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Cán bӝ chҩm nhұn xét 1:
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LuұQ YăQ WKҥF Vƭ ÿѭӧc bҧo vӋ tҥL 7UѭӡQJ Ĉҥi hӑF %iFK KRD Ĉ+4* 7S HCM, QJj\«WKiQJ«1ăP Thành phҫn HӝLÿӗQJÿiQKJLiOXұQYăQWKҥFVƭJӗm: 1 Chӫ tӏch hӝLÿӗng:
Trang 3ĈҤI HӐC QUӔC GIA TP.HCM 75ѬӠ1*ĈҤI HӐC BÁCH KHOA
CӜNG HÒA XÃ HӜI CHӪ 1*+Ƭ$9,ӊT NAM Ĉӝc lұp ± Tӵ do ± Hҥnh phúc
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Hӑ tên hӑc viên: NGUYӈ1ĈӬC TRӐNG MSHV: 1670874 Ngày sinh: 04/01/1986 1ѫLVLQK +j7ƭQK Chuyên ngành: Chính sách công Mã sӕ: 60340402
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Trang 4LӠI CҦ0Ѫ1
Tôi xin gӱi lӡi biӃWѫQVkXVҳFÿӃn các Thҫ\Kѭӟng dүn, PGS.TS Phҥm Hӗng Nhұt Yj3*676/r9ăQ.KRD&iF7Kҫ\ÿmWұQWuQKKѭӟng dүn vӅ mһt khoa hӑFYjÿӏnh Kѭӟng hӑc thuұt, quan tâm Yjÿӝng viên, và tҥo mӑL ÿLӅu kiӋn thuұn lӧi nhҩt cho tôi hoàn thành LuұQYăQQj\
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Tôi xin gӱi lӡi cҧPѫQÿӃn các anh chӏ trong ViӋn NhiӋWÿӟi môLWUѭӡng, Trung tâm Quҧn lý Hҥ tҫng kӻ thuұt (Sӣ Xây dӵQJ ÿmJL~Sÿӥ tұn tình trong viӋc thu thұp và xӱ lý sӕ liӋu cho thӵc hiӋn LuұQYăQ
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Mӝt lҫn nӳa, tôi xin chân thành cҧPѫQ
Trang 57Ï07Ҳ7
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Trang 6ABSTRACT
In the increasingly complicated climate change situation, Ho Chi Minh City is one of the 10 cities most strongly affected by climate change in the world The strongest impact is inundation with an area of up to 473 km2 corresponding to 100cm sea level rise This consequence is a great influence on the planning and development of drainage infrastructure in Ho Chi Minh City Facing such situation, the topic has been studied with the main objective of assessing the impacts of climate change and proposing adaptive solutions to the drainage infrastructure sector in Ho Chi Minh City Based on the socio-economic development planning and population development of Ho Chi Minh City and the climate change update scenario RCP to 2030 and 2050, the study has developed scenarios for drainage infrastructure development in Ho Chi Minh City according to the respective timelines and assessing the effects of climate change
The research results of the topic have built a set of indicators to evaluate the impact on drainage infrastructure, including 11 indicators and corresponding weights for each indicator Scenarios for drainage demand and drainage infrastructure development to 2030 and 2050 have also been developed for each district in accordance with the city's general socio-economic plan The results of assessing the impact of climate change on drainage infrastructure development by current period, 2030, 2050 corresponding to the scenarios RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 show:
The impacts of climate change on drainage infrastructure are medium However, the drainage infrastructure of some old inner-city districts is affected by climate change at a high level with the climate vulnerability index ranging from 0.550 to 0.605 (Go Vap) In the near future, the vulnerability is moderate but by the year 2050 the vulnerability has grown to a higher level
The study also proposed climate change adaptation solutions for drainage infrastructure based on the criteria of increasing resilience for each district and reducing the impact index Proposed solutions based on decisions 752 / QD-TTg and 1547 / QD-TTg in line with the city's drainage planning
The research results will contribute to the correct assessment of the current status of the impacts of climate change of climate change adaptive drainage system planning
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TP.HCM, ngày 31 WKiQJQăP2020 Tác giҧ luұQYăQ
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