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Trang 2TĂNG DÂN SỐ VÀ TÀI NGUYÊN THIÊN
NHIÊN
The global food demand scenario:
• By 2050, the global population will be between 10 and 12 billion
as against nearly 6 billion of current population
• These next 50 years will be critically important for sustainable agriculture production If food and fiber production are increased
by 2.5 to 3.0 times at acceptable costs, then achieving sustainability will be a reality there onwards
Trang 3• Does population growth enhance or inhibit the
opportunities of a country’s natural resource
management?
• Does the answer depend on the stage of development?
• In the recent period of population decline, what are the
possible effects of this decline on natural resources
management?
Trang 4Population Growth
• Population growth and age structure makes a difference in economic growth (output
level depends on output per worker and the number of labor) and hence in the
condition of natural resources
• Population growth and its composition also affects the level of savings and investment in natural resources
• The negative effect of population growth is the application of law of diminishing marginal
productivity
- Technology have positive effect
- Economies of scale have positive effect
• Relatively high rate of population growth increases the degree of inequality and elite
capture of resources can take place.
• Income inequality results from the effect of population growth on the labor supply
Trang 5Effects of economic growth on population growth
Stage 1
The period immediately prior to industrialization when the birth
rates are stable and slightly higher than death rates ensuring
population growth
Stage 2
The period immediately following the initiation of industrialization, when death rates fall dramatically with no accompanying change in birth rates The decline in mortality results in a marked increase in life expectancy and a rise in the population growth rate
Stage 3
The period of demographic transition when there will be large
decline in the birth rate which exceed the continued decline in the death rate
Trang 6Demographic Transition
Trang 7Economic approach to population
control
• Benefit cost approach
B/C analysis of a population control compared if some government control measure (investment) would maximize efficiency (benefits)
• Micro demographic theory of fertility
The demand for children will, as with more conventional
commodities, be downward sloping which means the more expensive children become, the fewer will be demanded
Trang 10Economic issues: examples
Trang 11Các vấn đề pháp lý và thể chế
How much to decentralize?
• Two school of thoughts :
– a complete and radical devolution of
resource management responsibility and authority to local users
– co-management
Trang 13Issues ….
Lack of political will, support, and
commitment.
Contradictory provisions in relevant Acts.
Differing values of the resource among
stakeholders
Trang 14Social issues: examples
– Social exclusion
– Social acceptability
– Gender related issues
– Conflicts and controversies
………….
etc.
Trang 15Social exclusion
“Situations where least privileged groups of the population experience a combination
of problems, undermining their ability to
fully participate in society and to access
basic social infrastructures” (Paraskevopoulos
et al 2003)
It is a multifaceted phenomenon with 3
principal dimensions: economic, social,
political.
Trang 16Social acceptability
• Key influencing factors:
– Situational, spatial, and social context
– Institutional and individual trust
– Perceptions of risk
– Forms of knowledge
Trang 17Research findings on social acceptability
– Natural resource agencies focus too much on the social acceptability of their decisions as opposed to the acceptability of their decision- making processes.
– NRM programs are dominated by the
technical-rational paradigm (which acts to
constrain incorporation of subjective,
qualitative knowledge).
– Our understanding of the social acceptability
of decision-making processes is incomplete and needs further study.
Trang 18Use conflict: an example
• Multiple uses of water: industrial (cleaning, washing, power supply, heating etc.);
commercial (transport, processing etc);
agricultural (irrigation, animal drinking etc); recreational (fishing, swimming, boating); human personal (drinking, washing,
cleaning etc); wildlife habitat/support
(aquatic species, wetlands etc)
Trang 19Urban and rural people view the natural environment differently:
An example of forest use conflict between urban and rural people
Trang 22Conflicting values
• Gender-related issues – e.g men and
women may have different concerns and
options with regard to the management of a natural resource
• The value of biodiversity can be different for different groups within the society (local,
national/regional, global levels) Who are the real beneficiaries of biodiversity
Trang 23• Role of context, contents and time in conflict
• Conflict Management (CM) means, forums and
Trang 24Understanding conflict
• Conflict is an active stage of disagreement
between people with opposing opinions,
principles and practices manifested in
different forms (grievance, conflict and
dispute) (Walker and Daniels, 1997).
• According to the stages of transformation of conflict are: (a) Naming, (b) Blaming, (c)
Trang 25Understanding conflict
• Conflicts can be categorized into four groups
based on its solvability: They are:
– A terminal conflict that seems unsolvable by
agreement and results in a win-lose situation.
– A paradoxical conflict which looks obscure and of
questionable solvability having a lose-lose
outcome.
– A litigious conflict which seems solvable and
produces a win-win or a consensus result.
– An Illusory conflict where disputants want the same
thing but fail to realize it.
