Hoàn thiện công tác thẩm định dự án đầu tư vào lĩnh vực cấp nước tại ngân hàng phát triển nhà đồng bằng sông cửu long chi nhánh hà nội

TIM ■ > J Q TRUONG DAI HOC KINH TE QUOC DAN ■ ■ - £0So£3gSG9 — _ DAI HOC KTQD TT THONG TIN THWVIEN PHONG LUAN AN-TU LIEU NGO TH1NGOC ANH • • ■ ■ ■ CHUYfiN NGANH: KINH if DAU TU LUAN • VAN THAC • SY KINH TE 7M 7^3 Ngtfdi htidng dan khoa hoc: PGS.TS NGUYfiN BACH NGUY&T • • HA KOI, NAM 3013 L()I CAM DOAN Toi xin cam doan, day la cong trinh nghien ciiu doc lap Moi so lieu, tu lieu duoc neu va trich dan luan van deu co nguon goc ro rang va trung thirc, neu sai toi xin chiu hoan toan trach nhiem Tac gia luan van MUC LUC LOI CAM DOAN DANH MUC CHLf CAI VIET TAT DANH MUC SO DO, BANG BIEU TOM TAT LUAN VAN C HIJONG I: TONG QUAN CAC CONG TRINH DA NGHIEN CUU 1.1 Ly lira chon de tai 1.2 Muc dich nghien ciru: 1.3 Pham vi va doi tirong nghien ciru .2 1.4 Phirong phap nghien ciru: .2 1.5 Tong quan tinh hinh nghien ciru: 1.6 Nhirng dong gop cua luan van: 1.7 Ketcau cua luan van: CHUONG II: NHLfNG VAN DE CO BAN VE THAM DINH DU* AN TAI CAC NGAN HANG THU*ONG MAI VA THAM DINH DU* AN DAU TV VAO LINH WC • CAP NlTOC TAI • CAC NGAN HANG TH VONG MAI • 2.1 Ly luan chung ve tham dinh du* an tai cac ngan hang thirong mai: 2.1.1 Khai niem tham dinh du (in tai cac ngan hang thuong mai: 2.1.3 Quy trinh, to chuc tham dinh tai cac ngan hang thuffng mai: 2.1.4 Noi dung tham dinh du an dau tu: 10 2.1.5 Phuorng phap tham dinh du an dau tu: 17 2.2 Tham dinh dw an dau tu* vao linh vu*c cap niroc 19 2.2.1 Khai quat ve cac du an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nude 19 2.2.1 Dae diem cua du an cap nude: 20 2.2.3 Yeu cau doi vdi cong tac tham dinh du an dau tu cap nude tai cac ngan hang thuong mai: 23 r 2.3 Cac nhan to anh hirong toi cong tac tham dinh du* an cap niroc tai ngan r •> hang thiro*ng mai: 25 2.3.1 Nhom nhan td chu quan 25 2.3.2 Nhom nhan td khach quan 27 2.4 Cac chi tieu phan anh chat lirong tham dinh du* an cap niroc: 29 2.4.1 Quan diem ve chat luffng tham dinh du an: 29 2.4.2 Cac chi tieu phan anh chat lirong tham dinh du an cap nude: .29 CHUONG III: THUC TRANG CONG TAC THAM DINH r * • - DU* AN CAP NUOC TAI NGAN HANG PHAT TRIEN NHA DONG BANG SONG CUlJ LONG - CHI NHANH HA NOI .31 3.1 Gio-i thieu khai quat ve Ngan hang PTNDBSCL Chi nhanh Ha Noi (MHB Ha Noi): 31 3.1.1 Qua trinh hinh va phat trien MHB Ha Noi: .31 3.1.2 Cff cau to chu'c cua Ngan hang PTNDBSCL - Chi nhanh Ha Noi: 32 3.1.3 Tinh hinh kinh doanh cua MHB Ha Noi 34 •> r 3.2 Thirc trang cong tac tham dinh dir an cung ccp niuOc tai' Ngan hang PTNDBSCL - Chi nhanh Ha Noi: 38 •p > r 3.2.1 Khai quUt tinh hbih tham dinh dd an ddu tu cuugcdp nud’ctai MHB Ha Noi: 38 3.2.2 Quy trinh, to chuc tham dinh dw nn cung cpp ndCc tai MHB Ha Noi 4-1 3.2.3 Can cu tham dinh dw tn cung cpp ndCc tai MHB Ha Noi 43 3.2.4 Phddngpnhp p^dd^ ^00^1^101 dinn dd an nuuncdp undcc^iM^ HH Noi 46 3.2.5 Noi duun thhm ddin dd an uc^ccp ngdcdhli MHH HHNoi 51 3.3 Vi d u minh h oa cho cong tac tham dinh h ir an cung cap n inuc tai MHB Ha Noi 65 3.3.1 vS quy trinh tham dinh 66 3.3.2 Noi dung tham dinh 66 3.3.3Tham dinh tai san dam bao 77 3.4.Dcnh gia ve tong tat tham iinh dr an cung tap nudc tai MHB Ha Noi 78 r 3.4.1 Nhdng kkt quudqi tddc 78 3.4.2 Nhdng tin tti vv unuuM ^111 11 CHUONG IV: GIAI PHAP HO AN THIEN CONG TAC THAM DINH DU’ AN cung cap nU6c tai ngAn hAnG PHAT TRIEN nhA d6ng BANG SONG CUT LONG- CHI NHANH HA ’ NOI 77 4.1 Dinh huong nhat trien tuc Ngan hang PTNDSCL - Chi nhanh Ha Noi ien nam 2020: 87 4.1.1 Dinh hdCngphtt trien tong the 87 4.1.2 Dinh hdCngphtt trien hoat dong cho vay 8?8 4.1.3 