd cd 125 xa vung cao vd miln nui, cdn lai la cdc xa dong bang va ttung du Ddi sd'ng ngddi dan ndng thdn cdn gap nhieu khd khan, pbu thudc ebd ye'u vao sdn xud't ndng ngbidp, thu nhap binh quan eua ngUdi dan ndng thdn tha'p dat 26,2 tridu ddng/ngudl/ndm Thai Nguyen la mot ttong nhdng tmh di dau phong ttdo XDNTM cua vung TDMNPB, cung la tinb cd kd't qua xdy ddng NTM cao nba't cua vung, tinb dd'n thdi diem nam 2018 Hinh 1: Vi tri tinh Thdi Nguyen vung TDMNPB Vdi sU tUdng ding mdc sdng, dilu kidn vd tdp quan san xua't vdi cac tinb khac thupc vung TDMNPB, vide Ida chon Thdi Nguydn la dia ban nghidn edu ddm bao d\i6c tinh dai dien cho cdc dia phUdng khde trdng vung Dong thdi kd't qua nghien edu d Thai Nguyen cd triin vpng md rpng cho cdc tinh khac viing, cung nhd mdt sd' tinh ed didu kidn san xud't tddng ddng ca nUdc Phiftfng phap nghien edu 3.1 Phddng phdp thu thap solieu 3.1.1 Sd lieu sa cdp So lidu dUdcsd dung ttong nghien edu la sd'hdu sd ca'p dddc tbu thdp thdng qua khao sal bang hdi De phan anh dddc chinh xac cdc y kie'n eua ngddi dan, cudc phong va'n dinb tinh vdl 10 ngddi ddn da dUdc tie'n hanh, treng sd dd cd can bd lanh dao thupc Sd Ndng ngbidp vd Phdt triin ndng thdn (NN&PTNT) va ngUdi ddn sinh sd'ng tai khu vUc ndng thdn trdn dia ban tinb Thdi Nguydn Ndi dung phong va'n vl y kid'n ddnh gia cbUdng tnnh xdy dung ndng thdn, qua cudc khao sat nay, tac gia nhdn tha'y cdc dd'i tUdng dIu ddnh gid d bai khia So 4-Thang 3/2019 41 lAPCHlCONClUlfllNe canh: sd quan tdm va triin khai eua chinh quyen, kd't qua chUdng trinb XDNTM (kd't qua ve cd sd vat cha't eac cdng trinh phuc vu ddi sd'ng ngddi ddn (trddng hpc, bdu didn ), kd't qua ve cd sd ba tang phuc vu smh boat vd san xua't ndng ngbidp cua ngddi dan (didn, dudng, thuy ldi), ke't qua vl van hda-y td'-giao due, ke't qua cdng tac quy hoach, Dda vao cac thdng tin dinh tinh ndy, tac gia tien hanb xdy ddng phid'u edu hdi phuc vu cupc khao sdt la'y y kid'n ddnh gia eua ngUdi ddn vdl chddng trmh XDNTM Mot cudc dilu tra khao sat da dUdc tie'n hanh nhdm la'y y kid'n ngUdi dan khu vdc ndng thdn tinb Thai Nguyen ve chddng trinb XDNTM cua tinb Quy md mdu dUde xdc dinh tbeo cdng thdc eua Hair&Ctg (1998) Theo Hair&Ctg (1998), dl sd dung phUdng phap phan tich nhdn td', kich thudc mdu td'i thilu Id 50, td't bdn Id 100 vd ty Id quan sat/bid'n dd lUdng la 5/1, nghia la mdt bie'n ludng can td'i thilu la quan sat D l phuc vu cho nghidn edu nay, tdc gid da tie'n bdnh didu tra 300 ngUdi dan sinh sd'ng tai khu vUc ndng thdn dnh Thai Nguyen Thdng tin thu thap dam bao dddc yeu cau vl dung lUdng mdu eho md binh nghidn edu 3.1.2 Solieu thd cdp De cung cd'p day du bdn vl bd'i canh, ke't qua XDNTM cua tinb Thai Nguydn, nghidn edu sd dung cac thdng tin thd cd'p td nien giam thd'ng kd tinh, cdc bdo cdo eua Sd Ndng nghiep va Phat trien Ndng thdn Thai Nguydn, Bd Ndng nghidp va Phdt ttien Ndng thdn Viet Nam, 3.2 PhUdng phdp phdn tich dUlieu 