THONG TIN TRAO DO! HDIao.o - Clii SO PHAT TRIEI\ COIM IVGUOH VIET I\AM* DANG QUOC BAG Hoc vien QLGD 1.HDR 2010 cua UNDP Thang 11/2010 UNDP - Chudng trinh phat trien eua Lien Hiep qudc da cdng bd HDR Bao cao phat trien ngudi td chire an hanh cho nam 2010 (HDR 2010) neu ket qua HDI - Human Devlopment Index (Chi sd phat trien ngudi) cua 169 nudc (nam 2009 cho 178 nude) a Cach tfnh HDI Bao eao lan cd mpt sd hieu ehinh Vf du dd'i vdi nhan td Giao due: Hai ehi tieu: (%) sd ngudi biet ehu va (%) sd thieu nien - 24 tudi di hpe da khdng cdn dupe ap dung ma thay vao dd cae chi tieu MYS - Mean Years of Schooling (Sd nam hpe trung binh dd'i vdi dan eu tU 25 tudi (+)) va EYS - Expected Years of Schooling (Sd nam hpc ky vpng dat dupe) b, Cac gia trj bien (eye dai, eye tieu ddi vdi ba nhan td: tuoi thg, giao due, thu nhap) da dupe an dinh lai can eu vao tinh hinh phat trien cua the gidi nhung nam gan day Nhan to Gia trj cufc dai (Max) Gia tri ci/c tieu (Min) Tudi thp (nam) 83,2 (Nhat Ban nam 2010) 20 MYS (nam) 13,2 (My nam 2000) EYS (nam) 20,6 (Australia nam 2002) G (tdng hpp) 0,951 (New Zeland 2010) Giao due Thu nhap binh quan sure mua USD 108.211 (UAE 1980) 163 (Zimbabue 2008) (GNIbq,s$) c Cdng thu'c tinh chi sd p han va HDI dudc dinh mire nhi;sau: * Tinh chi sd tuoi tho Tudi tho thue te - Tudi tho r (min) J- TTTT-20 1= Tudi thp (^3,) - Tudi thp ^^,„^ 83,2-20 (T-rrr: Thyc te) Tinh chJ so giao due MYS„- MYSTT - MYS,_,-0 13,2-0 Bai dang tren Tap chi Qudn ly gido due so 20 - Thang 1/2011 23 THONG TIN TRAO DOI EYS^ - b= GEYS EYS^ - = EYS,_)-0 20,6- Va:b-0 ^Td„gh?p)- Q^g5^_Q * Tmh chl so kinh te l/_ lnGNI,b,3^„j)-lnGNI(bqsmmin$) m GNIjbqsmmaxS) ' m GNIj^qsm min$) lnGNI(bqsmtt$)-ln163 In 108.211-In 163 ^~ * Tinh HDI HDI = VT.G.K Minh hoa cho mot sd nu'dc cu the -' a Trudng hpp eua Viet Nam - Du lieu: Tudi thp: 74,9 nam •^•- •' ^ MYS: 5,5 nam EYS: ' 0,4 nam GNI(bqsm $)• 2.995 $ Ket qua: j,^JJS^JJl,om 83,2-20 63,2 'VN JW 5,5-0 5,5 13,2-20 13,2 20,6-0 20,6 V0,416.0,504-0 •^(Tong hop) ' 0,951-0 ^VN 24 = 0,416 = 0,4805 In2.995 -In 163 In 108.211-In 163 0,447 THONG TIN TRAO DO! HDI = V0,868.0,4805.0,447 = V0,1863 = 0,57 HDIvN2oio~ 0,57 b Trudng hpp eua Trung Qudc - Du lieu: , ; • ' • • • 73,5 nam Tudi thp: : • • ; - • • : : ' • ' • ; • • : • ' ' • - " • • MYS: • 7,5 nam EYS: 11,4 nam GNI(bqsm$)' 7263$ -Ket qua: 73,5-20^53,5^ ° 83,2-20 63,2 GTQ: • ;• ' 7,5-0 13,2-20 7,5 _ 13,2 0,568 114-0 114 b=^^^^^ =^ = 0,55 20,6 - 20,6 •^(Tdnghdp) _ V0,568.0553-0 = 0,589 0,951-0 >v,;' • KTQ In 7263 -In 163 In 108211-In 163 0,584 HDI = V0,847.0,589.0,584 = 0,663 HDITQ2OIO = 0,663 HDIvN tu'cfng quan so sanh HDI the gidi, vung Dong A - Chau Dai du'dng va mot so nUdc khu vi/c qua HDR2010 cua UNDP a So sanh HDIVN vdi the gidi, vung Ddng A - Chau Dai dUdng ^_^_^ Nhan td Nude - khu vyc~ ^~~~^ ^ HDI Giao due Tudi tho MYS,„,,„, EYb(n3„,) GNI,bqs„$) Viet Nam 0,572 74,9 5,5 10,4 2995 Trung binh Ddng A - Chau Dai duong 0,643 72,6 7,2 11,5 6493 Trung binh the gidi 0,624 69,3 7,4 12,3 10631 25 THONG TIN TRAO DOI Nhan xet HDIVN edn thua HDI the gidi, vung Ddng A - Chau Dai dudng Cac sd lieu theo thirty (0,572-0,624-0,643) Tudi thp cua ngudi Viet Nam kha quan hdn Cac sd lieu thirty: 74,9 - 69,3 - 72,6 b So sanh HDI mpt sd nudc cija khu vyc Chung tdi chpn vao bang nudc bao gdm: Han Qude, Singapo, Trung Qude, Thai Lan, Malaixia, Philipin, Inddnexia, An Qg, Pakistan la nhung nudc d Chau A quen thupc vdi Viet Nam de