Đánh giá khả năng dự báo hạn mùa của một số mô hình khí hậu khu vực cho việt nam

ĐẠI HỌC QUỐC GIA HÀ NỘI TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC KHOA HỌC TỰ NHIÊN - T T ĐÁNH GIÁ KHẢ NĂNG DỰ BÁO HẠN MÙA CỦA MỘT SỐ MƠ HÌNH KHÍ HẬU KHU VỰC CHO VIỆT NAM LUẬN VĂN THẠC SĨ KHOA HỌC Hà Nội – 2015 ĐẠI HỌC QUỐC GIA HÀ NỘI TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC KHOA HỌC TỰ NHIÊN - T T ĐÁNH GIÁ KHẢ NĂNG DỰ BÁO HẠN MÙA CỦA MỘT SỐ MƠ HÌNH KHÍ HẬU KHU VỰC CHO VIỆT NAM Chuyên ngành: K t n k ậu Mã số: 61.44.87 LUẬN VĂN THẠC SĨ KHOA HỌC NGƯỜI HƯỚNG DẪN KHOA HỌC: TS V T n H n Hà Nội - 2015 LỜI C M N T i xin ày t l n i t n s u sắ tới GS TS P n V n T n TS V T n Hn n n n ời t y ã tận t m n i t t n ip vi n t n ớni n u t i n luận v n T i n xin i lời m n ộ m n K t n n i ri n n n ni un n t ã ip i t y tới i n n mon muốn n t n n ời t n ã lu n n ộ t m n t n t yvn ã i mon muốn n n n t ti tron K o K t n T y v n H i t o i u ki n t uận l i Trun t m T n tin D li u k tron t ời i n qu Cuối n t àn n ộn vi n i p i n oàn t àn luận n n i p tron tln i lời ip vi n m n kắ p n t àn k k n luận v n t k t qu tốt n t LTTn MC C NG i DANH M C DANH M C H NH NH ii DANH M C C C K HI U VI T TẮT iv MỞ Đ U CHƯ NG TỔNG QUAN 1 K i qu t un v o t ời ti t ok ậu 1.1.1 Khát quát chung 1.1.2 C p n p p 1.1.3 C m n ok Tổn qu n n i n u 1.2.1 Tr n t ok ậu ậu n i s n p ẩm o m 13 iới 13 1.2.2 Tron n 17 Đ n i s n p ẩm 1.3.1 M 1.3.2 C o 18 ý n ĩ n uy n lý un vi n i s n p ẩm o ài to n n i o 18 t l n s n p ẩm o 20 CHƯ NG PHƯ NG PH P MÔ H NH VÀ SỐ LI U 21 21P n p p 22M n i n ok o m .21 ậu k u v o Vi t N m 30 2.2.1 Mơ hình RegCM 4.2 30 2.2.2 Mơ hình clWRF (Climate Weather Research and Forecasting) 35 Số li u x lý số li u 38 CHƯ NG K T QU 41 N i t ộ trun n 41 3.1.1 T n qu n 41 3.1.2 S i số trun 3.1.3 C n 46 số n i t ốn k 49 3.1.4 P n ố t n su t o p 51 N i t ộ o n t Tx .52 3.2.1 T n qu n 52 3.2.2 S i số trun 3.2.3 C n 55 số n i t ốn k 57 3.2.4 P n ố t n su t o p 59 3 N i t ộ t p n t n ày 59 3.3.1 T n qu n 59 3.3.2 S i số trun 3.3.3 C n 64 số n i t ốn k 66 3.3.4 P n ố t n su t o p 67 L n m 68 K T LUẬN 73 TÀI LI U THAM KH O 75 PH L C 81 DANH M C BẢNG n 1 Đ n i k t qu n 21 o Finley (1884) 14 n t ốn k n ẫu n i n 24 n 22 Dn s tr m k t n 39 n C số t ốn k ối với n i t ộ trun n t n m n R CM WRF 50 n 32 n p n ố t n su t o p o T2m 51 n 33 n số n i t ốn k m n R CM WRF o n i t ộ o n t t n 58 n 34 n s i số t ốn k m n R CM WRF o n i t ộ t p n t t n 67 n P n ố t n su t R CM với n op o l n m n ày t n v n m n o t n 69 n P n ố x su t o t o p l n m n ày m n WRF với n o t n 70 n P n ố x su t 11 v n với n o t o p l n m n ày m n R CM t n o t n .70 n P n ố x su t o t o p l n m n ày m n R CM t n v n N1 với n o t n 71 n 39 n m số n i t ốn k m n R CM WRF o tổn l n t n 72 vi DANH M C HÌNH ẢNH H n M p n to n H n 2 Qui tr n t i m 21 o 35 H n Mi n t n Hn 24 P nvn k om n ok ậu k u v 37 ậu Vi t N m N u n: k ậu Vi t N m 40 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n R CM t n 12 t tr n xuốn ới với n o t n o k u v Vi t N m .42 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n R CM t n v n N1 với n o t n t n v n N3 với n o t n 43 H n 3 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n WRF o t n 12 o k u v Vi t N m n o3t n 44 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n WRF o t n 12 o k u v Vi t N m n o6 t n 45 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n WRF o t n v n t n v n N3 với n o3 t n 45 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ T2mt t m n WRF o t n v n N2 t n v n t n v n N3 với n o t n 46 H n Đ t s i số trun n t n T2m t m n R CM WRF với n o t n 47 H n S i số trun n t n T2m t m n R CM WRF với n o6 t n 48 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nit ộ o n t n ày Tx t m n R CM o t n o v n N1 N2 t n n với n o t n 53 H n Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nitộ o n t n ày Tx t m n WRF ot n o v n N2 t n v n N1 t n v n N3 với n o t n .53 H n 11 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nitộ o n t n ày Tx t m n WRF ot n o t n n với n o3t n 54 H n 12 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nitộ o n t n ày Tx t m n WRF ot n o v n t n v n N1 t n v n N3 với n t n o t n 54 H n 13 S i số trun n WRF với n n i t ộ o n t trun n t n m n R CM o t n .55 H n 14 S i số trun n n i t ộ o n t trun n t n m n R CM WRF 56 H n 15 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ n it ộ t p n t n ày Tn t m n R CM o t n o v n N2 t n v n với n o t n 60 H n 16 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nit ộ t p n t n ày Tn t m n R CM o t n 12 o v n t n v n N3 với n o t n 61 H n 17 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nit ộ t p n t n ày Tn t m n WRF o t n o v n N2 t n 11 v n t n 11 v n t n v n N3 với n o3t n 62 H n 18 Đ t t i m i u i n mối t n qu n i o qu n trắ nit ộ t p n t n ày Tn t m n WRF ot n1 ovn t n v n N2 t n v n N1 t n 12 v n N3 với n o t n 63 H n 19 S i số trun WRF với n Hn 32 n t n n i t ộ t p n t n ày m n R CM o t n 64 S i số trun n t n n i t ộ t p n t n ày m n R CM WRF với n o t n 65 DANH M C CÁC KÍ HIỆU VI T TẮT AFWA AGCM AOGCM B1 B2 B3 B4 BATS BoM CFS CGCM CHLB CN ECMWF ETA Fcs GCM HRM JMA KHTN KTTV MM5 N1 N2 N3 NAM/SAM NCAR NCEP Obs PDO PNA RCM RegCM REMO SLP