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BỘ GIÁO DỤC VÀ ĐÀO TẠO tn to TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC KINH TẾ TP.HCM gh p ie w n ad lo th yj ĐOÀN VŨ NGUYÊN ip uy la n a lu n va oi m ll fu CHI TIÊU CÔNG, NGUỒN NHÂN LỰC VÀ TĂNG TRƯỞNG KINH TẾ: NGHIÊN CỨU CÁC NỀN KINH TẾ ĐANG PHÁT TRIỂN nh at z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm LUẬN VĂN THẠC SĨ KINH TẾ an Lu n va y te re TP HỒ CHÍ MINH - 2014 BỘ GIÁO DỤC VÀ ĐÀO TẠO tn to TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC KINH TẾ TP.HCM gh p ie w n lo ad ĐOÀN VŨ NGUYÊN th yj ip uy la n a lu CHI TIÊU CÔNG, NGUỒN NHÂN LỰC VÀ TĂNG TRƯỞNG KINH TẾ: NGHIÊN CỨU CÁC NỀN KINH TẾ ĐANG PHÁT TRIỂN n va oi m ll fu nh at Chuyên ngành : Tài - Ngân hàng Mã số : 60340201 z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm LUẬN VĂN THẠC SĨ KINH TẾ Người hướng dẫn khoa học: PGS.TS SỬ ĐÌNH THÀNH an Lu n va y te re TP HỒ CHÍ MINH - 2014 LỜI CAM ĐOAN tn to gh p ie Tôi xin cam đoan đề tài nghiên cứu riêng Các số liệu, kết nêu luận văn hoàn toàn đáng tin cậy trung thực Đồng thời, luận w văn chưa công bố nghiên cứu n lo ad Tác giả luận văn th yj ip uy la Đoàn Vũ Nguyên n a lu n va oi m ll fu nh at z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Mục lục tn to Trang phụ bìa gh Lời cam đoan p ie Mục lục w Danh mục ký hiệu, chữ viết tắt n Danh mục bảng biểu lo ad Danh mục hình vẽ th Tóm lược - - yj uy Lời mở đầu - - ip Lý chọn đề tài - - la a lu Mục tiêu nghiên cứu - - n Câu hỏi nghiên cứu - - va n Phương pháp nghiên cứu - - oi m ll fu Đối tượng phạm vi nghiên cứu - Ý nghĩa đề tài - - nh Kết cấu đề tài - - at Chương 1: Tổng quan lý thuyết vốn nhân lực tăng trưởng kinh tế - - z z 1.1 Vốn nhân lực tăng trưởng kinh tế - - vb ht 1.1.1 Vốn nhân lực - - jm 1.1.1.1 Khái niệm - - k gm 1.1.1.2 Vai trò giáo dục sức khỏe kinh tế - xã hội - - om l.c 1.1.1.3 Các khía cạnh nghiên cứu vốn nhân lực - 12 1.1.2 Một số mơ hình tăng trưởng kinh tế - 14 - an Lu 1.2 Đánh giá nghiên cứu tác động vốn nhân lực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế - 17 1.2.1 Vốn nhân lực có tác động tích cực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế - 17 - y 2.1.1 Phương trình tăng trưởng - 31 - te 2.1 Mơ hình - 29 - re Chương 2: Mơ hình phương pháp nghiên cứu - 29 - n va 1.2.2 Vốn nhân lực khơng tác động tích cực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế - 25 - 2.1.2 Phương trình đầu tư - 34 - tn to 2.1.3 Phương trình giáo dục - 35 - gh 2.1.4 Phương trình sức khỏe - 37 - p ie 2.2 Phương pháp nghiên cứu - 39 - w Chương 3: Dữ liệu kết thực nghiệm - 42 - n 3.1 Dữ liệu - 42 - lo ad 3.2 Kết thực nghiệm - 44 - th Chương 4: Kết luận hàm ý sách - 56 - yj uy 4.1 Kết luận - 56 - ip 4.2 Hàm ý sách - 58 - la n Phụ lục a lu Tài liệu tham khảo n va oi m ll fu nh at z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an DANH MỤC KÝ HIỆU, CHỮ VIẾT TẮT tn to gh Từ viết tắt Tiếng Anh Tiếng Việt p ie Internationnal Monetary Fund Quỹ tiền tệ quốc tế WB World Bank Ngân hàng giới World Health Organization Tổ chức y tế giới Organization for Economic Co- Tổ chức hợp tác phát operation and Development triển kinh tế United Nations Conference on Ủy ban thương mại phát w IMF n WHO ad lo OECD th yj ip uy UNCTAD Trade and Development triển Liên hiệp quốc la World Economic Outlook a lu WEO n Database va World Development Indicators GDP Gross Domestic Product 