Dinh hdCngphnt trien hoat dong cho vay doi vCi cnc dw nn cpp ndCc 89 PTNDBSCL - chi nhanh Ha Noi 90 4.2.1 Hoan thien noi dung tham dinh dir an dau tir vao link virc cap nude 90 4.2.2 Hoan thien to chirc cdng tac tham dinh dir an dau tir dau tu’ vao linh virc cap marc 94 4.2.3 Hoan thien cdng viec thu thap thong tin phuc vu cho qua trinh tham dinh dir an dau tir vao linh virc cap nude 95 4.2.4 Nang cao chat liro'ng ngudn nhan lire phuc vu cho qua trinh tham dinh dir an dau tir vao linh virc cap nude 98 r •> Ket 4.2.5 hop cacphiarngphap tham dinh dir an dau tir dau tir vao linh virc cap a marc mot each hop ly a < 100 4.2.6 Hoan thien he thong cham diem khach hang 102 4.2.7 Hoan thien chien liarc khach hang cua MHB Ha Noi 103 A 4.2.8 Hoan thien cdng tac thuc hien dam bao tien vay cho cac mon vay nganh cap nude .104 4.3 Kien nghi 105 4.3.1 Kidn nghi vdi err quan quan ly nha nude 105 4.3.2 Kien nghi vdi Ngan hang Nha marc 107 4.3.3 Kien nghi doi vdi Ngan hang MHB 108 KET LUAN 109 TAI LIEU THAM KHAO 110 PHAN PHU LUC Ill DANH MUC CHU VIET TAT MHB: Ngan hang phat trien Nha dong bang song Cuu Long MHB Ha Noi: Ngan hang phat trien nha dong bang song Cuu Long - Chi nhanh Ha Noi NH PTNDBSCL: Ngan hang phat trien Nha dong bang song Cuu Long CBTD: Can bo tham dinh CBKD: Can bo kinh doanh NHTM: Ngan hang thuong mai Ngan hang TMCP: Ngan hang thuong mai co phan DANH MUC CAC SO DO, BANG BIEU Sa 3.1 Ca cau to chuc Sa 3.2 quy trinh tham dinh dir an tai MHB Ha Noi Bang 3.1: Tinh hinh huy dong von tai MHB Ha Noi giai doan 2009-2011 Bang 3.2 Ca cau du no tin dung cua MHB Ha Noi giai doan 2009- 2011 Bang 3.3: Ket qua thu dich vu cua MHB Ha Noi 2009-2011 Bang 3.4 so luong du an tham dinh va doanh so cho vay theo linh virc kinh te tai MHB Ha Noi Bang 3.5 So du an cung cap nude duqc tham dinh va chap thuan cho vay tai MHB Ha Noi giai doan 2009 -2011 Bang 3.6 Nhung giay td da co du an Duong Lieu Bang 3.7 Rui ro va bien phap quan ly rui ro d cac giai doan Bang 3.8 phan tich SWOT doi vdi doanh nghiep Bang 3.9 Co cAu du an cung cap nude theo hinh thuc dau tu Bang 3.10 Cdng suat cac nha may nude viing nghien cuu theo cac giai doan Bang 3.11 Bang tong hop cac chi tieu tinh toan Bang 3.12 du no cho vay von doi vdi linh vuc cung cap nude Bang 3.13 Thu nhap tir cho vay doi vdi dir an cap nude TRUONG DAI HOC KINH TE QUOC DAN ■ ■ - AD)BdG1gCG8 - NGO THI NGOC ANH • • HOAN THEN CONG TAC INAm BINH DIOAN HAU TIT VAO UNH WC CAP MtiCTAI NOAN HANG PHAT THEN NHA bong bang song cuu long - ch nhanh noi ■ CHUYfiN NGANH: KINH T dAu W TOM TAT LUAN VAN THAC SY • HA NOI, NAM 2012 • i CIHJONG I: TONG QUAN CAC CONG TRINH DA NGHIEN CUU Trong chucmg nay, tac gid xuat phat tic viec nghien cicu tarn quan cua cac du an, cung nhu nghien cicu cac han che cua cong tac tham dinh ma neu ly lua chon de tai, muc tieu nghien cicu cua luan van Dong thdi, tac gid cung dua pham vi nghien cicu va doi tuang nghien cicu cua luan van, phicang phap nghien cicu Trong chucmg nay, tac gid cung neu tong quan tinh hinh nghien cicu ve cong tac tham dinh du an dau tu noi chung cung nhu cong tac tham dinh du an ddu ft > tu vao linh vuc cap nude noi rieng De tic dua cac dong gop cua luan van ve mat ly luan cung nhu thuc tien Trong chuomg nay, tac gid cung chi rd bo cue cua luan van Nhirng dong gop cua luan van - Lam sang to luan cir khoa hoc ve tham dinh du an dau tu vao linh vuc cung cap nude tai cac ngan hang thuong mai - Phan tich thuc trang cong tac tham dinh du an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nude tai MHB Ha Noi - De xuat cac giai phap de hoan thien cong tac tham dinh du- an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nudc tai MHB Ha Noi Ket cau cua luan van De nghien cuu de tai Hoan thien cong tac tham dinh du an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nudc tai Ngan hang phat trien Nha dong bang song Cuu Long - Chi nhanh Ha Noi (MHB Ha Noi) Tac gia tim hieu theo bo cue sau: Chuang 1: Tong quan cac cong trinh da nghien cuu Chuang 2: Nhirng van de co ban ve tham dinh du an dau tu tai cac NHTM va tham dinh dir an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nudc tai cac NHTM Chuang 3: Thuc trang cong tac tham dinh du an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nude tai Ngan hang Phat trien nha dong bang song Cuu Long - Chi nhanh Ha Noi (MHB Ha Noi) Chuang 4: Giai phap hoan thien cong tac tham dinh dir an dau tu vao linh vuc cap nudc tai MHB Ha Noi Bang 5: Chi phi khau hao co ban hang nam Don vi tinh: trieu ddng TT I Tai san khau hao Gia tri tinh khau hao Thdi gian (nam) Giai doan I Ndm khau hao Nam 2017 Nam 2016 Nam 2015 Nam 2018 Nam 2019 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 Xay dung 2.134.493 25 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 Thiet bi 1.005.501 15 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 Xay dung 481.775 20 Thiet bi 512.441 15 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 II Giai doan II II Tong cong TT / Tai san khau hao 3.139.995 Gia tri tinh khau hao Thdi gian (nam) Giai doan I Nam khau hao Nam 2020 Nam 2021 Nam 2022 Nam 2023 Nam 2024 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 Xay dung 2.134.493 25 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 Thiet bi 1.005.501 15 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 II Giai doan II Xay dung 481.775 20 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 Thiet bi 512.441 15 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 210.665 210.665 210.665 210.665 210.665 II Tong cong 3.139.995 TT Tai san khau hao Gia tri tinh khau hao Thdi gian (nam) Giai doan I II Nam 2027 Nam 2028 Nam 2029 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 152.413 2.134.493 25 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 Thiet bi 1.005.501 15 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 67.033 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 Xay dung 481.775 20 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 Thiet bi 512.441 15 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 210.665 210.665 210.665 210.665 210.665 II Tong cong / Nam 2026 Nam 2025 Xay dung II Giai doan II TT Nam khau hao Tai san khau hao 3.139.995 Gia tri tinh khau hao Thdi gian (nam) Giai doan I Xay dung 2.134.493 25 Thiet bi 1.005.501 15 Giai doan II Nam khau hao Nam 2030 Nam 2031 Nam 2032 Nam 2033 Nam 2034 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 58.251 Xay dung 481.775 20 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 Thiet bi 512.441 15 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 34.163 143.631 143.631 143.631 143.631 143.631 II Tong cong 3.139.995 TT I Tai san khau hao Gia tri tinh khau hao Thdi gian (nam) Giai doan I Xay dung 2.134.493 25 Thiet bi 1.005.501 15 II Giai doan II Xay dung 481.775 20 Thiet bi 512.441 15 II Tong cong 3.139.995 Nam khau hao Nam 2035 Nam 2036 Nam 2037 Nam 2038 Nam 2039 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 85.380 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 24.089 109.468 109.468 109.468 109.468 109.468 Ghi chu; Theo Thong tu 203/2009/TT-BTC 20/10/2009 cua Bo Tai chinh Hudng din che quan ly, sir dung va trich khau hao tai san cd dinh Bang 6: Tong hop chi phi nhien lieu, vat lieu cho san