SST C k t n k n qu n M n oàn l u un k quy n M n k ậu k t p oàn l u un k quy n i n V n k ậu T y ắ V n k ậu Đ n ắ V n k ậu Đ n n ắ ộ V n k ậu ắ Trun ộ S t n t sin quy n-k quy n C qu n K t n Austr li H t ốn o k ậu NCEP T NCEP Clim t For st System) M n k ậu toàn u p Coupl Glo l Clim t Mo l Cộn li n n Cnn Trun t m o k t n n v C u u M n o t ời ti t p i t y tĩn D o For st M n k ậu toàn u Glo l lim te models) M n k u v ộ p n i i o Hi -resolution Regional Model) Tổ k t n N ật n Kotnin Ktntyvn M n k t n ộn l qui m v (Mesoscale Meteorological Model) V n k ậu N m Trun ộ V n k ậu T y N uy n V n k ậu N m ộ N i u ộn ắ N m n u T Nort rn n Sout rn hemisphere Annular Modes) Trun t m Quố i n i n u k quy n Trung tâm o m tr ờn Quố i N tion l C nt r or Environmental Prediction) Qu n trắ O s rv (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) Pacific/North American Mnkuv M n k ậu k u v R ion l Clim t Mo l M n k u v T -Regional-Model) K p m t i n Sea Level Pressure) N i t ộ m t n i n (Sea Surface Temperature) 1, N N1 Tháng 279 Tháng 558 RegC M N1 O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 15.4 5.7 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 18.3 5.7 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.7 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 24.4 44.1 21.1 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3 16.1 10.8 2.2 0.0 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.8 15.9 15.8 2.5 0.0 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.8 9.7 1.6 0.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.9 43.2 38.4 6.8 0.0 100 WRF O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.4 3.2 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.5 6.1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0 0.0 1.8 6.8 15.1 7.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.6 10.8 11.1 4.7 3.6 1.1 0.0 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.9 3.6 1.4 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 5.4 16.5 34.8 21.5 10.4 7.9 3.6 0.0 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 2.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 9.3 17.4 2.5 0.0 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 10.9 19.5 5.0 0.0 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 9.5 3.6 0.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 28.0 50.0 11.5 0.0 100 1, N2 N2 Tháng 217 Tháng 434 RegC M N2 O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.1 1.4 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.8 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.5 4.6 3.2 3.2 1.4 0.0 0.0 18.9 0.0 0.0 1.4 6.5 8.3 10.1 7.4 3.2 0.0 0.0 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 5.5 3.7 4.6 0.0 0.0 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 1.4 2.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 5.1 24.9 19.4 21.2 18.9 10.6 0.0 0.0 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 4.8 6.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.0 0.0 3.9 9.2 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.5 0.0 0.0 8.1 11.1 5.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.7 0.0 0.0 4.6 10.1 7.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.6 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.8 4.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 20.3 44.5 33.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 WR F O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.0 1.4 2.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.8 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.7 6.9 4.6 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.9 9.3 10.6 6.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 7.4 4.6 1.4 0.0 0.0 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.9 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 1.9 10.6 17.6 21.8 27.3 14.4 6.5 0.0 0.0 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.0 0.0 6.5 5.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.0 0.0 2.1 11.1 3.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.5 0.0 0.0 1.8 12.7 6.2 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.7 0.0 0.0 1.6 8.8 3.9 8.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.0 0.2 6.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 18.4 41.2 14.3 24.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 1, N3 N3 Tháng 124 Tháng 247 RegCM N3 O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 6.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 29.8 24.2 8.1 0.0 69.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 5.6 5.6 0.8 0.0 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 44.4 34.7 8.9 0.0 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 21.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1 35.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.3 64.5 3.2 0.0 0.0 100 WR F O F 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 13-15 15-17 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.0 6.5 0.8 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9 50.0 2.4 69.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 10.5 0.8 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 23.4 70.2 4.8 100 O F 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 17-19 19-21 21-23 23-25 25-27 27-29 29-31 31-33 33-35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 33.