KINH TE CAC YEU TO TAC DONG DEN THU NHAP HO NGHEO TAI HUYEN TRANG BOM, TINH DONG NAI • NGO LE MANH HIEU TOM TAT: Nghidn ctfu ve ngheo va cac giai phap lam de thodt ngheo bin vffng la mdt nhffng muc tieu quan trong qua trinh qudn ly xa hpi va an sinh xd hdi ciia mdi qud'e gia Bdi bao tdp trung phdn tieh cdc nhan td dnh hffdng de'n thu nhap eua hd ngheo tai 17 xa, thi trd'n cua huyen Trang Bom, tinh Dong Nai Kd't qua cho thd'y ed yd'u td' tae ddng dd'n thu nhdp hd ngheo, bao gdm: trinh dd hpe vd'n eiia ehii hd; didn tich dd't ciia bd gia dinh; quy md so'thanh vidn hd gia dinh; da so' cdc vien cd nghe nghiep dn dinh hay khdng; so' vdn vay cac to chffc; gia dinh ed phai la ngtfdi ddn tdc ft ngtfdi; sd' ngtfdi phu thude hd Tuf khda: Yd'u to, thu nhdp, hd ngheo, Trdng Bom, Ding Nai Dgt van de Cac nghien ctfu v l ngheo ddi va cdc giai phap dl thodt ngheo la chti de ludn dtfdc d l edp vdi vai trd la mot van d l then chdt vide ddm bdo an sinh xa hdi cua mdi qud'c gia, dac biet la tim hieu ve cae giai phap Idm de ndng cao thu nhdp cua cdc hd ngheo ndi rieng va cua toan dan ndi chung, trien khai ed hieu qua eac chinh sach, dtf an giam ngheo nhtf: tin dung, y te, ho trd giao due, nhd d, trd giup phap ly, khuyd'n ndng - Idm - ngff, day nghe, nhan rdng md hinh giara ngheo tieu bieu, truyen thdng, gidm sat- ddnh gia va ndng cao nang Itfe can bd giam nghdo, bai vie't tdp trung vao nghien cffu phan tieh eae nhan td' anh hffdng dd'n thu nhap cua hd ngheo tai Huydn Trang Bom, tinh Ddng Nai ttf lam cd sd d l cd mot vai giai phap dl eai thidn thu nhap cua hp ngheo trdn dia ban tae gia nghien ctfu Doi tifdng va phffcfng phap ngliien ciJu: Tinh trang ngheo cd the dtfde hieu theo nhilu each khde nhau, ed the' la ngheo v l thu nhap ngheo ve hpc van hay ngheo da chieu Tuy nhidn, ehinh sdch gidm nghdo eiia Vidt Nam hidn dd'i vdi ngtfdi ngheo trffdc mat la tap trung vao vide giai quye't ngheo ve thu nhdp Tinh trang ngheo ddi ciia ngffdi ddn Viet Nam hien eung dang dffde xac dmh dtfa trdn eae chud'n thu nhdp hd nghdo Nghidn ctfu ndy cung sff dung thu nhap eua cac hd ngheo de' lam cd sd Itfdng tinh trang ngheo eua ede hd gia dinh Dd'i vdi dia ban tinh Dong Nai, nghidn ctfu cua Vd Thi Nam Long (2009), Mai Thi Thu Hffdng (2010) da danh gia thu'c trang ngheo vd xde dinh dtfde mdt sd' yd'u td' tdc ddng de'n tinh trang ngheo cua ngtfdi dan tinh Ding Nai Tuy nhien, bd'i canh bien nay, da xua't hidn thdm nbilu ye'u td' tac ddng trtfc tid'p hoac gian tie'p dd'n thu nhdp ciia ngtfdi ngheo trdn dia bdn tinh Cac cdng trinh nghien cffu tai cac dia phtfdng khac ciia Dao Cdng Thien (2010), La Hong Huy (2009), Vd Ngpe Anh (2008), Ngd Thi Le