xuat lm3 nam 2015 (Tinh theo dinh muc du toan cong tac sx nudc sach ban hanh kem theo QD so 14/2004/QD-BXD 14/5/2004 cua Bo trudng Bo Xay dung.) • Dan vi: 1000 VND sn Cong trinh Don vi tinh Khoi luong Don gia Thanh tien (VND) Dung dich Javen KG 0,0030 13,4 0,04 Voi KG 0,0020 2,0 0,0039 Dien cho san xuat KWh 0,3200 2,10 0,67 PAC KG 0,0125 15,0 0,19 vat lieu khac % 7,0000 Nhan cong (bac tho 4/7) Cong 0,0009 0,06 204,55 Tong Cong 0,18 * I 15 BANG 7: TONG HOP CHI PHI NHAN CONG & QUAN LY CHO MOT NAM SAN XUAT Don vi: 1000VND sn Cong trinh Don vi tinh Khoi luong Chi phi Chi phi nam thang (VND) Luong va chi phi quan ly 93.713 1.124.550 Chi luong CB quan ly theo dinh bien 76.500 918.000 BHXH, BHYT, KPCD, BHTN 23% Luong % 23% 10.997 131.963 Chi phi quan ly khac 10% Luong % 10% 4.781 57.375 Chi phi vat lieu dung van phong, dien ■ thoai 3% Luong % 3% 1.434 17.213 BANG 8: CHI PHI BAN HANG Don vi: 1000 VND sn Cdng trinh Don vi tinh Chi phi ban hang Khoi luong Chi phi Chi phi nam thang (VND) 250.000 phu cap, an ca, BH Ngudi 150.000 Chi phi quan cao, tiep thi VND 100.000 Bang 9: To chuc nhan luc Don vi: 1000 VND STT Noi dung Don vi Bo phan hanh chinh So lugng Mdc Luong Thanh tien luong thang 12 thang 11 76.500 918.000 Giam doc Cdng ty ngudi 10.000 10.000 120.000 Pho Giam doc Cdng ty ngudi 8.000 8.000 96.000 Phong KT-KH-KT ngudi 6.500 19.500 234.000 Phong Ke toan ngudi 6.500 26.000 312.000 Phong To chifc - Hanh chinh ngudi 6.500 13.000 156.000 Cdng nhan van hanh (theo dinh mire) ngudi Bang 10: Chi phi cho lm3 nudc sach tdng nam cua du an Don vi tinh: trieu dong TT Khoan muc I 10 11 12 II Cong suit thiet ke m3/ngd Cong suit m3/ngd Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke San luong thuong pham / TK Tong chi phi Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu va vat lieu Chi phf nhan cong va quan ly Khau hao co ban Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Sua chua thudng xuyen 1% KHCB Bao hie’m tai san (0,12% GTTS) Chi phi ban hang Thue' tai nguyen Phf xa thai Chi phf van chuyen bun thai Tra lai vay von dau tu Tien thue di't Gia lm3 nudc sach TP (1000 dong) TT Khoan muc I 5_ 10 11 12 II Cong suit thiet ke' m3/ngd C6ng suit m3/ngd Ty le CS huy dong / CS thie't ke' San luong thuong pham / TK Tong chi phi Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu va vat lieu Chi phf nhan cong va quan ly Khi'u hao co ban Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Sua chua thudng xuyen 1% KHCB Bao hie’m tai san (0,12% GTTS) Chi phf ban hang Thue' tai nguyen Phf xa thai * Chi phf van chuyen bun thai Tra lai vay vo'n dau tu Tien thue dat Gia lm3 nudc sach TP (1000 dong) Nam hoat dong Nam 2017 163.000 150.000 100% 48.180.000 646.420 68.483 1.125 152.413 Nam 2015 163.000 150.000 85% 40.953.000 670.868 58.211 1.125 152.413 Nam 2016 163.000 150.000 95% 45.771.000 660.468 65.059 1.125 152.413 1.524 4.657 250 3.793 0,120 6.523 442.373 1.524 4.657 250 4.239 0,120 6.523 424.678 1.524 4.657 250 4.462 0,120 6.523 406.984 14,430 13,417 16,381 Nam 2020 324.000 300.000 85% 81.906.000 851.005 133.063 1.349 210.665 Nam 2021 324.000 300.000 90% 86.724.000 857.137 159.267 1.574 210.665 Nam hoat dOng Nam 2022 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 852.011 176.963 1.574 210.665 2.107 4.657 300 9.047 0,240 7.827 481.990 2.107 4.657 350 11.495 0,240 9.132 457.891 2.107 4.657 350 12.772 0,240 9.132 433.791 10,390 9,884 ' 8,842 Nam 2019 163.000 150.000 100% 48.180.000 631.395 78.755 1.349 152.413 7.621 1.524 4.657 300 5.355 0,120 7.827 371.594 Nam 2018 163.000 150.000 100% 48.180.000 641.469 78.755 1.349 152.413 1.524 4.657 300 5.355 0,120 