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 47.2 1.6 0.0 0.0 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 94.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 100 1, B1 Tháng 186 Tháng 372 B1 O F 5- 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng 5- 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng Re g CM 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 4.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 10.9 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng O F 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2 25.0 32.0 21.8 9.4 1.6 0.0 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 3.3 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.3 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.0 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.8 7.0 4.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 21.5 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.7 3.3 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 8.9 8.9 6.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.8 4.3 2.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 5.9 7.0 4.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 20.7 0.0 0.0 2.2 2.7 2.7 4.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.4 1.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 4.9 18.5 28.3 28.8 15.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 100 B1 O F 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng WRF 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 1921- 23 23- 25 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.6 0.5 2.2 1.6 1.1 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.6 4.9 2.2 1.6 3.8 2.2 2.7 3.3 1.1 1.6 3.3 2.7 2.7 6.0 3.8 3.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.2 2.2 3.8 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 7.6 7.6 6.5 10.3 13.0 13.6 14.7 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng 0.5 1.6 2.7 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.0 2.2 3.8 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 2.2 14.7 28.8 33.7 15.8 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 17- 19 1921 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3335 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 5.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.0 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 11.6 53.8 32.3 1.9 0.0 0.0 100 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931- 33 31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.6 5.6 1.6 0.0 1.1 5.9 11.8 16.1 11.8 0.0 1.3 2.7 7.3 9.7 7.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 10.2 21.5 31.5 20.7 1, B2 Tháng 310 Tháng 620 O F 5- 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 Tổng O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng B2 5- Re g CM 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 2.9 1.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 10.4 8.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 23.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 8.4 6.5 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 20.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.9 2.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 2.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.7 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.5 1.6 0.3 1.9 0.8 0.0 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 2.4 1.3 0.3 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.4 3.1 1.0 0.0 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.6 7.3 2.9 0.2 19.4 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.3 2.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 38.5 30.4 17.2 3.2 2.3 0.0 100 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 8.5 9.2 3.4 0.6 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.3 11.3 31.0 36.3 13.2 1.9 100 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 7.9 9.5 3.7 0.8 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.4 0.0 0.0 6.1 O F 35 0.0 0.0 Tổng 0.2 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.0 3.6 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 8.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.9 8.4 7.4 1.3 1.3 0.0 23.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.9 7.4 4.5 2.9 0.0 20.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 2.9 5.2 1.6 1.6 0.0 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.3 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 2.3 1.6 0.6 1.3 0.0 9.4 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.8 1.3 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.5 5.2 15- 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 9.5 3.2 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.2 17- 19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.7 8.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.1 1.5 7.6 23- 25 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 0.0 0.3 1.6 7.4 14.6 27.5 28.8 11.7 8.1 0.0 100 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 5.5 8.5 3.7 19.