Thuy (2006), Nguydn Ngpe De va cdng stf (2003), Ld Dai Tri So 12-Thang 9/2018 105 TAP CHi CONG THIf(fN6 va ctv (2003), Bui Quang Minh (2007), Nguydn Quang Trtfdng (2007), Ddo Cdng Thidn (2010), Nguydn Minh Ha (2013) dd ehi nhilu ye'u to tac dpng dd'n tinh trang ngheo eiia ngffdi dan thd' hien qua thu nhap Cac ye'u td'dd la: trinh dp hoc vd'n, yd'u td' san xua't, qui md hd gia dinh, nghd nghidp, vdn san xua't, dan toe, tudi cua chu hd, sd' ngffdi phu thupc, gidi tinh eua chu hd Vdi nhffng cd sd trdn, nghidn cffu xac dinh md hinh Iffdng cdc yd'u td' tac dpng de'n thu nhap eiia hp ngheo tai huyen Trang Bom, tinh Dong Nai nhtf sau: Thunhap = a^ + aj(hocvan) + ttjCdatdai) + a3(quymoho) + a4(nghenghiep) + a5(tiepcanvon) + a6(dantoc) + a7(tuoi) + agCphuthuoc) + a9(gioitinh) Trong md binh trdn, y nghia ciia cac bid'n va gia thuyd't nghidn cffu dtfdc gidi thich nhtf sau: (1) Bie'n hocvan (+): Hpe va'n chu hd cdng cao thu nhdp cua hp ngheo cang cao; (2) Bie'n datdai (+): Didn tich dd't cang nhieu thi thu nhdp hd ngheo cang cao; (3) Bie'n quymoho {+): Sd' nhdn kh^u hd giang dinh cdng nhilu thi thu nhap cang cao; (4) Bid'n nghenghiep (+); Cd nghe nghidp dn dmh thi thu nhdp cdng cao; (5) Bid'n tiepcanvon (+): Hd cd vay vd'n thi tao thu nhap cao hdn; (6) Bie'n dantoc (+): Dan toe kinh thi thu nhdp se ed xu hffdng eao hdn dan tdc thie'u so'; (7) Bie'n tuoi (-): Tudi cua chii hp cdng cao thi thu nhdp hd ngheo edng thap; (8) Bie'n phuthuoc (-): So' ngffdi phu thupc cang nhilu thi thu nhdp hd cang thd'p; (9) Bid'n gioitinh (-): Chu hd la nff ed thu nhap tha'p hdn cdc chu hd la nam Vdi md hinh da xac dinh nhff trdn, nghien cffu dffde thffe hidn tren 255 mlu la cac hd ngheo tren dia bdn huyen Trang Bom, tinh Ding Nai Vdi kd't qua dff lieu thu thap dffde ttf dieu tra qua bang hdi, nghien cffu sff dung cdng cu Eview 8.0 de' chay md hinh hoi quy da bie'n va thtfc hidn cdc kid'm dinh lidn quan de xde dinh sff phu hdp va mffe dp tac ddng ciia cae yd'u to'Idn thu nhdp eiia hp ngheo Kd't qua va didn giai phan tich ke't qua 3.1 Kit qud mo hinh hoi quy Dffa tren kd't qua nghien cffu ly thuyet vd md 106 So 12-Thang 9/201 hinh nghien cffu dd xde dinh, cdc yd'u td' tac ddng de'n thu nhap ciia eac hd ngheo la: trinh dp hpc va'n cua chii hd, didn tich da't, quy md hd gia dinh, ed nghe nghiep d'n dinh hay khdng; so' vd'n vay cac td' ehffc; gia dinh cd phai la ngffdi dan tdc it ngffdi; tudi cua chu hd, sd'ngffdi phu thude hd vd tudi ciia chu hd Vdi md binh da xac dinh, xff ly dff Heu tff 255 mdu khao sat, md hinh hii quy sau lan chay thii nhd't cho ke't qua nhff sau: vdi mffc y nghia 5%, ede bie'n tuoi (tuoi ciia chii hd) vdi P-value = 5236 vd bid'n gioitinh (gidi tinh cua chu hd) vdi P-value = 0.6435 khdng ed y nghia gidi thich md hinh NghTa la cha'p nhan gid thuye't he sd'hiiquy cua hai bid'n bangO Cdc bid'n cdn lai deu cd y nghTa giai thich md hinh vdi mffc y nghTa 5% Thtfc hidn kie'm dinh bo bie'n (Kie'm dinh Wald) vdi ke't qua he sd' F = 0.37 vdi P-value = 0.6852 Dieu cd nghTa la vdi mffc y nghTa 5%, cha'p nhdn gia thuye't he sd' hdi quy cua bid'n tuoi va gioitinh ddng thdi bang 0, tffc la bid'n that stf khdng cd y nghTa giai thich mo hinh vd ed the dtfdc loai bd khdi md hinh Thtfc hien chay hdi quy lan (bd bie'n tuoi va gioitinh), ke't qua kie'm dinh T-test eho thd'y 07 bien cdn lai deu cd y nghia giai thich mo hinh vdi mffe y nghTa 5% Bang Sau da thtfc hidn cdc bffdc kiem dinh Ttest, Wald - test de loai cae bid'n khdng ed y nghia gidi thich khdi md hinh, vdi kd't qua hdi quy lln 2, sd tid'n hdnh thffc hidn cae kiem dinh lai de' xac dinh ke't qua md hinh phu hdp cu^l cung 3.2 Cdc kiim dinh mo hinh (1) Kiem dinh mdc phu hap cua md hinh Vdi kd't qua hoi quy lan tai Bang 1, tid'n hdnh kiem dinh mffc dp phu hdp eiia md binh vdi kid'm dinh F-test Thtfc hien kid'm dinh F-test cho thd'y hd sd P-value = 0.0000, dieu cd nghia la md hinh nghidn cffu vdi cdc bid'n phu giai thich la trinh dp hpc vd'n cua chii hd, didn tieh da't, quy rad hp gia dinh, cd nghe nghidp d'n djnh hay khdng, so' vd'n vay cac td chffc, gia dinh cd phdi la ngffdi dan tdc it ngtfdi va sd' ngtfdi phu thude hd tae ddng de'n bid'n phu thupc thu nhap cua hp ngheo tai huyen Trang Bom la hodn toan phu hdp KINH TE Bang Ket qua chgy mo hinh hoi quy lan Variable Coefficient Std Error t-Statistic Prob HOCVAN 20.76541 2.848713 7.289401 0.0000 DATDAI 0.025095 0.009623 2.607937 0097 QUYMOHO 11 20472 4.916450 2.279026 0.0235 NGHENGHIEP1 52.66267 14.40630 3.655531 0.0003 TIEPCANVON 710405 625900 330410 0.0000 DANT0C1 54.95346 12.56926 372050 0.0000 PHUTHUOC -14,91825 600861 -2 260047 0.0247 C 591.1325 21.98944 26 88256 R-squared 0.572617 Adjusted R-squared S.E of regression 0.0000 Mean dependent var 819.8235 0.560605 S.D dependent var 130.6040 86 58316 Akaike Info criterion 11.79096 Sum squared resid 1351671 Schwarz criterion 11.90206 Log likelihood -1495.347 Hannan-Quinn criter 11 83565 F-statlstIc 47.27654 Durbln-Watson stat 0.716404 Prob(F-statlstlc) 0.000000 Vdi ke't qua kiem dinh F-test ndu trdn, hd sd' = 0.572617 vd R2 hidu chinh = 0.560505 la hoan toan ed y nghia Dieu cd nghia la 07 bid'n ddc lap cdn lai md hinh da giai thich dtfdc 57,26% stf thay ddi thu nhap ciia cac hd ngheo trdn dia bdn nghidn cffu (2) Kiem dinh hiin tuang da edng tuyen Kiem dinh hidn ttfdng da