7.827 389.289 13,314 Nam 2023 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 827.912 176.963 1.574 210.665 ■ 2.107 4.657 350 12.772 0,240 9.132 409.692 8,592 13,105 ■ Nam 2024 ■ 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 838.898 197.382 1.799 210.665 10.533 2.107 4.657 400 15.326 ■ 0.240 10.436 385.592 8,706 TT I 10 10 11 II TT I 12 10 11 12 II Khoan muc Cong suat thiet ke' m3/ngd Cong suat m3/ngd Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke San luong thuong pham / TK Tong chi phi Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu va vat lieu Chi phi nhan cong va quan ly Kha'u hao co ban Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Sua chua thudng xuyen 1% KHCB Bao hiem tai san (0,12% GTTS) Chi phf ban hang Thue' tai nguyen Phf xa thai Chi phf van chuyen bun thai Tra lai vay von dau tu Tien thue dat Gia lm3 nudc sach TP (1000 dong) Khoan muc Cong suat thiet ke' m3/ngd Cong suat m3/ngd Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke' San luong thuong pham / TK Tong chi phf Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu va vat lieu Chi phf nhan cong va quan ly Kha'u hao co ban Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Sua chua thudng xuyen % KHCB Bao hiem tai san (0,12% GTTS) Chi phf ban hang Thue tai nguyen Phf xa thai Chi phf van chuyen bun thai Tra lai vay vo'n dau tu Tien thue dat Gia lm3 nudc sach TP (1000 dong) Nam 2025 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 804.265 197.382 1.799 210.665 Nam 2026 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 780.166 197.382 1.799 210.665 Nam 2027 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 781.130 217.801 2.024 210.665 Nam 2028 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 757.031 217.801 2.024 210.665 2.107 4.657 400 15.326 0,240 10.436 361.493 2.107 4.657 400 15.326 0,240 10.436 337.393 2.107 4.657 450 18.392 0,240 11.741 313.294 2.107 4.657 450 18.392 0,240 11.741 289.194 8,346 8,096 8,106 7,856 Nam 2030 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 666.804 ■ 238.220 2.249 143.631 Nam 2031 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 642.705 238.220 2.249 143.631 Nam hoat dong Nam 2032 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 618.605 238.220 2.249 143.631 Nam 2033 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 634.531 272.251 2.474 143.631 1.436 4.657 500 22.070 0,240 13.046 240.995 1.436 4.657 500 22.070 0,240 13.046 216.896 1.436 4.657 500 22.070 0,240 13.046 192.796 1.436 4.657 550 26.484 0,240 14.350 168.697 6,670 6,420 6,585 _ 6,920 Nam 2029 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 743.464 217.801 2.024 210.665 10.533 2.107 4.657 450 18.392 0,240 11.741 265.095 7,715 Nam 2034 324.000 300.000 100% 96.360.000 617.563 272.251 2.474 143.631 7.182 1.436 4.657 500 26.484 0,240 14.350 144.597 6,409 TT Khoan muc I 10 11 12 II Cong suit thiet ke m3/ngd Cong suit m3/ngd Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke' San luong thuong phim / TK Tong chi phi Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu va vat lieu Chi phi nhan cong va quan ly Khau hao co ban Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Sua chua thudng xuyen 2% KHCB Bao hiem tai san (0,12% GTTS) Chi phi ban hang Thue' tai nguyen Phi xa thai Chi phi van chuyen bun thai Tra lai vay vdn dau tu Tien thue di't Gia lm3 nude sach TP (1000 dong) Ghi chu; - Mot nam bang 365 - Ty le thit thoat cua mang truyen din Nam 2036 324.000 300.000 100% 93.075.000 555.023 292.670 2.699 109.468 Nam hoat dong Nam 2037 324.000 300.000 100% 93.075.000 530.923 292.670 2.699 109.468 Nam 2038 