3SLS Three Stage Least Squares GMM Generalized Method of Moments PMG Pooled Mean Group n WDI fu oi m ll Tổng sản phẩm quốc nội Bình phương nhỏ ba nh giai đoạn at z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an DANH MỤC BẢNG BIỂU tn to gh Bảng 1.1 Những nghiên cứu tiếng vốn nhân lực tăng trưởng 17 p ie Bảng 2.1 Kỳ vọng dấu biến phương trình tăng trưởng 33 Bảng 2.2 Kỳ vọng dấu biến phương trình đầu tư 35 w Bảng 2.3 Kỳ vọng dấu biến phương trình giáo dục 36 n ad lo Bảng 2.4 Kỳ vọng dấu biến phương trình sức khỏe 37 th Bảng 2.5 Mô tả biến nguồn liệu 38 yj uy Bảng 3.1 Thống kê mô tả giá trị biến 42 ip Bảng 3.2 Tính chất phân phối biến mơ hình nghiên cứu 43 la a lu Bảng 3.3 Tương quan biến phụ thuộc mơ hình 44 n Bảng 3.4 Kết hồi quy hệ phương trình đồng thời phương pháp 3SLS 45 va n Bảng 3.5 Kết hồi quy tăng trưởng phương pháp GMM 47 oi m ll fu Bảng 3.6 Kết hồi quy đầu tư phương pháp GMM 48 Bảng 3.7 Kết hồi quy giáo dục phương pháp GMM 49 nh Bảng 3.8 Kết hồi quy vốn sức khỏe phương pháp GMM 50 at Bảng 3.9 Kết hồi quy nhóm quốc gia phương pháp 3SLS 52 z z ht vb DANH MỤC HÌNH VẼ k jm gm Hình 2.1 Tác động vi mô vĩ mô giáo dục đến tăng trưởng 29 om l.c Hình 2.2 Sơ đồ khung phân tích 30 Hình 4.1 Quan hệ tuyến tính âm chi tiêu cơng y tế số lượng trẻ tử vong 57 an Lu Hình 4.2 Quan hệ tuyến tính dương chi tiêu cơng giáo dục tỉ lệ nhập học.58 n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an -1- Tóm lược tn to Từ liệu 26 nước phát triển giai đoạn 1995 - 2012, nghiên gh cứu khám phá kênh trực tiếp gián tiếp liên kết chi tiêu công, vốn nhân lực p ie tăng trưởng kinh tế hệ phương trình đồng thời Nghiên cứu tiến hành phương pháp bình phương ba giai đoạn (Three Stage Least Squares - 3SLS) xử lý w mơ hình hệ phương trình đồng thời, sau đó, phương pháp GMM (Generalized n ad lo Methods of Moments) sử dụng kiểm định phương trình đơn để tăng tính th vững cho kết nghiên cứu Chi tiêu công giáo dục y tế tác động trực tiếp yj uy cách đáng kể đến tri thức sức khỏe, hai nhân tố cấu thành vốn nhân lực, có ip thể dẫn đến tăng trưởng kinh tế cao Nghiên cứu phát la a lu sách can thiệp vĩ mô khác, chẳng hạn cải thiện lực thể chế, giảm n thâm hụt ngân sách mức chủ động lạm phát hữu ích va n quốc gia hướng tới mục tiêu phát triển bền vững nhờ vào nguồn lực oi m ll fu người Như vậy, chi tiêu cao không đủ để đạt mục tiêu Từ khóa: Tăng trưởng kinh tế, vốn nhân lực (human capital), chi tiêu công nh giáo dục (public expenditure on education), chi tiêu công y tế (public expenditure at on health) z z vb Lời mở đầu: ht Vai trò nguồn nhân lực việc thúc đẩy kinh tế ghi nhận jm lý thuyết tăng trưởng Sau Romer (1986) Lucas (1988) phát k gm triển mơ hình tăng trưởng nội sinh Solow đến lượt nghiên cứu tiếng om l.c khác như: Squire (1993), Ravallion & Chen (1997), Schultz (1999) xác định vốn nhân lực yếu tố định tăng trưởng xóa đói giảm nghèo Các tổ an Lu chức quốc tế ngày nhấn mạnh tầm quan trọng việc thúc đẩy tiến cụ thể số nguồn nhân lực đo sở tiêu giáo dục y tế Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an -2- vào số người, tác động sách can thiệp khác (cải tn to thiện tính bền vững tài cải thiện lực thể chế) giúp nước gh đạt tăng trưởng bền vững Trong ngoại tác tích cực thất bại thị trường p ie biện minh cho tham gia khu vực nhà nước lĩnh vực này; không, nghiên cứu chi tiêu cao hiệu can thiệp w sách vĩ mô khác giúp đáp ứng mục tiêu phát