cdng tuye^n giffa cdc bid'n doc lap d l xem xet cac bie'n ndy cd tdc ddng qua lai vdi hay khdng Kie'm dinh hien tffdng da cdng tuye'n thdng qua thffa sd' tang phffdng sai VIF (Variance inflation factor) cho ke't qua ta't ca cac hd so VIF cua cac bid'n deu cd gia tri be hdn 10 Dilu cd nghTa la cae bie'n ddc Idp khdng cd sff ttfdng quan tuye'n tinh vdi vd dd khdng cd hien ttfdng da cdng tuye'n md hinh (3) Kiem dinh hien tuang thie'u bie'n mo hinh Nhdn thay, he sd'R2 cho thd'y eac bie'n ddc Idp ehi giai thich dffde 57,26% sff thay ddi gia tri e^a bid'n phu thude Do dd, cdn cd kha nang md hinh edn thid'u bid'n Kie'm dinh Ramsey de xem xet stf thid'u bid'n eiia md hinh eho kd't qua ye'u td bie'n gid dinh FITTED^2 cd y nghia gidi thich vdi mffc y nghia 5% ed gia tri P-value = 0.0075 Dilu cd nghia la md hinh da thie'u bie'n Thid'u bid'n Id nhffng khid'm khuyd't phai chd'p nhan nghien cffu va chi cd the' bd sung tid'n hdnh nghidn ctfu lai ly thuyd't, thtfc td" de bd sung bie'n vao md hinh Tuy nhidn, mdi mtfc gidi thich 57,26% cua cac bie'n cd y nghia md hinh Idn bid'n phu thude Id hodn todn cha'p nhan dtfdc (4) Kiem dinh phuang sai khdng thay ddi Theo gia thuyd't cua md hinh OLS thi phtfdng sai sai sd' phai khdng doi Do dd, d n tie'n hanh kid'm dinh phtfdng sai cua md hinh cd thay ddi hay khdng Kd't qud kiem dinh White de' xac dinh stf thay ddi eua phtfdng sai sai sd' Vdi ke't qua kie'm dinh F hd sd' R2 cua phffdng sai sai sd' cd gia tri P-value = 0.2624 > 0.05, dieu cho tha'y d mtfc y nghia 5%, chd'p nhdn gia thuye't phffdng sai ciia cac bie'n dong lap ddng thdi bang khong, nghia la md hinh ed phffdng sai sai sd khdng thay ddi Sau thffc hien hdi quy va ede kiem dinh thu dffde kd't qua hdi quy sau kilm dinh nhtf sau: So 12-Thang 9/2018 107 TAP CHJ CONG THif(fNG 3.3 Phdn tich vd thdo ludn ke't qua nghiin cdu Vdi ke't qua xac dinh cac yd'u td' vd ke't qua Itfdng hda stf tac ddng cua cdc yd'u td len thunhap cua ngtfdi ngheo tai huyen Trang Bom tinh Dong Nai (dd'u vd dd Idn cua he sd'hii quy eua eae bie'n md hinh sau kid'm dinh), ed the' rdt mdt sd' nhan dinh sau: Thd nhdt, ye'u td' dan tpc tac ddng ra't Idn de'n thu nhap cua cdc hd gia dinh ngheo trdn dia ban Dd'i ttfdng chie'm sd Itfdng rd't Idn so vdi ty Id sd'hd ddn tdc thieu so'trdn dia ban Huydn Td'ng sd hp ddn toe thieu so' tai Trdng Bom chie'm khoang 12,6% tdng dan so' Huyen Nhtfng so' hp ngheo Id ddn tdc thie'u sd' ting sd' hd ngheo chie'm dd'n 40% Thd hai, nghe nghiep cung cd tac ddng Idn khdng kem ye'u to dan tpc dd'n thu nhdp cua cdc hd ngheo So vdi eae hd khdng ed nghd nghidp d'n dinh thi kha nang tao tbu nhdp de' thoat ngheo eua eae hd cd nghe