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.4 7.1 9.2 3.7 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.9 8.4 4.8 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.9 1.9 0.2 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.9 6.5 10.5 25.8 36.0 16.9 100 21- 23 0.0 0.0 2.2 3.9 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.2 23- 25 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.2 1.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.5 25- 27 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 27- 29 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Tổng 0.0 0.0 4.5 25.2 35.3 16.8 17.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 100 1, B3 B3 Tháng 465 O F 5- 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 Tổng Tháng 930 O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 5- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Re g CM B3 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.7 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.4 4.3 5.8 5.2 1.7 0.4 4.5 4.5 7.3 6.2 4.5 0.0 1.7 3.4 8.2 4.1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 12.5 14.6 23.2 18.1 10.3 21- 23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.4 3.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 9.2 23- 25 25- 27 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.2 1.7 0.0 2.4 0.9 1.9 0.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.5 1.3 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.3 1.0 0.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.7 13.3 6.7 0.2 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.8 18.0 9.9 1.1 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 10.2 9.7 1.0 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 6.0 1.6 0.2 11.3 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.5 25.2 31.6 26.5 7.3 2.8 0.0 100 O F 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng Tổng O F 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 17.1 51.3 28.8 2.5 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.3 9.5 1.9 0.0 2.4 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 12.5 14.6 WRF 19- 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931- 33 31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 13.4 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.6 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.5 23.1 34.8 33- 35 >35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 13.9 6.3 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.3 5.1 1.5 11.3 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 15.5 55.7 27.6 100 1, B4 B4 Tháng 403 Tháng 806 O F 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 Tổng O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng Re g CM B4 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 3.2 18.5 36.9 25.4 11.2 4.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 5.5 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 6.7 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 8.2 5.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 4.0 2.5 1.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.5 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 5.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.5 4.2 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.2 4.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.2 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.6 7.7 5.6 2.7 0.0 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 10.4 7.6 5.6 0.0 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.5 12.9 6.0 2.0 0.0 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 9.2 18.7 35.6 24.8 11.0 0.0 100 O F 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng WRF 9- 11 11- 13 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.8 1.0 5.8 9.5 15.5 26.1 28.6 12.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.3 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 4.0 4.8 7.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.8 1.3 2.0 6.5 6.8 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 5.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.9 4.5 2.9 1.4 0.0 12.4 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 2.8 4.3 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.8 9.6 6.7 2.9 0.0 23.6 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 3.3 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1 15.3 9.6 1.6 0.0 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.2 14.5 8.9 0.4 0.0 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 15.6 44.8 29.3 6.7 0.0 100 1, N1 N1 Tháng 279 Tháng 558 O F 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng Re g CM N1 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 15.4 5.7 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 18.3 5.7 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.7 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3 16.1 10.8 2.2 0.0 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.8 15.9 15.8 2.5 0.0 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 24.4 44.1 21.1 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.8 9.7 1.6 0.