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These scenarios represent different policy foci, for example; sc1 bau (business as usual) scenario (15)

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157 Table 5 2 Key Scenarios Features (Cont ) Indicators SC1 BAU SC2 Energy SC3 Food SC4 Water SC5 EFW Nexus SC6 – EFW Nexus with Low Carbon 4 3 Food Accessibility Low because transportation of lower p[.]

157 Table 5-2: Key Scenarios Features (Cont.) Indicators 4.3 Food Accessibility SC2-Energy SC3-Food SC4- Water SC5-EFW Nexus - Low because - Follow the current trends - Higher compared to SC1 - Follow the current trends - High value due to the - High value due to the Low Carbon transportation of lower scenario due to higher profits success in industrialisation success in industrialisation products would require obtained from mechanisation with good infrastructure and with good infrastructure and the mechanisation the mechanization - Low restrictions on CO2 - High restrictions on CO2 higher cost Environment SC6 – EFW Nexus with SC1-BAU - No restriction on CO2 - No restriction on CO2 - No restriction on CO2 - Follow the current trends emissions emissions emissions emissions emissions - No attempt to shift to - Focus on renewable energy - No attempt to shift to - Focus on renewable energy - Focus on renewable energy alternative fuels to lower the damage on the alternative fuels in to lower the damage on the to lower the damage on the - No institution promotes environment through solar mechanisation environment through solar environment through solar greener fuel energy and biomass - No institution promotes energy and biomass energy and biomass - No institution promotes greener technological - No institution promotes - Conventional institutions greener fuel applications greener fuel promote greener fuel - International pressure on reducing emissions 5.1 Total CO2 emissions 5.2 CO2 emissions per capita 5.3 Share of CO2 emission by sector - Continue to increase with - Continue to increase with - Continue to increase with - Continue to increase with - Continue to increase with - Apply advanced technology the current trend of triple the current trend of triple the current trend of triple the current trend of triple the current trend of triple for reducing CO2 emissions growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate growth rate Continue to increase with Continue to increase with the Continue to increase with the Continue to increase with the - Continue to increase with - Apply advanced technology the current trend of triple current trend of triple growth current trend of triple growth current trend of triple growth the current trend of triple for reducing CO2 emissions growth rate rate rate rate growth rate - No promotion of new - Promote new technology for - No promotion of new - No promotion of new - No promotion of new - Promote advanced technology to reduce CO2 renewable energy to partially technology to reduce CO2 technology to reduce CO2 technology to reduce CO2 technology for energy emissions of energy reduce CO2 emission emissions of energy emissions of energy emissions of energy production (renewable) and generation, transport, and generation, transport, and generation, transport, and generation, transport, and biofuel for transport (13% by residential use residential use residential use residential use 2030) - Encourage biogas in residential use (10% by 2030)

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