triển Cuối n ad lo cùng, lưu ý quan trọng không nên kỳ vọng tác động tức th phát triển giáo dục phát triển kinh tế Điều nhiều thời gian yj uy giáo dục dường đầu tư đáng thực dài hạn ip Ngành giáo dục cần phải đón đầu thay đổi nhanh chóng cấu kinh tế, la a lu cấu thị trường lao động để đáp ứng linh hoạt kịp thời quy mơ n đảm bảo chất lượng, góp phần tạo lực lượng lao động không làm việc va n chăm mà cần phải làm việc thông minh bối cảnh cạnh tranh Lý chọn đề tài: oi m ll fu tồn cầu hố diễn ngày gay gắt nh Tăng trưởng kinh tế mục tiêu mà quốc gia theo đuổi Kết at tăng trưởng kinh tế bắt nguồn từ nhiều nguyên nhân nguyên nhân đôi z z lại tương tác với Nguồn nhân lực đóng vai trò quan trọng tăng vb ht trưởng kinh tế Giáo dục y tế phương thức để tích lũy nguồn vốn jm người Mặc dù vấn đề có ý nghĩa quốc gia muốn tận k gm dụng nguồn lực người để nâng tầm vị xây dựng kinh tế phát om l.c triển ổn định lâu dài, nghiên cứu truớc chưa thực đưa chứng rõ ràng tác động đồng thời giáo dục y tế tăng trưởng an Lu kinh tế Hầu tất nghiên cứu chưa cụ thể giáo dục y tế Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an -3- chi tiêu công cho giáo dục, y tế chưa đáp ứng tiêu chuẩn mức độ cần tn to thiết Các nghiên cứu trước tác động chi tiêu công đến tăng trưởng kinh gh tế thường phân tích riêng biệt chi tiêu cơng giáo dục chi tiêu công y tế Hơn p ie nữa, đại đa số nghiên cứu vốn nhân lực tập trung vào lĩnh vực giáo dục Nghiên cứu Baldacci et al (2008) kiểm tra tác động khoản chi w tiêu công cho giáo dục y tế đến tăng trưởng kinh tế Ý tưởng nghiên cứu n ad lo muốn kiểm tra tác động vốn nhân lực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế góc độ tổng th hợp tri thức sức khỏe người dân Dựa nghiên cứu này, tác giả thực yj uy đề tài “Chi tiêu công, nguồn nhân lực tăng trưởng kinh tế: Nghiên cứu ip kinh tế phát triển” với mong muốn đóng góp nhìn đa chiều la a lu để đánh giá tổng hợp vai trò chi tiêu cơng can thiệp sách vĩ mơ khác n đến vốn nhân lực, tăng trưởng kinh tế số người Xây dựng dựa va n nghiên cứu trước đây, luận văn phân tích tác động trực tiếp tác động gián tiếp oi m ll fu khoản chi tiêu công giành cho vốn nhân lực phát triển, có tính đến tương tác giáo dục y tế nh Mục tiêu nghiên cứu: at (1) Kiểm chứng tác động vốn nhân lực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế số z z kinh tế phát triển vb ht (2) Đánh giá tác động chi tiêu công cho giáo dục, y tế đến tăng trưởng jm kinh tế k om l.c thông qua kênh vốn nhân lực gm (3) Đánh giá tác động sách vĩ mơ khác đến tăng trưởng kinh tế (4) Đề xuất số giải pháp giúp cải thiện vốn nhân lực, tăng trưởng kinh tế an Lu Câu hỏi nghiên cứu: (1) Vốn nhân lực có tác động đến tăng trưởng kinh tế kinh tế Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an tn to 11 Barro, R J (1996), Health, Human Capital and Economic Growth, Paper gh for the Program on Public Policy and Health, Pan American Health p ie Organization and WHO w 12 Bassanini, A., Scarpetta, S (2001), “The driving forces of economic growth: n panel data evidence for the OECD countries”, OECD Economic lo Baum, C F., Schaffer M E., Stillman S (2007), Enhanced routines for th 13 ad Studies, 33(2), 9-56 yj ip uy instrumental variables/GMM estimation and testing Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University in its series CERT la Benhabib, J., Spiegel, M (1994), “The Role of Human Capital in Economic n 