nghiep cu thd', dn dinh eao hdn rd't nhilu Ke't qua thd'ng kd ciing cho tha'y tren dia ban hidn van edn hdn 20% hd ngheo khdng ed nghi nghidp dn dmh Thd ba, hpc va'n eiia ehu hd eung cd tdc ddng khdng nho de'n thu nhdp eua cdc hd ngheo Trinh dp hpe va'n eua chu hd cdng cao nen kha nang tid'p can thdng tin, td chffc san xua't se td't hdn dl nang eao thu nhap cho gia dinh Thd tu, so ngtfdi phu thupc gia dinh ludn la ganh ndng ve thu nhap cho eae thdnh vien khac Sd hd cd cang nhieu ngtfdi phu thude thi edng cd nguy cd ngheo cao bdn Day la mdt nhffng nguyen nhdn dnh hffdng dd'n thu nhap binh qudn ciia bd va tff dd quyd't dinh de'n tinh trang ngheo ciia cae hd Thd ndm, quy md hd cd tac ddng trffc tid'p de'n thu nhdp cua hd gia dinh Sd vidn hp tang Idn sd tao thu nhap nhilu hdn cd kha nang lao dpng nhieu hdn Dieu ndy ham y rang dia phtfdng ndn tap trung vdo nhffng chinh sdch de tao vide lam eho cdc bd gia dinh d l tao thu nhdp nhilu hdn (chff khdng phdi khuyd'n khich sinh san dd' tao nhieu thdnh vidn hdn trdng hd gia dinh) Thd sdu, cae hp gia dinh se tao nhilu thu nhap hdn ndu dtfde tie'p can cac nguon vd'n vay 108 So 12^ Thang 9/2018 de dau tff cho sdn xua't Ngdn bang chinh sach cung da rd sodt, sd'700 hd thoat ngheo ndm 2015, ed khoang trdn 500 hp dang ed dtf nd vay vd'n theo chffdng trinh cho vay hd ngheo vii chffdng trinh cho vay hd can ngheo Dieu cho tha'y ngudn vd'n vay tfu dai ciing cd vai trd nhat dinh vide cdi thidn thu nhdp vd thodt ngheo cho cac hd Tuy nhidn, he so' hdi quy ciia bid'n tffdng dd'i thd'p, thu nhap trung binh cua ni§i vidn gia dinh chi tang len 2,71 nghin ddng ngudn vdn vay tang len mdt tridu ddng Dilu ndy cho tha'y mac dii cac ngudn von eho vay tfu daied giiip cai thien dtfdc ngudn thu nhdp cho eae hp ngheo nhffng that sff chffa cd tae ddng manh me Thd bay yd'u to dd't dai eung cd tac ddng dd^n thu nhap eiia cdc hd ngheo Tuy nhidn mffc dp tac ddng khdng qua Idn Dilu la hlu nhtf cac hd ngheo khdng ed da't eanh tae vd thu nhdp tao eua cac hd hien khdng xud't phdt nhilu til da't eanh tdc Gdi y chinh sach Vdi nhffng kd't qua nghidn cffu riit nhtf tren, thdi gian tdi, tinh Ding Nai can thtfc hidn cae giai phdp theo cdc dinh htfdng sau d l gia tdng thu nhap, edi thidn tinh trang ngheo ddi trdn dia ban: Mot Id, day manh thtfc hidn cac nhdm gidi phdp ve dao tao ngbl eho cae hd ngheo va can ngheo, gidm dd'i ttfdng phu thude, gia tang thu nhdp Cdc hd ngheo hau nhtf tap trung vao nhffng ho khdng cd da't san xud't va dd la mdt nhiJng nguydn nha't Idn ddn de'n tinh trang ngheo ciia ngtfdi dan Tuy nhidn, Nha ntfdc khdng the eung ed'p da't dai cho cdc hd nghdo de' gia tang san xud't Do dd, giai