324.000 300.000 100% 93.075,000 506.824 292.670 2.699 109.468 1.095 4.657 550 26.484 0,240 14.350 120.498 1.095 4.657 600 31.781 0,240 15.655 96.398 1.095 4.657 600 31.781 0,240 15.655 72.299 1.095 4.657 600 31.781 0,240 15.655 48.199 5,929 5,963 5,704 5,445 Nam 2035 324.000 300.000 100% 93.075.000 551.827 272.251 ' 2.474 109.468 12% Nam 2039 324.000 300.000 100% 93.075.000 510.196 313.089 2.924 109.468 5.473 1.095 4.657 650 31.781 0,240 16.959 24.100 5,482 Bang 11: Xac dinh don gia nude TT Khoan muc Don vi Thanh tien I Nguyen lieu, nhien lieu true tiep Dong/m3 2.344 II Chi phi san xuat chung Dong/m3 5.553 Khau hao co ban Ddng/m3 1.951,988 Sua chua ldn 5% KHCB Ddng/m3 19,520 Sira chua thudng xuyen % KHCB Ddng/m3 19,520 Bao hiem tai san (0,12% GTTS) Ddng/m3 54,967 Phi xa thai D6ng/m3 0,003 o Chi phi van chuyen bun thai Tien thud dat Ddng/m3 0,000 Chi phi quan ly Ddng/m3 23,044 Tra lai vay von dau tu Dong/m3 3.350,325 III Chi phi ban hang Ddng/m3 5,10 IV Chi phi khac Ddng/m3 237,05 A Gia thanhlm3 nudc sach chua VAT Dong/m3 8.139 B Gia ban tdi thieu chua thue Ddng/m3 8.139 C Loi nhuan dinh mure 3% Vdn chu sd huu Dong/m3 540 D Gia ban nudc (chua bao gom thue tai nguyen) Ddng/m3 8.700 — 133,661 Gia ban du kien (da bao gom thue Tai nguyen) • Cac chi phi duqc tinh trung binh theo ddng ddi du an va dinh muc cdng tac san xuat nudc sach ban hanh kem theo QD so 14/2004/QDBXD 14/5/2004 cua Bo Xay dung Tam tinh bang 3% chi phi I, II, III TTLT 95/2009/BTC BX D-BNN 209 Thue tai nguyen E Ghi chu Ddng/m3 7.500 Ghi chu: - Xac dinh dcfn gia nude Thong tu lien tich 95/2009/TTLT-BTC-BXD-BNN cua Bo Tai chinh, Bo XSy dung, Bo Ndng nghiep va Phat trien ndng thdn hudng dan nguyen tac, phuong phap xac dinh va tham quyen quyet dinh gia tieu thu nudc sach tai cac thi, khu cdng nghiep va khu vuc nong thdn Don vi tinh: trieu dong Khoan muc TT Nam hoat dong Nam 2015 Nam 2016 Nam 2017 Nam 2018 Nam 2019 Cong suat thiet ke m3/ngd 163.000 163.000 163.000 163.000 163.000 C6ng sua't m3/ngd 150.000 150.000 150.000 150.000 150.000 Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke' 85% 95% 100% 100% 100% 40.953.000 San luong thuong phdm / TK Ty le tieu thu / SL thuong phdm San luong tieu thu nam Gia ban nudc Tong doanh thu Khoan muc TT 45.771.000 48.180.000 48.180.000 48.180.000 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 40.953.000 45.771.000 48.180.000 48.180.000 48.180.000 7.500 7.500 7.500 9.000 9.000 307.148 343.283 361.350 433.620 433.620 Nam hoat dong Nam 2020 Nam 2021 Nam 2022 Nam 2023 Nam 2024 Cong sua't thiet ke' m3/ngd 324.000 ■32^1.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 Cong sua't m3/ngd 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 85% 90% 100% 100% 100% 81.906.000 86.724.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 81.906.000 86.724.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 9.000 10.800 10.800 10.800 12.960 737.154 936.619 1.040.688 1.040.688 1.248.826 Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke' San luong thuong phdm / TK Ty le tieu thu / SL thuong phdm San luong tieu thu nam Gia ban nudc Tong doanh thu TT Khoan muc ■ Nam hoat dong Nam 2025 Nam 2026 Nam 2027 Nam 2029 Nam 2028 Cong sua't thiet ke' m3/ngd 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 Cong sua't m3/ngd 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke' 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% San luong thuong phdm / TK 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 Ty.le tieu thu / SL thuong phdm •• 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% San luong tieu thu nam 