3.2.1 Phucfng phdp phdn tieh nhdn to' Tbue bidn nghien edu danh gid chUdng trinh XDNTM qua ddnh gid cua ngddi dan khu vUc ndng thdn tinh Thdi Nguydn, tdc gia sd dung pbUdng phap phdn tich nhan to' EFA dl danh gid dd tin cay eua thang thdng qua kiem dinb be sd'Cronbaeb's Alpha, kilm dinh sU phu hdp cua pbUdng phdp EFA qua kiem dinh tddng quan cua cac bid'n quan sdt (kiem dmh KMO va Barttiet's), kilm dinb mdc giai thich eua cdc bid'n quan sdt md hinh va tbUc hien phep quay (rotattion) de nhdm cdc cbi bdo cae nhdm nhdn to nghidn edu 3.2.2 Phuang phdp phdn tich hoi quy Sau phan tich nhdn to' dd kiem dinh dp tin cay, sd phu hdp, mdc dp giai thich cua cdc nhdn td 42 So 4-Thang 3/2019 md hinh, nghien edu tid'p tuc sd dung phddng phap hdi quy tuyd'n tinh de nham ddc Iddng dnh hudng cua eac nhdn td' tdi sU danh gid (mdc dp hai Idng) eua ngUdi dan Md hinh ed dang: Y = Po + P|Xi + P2X2 + ^3X3,+ PnX„ + ej Trong dd Y Id bid'n pbu thudc, phu thudc vdo cdc loai bid'n X,, Xj, X3 Xn Trong md hinh nay, bid'n Y la bie'n the hidn kd't qua ddnh gid chUdng trinb XDNTM thdng qua ludng mdc dp bdi Idng cua ngUdi ddn ve chUdng trinh XDNTM Cac bid'n X], X2 X3 X2 la cdc bie'n ddc Idp tac dec dd'n bid'n phu thudc, la nguyen nhan gay ddn de'n kd't qua la tae ddng dd'n bid'n Y He so' Po la tung dp gd'c cua md hinh, he so p,, p2, P3 an dUdc xac dinh qua md hinh Udc Iddng, nd phan anh mdc dp tdc ddng cua cdc ye'u to de'n bid'n y, 3.2.3 Phuang phdp phdn tich tdng hgp - so sanh PhUdng phap dUde sd dung bai viet nham danh gia y kid'n eua ngUdi dan vl cdc khia canh dUdc hdi tren cd sd cdc nhdn td' da dddc xdc dinh td phddng phdp phdn ticb nhdn td' Kd't qua vl mdc dd anh bddng eua ede yd'u td' tdi sd hai Idng cua ngUdi ddn va mdc dp ddng y cua cac nhan td' se la bang chdng tbue ngbidm, de td dd tac gia dl xud't mdt sd giai phap day manh chddng trinh XDNTM ttdn dia ban tinb Thai Nguyen ndi rieng, vijng TDMNOB ndi chung 3.3 Bien ngliien ciiu Md hlnb nghidn edu ed dang: Y = p„ + P,X, + P,X2 + ^3X3,+ P„X„ + e, ^ Trong dd: Y la bid'n hdi Idng (Hailong) cua ngUdi dan ve chUdng trinh XDNTM trdn dia ban tinh Thdi Nguyen va pbu thupc vdo cae bid'n ddc lap: X|, X2, Xj-.-Xj,, idnluptld cdc bid'n luoi, gidi tinb, tbu nhap, hpc va'n, cbinh quyen, ed sd vat cha't, cd sd tang, van hda y td' giao due, quy hoach Cac bie'n dUdc dinh nghTa cu the Bangl Kd't qua nghidn ctfu 4.1 Ket qud ddnh gid chUOiig trinh XDNTM cda ngUdi ddn Ichu vUc nong thdn tren dia bdn tinh Tlidi Nguyen Sau 10 nam trien khai, chUdng trinh XDNTM da dem lai nhieu kd't qua, cung la khodng thdi gian du ddi dl cbUdng trinb bdc Id cdc nbUde diem hay KINH TE Bang Djnh nghia bien SLT dung nghien cCfu Dinh nghTa Ket qua danh gia chUdng trinh XDNTM dUOc ludng mile dd hai Idng ciia ngudi dan vdl chUdng trinh xay dung NTM, sd dung thang likert Haliong neu gidi tinh la Nam, bang neu gidi tinh la nd Tudi cua ngudi tham gia phdng van, bang neu tren 40 tuoi, bang