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Thuc tieh - Kinh nghiSm ^INhan djnh xu the mua mua, bao, lu nam 2015 va dU bao, canh bao thien tai O HOANG DLTC C I / O N G Trung tdm Dff bdo Khi tffdng thOy vin Trung ffdng theo eDa mua khd (tQ thang 59/2015), lopng ddng ehly Iren cdc sdng d Trung Bd, Tdy Nguyen tidp Bao vi dp thip nhiet ddi: tye thieu hut so vdi TBNN tU 30 Trong dilu kien EI Nino (do bdo 60%, cd ndi hut hdn, rieng cac d eudng dp yeu dd'n Irung binh tinh d Nam Trung Bp thieu hiJt tU nhung ed I h l keo dai den cudi 60 - 95% d luu nhieu sdng se ndm 2015), du bao ndm 2015 se xual hien myc node thdp nhat d khoang edn bdo, ATND hoat chuoi sd lidu quan trae eung ddng trdn Biln Ddng (TBNN thdi ky, hoac thap nhdl lich sQ, khoang 12 edn) vd khoing 3-4 bdo, ATNO s§ Inh hudng tnie Tinh trang khd han, thieu node, tiep den ddt lien nudc la {TBNN la ThOy vdn Bic Bd: Lu lilu xdm nhdp mdn sau vdo vDng cQa 5-6 con) man xuat hien dDng thdi ky va Idn sdng ttep tue xay tren didn rdng Nhidt dd, ning ndng: TQ hon ndm 2014 Khu vyc Bae Bp d edc tinh Trung Bd vd keo ddi tdi thdng din thdng 10/2015: Nin ed kha ndng xay - dpt 10 ldn thdng giQa 9/2015 Han hdn tai nhiet dp trdn pham vi todn qud'c Oinh lu ndm se xud't hien theo quy mdt sd huydn thudc d c ilnh Nam phi bidn eao hdn TBNN IQ ludt chung (khoing eudi thdng Trung Bd d t h i d mQc khde lidt d khoing 0,5-1,0*^0, ridng edc ddn ddu thdng 8/2015) va tuong khu vye Tdy Nguyen da d moa thdng 7, vd 9/2015 nhiet dp d duong dinh lu ndm 2014: trdn d c chuyln mua, nhung lopng khdng khu vuc Nam Trung Bd, Tdy sdng chfnh d thupng luu he Ihdng ddng k l , vi vay linh trang khd han Nguyen va Nam Bd dao dgng d sdng Hdng, sdng Hoang Long va vln xay cue bd va keo ddi dd'n mQc xdp xi TBNN Nang ndng d thupng luu sdng Thai Binh d mQc thdng 5/2015 Ble Bd va Trung Bd se xuit hidn BD2-B03, luu sdng Hdng tai Mua lu ndm 2015 trdn d c nhieu hon nhung ft ed kha ndng Hd Ndi dudi mQc BDI, luu sdng d khu vyc Trung Bd va Tdy sdng Thdi Binh tai Pha Lai tren keo ddi nhu nam 2014 Nguyen cd kha ndng xual hidn mQc BDI Trdn mpt sd sdng sudi mupn hon so vdi TBNN Dinh IQ Lffdng mt/a, mua Idn: Mua nhd thudc mien nDi phfa Bae ed ndm 2015 tren hau hit eac sdng mUa d Ble Bp ed kha ndng xiy Ihl xud't hien dinh lu vopl mQc phD hpp qUy ludt hdng nam, lupng deu eao hon dinh lu ndm 2014 va 603 Lu quel, sat Id ddt cd kha mua ede thdng nQa ddu mDa moa ed kha ndng nhO sau: Cde sdng d ndng xudt hien nhilu hOn so vdi (tQ thang 5-7/2015) d mOc xd'p xi Bic Trung Bd d mQc BDI - BD2 ndm 2014 Cac vDng ed nguy co TBNN, cdd Ihang cudi mua (IQ eao ve Iu quel va sat Id dd't Id ede vd xap xl TBNN, cde sdng tU thdng 8-10/2015) d mQc thdp hon linh Lai Chdu, Dien Bien, Son La, Quing Binh de'n Binh Thuan vd TBNN Cdc dpi mua Idn d Bae Bd Ldo Cai, Ydn Bai, Hd Giang, khu vye Tay Nguyen d mQc BD2 se tdp Irung IQ thdng den thing - BD3, cd ndi cao hdn B03 va d Tuyen Quang, Ble Can 8/2015 Do Inh hudng cDa hidn mQc TBNN Thdi gian xuat hien tupng El Nino, mDa mua d Tdy ThOy vdn Trung B6, Tay dinh lu cao nhat ndm Irdn cac Nguydn, Nam Bd vd Binh Thudn Nguydn: Trong nhung Ihdng ttep gdng chfnh d Thanh Hda, Binh Nhan djnh xu the thdi tiet thuy vdn r1dm2015 34 ed kha ndng den mudn hOn so vdi TBNN (IQc trung tuan thdng 5) LQpng mua d khu vye Nam Bp, Tdy Nguyen va Binh Thudn d e thdng 5, va 10/2015 phd bid'n thd'p hon TBNN Cae thdng 7, vd 9/2015 ed lUpng mife dao dpng d mQc xd'p xi TBNN MDa mife d Tay Nguyen, Nam Bp va Binh Thudn ed ndng se kel thUe sdm hon so vdi binh thQdng TdMQuydn vd Mdi trudng KH-Thing 6/2015 Thudn vdo Ihdng va 9/2015, tren cdc sdng IQ Nghd An den Quang Binh vd Tdy Nguyen vdo thdng va 10/2015 tt^n cae sdng IQ Quang Tri den Ninh Thudn vao thang 10 va 11/2015 Lu ldn, lu quel, sal Id dal tren mpi sd sdng sudi nhd vung nut cac tinh Trung Bd vd Tdy Nguyen cd nang xual hien nhieu hon so vdi ndm 2014 vQa dal tQ 73% Ird len; thuy vdn han ngin dat IQ 80% trd len; thuy vdn han vQa dat IQ 75% trd len; khf lopng han ddi (thdng) dat tQ 65% Ird ldn; thuy vdn han ddi (thdng) dat IQ65% trd ldn Nganh KTTV Iheo ddi ehdi che tinh hinh thdi ttel, Ihuy vdn Iren pham vi ca node; eanh bao, dy bao kip thdi edc hidn lopng thdi tidt, thuy vdn nguy hilm nhu bao, ATNO, mua ThOy vin Nam Bd: Mye node Idn, lu Idn, 10 quet phuc vu hieu lou sdng Ci!fu Long va sdng qui PCTT; dy bao KTTV blln Ddng Nai tiep lue chju anh hudng Tiep luc thyc hien cu Ihl hda ban manh eDa thDy tridu Mue nude tin dy bdo thdl till nguy hilm ddn eao nhat thdng tai Tan Chdu va IQng dja phupng lai d c Ddi KTTV Chdu Ode d mQc cao hon TBNN khu vyc, Ddi KTTV tinh TQng cDng ky tQ 0,1 - 0,2 m Tinh hinh bude d i tiln ndi dung vd hinh xam nhdp mdn tidp lue lan sdu d thife cde ban ttn dy bdo KTTV, vDng cife sdng, npi dong d c sdng nhat Id cdc ban tin dy bdo bao, Nam Bd vd dp mdn 4g/l cd t h i ATND, lu nham dap ifng nhu d u xam nhap sdu khoang 40 - 60 km, ngdy d n g cao cDa nhdn ddn, d thdi ky sdu tdi 70 km va keo dai d n g ddng; tdng eudng du bao den thdng 5/2015 Dinh lu eao dilm cho edc khu vye Irpng dilm nhdl ndm 2015 tren sdng Tien tai d nguy cd xuat hien Ihien tai Tan Chdu va sdng Hdu tai Chdu KTTV Thodng xuydn id chQc hdi Dde d ndng d mQc BD2, thao tryc tuyen, mdi eac chuydn thd'p hon TBNN va c6 kha ndng gia tham gia Ihao Iuan ed tinh xual hidn vdo dau thang 10/2015 hudng thdi till nguy hilm Hodn thdnh phQOng dn bdo phye vu Khi tuang thdy van biin: Thdi ifng phd vdi sieu bao, bao manh till tren biln, vDng ven bd ed kha tren ede khu vyc Ble Bd, Tmng ndng dien bien phQc tap hon so Bd vd Nam Bp Tdng cudng kilm vdi ndm 2014 Bdo bp vdo tra, gidm sat edng tdc thyc hien vDng ven bd van d nguy cd gay d c Quy trinh, Quy djnh, Quy che ngdp lut vd xdi Id bd biln