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 Gia ban nudc 12.960 12.960 15.552 15.552 15.552 Tong doanh thu 1.248.826 1.248.826 1.498.591 1.498.591 1.498.591 Knoan muc 11 Nam 2031 Nam 2030 Nam 2032 Nam 2033 Nam 2034 Cong suat thiet ke m3/ngd 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 Cong suat m3/ngd 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 Ty le CS huy dong / CS thiet ke 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% San luong thuong pham / TK 96.360.000 96,360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 Ty le tieu thu / SL thuong pham San luong tieu thu nam Gia ban nudc Tong doanh thu Khoan muc TT 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 96.360.000 18.662 18.662 18.662 22.395 22.395 1.798.309 1.798.309 1.798.309 2.157.971 2.157.971 Nam hoat dong Nam 2035 Nam 2036 Nam 2037 Nam 2038 Nam 2039 Cong sua't thiet ke m3/ngd 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 324.000 Cong suat m3/ngd 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 300.000 Ty le CS huy dOng / CS thiet ke 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% San luong thuong pham / TK 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 Ty le tieu thu / SL thuong pham San luong tieu thu nam Gia ban nudc Tong doanh thu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 93.075.000 22.395 26.874 26.874 26.874 26.874 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.084.403 Ghi chu: Thdi gian tinh toan cua du an 25 nam Ket luan - TOng doanh thu - Doanh thu trung binh hang nam 35.676.826 trieu dong 1.427.073 trieu dong Bang: Bang tfnh NPV Don vi tinh: trieu dong Khoan muc TT Nam xay dung Nam hoat dong Nam 2015 Nam 2017 Nam 2016 Nam 2019 Nam 2018 I Dong thu 307.148 343.283 361.350 433.620 433.620 307.148 343.283 361.350 433.620 433.620 3.527.811 76.082 83.376 87.023 99.768 107.388 3.527.811 76.082 83.376 87.023 99.768 107.388 0 0 -3.527.811 231.066 259.906 274.327 333.852 326.232 1,000 0,872 0,761 0,664 0,579 0,506 201.602 197.849 182.198 193.459 164.937 -3.326.209 -3.128.360 -2.946.162 -2.752.703 -2.587.766 Tong doanh thu II Dong chi Tong cac khoan chi Thue thu nhap HI Dong tien hieu so thu chi He so chiet khau: l/(l +r)An IV Hien tai dong tien hieu so thu chi -3.527.811 V Hien tai dong tien hieu so thu chi cong don -3.527.811 Khoan muc TT I II Nam hoat dong Nam 2021 Nam 2020 Nam 2022 Nam 2023 Nam 2024 Dong thu 737.154 936.619 1.040.688 1.040.688 1.248.826 Tong doanh thu 737.154 936.619 1.040.688 1.040.688 1.248.826 Dong chi 1.248.543 192.556 216.989 218.194 263.138 Tong cac khoan chi 1.248.543 188.582 207.555 207.555 242.641 3.974 9.434 10.639 20.496 -511.389 744.063 823.699 822.494 985.688 0,441 0,385 0,336 0,293 0,256 -225.581 286.365 276.590 240.968 251.956 ‘-2.813.347 -2.526.982 -2.250.392 -2.009.424 -1.757.468 Thue' thu nhap III Dong tien hieu so thu chi He so chiet khau: l/(l+r)An IV Hien tai dong tien hieu so thu chi V Hien tai dong tien hieu so thu chi cong don Khoan muc TT Nam hoat dong Nam 2025 Nam 2026 Nam 2027 Nam 2028 Nam 2029 I Ddng thu 1.248.826 1.248.826 1.498.591 1.498.591 1.498.591 Tong doanh thu 1.248.826 1.248.826 1.498.591 1.498.591 1.498.591 II Ddng chi 254.336 255.541 293.045 331.328 343.218 TOng cac khoan chi 232.108 232.108 257.172 257.172 267.705 22.228 23.433 35.873 74.156 75.513 994.490 993.285 1.205.546 1.167.263 1.155.373 0,223 0,195 0,170 0,148 0,129 221.791 193.275 204.666 172.897 149.314 -1.535.677 -1.342.402 -1.137.736 -964.839 -815.525 Thue thu nhap III Ddng tien hieu so' thu chi He so chiet khau: l/(l+r)An IV Hien tai ddng tien hieu so thu chi V Hien tai ddng tien hieu sd