14 a lu Discussion, 0706 va n Development: Evidence from Aggregate Cross-Country Data”, Journal of fu 15 oi m ll Monetary Economics, Vol 34, 143–73 Belgrave, A., Craigwell, R (1995), “The Impact of government expenditure nh on economic growth in Barbados: A Disaggregated Approach”, IFPRI z Benavot, A., Resh N (2003), “Educational governance, school autonomy, z vb 16 at Discussion Paper, 794, 313-344 ht and curriculum implementation: A comparative study of Arab and Jewish jm k schools in Israel”, Journal of Curriculum Studies, Vol.35, No.2, 171-196 gm 17 Birdsall N., Pinckney, T., Sabot, R (1999), Natural Resources, Human 18 Blankenau, W (2005), “Public schooling, college om l.c Capital, and Growth”, Working paper, 22 Sep 1999 subsidies and 19 an Lu growth”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29(3), 487-507 Bleaney, M., Gemmell, N., Kneller, R (2001), “Testing the Endogenous Theory to Practice”, Journal of Human Development, Vol.4, No.1, 47–71 Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn y Bloom, D., Canning, D (2003), “The Health and Poverty of Nations: From te 20 re Run”, Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol.34, No.1, 36-57 n va Growth Model; Public Expenditure, Taxation and Growth Over the Long C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an 21 Bloom, D., Sevilla, J (2004), “The Effect of Health on Economic Growth: A tn to 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77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan 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thu nhập thấp Nhóm nước có thu nhập cao STT w n trung bình cao Armenia Argentina Bolivia Azerbaijan Egypt Belarus th ad lo trung bình thấp yj Bulgaria Moldova Morocco Nepal Pakistan 10 Philippines 11 Tajikistan 12 Ukraine 13 Viet Nam ip Chile la a lu Colombia n Iran va n Latvia fu oi m ll Malaysia Mexico nh Peru at Thailand Tunisia ht vb Indonesia z z India uy k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an Phụ lục 2: Uớc lượng mơ hình hệ phương trình đồng thời phương pháp tn to 3SLS gh p ie Freq Percent Cum Argentina Armenia Azerbaijan Belarus Bolivia Bulgaria Chile Colombia Egypt India Indonesia Iran Latvia Malaysia Mexico Moldova Morocco Nepal Pakistan Peru Philippines Tajikistan Thailand Tunisia Ukraine VietNam 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 3.85 7.69 11.54 15.38 19.23 23.08 26.92 30.77 34.62 38.46 42.31 46.15 50.00 53.85 57.69 61.54 65.38 69.23 73.08 76.92 80.77 84.62 88.46 92.31 96.15 100.00 w Country n ad lo th yj ip uy la n oi m ll fu nh at 100.00 n va 468 a lu Total z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an Three-stage least-squares regression tn to gh p ie Equation Obs Parms RMSE "R-sq" chi2 P GDPGR INV EDU HEAL 442 442 442 442 33 31 32 30 0435728 4.75821 0317988 0396909 -3.3808 0.5545 0.7654 0.9827 563.64 612.28 1576.41 25230.19 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 w Coef Std Err z P>|z| [95% Conf Interval] n lo GDPGR ad th yj ip uy la n va 0.000 0.000 0.218 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.938 0.006 0.313 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.010 0.049 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 fu 5.78 4.42 1.23 4.66 3.94 4.93 8.05 5.21 6.12 0.08 2.73 1.01 5.19 10.74 4.99 3.27 2.57 -1.97 8.48 4.00 4.76 5.75 6.02 4.86 6.21 oi m ll nh 1089704 0423286 -.0217338 