phdp dao tao nghe, ye'u to'dtfdc phdt hien tdc dpng khdng nhd dd'n thu nhdp cda cac hd ngheo tren dia ban tinh Dong Nai, la mdt nhffng giai phap can ed vd can dffde tfu tien thtfc hien Theo do, cac vd'n dl thtfc hien trtfdc mat la: (i) Ra soat lai cac ngbl dao tao cho lao ddng ndng thdn, dd, tdp trung vao cae hd ngheo; va tang ctfdng cdng tae ttf va'n cho ngtfdi lao ddng ngheo ndng thdn, phdn ludng doi ttfdng, tudi ddi, trinh dp hpc va'n vide ltfa chpn nghe hpe va cd dieu kidn 1dm nghe sau hoe; (ii) Dtf bdo nhu cau, htfdng ddo tao nghi theo KINfl TE ydu cdu cua xa hdi, dac biet la tai eae khu cdng nghdp, doanh nghiep tren dia ban; (iv) Chud'n hda va ddi mdi chffdng trinh va ehd't Iffdng ddo tao d cdc cd sd dao tao nghi trdn dia ban Huydn ndi ridng va tinh Dong Nai ndi chung; (v) Dd'i vdi ddo tao nghe ndng nghidp, eIn gan ddo tao ngbl vdi thtfc nghiem ddng rupng theo phtfdng phap cam tay ehi vide Dao tao nghe gan vdi hd trd ndng dan lidn kd't sdn xua't, che' bie'n va tieu thu ndng san Hai la, thtfc hien cac nhdm gidi phdp nham bdi dffdng kid'n thffc, cung ca'p thdng tm eho ede dd'i ttfdng ehii hd, lao ddng chinh cae hd ngheo va can ngheo Ke't qua nghien cffu eiing da ehi rang dia phffdng can da'y manh thffc hien eae nhdm giai phap nham bdi dtfdng kie^n thffc, hffdng dan ve ky thudt trdng trot, ehan nudi, chd'bid'n, kidn thffc ve thi trffdng eho eae dd'i ttfdng chu hd, lao dpng chinh cac hd ngheo va can ngheo vdi mdt so lifu y sau: (i) Xac dinh rd nhu clu ddo tao eua hd ngheo dd' thie't kd' eae ehuydn de bdi dffdng kie'n thffc phu hdp vdi thffc te' va thdi die'm sdn xud't cua ngtfdi dan; (ii) Ndi dung tdp hud'n, gin thtfc tidn de ngtfdi dan dd nam bat, nhd't la cae hd ngheo vdi trinh dp hoe va'n von khdng cao; (iv) To chffc cac md hinh lien ke't sdn xud't dd' cdc hd ngheo hoc hdi kid'n thffe, ky thudt san xuat, ehdn nudi ttf cdc hd da thoat ngheo cdng Ba Id, dd'y manh cae hoat ddng cho vay vd'n tfu dai va thtfc hien cac chtfdng trinh hd trd nham phat huy td't nha't hieu qud ngudn vd'n vay Ke't qua nghien ctfu dd ehi lanh dao Huydn cin tie'p tuc day manh eae hoat dpng eho vay vd'n tfu dai vd dae bidt la eIn thffc hien eac chffdng trinh hd trd nham phat huy tdt nha't hieu qua ngudn vd'n vay, tao thu nhap nhieu hdn cho cdc hd ngheo, qua trinh thffc hien can Iffu y mdt sd' diim sau: (i) Thtfdng xuydn thdng ke, sodt hd nghdo, hd cdn nghdo chtfa dffpc vay vd'n tai ngdn hdng Chinh sdch xd hdi dd' tao dieu kien cho cdc dd'i tffdng kip thdi vay vd'n Tap trung ngudn vd'n phuc vu san xud't, tfu tidn hd trd hd dan tpc thieu so, gan tin dung chinh sach vdi muc tieu qud'c gia ve xay dtfng ndng thdn mdi (ii) Thtfdng xuydn kid'm tra, giam sat tinh hinh sff dung vd'n nham dinh hffdng sff dung vd'n dung muc dich, cd hidu qua, thie't thffc de ngudn vd'n de'n tan tay ngffdi ddn vd sff dung cd hidu qua Bdn Id, cin dly manh eac giai phdp, chinh sdch tap trung vdo cdc hd ngheo va can ngheo thude dd'i tffdng ddn tdc thilu so Kd't qua nghidn cffu eung chi rang thu nhap eiia hd ngheo thude phan ddn tdc thilu so' trdn dia ban tha'p hdn rd't nhieu so vdi dan tpc Kinh Do dd, cdng tac xda ddi gidm ngheo tai tinh can cd nhffng chinh sdch tfu tidn eu the' hdn cho cae dd'i ttfdng hd nghdo la dong bao dan tdc thid'u so' Dd la: (i) Ban hanh chinh sdch gidm ngheo dac thii eho dd'i ttfdng ddn tde thilu sd', eae chinh sdch ndy phai ed sff khac biet, cd sff hd trd manh me hdn (ii) Thtfc hien cac chinh sdch tfu tidn eho lao ddng nghdo ddn tde thilu sd' va em ciia hp cae va'n de: hd trd ddo tao nghe, chinh sach khuye'n hoc, khuyd'n ndng danh cho ba dan tdc thilu so' (iii) Tang cffdng tuyen truyen vd dinh htfdng cho cac hd ngheo Id ngtfdi ddn tde thid'u so' sff dung ddng vd'n vay dung muc dich de thodt ngheo Tranh tinh trang khdng cai thidn san xud't, khdng cd kha nang san xua't, trd nd vd thodt ngheo Kd't lu^n O ca'p qud'c gia, giam ngheo la tieu chi minh chffng cho mot qud'c gia phdt trid'n u ca'p dp dia phffdng, ty Id hd ngbeo ciing Id mdt nhffng thffdc quan trpng cho stf phat triln kinh te' - xd hdi ciia dia phffdng Huyen Trang Bom, tinh Dong Nai thdi gian qua da cd nhffng chinh sach giam ngheo cang cd bidu qud Vdi nhffng ye'u td tdc ddng de'n thu nhdp eiia hp ngheo da phdt hidn ndu trdn, thdi gian tdi, cac chffdng trinh thtfc hien eac giai phap tang thu nhdp eho ngtfdi ngheo tai Trang Bom, Dong Nai cin dtfdc phd'i hdp chat che giffa ede ca'p chinh quyln tff xa den huydn, tinh vd stf hd trd kip thdi tff Trung tfdng Ddc bidt, ede chtfdng trinh giam ngheo phdi dtfdc xdy dtfng dtfa tren nhu eau phat trie'n ciia eae hd nghdo vd phu hdp vdi tinh hinh phat triln thtfc td' tai dia phtfdng Cd nhtf the' mdi cd the thu hiit dtfdc sff tham gia ciia ede hd, gdp phan gia tang thu nhap va giam ngheo bin vffng • So 12-Thang 9/2018 109 TAP CHi CONG THIflfNG TAI LIEU THAM KHAO: Cue Thd'ng ke Ddng Nai, Nien gidm ihdng ke 2011 2012 2013 2014 Nguyin Ngpe De vd cong sU (2003), "NgUdi Khmer d ddng bang sdng Cdu Long: Nhdng dieu kien de thod ngheo" Tap chi Khoa hoc Dai hpc Cdn Tha so 04: 163 - 171 Le Van DUng Nguyin Quang Trudng (2011), Nghien cdu cdc nhdn Id'dnh hudng de'n ddi ngheo cda ede ndng ho d huyen Qudng Ninh link Qudng Binh, Tap ehi Khoa hpc Dai hpe Hui tap 68, sd5 Nguyen MinhHd vd cdng sU (2013), Cdc yeu td tdc ddng d^n tinh trang tdi