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.9 43.2 38.4 6.8 0.0 100 O F 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng WRF 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.3 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.4 11.5 13.3 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.9 6.1 14.0 7.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.2 5.4 0.4 0.0 10.0 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 2.9 2.7 0.0 0.0 9.0 1315 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1517 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1719 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1921 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2123 0.0 0.0 3.2 4.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 2325 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 1719 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1921 0.0 0.2 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2123 0.0 0.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 2325272925 27 29 31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 2.3 0.9 0.9 4.6 11.1 16.1 9.7 0.9 3.5 3.5 4.8 0.2 0.7 4.1 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 17.5 24.7 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 15.2 13.6 0.0 0.0 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 14.9 18.8 1.6 0.0 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.4 4.7 14.0 24.4 31.2 13.6 11.5 0.4 0.0 100 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.6 10.8 1.1 0.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 39.8 46.1 2.7 0.0 100 1, N2 N2 Tháng 217 O F 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng Tháng 434 O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng Re g CM N2 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 5.1 2.8 5.5 6.5 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.8 4.6 8.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.2 10.1 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 3.2 7.4 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 3.2 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.8 8.8 7.4 18.9 36.9 18.4 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 8.1 4.6 0.0 0.5 1.8 4.8 9.2 11.1 10.1 0.0 1.8 1.8 6.0 4.4 5.3 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.1 12.4 17.5 24.7 22.6 31- 33 Tổng O F 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 1.4 2.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 5.1 24.9 19.4 21.2 18.9 10.6 0.0 0.0 100 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng O F 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.8 4.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.0 0.0 20.3 44.5 33.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 WRF 25272927 29 31 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 1.8 0.0 4.1 3.7 2.3 5.1 8.8 2.3 4.6 12.9 6.5 1.8 8.3 6.0 1.4 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.9 36.9 18.4 31- 33 3335 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 8.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 3.7 31- 33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.8 1.4 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 1.4 9.2 18.9 19.4 28.1 18.9 4.1 0.0 0.0 100 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.2 16.1 44.2 13.4 24.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 (bên 1, N3 Tháng 124 Tháng 247 O F Re g CM N3 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 6.5 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.9 69.4 O F 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 21.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1 35.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 O F 31- 33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 5.6 5.6 0.8 0.0 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 44.4 34.7 8.9 0.0 100 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 Tổng >35 Tổng O F 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.3 64.5 3.2 0.0 0.0 100 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 29- 31 31- 33 33- 35 >35 Tổng WRF 13- 15 15- 17 17- 19 1921 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21- 23 23- 25 2527 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17- 19 19- 21 21- 23 23- 25 25- 27 27- 29 2931 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 35.9 2729 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 4.0 0.0 12.9 2931 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 19.4 46.8 1.6 69.4 31- 33 3335 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.0 44.8 5.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.4 5.6 31- 33 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 10.5 0.0 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 34.7 62.1 1.6 100 >35 Tổng 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9 92.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 100 1, B1 Tháng 186 Tháng 372 B1 O F < =5 5-

Tiêu đề	Đánh Giá Khả Năng Dự Báo Hạn Mùa Của Một Số Mô Hình Khí Hậu Khu Vực Cho Việt Nam
Người hướng dẫn	TS V T n H n
Trường học	Đại Học Quốc Gia Hà Nội
Chuyên ngành	Khoa Học
Thể loại	luận văn thạc sĩ
Năm xuất bản	2015
Thành phố	Hà Nội

Định dạng
Số trang	141
Dung lượng	5,83 MB