246 Figure 7 5 Trade offs between Energy Food Water Securities 2014 2030 (SC1, SC5) Source Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Notes Values closer to the origin describe advers[.]
246 Figure 7-5: Trade-offs between Energy-Food-Water Securities: 2014-2030 (SC1, SC5) Source: Estimates are based on modelling developed in this research Notes: Values closer to the origin describe adverse security outcomes However, total employment in SC5 is lower than that of SC2 by 9.3% (19.9 million jobs) In SC5, economic development over the 2014–2030 in will greatly impact increasing demands for energy and water, including an annual rise of 11.8 in primary energy demand and 6.9 in water demand Energy security In general, the overall energy security index of SC5 will improve moderately in terms of some indicators and significantly in others Energy security attributes—namely energy accessibility, energy import dependency, energy efficiency, energy intensity, and energy diversity—are a significant factor in this improvement Accordingly, the energy accessibility index is 16 units higher than that of the base year, 21.1 higher than SC1, 29 higher than SC3, and 25.4 higher than SC4; it is also moderately lower than SC2 (8.8) The energy affordability index is 12.7 points higher than that of the base year, 20.2 higher than SC1, 28.7 higher than SC3, 25.5 higher than SC4, but 1.7 points lower than SC2 Similarly, the energy intensity index is 7.3 higher than that of the base year, 6.9 higher than SC3, and 41.8 higher than SC4 The SC5 energy efficiency index is largely similar to the results above, with a value higher than 8.3 (corresponding to 7.6% higher energy efficiency in this scenario than currently) In addition, SC1 has a similar difference of 18.7 (for a higher efficiency of 10.9%) In comparing the value of this indicator with that of SC3, SC5 has a higher figure of 23.3 (the actual value of energy efficiency in this scenario is also higher than SC3 at 11.4) Similarly, compared to SC4, the value of energy efficiency in SC5 differs by 11.3,