ngheo caa hp gia dinh (trudnghop HuySn Chau Thdnh, Tinh Ddng Thap), Tap chi Khoa hpc xa hdi sd'5 (177) Nguyin Trpng Hodi vd cpng sU (2007) Gido trinh Kinh le'phdt triin, TrUdng Dai hoc Kinh li'TP.HCM, NXB Lao Ddng Mai Thi Thu Huang (2007), "ThUc trang ngheo d Tmh Dong Nai: Nhdng y^u td tde dpng vd gidi phdp giam ngheo" ludn vdn thac sy kinh le Dai hpc Kinh te TP.HCM BUi Quang Minh (2007), Nhiing yen tdldc dong de'n ngheo d Binh Phudc vd mdt sd'giai phdp, Ludn vdn thac sy kmh ti', Trudng Dai hpc Kinh le TP HCM Nguyin Thi Hodng Phuang (2009), "ThUe trang ngheo dxd Phu Xudn huyen Phu Tdn tinh An Giang" Li Dal Tri vd CTV (2003), "Ddnh gid ngheo cd sU tham gia cHa cpng ddng lai dong bdng sdng Cdu Long", Hd Ndi NXB Lao Ddng 10 Nguyin Quang Trudng (2007), Nghien cdu vdn di ngheo ddi d huyin Qudng Ninh, tinh Quang Binh, Luan va thac St khoa hpc kinh te Hue Ngay nh§n bai: 19/8/2018 Ngay phan bidn danh gia va sffa chffa: 29/8/2018 Ngay cha'p nhan dang bai: 9/9/2018 Thong tin tdc gid: ThS NGO LE MANH HIEU Trtfcfng Dgi hpc Kinh te' - Luat, Dai hpc Qud'c gia - Ho Clu Minh FACTORS AFFECTING THE INCOME OF HOUSEHOLDS LIVING IN TRANG BOM DISTRICT, DONG NAI PROVINCE • Master NGO LE MANH HIEU School of Business and Low, Vietnam Notional University - Ho Chi Minh City ABSTRACT: Research on poverty and solutions to solve this issue is an important task in social governance and stabilizing social security of every nation This study is to analyze factors affecting the income of poor households living in 17 communens and towns of Trang Bong district, Dong Nai province The results show tiiat there are seven factors affecting the income of these poor households They include 1) educational background of household owners; 2) land coverage of the household; 3) household size; 4) occupations of households members; 5) the amount of loans from organizations; 6) the household is ethnic minority group and 7) the number of households dependants Keyword: Factor, income, household-poverty, Trang Bom district, Dong Nai province n o So 12-Thang 9/2018 ... de'n thu nhap eiia hp ngheo tai huyen Trang Bom, tinh Dong Nai nhtf sau: Thunhap = a^ + aj(hocvan) + ttjCdatdai) + a3(quymoho) + a4(nghenghiep) + a5(tiepcanvon) + a6(dantoc) + a7(tuoi) + agCphuthuoc)... toe kinh thi thu nhdp se ed xu hffdng eao hdn dan tdc thie'u so'; (7) Bie'n tuoi (-): Tudi cua chii hp cdng cao thi thu nhdp hd ngheo edng thap; (8) Bie'n phuthuoc (-): So' ngffdi phu thupc cang... giang dinh cdng nhilu thi thu nhap cang cao; (4) Bid'n nghenghiep (+); Cd nghe nghidp dn dmh thi thu nhdp cdng cao; (5) Bid'n tiepcanvon (+): Hd cd vay vd'n thi tao thu nhap cao hdn; (6) Bie'n