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: : 2.1 .4 2.1.1 2.1.2 10 2.1.3 11 2.1.4 12 2.1.5 13 2.1.6 15 2.1.7 16 2.1.8 .18 2.2 2.2.1 20 .20 2.2.2 20 2.2.3 20 2.2.4 21 2.2.5 21 2.2.6 .29 : 3.1 30 30 3.1.1 38 3.1.2 41 3.1.3 43 3.1.4 .44 3.2 .45 3.3 .50 3.4 .53 : 59 4.1 59 4.2 60 4.2.1 .60 4.2.2 61 4.3 63 4.4 63 64 .66 .69 .72 .75 D 30 31 33 2012 38 45 47 48 49 .50 52 52 2012 37 2012 43 : 55 2012 56 , , p of the Trilemma hypothesis: Implications for Asia) 4.3 4.4 63 2011 01 Abhijit Sen Gupta and Ganesh Manjhi April, 2011 Capital Flows and the Impossible Trinity:The Indian Experience Guillermo A Calvo, Alejandro Izquierdo, Rudy Loo-Kung July 2012 Optimal holdings of international reserves: Self-insurance against sudden stop Working paper 18219, National Bureau of Economic research Helen Popper, Alex Mandilaras, and Graham Bird March, 2011 Trilemma Stability and International Macroeconomic Archetypes in Developing Economies Hiro Ito and Masahiro Kawai, September 2012, New Measures of the Trilemma Hypothesis: Implications for Asia ADBI Working Paper No 381 Joshua Aizenman, and Rajeswari Sengupta -University of California Santa Cruz, Institute for Financial Management and Research 2011 The Financial trilemma in China and a comparative analysis with India Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito January 2012 Trilemma Policy Convergence Patterns and Output Volatility Working Papers, UC Santa Cruz Economics Department, No 695 64 Joshua Aizenman, M D Chinn, and H Ito 2010 The Financial Crisis, Rethinking of the Global Financial Architecture, and the Trilemma ADBI Working Paper 213 Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D Chinn and Hiro Ito.2010 Trilemma Configurations in Asia in an Era of Financial Globalization Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D Chinn, and Hiro Ito November 2009 Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma 10 Stephen Grenville November 2011 The impossible trinity and capital flows in East Asia ADBI Working Paper 319 g web: http://www.adb.org/data/statistics http://cafef.vn/vi-mo-dau-tu.chn http://data.worldbank.org/country/vietnam http://elibrary-data.imf.org/FindDataReports.aspx?d=33061&e=169393 http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/default.htm http://www.gso.gov.vn/default.aspx?tabid=621 http://www.sbv.gov.vn/portal/faces/vi/vim/vipages_trangchu/qlnh/tygia/tgbq ?_afrLoop=1958487893722500&_afrWindowMode=0&_afrWindowId=nehf ghuyt_1#%40%3F_afrWindowId%3Dnehfghuyt_1%26_afrLoop%3D19584 87893722500%26_afrWindowMode%3D0%26_adf.ctrlstate%3Dnehfghuyt_473 http://www.thesaigontimes.vn/Home/taichinh/ http://www.tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/indicators 10 http://vneconomy.vn/p0c6/tai-chinh.htm 11 http://web.pdx.edu/~ito/trilemma_indexes.htm 65 B 66 67 68 B 1) 69 70 71 B 72 73 74 B 75 76 77 ... gi a ba bi n ch 1= ch v n h s a n n kinh t i t ng s ng, bi n ng l ng ch s c a b ba b t kh thi nh t ERS), m c c l p ti n t (MI), KAOPEN) r ngo i h i (tr ): bi d tr ngo i h gi a b ba b t kh thi. .. Impossibility Mundell - a) , b) , N c) - - , , - d) ba h , TRILEMMA 2.1: Tam 2.1 ba 2.1.1 ACI - (Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma 2009... u 2007 ng cao 15- 2.1.2 ACI (The Financial Crisis, Rethinking of the Global Financial Architecture, and the Trilemma 2010) n b ba b t kh thi t n 2.1.1 10 n g nh i tr u: - ACI - 2.1.3 B (Trilemma