0427947 066035 0828264 1232601 0821364 0970626 -.0340909 0142752 -.0227027 0800744 146348 0846118 0148332 0096912 -.0450652 1282813 0576292 0549465 0801299 0709364 0696986 079309 2206615 1097095 0953757 1049238 1965212 1920806 2026454 1810732 1886217 0368931 0867611 0707755 1771282 2117092 1939457 0590592 0718451 -.000119 2053548 1681209 1318882 162977 1394592 1639903 1525345 at z 0284932 0171893 0298754 0158496 0332879 0278715 0202517 0252394 0233573 0181085 0184916 0238469 0247591 0166741 0278918 0112823 0158559 0114661 019662 0281872 0196284 0211348 0174806 0240545 0186803 n 1648159 076019 0368209 0738592 1312781 1374535 1629527 1316048 1428422 0014011 0505182 0240364 1286013 1790286 1392787 0369462 0407681 -.0225921 1668181 1128751 0934173 1215534 1051978 1168445 1159218 a lu ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5 ind6 ind7 ind8 ind9 ind10 ind11 ind12 ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 ind23 ind24 ind25 z -.1305981 0397147 -3.29 0.001 -.2084375 INV EDU HEAL OPEN BAL POPG INF _cons 0092147 3021577 0288703 -.0336889 0012574 -.0041279 0000775 -.4816482 0006753 0843253 0465222 0176715 0004655 0050592 0000242 352907 13.65 3.58 0.62 -1.91 2.70 -0.82 3.21 -1.36 0.000 0.000 0.535 0.057 0.007 0.415 0.001 0.172 0078912 1368832 -.0623115 -.0683245 000345 -.0140437 0000301 -1.173333 ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5 ind6 ind7 ind8 ind9 ind10 ind11 ind12 ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 ind23 ind24 ind25 EDU -12.75983 -2.581109 -4.411952 -3.559175 -16.38552 -7.826234 -12.62115 -13.80591 -12.6216 6.309646 -4.098742 2.778389 -3.417776 -11.41121 -7.442531 -2.927773 4.241105 -2.692112 1.579482 -11.87874 -14.2809 -16.953 -4.865589 -9.74677 -9.572078 64.21983 2.614837 2.415266 2.208694 2.35732 2.261954 2.387873 2.292481 2.466742 2.111812 2.359106 1.924468 2.194258 2.524156 2.312043 2.017347 2.025952 1.868756 2.163389 2.766789 2.360274 1.914989 2.121554 1.754809 1.714853 2.429196 11.25977 -4.88 -1.07 -2.00 -1.51 -7.24 -3.28 -5.51 -5.60 -5.98 2.67 -2.13 1.27 -1.35 -4.94 -3.69 -1.45 2.27 -1.24 0.57 -5.03 -7.46 -7.99 -2.77 -5.68 -3.94 5.70 0.000 0.285 0.046 0.131 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.033 0.205 0.176 0.000 0.000 0.148 0.023 0.213 0.568 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 -17.88482 -7.314943 -8.740914 -8.179437 -20.81887 -12.50638 -17.11433 -18.64064 -16.76068 1.685883 -7.870629 -1.522278 -8.365031 -15.94273 -11.39646 -6.898566 5784108 -6.932276 -3.843325 -16.50479 -18.03421 -21.11117 -8.304952 -13.10782 -14.33321 42.15108 vb Y L1 ht -.0527586 jm k 0105382 4674322 120052 0009466 0021697 0057879 0001249 2100368 an n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Lu Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn -7.634845 2.152725 -.0829905 1.061086 -11.95218 -3.146089 -8.12797 -8.971189 -8.482529 10.93341 -.3268538 7.079055 1.52948 -6.87969 -3.488603 1.043019 7.9038 1.548051 7.002289 -7.252684 -10.52759 -12.79483 -1.426227 -6.38572 -4.810942 86.28858 om l.c gm INV C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an tn to gh p ie w n ad lo ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 ind23 ind24 ind25 EDU HEAL OPEN BAL POPG INF _cons th yj -3.417776 -11.41121 -7.442531 -2.927773 4.241105 -2.692112 1.579482 -11.87874 -14.2809 -16.953 -4.865589 -9.74677 -9.572078 64.21983 -5.65414 6.414726 