173 of renewable electricity would increase up to 20 % Therefore, energy conversion efficiency in the SC2 scenario would become the highest in 2030 among the various scenarios In the SC3 Food scenario[.]
173 of renewable electricity would increase up to 20 % Therefore, energy conversion efficiency in the SC2 scenario would become the highest in 2030 among the various scenarios In the SC3 Food scenario, energy conversion efficiency is forecast to decline by 3.8% over the next 16 years, which is equivalent to an average annual decrease of 0.3%, reaching 70.2% in 2030 This is equivalent to a decrease of 0.7 % in 2030, compared with the SC1 scenario (70.71%) Compared with the SC2 scenario (85.8%) this will be equivalent to a decrease of 18.1 % The main reason for the worsening of energy efficiency is lack of appropriate adjustment in terms of energy supply mix and energy production capacity, amid rapidly increasing demand for electricity in SC3 Therefore, energy efficiency in SC3 would be the lowest of all scenarios In general, energy efficiency over 2014–2030 reflects a fundamentally vital deterioration of energy policy in adapting newly increasing demand from other economic sectors, that is, food processing Hence, despite the larger GDP of SC3 compared to SC1 and SC2, the result implies the need for a more holistic approach that considers energy demand from other economic sectors instead of focusing solely within an energy sector In the SC4–Water scenario, energy conversion efficiency is expected to decline by 2.2% over the next 16 years, which is equal to an average annual decrease of 0.2%, reaching 71.9% in 2030 Despite the declining trend of energy conversion efficiency of SC4 compared with SC2, it is still higher than in SC1 and SC3 For example, it is equivalent to an increase of 1.6 % in 2030, compared with the SC1 scenario (70.7%) Meanwhile, it shows a decrease of 16.2 %, and 2.4 % compared with the SC2 scenario (85.8%), and SC3 scenario (70.2%) in 2030, respectively This declining trend in energy efficiency in SC4 is fundamentally due to the absence of new technological changes for increasing energy production capacity and modernizing energy supply mix, despite the additionally increasing energy demand for adopting the drip and sprinkler irrigation system in SC3 The application of a high-efficiency irrigation system in SC4 is aimed at increasing drop production with less water, while consuming more energy than under the traditional surface irrigation system, which is already largely gravity fed