PHIfONG PHAP DU BAD PHAT TRIEN MANG LUOl TRDDNG, LDP MAM NDN HUYEN D O N G A N H (HA NOD DEN NAM 2015 Quy hoach phdt frlln mpng ludi trudng mdm non (MN) cd vol Ird d^c bl| l quon hpng h ong tdng thl v[.]
PHIfONG PHAP DU BAD PHAT TRIEN MANG LUOl TRDDNG, LDP MAM NDN HUYEN D O N G A N H (HA NOD DEN N A M 2015 Q Q uy hoach phdt frlln mpng ludi trudng mdm non (MN) cd vol Ird d^c bl|l quon hpng h-ong tdng t h l vdn d l quy hopch phdt h-lln gido dgc, bdi cd quy hopch td't mdi didu ehlnh dupc quy md, ndng cao hl|u qud ddu h;, hdnh tinh h-png ncrl lhi>a ncri ihllu hudng hpc, ban hdnh chinh sdch phu hpp, tpo si/- phdt h-lln ddng b$ ddp ling yeu cdu eiia ihi/c tiln Quy hopch cd sdt ihi^c t l hay khdng, mdt h-ong nhinig y l u id quyll ^ n h Id phy thu^c vdo dg' bdo sd hpc sinh (HS) h-ong dp hjdi Hl^n nay, cd rdt nhidu phuang phdp (PP) di/ bdo khde nhu duf bdo bSng PP ngoai suy xu t h l , PP hiong quan hdi quy, PP sa dd ludng MSi PP dl/ bdo d i u cd nhung mdt uu vd nhupc d i l m ridng Tuy nhidn, d l chpn PP di/ bdo tdi uu nhd't lai phi^ thudc vdo ddi lupng di/ bdo vd eo sd thuc tien cua mSl dja phuong Qua kinh nghidm dy bdo quy hopch phdt h-lln mang ludi trudng Idp M N huydn E}dng Anh d i n ndm , bdng cdc PP khde nhau, ^ c gid dd lyo chpn dupe PP tdi uu nhd'l Id kit hap PP ngogi suy xu thi vd PPsodS luSng Si) dyng PP ngopi suy xu t h l d l dl/ bdo sd trd sinh h>ng ndm cho d i n thdi d i l m dl/ bdo, k l l hpp su dyng PP so dd ludng d l tinh tdng sd h-d Irong dd hjdl M N iheo hing ndm S I ) dyng k l l hpp PP di/ bdo ndy dpt hidu qud cao, vi dp bdo vdng ndm ihi it nhd'l la dd cd sd trd dd hjdi M N ciio ndm, cdng thdm sd trd dy bdo ciia ndm tilp theo, nhu vdy tinh xdc sud't cao hon cdc PP dy bdo khde Trong qud h-inh dy bdo, khdng ndn dy bdo dya hrdn sd li$u long hpp eua todn huydn vl tmh xdc sud't khdng cao, lpi khd thye hl^n quy hoach eho tiing xd Cdch Idm hidu qud nhdt Id linh quy hopch eho lung xd, h'nh xdc sudt coo lpi hpp vdl ihyc tiln vd h-ong qud Irinh xdc djnh quy md, mpng ludi Irudng Idp ciia hing xd d l thyc hi^n hon I Tap chifilaodue s6 (ki i • 7/goia) ThS e i N H THI H U C f N G ' Quy Irinh dy bdo Budc 1: Xdc djnh rd quan diim vd m^c //du q t ^ hogch Xdy dyng vd phdt h-|ln mpng ludi Irudng Idp theo hudng kidn cdhod, hl^n dpi hod, chudn hod vd ddp ling nhu cdu chdm sdc nudi dudng trd ngdy cdng cao cua cha m^ HS Huy d$ng cdc ngudn lye cho f^dt h-iln sy nghiap GD-DT bdng cdch thdng qua da dpng hod edc k)pl hinh Irudng kSp Theo dd, djnh mue: - Ldp/ hudng M N : 15-20 nhdm, Idp/hudng; - Nhd hd: 15-20 h-d/ldp; - Mau gido bd 20-25 trd/ldp; - M5u gido nhd: 25-30 frd/ldp; - M5u gido Idn: 30-35 h"d/ldp; - Hd sd vdng quay phdng hpc/ldp hoe: ; - Djnh miic dd't td'l thilu cho HS: 12mVtrd Quy hopch mgng ludi h-udng Idp phO hpp vdi ^ a bdn ciia hing xd, thj Iran, phd'n dd'u mSi xd cd it nhdt -2 hudng cdng lap; chia Idch 15 hiidng M N cd sd lupng nhdm, Idp vupt qud quy ^ n h ; gom mpt sd dilm Id vdo cdc dilm chfnh, xod todn bd cde phdng phdng cdp 4; hip Kic cdi tao edc d i ^ hudng chua dO didu k i ^ vd CSVC ihdnh ede dilm hudng dii dieu kien Phdn ddu din 2015 thu but 74% frd nhd trd vd mdu gido d ^ hudng; 50% Irudng M N dot Chudn qude gia; cdi tpo ndng cdp edc dilm trudng chua didu Iddn thdnh cde ^ I m hudng dO didu kidn Budc 2: Ting /ipp sd'trS sinh hdng nOm cOa h>ng xd (NguSn thing kS ddn s^ki hogch hod gia dinh) Cdn cii K Id frd sinh cOo mdi xa, th! *r6n ihdi dilm ndm 2010 Idm chudn d l dung PP tdng t h l dy bdo sd h-d sinh ro todn huy§n d i n ndm 2015 bdng PP ngopi suy xu t h l vdl cdch h'nh iheo hdm sd cdng nhu sou: Hdm ^ cdng cd dpng PI = Po(l +rt) hong dd PI Id ddn sdndm dy bdo, Po Id ddn sdgdc, R Id H Id Idng hoy gidm hdng ndm; t Id thdi gian h> ' PMu Cite (hfc - Uo 190 lnqr(i Bta| i U , Iti Nti # nflm g ^ d^n nOm dy bdo VI dy xd B6c H6ng Po = 261 (tri sinh ro nam 2010 Id g6c), thl ddn si nam 2011 Id: PI - Po(1+r.t| v6l R = 0.0613; T=1;P1.261(1+0.0613*1).277, TeJng s6'chuySn dl: 5.299 ngudi (tl 1^ 1,50%), Telng sS chuyin d^n: 13.044 (ti If 3,71 %) Tjng c^ng ddn s6 tdng: 6.386 ngudi (tl l# 1,81%) Tahlfu chinh 1,81%/nam vdo bdng dudi dSy, theo cdng thiic: Ddn sd' Irong d? ludi MN ds SovMIri S6\ti SO t r i CX/bioifilriilnrini hiiu chinh (ndm 2015)- ddn sd Irong di luSl •Inhnlm Hnh (Mn201G TT T t n x l 2010 MN chua hiiu chinh (ndm 20151 x (1+1,81%! nAm 2010 T l i ( 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 S6 - 1710 X 1,0181 - 1741 Tinh tuong tv nhu P1 Iri T-1 T-2 T-a T-4 T-6 UcHdna 245 341 zei 16 0.0613 277 tm TOO WFi v^/, to duQC ddn s6 todn huyfn VI dv: H m|tr