180 inappropriate energy policy approach to diversifying the energy supply mix The required energy demand in the SC4 scenario for fuelling new technology in water irrigation system and waste water rec[.]
180 inappropriate energy policy approach to diversifying the energy supply mix The required energy demand in the SC4 scenario for fuelling new technology in water irrigation system and waste water recycle would triple in 2030 (Table 6-1), while the country would continue its existing energy policy by expanding conventional energy resources, such as coal-fired, oil, and hydro-power Therefore, this would put pressure on energy imports to increase in order to meet this increased domestic demand, since the local energy reserves are becoming scarce and limited Figure 6-14: Impacts of alternative scenarios on energy imports Source: Estimates based on modelling developed in this research In the SC5 Energy–Food–Water Nexus scenario, the country is likely to experience significant improvement in energy import dependency The value of energy imports for Vietnam is expected to decrease over the next 16 years with an annual decrease of 0.7%, reaching 13.4% in 2030 As shown in Figure 6-14, this is decrease 22.3 % lower than the SC2 scenario (10.9%); and 18.8 %, 31.2 %, and 24 % higher than SC1 (16.5%), SC3 (19.5%), and SC4 (17.6%), respectively The lower reliance on conventional energy, especially coal, oil, gas, and hydro, results in the major contribution to this significant improvement of energy import dependency in SC5, and is caused by the energy–food– water nexus policy approach The SC6 Low Carbon scenario is expected to realise a significant improvement in energy imports The value of energy imports for Vietnam is expected to decrease over the