255 Figure 7 7 Energy Food Water Security Trade Offs in alternative scenarios Source Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Notes Values closer to the origin describe adverse secu[.]
255 Figure 7-7: Energy-Food-Water Security Trade-Offs in alternative scenarios Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Notes: Values closer to the origin describe adverse security outcomes Food security With regard to food security, the development outline remained largely unchanged throughout scenarios with regard to improvements in water security and energy security, but was generally impacted by food manufacturing More specifically, SC3 claims the greatest food security among the scenarios discussed in this research because the government focuses on food manufacturing, processing, and mechanization in this scenario In comparing the results of SC3 with those of SC1 and the base year, the outcome of normal development shows that food security decreases over time—as indicated by the significantly lower food security in SC1 than the base year This demonstrates that Vietnam will experience an enormous decline in food security between 2014 and 2030 unless critical policy changes and technologies are introduced With regard to SC2 and SC4, results indicate that SC2 has lower food security than SC1 While SC2 shares the same food development policy as SC1, the development of other sectors and increasing employment of energy industries diminish food security in SC2 In contrast, SC4 has higher food security than SC1 (although still lower than that of SC3) because the