thu chi cong don Nilin hoat dong TT Khoan muc I Ddng thu Nam 2030 Nam 2031 Nam 2032 Nam 2033 Nam 2034 1.798.309 1.798.309 1.798.309 2.157.971 2.157.971 1.798.309 1.798.309 1.798.309 2.157.971 2.157.971 II Ddng chi 565.054 571.079 577.104 703.063 714.436 Tdng cac khoan chi 282.178 282.178 282.178 322.203 329.334 Thue thu nhap 282.876 288.901 294.926 380.860 385.102 1.233.255 1.227.230 1.221.205 1.454.908 1.443.534 0,113 0,098 0,086 0,075 0,065 139.056 120.732 104.820 108.955 94.319 -676.469 -555.737 -450.918 -341.963 -247.644 Tdng doanh thu III Ddng tien hieu so thu chi Hd sd chiet khau: l/( l+r)An IV Hien tai ddng tien hieu sd thu chi V Hien tai ddng tien hieu sd thu chi cong don Nam hoat dong Khoan muc TT I Dong thu Tdng doanh thu II Dong chi Tdng cac khoan chi Thud thu nhap III Dong tien hieu sd thu chi H6 sd chiet khau: l/( l+r)An IV Hien tai dong tien hieu so thu chi V Hien tai dong tien hieu sd thu chi cong don Nam 2035 Nam 2036 Nam 2037 Nam 2038 Nam 2039 2.084.403 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.084.403 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 2.501.284 705.005 835.722 841.747 847.771 874.400 321.861 349.156 349.156 349.156 376.628 383.144 486.565 492.590 498.615 497.772 1.379.398 1.665.562 1.659.538 1.653.513 1.626.884 0,057 0,050 0,043 0,038 0,033 78.636 82.842 72.017 62.606 53.743 -169.008 -86.167 -14.150 48.456 102.198 Ket luan : NPV= 102.198 > 0, => Du an dang gia ve mat kinh te Thdi gian thu hoi vdn co tinh den he sd chiet kha'u Suat thu loi tdi thieu chap nhan duoc r =14,6 % 23,23 nam Bang 15: Xac dinh chi so IRR Dan vi: trieu dong NPVl(r2= 16%) NPV1( rl= 14%) STT Dong tien Gia tri hien Nam du hieu so thu He so triet tai dong an khau: chi tien hieu so l/(l+rl)An thu chi Luy ke Gia tri hien He so triet tai dong khau: tien hieu so l/(l+r2)An thu chi Luy ke -3.527.811 1,000 -3.527.811 -3.527.811 1,000 -3.527.811 -3.527.811 2015 231.066 0,877 202.689 -3.325.122 0,862 199.195 -3.328.616 2016 259.906 0,769 199.990 -3.125.132 0,743 193.153 -3.135.464 2017 274.327 0,675 185.163 -2.939.969 0,641 175.749 -2.959.714 2018 333.852 0,592 197.667 -2.742.302 0,552 184.384 -2.775.330 2019 326.232 0,519 169.434 -2.572.868 0,476 155.323 -2.620.007 2020 -511.389 0,456 -232.982 -2.805.850 0,410 -209.896 -2.829.903 2021 744.063 0,400 297.355 -2.508.494 0,354 263.272 -2.566.631 2022 823.699 0,351 288.755 -2.219.739 0,305 251.249 -2.315.382 10 2023 822.494 0,308 252.923 -1.966.816 0,263 216.277 -2.099.105 11 2024 985.688 0,270 265.883 -1.700.932 0,227 223.439 -1.875.666 12 2025 994.490 0,237 235.314 -1.465.619 0,195 194.340 -1.681.326 13 2026 993.285 0,208 206.165 -1.259.454 0,168 167.332 -1.513.994 14 2027 1.205.546 0,182 219.493 -1.039.961 0,145 175.077 -1.338.917 15 2028 1.167.263 0,160 186.424 -853.537 0,125 146.136 -1.192.781 16 2029 1.155.373 0,140 161.864 -691.673 0,108 124.696 -1.068.085 17 2030 1.233.255 0,123 151.557 -540.117 0,093 114.743 -953.342 18 2031 1.227.230 0,108 132.295 -407.822 0,080 98.433 -854.909 19 2032 1.221.205 0,095 115.479 -292.343 0,069 84.439 -770.470 20 2033 1.454.908 0,083 120.682 -171.661 0,060 86.723 -683.747 21 2034 1.443.534 0,073 105.034 -66.627 ■ 0,051 74.177 -609.571 22 2035 1.379.398 0,064 88.042 21.415 0,044 61.104 -548.466 22 2036 1.665.562 0,064 106.306 127.721 0,044 73.781 -474.686 24 2037 1.659.538 0,049 81.503 209.224 0,033 54.633 -420.053 25 2038 1.653.513 0,043 71.235 280.459 0,028 46.926 -373.126 26 2039 1.626.884 0,038 61.480 341.939 0,024 39.802 -333.324 NamXD Ghi chu - IRR = r 1+(r2-r 1)*NPV 1/(NPV1+(-NPV2) - IRR= 15,01% > 14,6%, => Du an dang gia ve mat kinh te