1187169 2.739471 -.0146842 -119.512 -1.35 -4.94 -3.69 -1.45 2.27 -1.24 0.57 -5.03 -7.46 -7.99 -2.77 -5.68 -3.94 5.70 -1.96 2.02 1.32 3.05 -3.36 -4.13 0.176 0.000 0.000 0.148 0.023 0.213 0.568 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.050 0.044 0.187 0.002 0.001 0.000 -8.365031 -15.94273 -11.39646 -6.898566 5784108 -6.932276 -3.843325 -16.50479 -18.03421 -21.11117 -8.304952 -13.10782 -14.33321 42.15108 -11.30531 175823 -.0574459 9807688 -.0232515 -176.1866 1.52948 -6.87969 -3.488603 1.043019 7.9038 1.548051 7.002289 -7.252684 -10.52759 -12.79483 -1.426227 -6.38572 -4.810942 86.28858 -.0029693 12.65363 2948797 4.498174 -.006117 -62.83731 1053789 0617965 0663266 0611359 0839222 0762098 0837459 0768698 0423674 045273 0440513 0762541 0707814 0467329 0851103 0307569 0590549 0142968 0532579 0853599 0460635 0246243 0219967 0662559 0632624 0461515 0015052 0936729 0013534 0013708 0365146 000326 3216002 -1.24 -1.39 -0.74 -1.60 -0.81 -2.01 -1.77 -0.99 -0.03 -1.39 -1.04 -1.53 -1.88 -2.39 -1.67 -2.70 -2.90 5.58 -4.04 -0.75 0.50 2.05 -1.95 -1.67 -1.90 1.04 6.02 1.11 -4.61 2.38 1.46 -1.60 5.93 0.216 0.165 0.457 0.110 0.419 0.044 0.077 0.323 0.973 0.166 0.298 0.125 0.061 0.017 0.095 0.007 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.452 0.618 0.040 0.051 0.096 0.057 0.298 0.000 0.268 0.000 0.017 0.145 0.110 0.000 -.3369984 -.2069683 -.1793404 -.2174468 -.2323008 -.3027043 -.3121054 -.2266132 -.0844463 -.1514503 -.1322248 -.2663977 -.2715536 -.2031502 -.3090344 -.1432211 -.2867212 0517993 -.3195182 -.2314729 -.0673178 0023231 -.0860853 -.24018 -.2444466 -.0424061 0061123 -.0797874 -.0088929 0005786 -.018339 -.0011601 1.276589 0760792 0352694 0806552 0222014 0966681 -.0039675 0161726 074711 081631 0260166 0404532 0325129 0059046 -.0199606 024592 -.0226563 -.0552303 1078418 -.1107513 1031318 1132478 0988488 0001403 0195385 0035375 1385044 0120125 2874035 -.0035875 0059519 1247956 0001177 2.537238 9.41 9.02 16.40 7.52 10.57 11.00 5.98 7.89 10.35 20.88 11.90 11.23 12.70 3.58 8.50 6.66 9.68 -2.57 13.50 9.17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.010 0.000 0.000 ip uy 2.524156 2.312043 2.017347 2.025952 1.868756 2.163389 2.766789 2.360274 1.914989 2.121554 1.754809 1.714853 2.429196 11.25977 2.883303 3.183172 0898806 8973137 0043711 28.91616 EDU la n oi m ll fu nh at z z ht vb k jm om l.c an Lu n va HEAL gm 7907515 4555836 6452659 4068032 6356566 5917466 4848885 5201195 3251587 3738452 3810388 6286997 6139212 2066982 6142702 183082 4361049 -.0515121 4083292 6322394 va ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5 ind6 ind7 ind8 ind9 ind10 ind11 ind12 ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 n -.1304596 -.0858495 -.0493426 -.0976227 -.0678164 -.1533359 -.1479664 -.0759511 -.0014077 -.0627168 -.0458858 -.1169424 -.1328245 -.1115554 -.1422212 -.0829387 -.1709757 0798206 -.2151347 -.0641706 022965 050586 -.0429725 -.1103208 -.1204545 0480492 0090624 1038081 -.0062402 0032652 0532283 -.0005212 1.906913 a lu ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5 ind6 ind7 ind8 ind9 ind10 ind11 ind12 ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 ind23 ind24 ind25 Y EDUS HEAL POP15 URBAN QUA FEM _cons Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn y Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn 9554598 5545681 7223801 5128595 7535446 6972296 6437922 6493257 386714 4089334 