234 base year index (80 9) Moreover, in this scenario, the index increases by 31 9 units compared to SC1 (68) (Figure 7 2) The main contributor to the improvement of the energy security index is the p[.]
234 base year index (80.9) Moreover, in this scenario, the index increases by 31.9 units compared to SC1 (68) (Figure 7-2) The main contributor to the improvement of the energy security index is the positive effects of efficient investments in the energy sector Indeed, investments in the electricity sector have improved significantly, with high efficiency evidenced by the ICOR, resulting in 1.7 times more electricity in SC2 than in the non-energy-oriented scenarios In this scenario, energy import dependency is better than that of 2014 and SC1, in which the energy import dependency security index is 26.7, increasing from 14.9% in 2014 to 10.9% in 2030 The largest improvement in energy security is in the energy intensity index, which demonstrates an increase from 85.8 in 2014 to 100 in SC2, (i.e from 273.6 toe/Mn$ in 2014 to 234.8 toe/Mn$ in SC2), index (from 480.3 toe/Mn$ in SC1) Energy efficiency shows the least changed across 2014 and SC1’s energy efficiency index, with an increase of 13.8 units in the index (from 74% in 2014 to 85.8% in SC2) (see Table 72) All attributes of energy security in SC2 are likely to be significantly improved, and thus contribute greatly to both the issue of energy security issue and socio-economic progress However, the maximum level of energy security in this scenario poses a major challenge to other resources of the country, such as food and water Therefore, there is a need for more appropriate and harmonious development policies in Vietnam Table 7-2: Energy-Food-Water Security: 2014 – 2030 (SC1, SC2) Energy security Scenario Energ Energy y import- accessi depende bi-lity n-cy (%) Base year (2014) SC1 BAU SC2 Energy (%) Food security Energy Energy Energy afforda intensity diversity bi-lity (toe/Mn$ (Herfindahl (%) ) index) Energy efficien cy (%) Food accessi bi-lity (%) Food import depende n-cy (%) Water security Food afforda bi-lity (%) Water stress (%) Water afforda bi-lity (%) Water intensit y (m3/US $) -cy (%) 4.6 14.9 4.2 273.6 0.37 74.0 8.7 18.7 41.2 59.0 0.25 24.1 23.4 4.3 16.5 3.9 480.3 0.43 70.7 8.3 19.2 39.5 62.2 0.23 27.0 19.5 6.2 10.9 4.9 234.8 0.29 85.8 8.2 19.0 36.8 66.3 0.18 35.0 21.3 Source: Estimates based on modelling developed in this research Water efficien Food security With a focus on energy security, food security would be deteriorated considerably in SC2 Compounded by the pressures of population growth and industrialization, as well as the allocation of more residential and agricultural land for PV solar farms and bio energy, the negligence of policies intended to increase food production, as described in SC2, would