neu td 40 tuoi trd xud'ng Trinh dp hoc van cua ngudi dupc phdng van, bang neu ngUdI dupc phdng van ed bang trung cap !rd len, bang neu khong cd bang cap Thu nhap ciia ngudi dupc phdng van, bang neu dudi tneu, I 15 trieu trd len Thu nhap 31 neu td 5-15 trieu, bang neu td Danh gia cua ngUdi dan ve ket qua cdng tac quy hoach, dupc ludng bang thang likert Danh gia cua ngudi dan ve ket qua co sd tang, dupc ludng bang thang likert Danh gia cija ngUdI dan ve cd sd vat chat, dUOc ludng bang thang likert Danh gia ci!ia ngudi dan v l van hda- y te - giao due, dupc ludng bang thang iiicert Danh gia cua ngudi dan ve nang luc, trach nhiem va sd quan tam cua can bp chinh quyen Nguon: Tdc gid xdy dUng phat buy hieu qua va ngUdi ddn cung du thdi gian chiem nghiem dl dUa cdc ddnh gid cbinb xdc, ed dp tin cay cao ve cha't Iddng chddng trinh De thdc Men Id'y y kid'n ngUdi ddn, mdt cudc dieu tra da dupe tid'n hanh vdi 300 ngUdi ddn sinh sdng d khu vdc ndng thdn tinh Thdi Nguydn, cd 62% ngudi dUdc bdi la nam gidi, 54% cd dp tudi trdn 40 va 65% cd bang trung cd'p trd Idn Khao sat la'y y kid'n ngddi ddn vdi mdc: rat hai long, hdi Idng, binh thddng, khdng hai long va rd't khdng hai Idng, ke't qua tim dddc the bidn Bang 2, Bang Danh gid c u a ngt/di ddn ve ChUdng trinh tql tmh Ttidl Nguyen TyiS(%) MOc (]$ hai long So ngiidi lira chpn Rat khong hai long 0 Khong hai long 0,7 Binh thudng 130 43,33 Hai long 151 50,33 Rat hai iong 17 5,7 Nguon: Tinh todn khao sdt cua tdc gid Kd't qua ttong Bdng eho tbd'y, ty le cao nhd't thupc vl y kid'n danh gid cha't lUdng chUdng trinh ndng thdn mdi la binh thudng vdi 50,33% sd'ngudi danh gia, ddng thd la 43,33% sd' ngddi ddnh gid hai long vdi ebUdng trinh XDNTM, ddng d vi tri thd la ra't hai long vdi 5,7% sd ngUdi danh gia, ddng thd la danh gia klidng hai long vdi ty Id 0,7% va khdng cd la rd't khdng hdi long vdi chddng trinh Td ke't qua cd 56,03% sd' ngUdi dUdc hdi la cam thd'y bai Idng hoac rd't hai long, nhu vdy cbUdng trinb XDNTM cung da bdc Id hieu qud, phan nao dem lai chat lddng cudc sdng ebo ngUdi dan, bddc dau da nhdn dUdc sd hdi long id phia ngUdi dan Con so'43,33 % sd'ngUdi danh gid hlnb thddng eho tbd'y eon mot bd phan khdng nho ngUdi dan cho rang chddng ttinh XDNTM chua tbdc sd phdt huy he't dddc vai trd cung nhd y nghia cua cbUdng tiinb Ty Id chUa hai Idng ehi chie'm 0,7%, la mdt ty Id nbd, nhdng ciing vdi ly le chua tbdc sU hdi Idng Id 43,33% thi day la cdn sd khdng h i nhd can pbai ed eac bidn phdp khac phuc tinh trang tren, 4.2 Ket qud EFA 4.2.J Ket qud kiem dinh thang vdi he sd Cronbach's Alpha De tbdc bien nghidn edu ndy, thdng qua phdng van dinh tinh, tdc gia nhdn tha'y ngoai dac diem So - T h d n g 3/2019 43 lAPGHJCDNClHIflfNG cua ngudi dddc phdng va'n, mdt sd' cdc nhdn td' khac cd the cd anb hudng dd'n sU hai long eua ngudi dan nhd trdch nhiem va sU quan tdm cua chinh quyen (CQ), ke't qua cd sd vat chd't (CSVC), ke't qua