Ngodi cDa Chi'nh phD, cDa Bd TN&MT, ra, d c dpi gid mDa manh kel hpp Tmng ldm KTTV qude gia ban vdi trieu cudng, sdng ldn se liep hdnh v l edng lac dy bdo, bao tuc Id nguy eo gdy ngdp lut tai d e gdm d cae quy djnh ve d p dd rDi khu vtic trijng ven bd vd cQa ro thien tai, ve dy bdo, d n h bao sdng, ddc biet Id vdo thdi ky eudi vd truyin ttn Ihien lai, ve quy trinh ndm 2015 vdn hdnh lien hd chQa Hodn Nhiem vu tam thdnh cdng lae tu, bao dudng, dy bdo, c i n h bao thien tai sQa chQa cdng trinh dae va try sd Iam vide, cdc cdng trinh phu ndm 2015 Chi tidu chat lopng dy bdo edn cDa cac tram KTTV, eae Ddi KTTV eu Ihl ndm 2015 dupc dat KTTV Ilnh, chuin bj dD cac Ihiel nhu sau: Khi lUpng han ngan bj, vdi lu thiet yeu de dam bao an dat IQ 81% trd ldn; khf tupng han lodn mDa mua, bao, Iu Cac tram KTTV hoan thdnh viec xay dyng vd hodn thien phuong an quan trae xiy tinh hudng d bdo, ATND, mOa Idn, Iu Idn Tdng cudng edng lde thdng tin ve cae ban tin dy bao KTTV, ddc bidl ed bdo, ATND, mOa, ID den cac cap lanh dao d l phue vu cdng lae chi dao phdng chdng bdo, IQ, ddn cac CO quan thdng tin bdo ehf 6i thdng bdo eho nhan dan biet chD dpng phdng, tranh T l chQe cde dodn cdng tde Idm nhidm vu kilm tra, ddn ddc, hd trp ky thuat cho edc Odi KTTV khu vyc, eae Dai KTTV linh d bao, ATND Iu nguy hilm, phQc lap Td chife edc bd phdn dy bdo ttln phQOng tai khu voc trpng dilm cd bao, IG Bao dam sy hoat dpng dn i^nh cDa he thdng mdy chD, edc he Ihdng thdng tin chuydn ngdnh KTTV dim bao Iidn lae thdng sudt mpi tinh hudng Thu thap, xQ ly, lou IrQ sd iieu KTTV day 6Ci, chfnh xde phuc vu dy bdo KTTV Duy Iri hoai ddng dn dinh, hieu qua cDa hd thdng mang Website cDa trung uong vd dja phUdng d l bio dim truyen tin dy bdo KTTV, dac biet la ede bin ttn dy bdo, canh bdo cdc hien lupng Ihdi tilt, thDy vdn, hai vdn nguy hilm din ngUdi sQ dung dDng quy djnh Oly manh cdng lde luygn tmyln Ihdng qua eac co quan bao ehf, cdc hdi nghj, hdi thao ve cdc hien tupng KTTV, nhat Id v l cde hien lupng KTTV nguy hilm, vd edeh sQ dung cae ban tin dy bdo KTTV dDng vd hidu qua Phan ddu moi cdn bd, vien ChQc Trung ldm KTTV qudc gia, nhd't Id eac quan trie vidn, ede bdo vidn deu phli trd thdnh edc tuyen Iruyen vidn gidi v l KTTV.B Tdi nguydn vd Mdi trudng | Kyi-Thing 6/2015 35 ... du bao den thdng 5 /2015 Dinh lu eao dilm cho edc khu vye Irpng dilm nhdl ndm 2015 tren sdng Tien tai d nguy cd xuat hien Ihien tai Tan Chdu va sdng Hdu tai Chdu KTTV Thodng xuydn id chQc hdi Dde...Thudn vdo Ihdng va 9 /2015, tren cdc sdng IQ Nghd An den Quang Binh vd Tdy Nguyen vdo thdng va 10 /2015 tt^n cae sdng IQ Quang Tri den Ninh Thudn vao thang 10 va 11 /2015 Lu ldn, lu quel, sal... lut tai d e gdm d cae quy djnh ve d p dd rDi khu vtic trijng ven bd vd cQa ro thien tai, ve dy bdo, d n h bao sdng, ddc biet Id vdo thdi ky eudi vd truyin ttn Ihien lai, ve quy trinh ndm 2015