so sanh trang thai cua Viet Nam vdi cac nudc Dudi day la ket qua qua sd lieu: sn Nudc Giao due HDI Xep hang HDI (tren 168 nudc) Tudi tho (nam) MSY (nam) EYS (nam) GNI (PPP$) Han Qud'c 0,877 12 79,8 11,6 16,8 29.518 Singapo 0,846 27 80,7 8,8 14,4 48.893 Malaixia 0,744 57 74,4 9,5 12,5 13.927 Trung Qudc 0,663 89 73,5 7,5 11,4 7.258 Thai Lan 0,654 92 69,3 6,6 13,5 8.001 Philipin 0,638 97 72,3 8,7 11,5 4.002 Inddnexia 0,600 108 71,5 5,7 17,7 3.579 Viet Nam 0,572 113 74,9 5,5 10,4 2.995 An Dp 0,519 119 64,4 4,4 11,2 3.337 10 Pakistan 0,490 125 67,2 4,9 6,8 2.678 Nhan xet Neu xem xet tuong quan eua Viet Nam vdi cac nudc bang thi Viet Nam xep thur (thua cae nude: Han Qudc, Malaixia, Singapo, Trung Qudc, Thai Lan, Philipin, Inddnexia) HDI eua Viet Nam chi hdn dupe nudc bang la An Op va Pakistan Chi sd tudi thp cija Viet Nam ed sy kha quan hon ehi thua Han Qudc va Singapo Hoi cd HDI Do dung each tinh mdi nen gia trj HDI ed sy thay ddi so vdi ket qua cdng bd trudc day UNDP da thyc hien hdi cd gia trj HDI theo phep tinh mdi cho cae nudc tU nam 1980 den nam 2010 Xin neu ket qua hdi cd ddi vdi Viet Nam so vdi cac nudc d bang: 26 T H O N G TIN T R A O D O I ^^^ Nam Nu'dc ^^^^^.^ Malaixia Trung Qudc Thai Lan Philipin Inddnexia Viet Nam 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010 0,541 0,368 0,483 0,523 0,390 0,616 0,460 0,546 0,552 0,458 0,407 0,659 0,518 0,581 0,597 0,500 0,505 0,691 0,567 0,600 0,597 0,500 0,505 0,726 0,616 0,631 0,619 0,561 0,540 0,739 0,655 0,648 0,635 0,593 0,566 0,744 0,663 0,654 0,638 0,600 0,572 HDI VN 1990 = 0,407 HDI VN 2009 = 0,566 HDI V N • 0,572 Nhu vay, qua 20 nam (tU nam 1990 - 2010) gia trj HDI VN tang dupe 0,165 Qua nam gia trj HDI VN tang dupe 0,0006 (6 diem phan ngan) Qua bang ta tha'y vdi thdi gian nam 2009 2010, Inddnexia tang dupe diem phan ngan, Philipin tang dupe diem phan ngan, Thai Lan tang dupe diem phan ngan, Trung Qude tang dupe diem phan ngan, Malaixia tang dupe diem phan ngan •• • • : - , Mure tang cua nudc ta khdng thap song gia trj tuyet ddi ve HDI cija Viet Nam cdn binh thudng Mire HDI VN2OIO Trung Qude da dat vao khoang nam 2002, Inddnexia dat nam 2006 (ta cham hon Inddnexia nam), Malaixia dat nam 1985 (ta cham hdn Malaixia 25 nam), Thai Lan dat nam 1993 (ta cham hdn Thai Lan 17 nam) Mpt chien lupc giao due lam gia tang HDI cua dat nude de rut ngan khoang each phat trien vdi cac nudc khu vyc va tren the gidi la dieu can thiet bdi canh hien VUI MOT Tl! AJO -HJAJfl CD"? De hieu hgc trd, cd gido bdo hoc sinh vevdo mdt td gid'y ude mo mai sau cua minh Cd trd vemdy bay, td y mud'n lam phi cdng, cd trd ve ong nghe, to y iniid'n lam bdc sT Tha'y Mai detd gid'y trdng, cd gido hoi: - Chdng lelffn len etn khdng mud'n Idm gi cd sao? IWai bdn kliodn: - Da tliUa cd! Ldn len em seld'y chdng nliUng chang bie't nd hinh gl ca! Hong Ngoc 27 ... cija Viet Nam cdn binh thudng Mire HDI VN2OIO Trung Qude da dat vao khoang nam 2002, Inddnexia dat nam 2006 (ta cham hon Inddnexia nam) , Malaixia dat nam 1985 (ta cham hdn Malaixia 25 nam) , Thai... thupc vdi Viet Nam de so sanh trang thai cua Viet Nam vdi cac nudc Dudi day la ket qua qua sd lieu: sn Nudc Giao due HDI Xep hang HDI (tren 168 nudc) Tudi tho (nam) MSY (nam) EYS (nam) GNI (PPP$)... theo phep tinh mdi cho cae nudc tU nam 1980 den nam 2010 Xin neu ket qua hdi cd ddi vdi Viet Nam so vdi cac nudc d bang: 26 T H O N G TIN T R A O D O I ^^^ Nam Nu'dc ^^^^^.^ Malaixia Trung Qudc