263 Table 7 9 Summary Of Scenarios’ Outcomes Compared with (2014) Compared with SC1 BAU (2030) SC1 (BAU) SC2 (Energy) SC3 (Food) SC4 (Water) SC5 (E F W nexus) SC6 (Low carbon) SC2 (Energy) SC3 (Food)[.]
263 Table 7-9: Summary Of Scenarios’ Outcomes SC1 SC2 (BAU) (Energy) GDP GDP per capital Trade surplus Jobs Investment Energy Security Enery accessibility Energy import dependency Energy affordability Energy intensity Energy diversity Energy efficiency Food Security Food accessibility Food import dependency Food affordability Water Security Water stress Water affordability Water intensity Water efficiency Environment CO2 emissions per capita CO2 emission intensity Compared with (2014) SC3 SC4 SC5 (E-F-W (Food) (Water) nexus) SC6 SC2 (Low carbon) (Energy) 151% 162% 163% 191% 224% 221% 4% 101% 109% 110% 133% 159% 156% 152% 152% 204% 176% 553% 532% 267% 350% 270% 363% 299% 314% 129% 241% 119% 158% 326% -11% 10% -18% -11% -6% 34% -17% -12% 10% -27% 30% 18% -9% 17% -15% 76% -14% -16% -4% Compared with SC1-BAU (2030) SC3 SC4 SC5 (E-F-W (Food) (Water) nexus) 29% SC6 (Low carbon Nexus) 5% 16% 28% 4% 5% 16% 29% 28% 33% 15% 18% 254% 241% 23% 1% 26% 9% 13% 341% 49% -4% 13% 86% 93% 7% 6% 24% -8% 0% 20% 20% 22% 26% 43% -11% -6% 30% 35% -10% -14% -34% 18% 7% -19% -22% -15% 15% 14% 28% -7% -7% 26% 25% 78% 69% -7% -10% -51% 1% -4% -47% -49% 21% -17% -15% 21% 13% 32% 0% 1% 32% 25% 16% -5% -3% 10% 12% 21% -1% 2% 15% 17% -4% -6% 15% -2% 7% 6% -2% 20% 2% 11% 10% -5% -6% 17% -4% 12% 12% -1% 24% 1% 18% 18% 3% 2% -16% 1% -6% -4% -1% -18% -2% -8% -6% -4% -11% 9% 0% 3% 2% -7% 13% 4% 8% 6% -13% -22% -19% 20% 4% 1% -11% -6% 38% 19% 16% 5% 12% 12% -12% -5% -4% 7% 6% -16% -10% -9% -10% -69% -20% 24% 20% 10% -36% -11% 37% 33% 22% 12% 45% 18% -11% -3% -1% 30% 5% -20% -13% -12% -17% -34% -18% 17% 6% 5% -17% -2% 40% 27% 26% 39% 53% 31% 25% 32% 18% 17% -9% -14% -2% -19% 44% 52% 41% 41% 48% 40% 20% -7% 11% -9% 35% 55% 20% 9% 15% -4% 15% -11% -14% -29% Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research -8% -19%