... Cases 22 4 The Next 10 -20 years: Some Indicators to Watch for 22 7 Outsmarting Marx 23 7 The Technology Paradox 23 9 Machine Intelligence and the Turing Test 24 1 About / Contacting the Author 24 6 ... Views about the Future 115 The China Fallacy 117 The Future of Manufacturing 124 India and Offshoring 127 Economic and National Security Implications f...
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... are growingdark.Nowweseethatmany of the verybrightest lightsin the tunnelfinallyfeel the impact and alsobeginto losetheirlight. The owners of the businessesin the tunnel areseeingmuch of theirwealthgraduallydrainaway. The ... mayhaveactuallyin- creasedforatime,astheywereabletolowertheirprices. Asaresult,theirprofits, and therefore the wealth of th...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_3 pot
... the world of science fiction. We think of the robots C3PO and R2D2 from the Star Wars movies, or perhaps the HAL 20 00computerfrom 20 01:ASpaceOdyssey.Asare- sult of this,wehavebeenluredinto the falsebeliefthatin order ... and moreprofitabletopartiallyautomate the radiologist’sjob. Therewouldbelittlepointtobuildingahousekeepingro- bot...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_4 pptx
... food—all of these and countless thousands of otherstructures and chemicalsthatcomprise ourbodies and make usfunctionareproteins. And they areallconstructedthroughnanotechnology. Itislikelythat the coming“nanotech”revolutionwill begin ... collating and faxing in- formation. The intellectualportion of the job—eitherap- provingordenying the loan—isprobably...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_5 potx
... access to capital, small plots withpoor economy of scale,trade barriers, and oftenoutrightexploitationat the hands of governments and corrupt officials. Manufacturing in China is ... Amazon takeaper-capitaincomethatissomewhatcomparableto that of developed nations and then multiply it by some hugefraction of the Chinesepopulation.In otherwords, t...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_6 pdf
... to decline.Rememberthatwearetalkinghereaboutaverage workers.Toget the graphabove,youmighttake the dis- tribution of incomesin the UnitedStates and thenelimi- nateboth the richest and the poorestpeople.Thengraph the averageincome of the remaining“typical”people (the bulk of consumers) ... of India.Indiaisessentiallyanimpoverished,developingna- tionwit...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_8 docx
... elimi- nates the jobsthatprovideincometoconsumers. The es- sentialideaisthatweshouldimposesomecombination of aconsumptiontax and/ oraspecialdirecttaxonbusiness thatcaptures the incomewhich,inanon-automatedecon- omy,wouldbepaidoutinwages.Overtime,as the wages paidtoaverageworkersdecrease(asapercentage of reve- nue),thesetaxeswouldbegraduallyi...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_9 potx
... have strongeducations and training.Thesepeoplearebeneficia- ries of the informationage.On the toxicwastelandside of the fence, are relatively unskilled workers. These people THE LIGHTS IN THE ... dramatically negative.In the UnitedStates,twothirds of workers and thereforeconsumers—donothaveacollegedegree.While effortstoimproveeducation and trainingarel...
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The Lights in the Tunnel Automation Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_10 pdf
... acentrallyplanned economy, and perhaps most chillingly, the overthrow of govern- ments and a“dictatorship of the proletariat.”In the wake of the collapse of communism, these ideas ... 38 RobertJ.Shapiro,Futurecast:howsuperpowers,populations, and globaliza- tionwillchange the wayyoulive and work,NewYork,St.Martin’sPress, 20 08. 39 ThomasL.Friedman,...
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Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future_2 pot
... the world of science fiction. We think of the robots C3PO and R2D2 from the Star Wars movies, or perhaps the HAL 20 00computerfrom 20 01:ASpaceOdyssey.Asare- sult of this,wehavebeenluredinto the falsebeliefthatin order ... has quicklyattracted the notice of the Securities and Exchange Commission and mayresultinnewregulation. Astheseexamples...
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