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These scenarios represent different policy foci, for example; sc1 bau (business as usual) scenario (22)

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164 Figure 6 5 Share of fuel type in final energy demand in various scenarios (%) Source Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research In the SC5 Energy Food Water Nexus scenario, there[.]

164 Figure 6-5: Share of fuel type in final energy demand in various scenarios (%) Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research In the SC5 Energy Food Water Nexus scenario, there would be significant rise in primary energy demand, from 120 Mtoe in 2014 to 716.8 Mtoe in 2030, which is equivalent to an annual growth rate of 11.8% and 10.6% in terms of primary energy demand and final energy demand, respectively (Tables 6-1 and 6-2, respectively) In this scenario, a cross-sectoral approach among the energy, food, and water sectors is underpinned in the food, water, and energy policy, whereas the goal was set to partially bring about positive impacts on energy security with less pressure on energy demand while maximizing economic growth As a result, the final energy demand would reach 881.6 Mtoe in 2030, an increase of 61%, 4.5%, 61.7%, and 57.1% compared with SC1, SC2, SC3, and SC4, respectively Among the various fuel types, electricity would have the highest annual growth of 11.6%, while oil, gas, and coal would grow at 9.0%, 10.6%, and 8.1%, respectively, over 2014–2030 The share of oil, gas, and coal would also remain high, accounting for 62% of the total final energy demand, despite the increasing share of non-hydro renewable power (solar, wind, and biomass) up to 10%

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