Trang 26Understanding conflict
• Conflict in society is influenced by the social context (organization and structure of the society), patterns of interaction (escalation or de-escalation), mode (violence, disagreement), time (specific
period of time), belief of conflicting parties and degrees of
incompatibility of their goals and power structures
• In the context of addressing conflict in Natural Resources, two
opposing views are common
– The first more dominant view held by policy makers and planners assumes that there is a uniform single rational system for NRM across all resources which is predominated by assumptions of experts’ authority such as
government departments and their imposition of their conceptions, rules
Trang 27Study of behaviors of the actors in conflicts related natural resources
• It is very important to identify the key actors involved in the conflicts and the
reasons why they are involved These questions directly lead to the study of
behavior and actions of these actors.
• Legal pluralism covers different types of laws such as state law, folk law, customary law, indigenous law and religious law (Benda-Backmann, 1997) which helps in
understanding the diversity in the role of cultural, social and normative practices within a NRM boundary and/or among NRM boundaries.
• Laws and regulations administered by government are only one of the many forces
to change human behavior and action There are other guiding factors such as
customary practices, religious rules, local norms, economic opportunities and
technological advancement, which considerably influence human behavior in
relation to control, use and management of NR People adopt customary practices locally to address the changing circumstances called “local laws” that greatly
influence NRM in society.
Trang 28Role of context, contents and time in conflict
• The origin, escalation and resolution of a conflict is highly influenced
by its context Historical, cultural, political, economic, institutional
and social context, power relationships, norms, values, practices and property rights and ownership issues play crucial roles in conflict The degree and intensity of the same conflict can change over time
• Issue of property rights and conflicts in NRM are about access and control and profit from their use Property rights are a central issue
in NR-related conflict NR such as forests or land, traditionally used for one particular purpose are now allocated to other purposes
which rights over such resources also change through government acts or local practices These changes affect or alter the existing
Trang 29Generally both right-based (legal) and interest based
(alternate) approaches are observed in contemporary conflict management practices.
• Right-based approaches focus on litigation and adjudication
procedures through the courts and police
• In contrast, interest-based approaches look for mediation,
negotiation and other collaborative methods to resolve conflicts
• But many times, right-based claims may also pursue particular
interests and may be settled without reference to rights; and
interest-based conflict can also be settled according to rights
• In managing NR related conflicts, education and the appeal for
appliance to rules are more pragmatic options than coercion and threats
Conflict Management (CM): means, forums and
practices
Trang 30Conflict Management (CM): means, forums and
practices
Negotiation, mediation in conflict, arbitration in conflict,
adjudication in conflict (third party intervention) and
litigation in conflict are common conflict management
methods observed in managing natural resources.
• Negotiation is a voluntary process that deals with a conflict situation between the negotiating parties on a face to face discussion basis
• Meditation in conflict is the intervention in a conflict resolution, of an acceptable, impartial, and neutral third party who has no decision-
Trang 31Conflict Management (CM):
means, forums and practices
• In arbitrating conflict, both conflicting parties consent to the intervention of the third party whose judgment they agree to accept in advance
• In adjudication a third party who has the authority to
intervene a dispute intervenes and renders decision with the means s/he has at her/his disposal, and also enforces compliance with the decision.
• Litigation is a formal process which looks for legal solutions when one of the conflicting parties files in court.
Trang 32Consequences of conflicts to natural resources
and society
• Outcomes and consequences of conflict need to be
critically examined to seek an improvement in a conflict
situation The quality of outcomes and its social
applications are more important than the resolution itself.
• There are generally three types of outcome: lose-lose
(negative), win-win (positive) and win-lose (one party
gains) All three types of outcome depend upon the
severity, complexity and managerial approach of the
conflict It is not always possible for bringing about win-win
Trang 33using participatory processes Social processes include:
creation of a common platform (forum) for collective action, interactive goal setting, accommodation, shared learning,
vision building from multiple realities, leadership
development, resource mobilization and concerted actions (Roling, 1999).
• In NRM multiple actors are involved and therefore they
construct multiple realities Hence the perspective of looking
at the things broadens on the basis of potential multiple
realities constructed by people through negotiations and
agreements.
Trang 34Scope for improvement in CM through
social learning
• Soft systems thinking are developed as an alternative way of thinking
in response to the failure of the hard system approaches to deal with the societal problems In the context of the NRM, many conflicts
emerge due to lack of proper attention to soft-system aspects and too strong a focus on hard systems alone
• Adaptive management has emerged as a guiding principle for
sustainable NRM which focuses on interface between society and
natural resources The interactive process associated with adaptive management requires good facilitation and negotiation skills,
institutional interests and flexibility to seek for new ways and
innovative strategies for conflict management Important four steps
Trang 35Các vấn đề công bằng trong quản lý tài nguyên