4438128 7384457 7086819 3200069 7558332 2370012 5243964 -.012231 4676059 7673099 te 6260432 3565992 5681516 3007469 5177685 4862637 3259848 3909132 2636035 3387571 3182649 5189537 5191606 0933894 4727072 1291627 3478133 -.0907932 3490525 4971689 re 0840364 0505032 0393447 0541114 0601481 0538188 0810748 0659228 0314063 0179024 0320281 0559939 0483482 0578116 0722274 0275103 0450475 0200417 0302438 0689148 C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an tn to gh p ie w n ad lo th yj 3251587 3738452 3810388 6286997 6139212 2066982 6142702 183082 4361049 -.0515121 4083292 6322394 2740016 1664144 2318687 5063509 4372369 -.5270426 0029146 -.0074555 -.0028587 0823657 3.279702 ip uy 10.35 20.88 11.90 11.23 12.70 3.58 8.50 6.66 9.68 -2.57 13.50 9.17 6.85 7.63 14.38 9.59 8.81 -19.65 0.58 -5.33 -8.88 9.57 33.52 la 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.560 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2636035 3387571 3182649 5189537 5191606 0933894 4727072 1291627 3478133 -.0907932 3490525 4971689 1955682 1236447 2002659 402909 3399161 -.5796021 -.0068873 -.0101964 -.0034894 0654894 3.087957 386714 4089334 4438128 7384457 7086819 3200069 7558332 2370012 5243964 -.012231 4676059 7673099 3524351 2091841 2634715 6097928 5345578 -.474483 0127166 -.0047146 -.002228 099242 3.471447 n GDPGR INV EDU HEAL ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5 ind6 ind7 ind8 ind9 ind10 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 L.Y OPEN BAL POPG INF Y EDUS POP15 URBAN QUA FEM n va oi m ll fu Endogenous variables: Exogenous variables: ind11 ind12 ind13 ind23 ind24 ind25 HEALS FER 0314063 0179024 0320281 0559939 0483482 0578116 0722274 0275103 0450475 0200417 0302438 0689148 0400178 0218217 0161242 0527774 0496544 0268166 0050011 0013985 0003218 0086105 0978311 a lu ind9 ind10 ind11 ind12 ind13 ind14 ind15 ind16 ind17 ind18 ind19 ind20 ind21 ind22 ind23 ind24 ind25 Y HEALS URBAN FEM FER _cons nh at z z ht vb k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an tn to Phụ lục 3: Kiểm định mức độ xác định phương trình theo phương pháp gh 3SLS Endogenous coefficients matrix p ie GDPGR -1 0 w GDPGR INV EDU HEAL n INV -1 0 EDU 5 -1 HEAL 5 -1 lo Exogenous coefficients matrix ad th ind1 5 5 ind2 5 5 ind3 5 5 GDPGR INV EDU HEAL ind14 5 5 ind15 5 5 GDPGR INV EDU HEAL OPEN 5 0 BAL 5 0 yj GDPGR INV EDU HEAL ind5 5 5 ind6 5 5 ind7 5 5 ind8 5 5 ind9 5 5 ind10 5 5 ind11 5 5 ind12 5 5 ind16 5 5 ind17 5 5 ind18 5 5 ind19 5 5 ind20 5 5 ind21 5 5 ind22 5 5 ind23 5 5 ind24 5 5 ind25 5 5 INF 5 0 POPG 0 EDUS 0 POP15 0 URBAN 0 5 QUA 0 FEM 0 5 HEALS 0 FER 0 ip uy ind4 5 5 ind13 5 5 la n a lu n va L Y 0 z z ht vb System is identified at identified identified identified identified nh is is is is oi m ll fu Eq Eq Eq Eq Y 0 5 k jm om l.c gm an Lu n va y te re Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77t@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn.Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhddtt@edu.gmail.com.vn.bkc19134.hmu.edu.vn C.33.44.55.54.78.65.5.43.22.2.4 22.Tai lieu Luan 66.55.77.99 van Luan an.77.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.37.99.44.45.67.22.55.77.C.33.44.55.54.78.655.43.22.2.4.55.22 Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an.Tai lieu Luan van Luan an Do an Stt.010.Mssv.BKD002ac.email.ninhd 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