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With the development of social networks, more and more information, topics are shared, discussed, and attracted a lot of users The problems of detecting, analyzing and predicting for hot topics are interested in research due to their high practical meaning in different application areas such as marketing and content promotion

Through studying the problem and related works, we have grasped and surveyed the hot topic prediction problem about the situation and challenges as well as the characteristics and predictive models used for the problem On that basis, we have proposed combining feature groups and developing methods to form positive and negative data samples for the problem of hot topic prediction Then we solve the problem as a binary classification problem with a machine learning approach, using supervised learning algorithms With the above suggestions for the dissertation, we have stated a problem, developed a solution, and conducted rigorous and complete evaluation experiments to create a comparative basis for the following works Experimental results were positive, improved with suggestions of the thesis, for the hot topic prediction problem

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DANH MӨC TӮ VIӂT TҲT

API Application Programming Interface

GBDT Gradient Boosting Decision Tree

PAA Piecewise aggregate approximation

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1 https://zephoria.com/top-15-valuable-facebook-statistics/

2 http://www.internetlivestats.com/twitter-statistics/

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.ӃW TXҧ SKөWKXӝFUҩWOӟQYjo ÿӝUӝQJFӫD NKXQJWKӡLJLDQ GӵEiR KLNKXQJWKӡLJLDQFyÿӝUӝQJOӟQNӃWTXҧGӵEiRPDQJWtQKFKXQJFKXQJ, NK{QJFKLWLӃWĈӝUӝQJFӫDNKXQJWKӡLJLDQFNJQJÿѭӧFÿLӅXFKӍQKWKHRWӯQJORҥLFKӫÿӅ VӟLFiFFKӫÿӅYӅFiFVҧQSKҭPNLQKGRDQKÿӝUӝQJFӫDNKXQJWKӡLJLDQFyWKӇÿѭӧFÿһWOjPӝWQJj\ VӟLFiFFKӫÿӅYӅVӵNLӋQYj WLQWӭFÿӝUӝQJÿѭӧFÿһWQKӓKѫQÿӇÿҧPEҧRWtQKFұSQKұW FӫDFiFNӃWTXҧGӵEiR

3.2 CÁC CÂU HӒI NGHIÊN CӬU

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QjRÿHPOҥLNӃWTXҧGӵEiRWӕWYjәQÿӏQK"/LӋXFyFiFKNӃWKӧS QjRÿӇnhóm

FiFÿһFWUѭQJYӟLQKDXÿӇFKRNӃWTXҧWӕWKѫQNK{QJ"

2 9ӟLFiFÿһFWUѭQJQKyPÿһFWUѭQJQKѭYұ\P{KuQKGӵEiRQjROjWKtFKKӧS"

3 1Kѭ SKҫQ SKiW ELӇX EjL WRiQ FK~QJ W{L QKұQ WKҩ\ QKX FҫX Gӵ EiR FӫD QJѭӡL

GQJÿѭӧFWKӇKLӋQTXDJLiWUӏFӫD FiFWKDPVӕܭ và u1KѭYұ\YӟLFiFÿһF

EjL ÿăQJ BjL WRiQ Fy QKLӅX GҥQJ Gӵ EiR khác nhau QKѭ ÿm ÿѭӧF WUuQK Ej\ ӣ SKҫQ

WUѭӟF VӟL GҥQJ Gӵ EiR WURQJ FiF NKXQJ WKӡL JLDQ NӃ WLӃS NӃW KӧS YӟL Gӵ EiR ÿӏQK

OѭӧQJ FKRPӭFÿӝQyQJFӫDFKӫÿӅ, công trình [12] JҫQÿk\ FKӍPӟLÿҥWNӃWTXҧFKѭD