cdng lac quy hoach (QH), kd't qua vdn hda - y t l - gido due (VYG), kd't qua vl cd sd lang (CSHT), nhdn td dddc lddng bang 35 chi bao (items) dupe tac gia xdy dUng dUa trdn nghidn edu dinh tinh Bi kilm dinh dp tm cay cua cdc thang nay, kiem dmh Cronbach's Alpha da dUde thuc hien Sau kbi kiem dinb, cd 34 ehi bao dat dilu kidn dupe sddung de phan dnh cdc nhdn td'va he sd'Cronbaeb's alpha cho nhdn td'dUdc the hidn d Bang Kd't qua cho tbd'y he sd' Alpha eua cdc nhdn to tdng deu Idn bdn 0,6 dddc xem Id chap nhdn dddc va thich hdp de dda vao phdn tich nhdng bUde tid'p tbeo Bdng Kiem djnh he so Cronbach's Alpho STT Nhan to tong Trach nhiem va SLf quan tam cua chinh quyen Ket qua co sci vat chat Kfhiiu Alpha CQ 0.952 CSVC 0.891 Ket qua cong tac quy hoach QH 0.954 Ket qua van hoa - y te - giao dye VYG 0.902 Ket qua cd sd tang CSHT 0.979 Nguon: Tinh todn eua tdc gid vdi sif trg giiip cua phdn mem SPSS 22 4.2.2 Kit kiem dinh suphii hgp cua mo hinh De kiem dinh sU pbu hpp cua phUdng phap EFA cho md binh, kiem dinh he sd' KMO va Barriell's da dddc thuc bidn Kd't qua kiem dinh nhu sau: Bang Ket qud kiem djnh KMO vd Bartlett's Kiem dinh Giatn Kaiser-Meyer^Okin (KIVIO) 0,938 Bartlett's Approx Chi-Square Sig 14682,645 0,000 Ngudn: Tong hap cua tdc gid 44 So4-Thang 3/2019 KMO: 0,938 > 0,5: Phan tich nhdn td phii hdp vdi dd lieu nghidn edu Ket qua kiem djnh Bariett's la 14682.645 vdi mdc y nghia Sig = 0.000 < 0.05: dd lieu phdn tich nhan td' Id hodn tean phu hdp 4.2.3 Ket qud xoay nhdn to Sau kbi cac chi bao dupe kiem dinh vl dp tin cay va sU pbu hdp, dam bao de tbdc hien phdn tich nhdn td', nghidn edu tid'p tuc ibUc bidn nbdm nhdn td thdng qua phep quay ma Iran Kd't qua cho thd'y cdc ebi bao da hdi tu vdo hd'n nhdn td' quy hoach (QH), cd sd tdng (CSHT), ed sd vat chd't (CSVC), vdn hda y td' giao due (VYG) va cbinh quyen (CQ) Dua trdn he sd' tai cua eac thang bdng quay ma tran, gid tri cua eac nhan td' dddc xdc dinh nhu sau: QH = 0, 59.QH1+ 0,571.QH2 + 0,633.QH3 + 0,656.QH4 + 0,631.QH5 CSHT = 0,783,CSHT1 + 0,843.CSHT2 + 0,849.CSHT3 + 0,836 CSHT4 + 0,775.CSHT5 CSVC = 0,746 CSVC1+ 0,769.CSVC2 + 0,786.CSVC3 + a,786CSVC4 + 0,798.CSVC5 + 0,798.CSVC6 +0,781.CSVC7 + 0,790.CSVC8 + 0,792.CSVC9 VYG = 0,879.VYG1 + 0,900.VYG2 + 0,875.VYG3+ 0,875.VYG4 + 0,889.VYG5 CQ = 0,781.CQ6 + 0,823.CQ7 + 0,832.CQ8 + 0,858.CQ9 + 0,821.CQ1 + 0,861,CQ2 + 0,831.CQ3+0,827,CQ4 +0,854.CQ5 +0,844.CQ10 4.3 Kit qud hoi quy Dd lieu dieu tra sau da lam sach, EFA, dddc dUa vao md hlnb bdi quy tuyen tinh dd ddc lddng mdc dp anh hudng cua cac yd'u to dd'n sd hdi Idng cua ngUdi dan khu vdc ndng thdn tren dia bdn dnh Thai Nguyen Ke't qua Udc lUdng mdc giai thich eua md hlnb, R' bidu cbinh =0.771 cho tbd'y 77,1% sU tbay ddi cua bie'n pbu thudc (bid'n bdi long) dddc giai thich bdi sU tbay dd'i eua bid'n ddc lap md binh, Kd't qua kilm dinh gia thuyd't vl dd phu hdp vdi tdng tbi cua md binb, gid tri F=202.525 vdi sig^O.OOO