Hoi nghi khoa hoc ki thuat md qudc ti 2010 Cong nghiep md tien tien vi su phat trien bin viing N G H I E N C t J t J SIS A N T O A N T A I K H U V T J C S A N X U A T T R O N G M O TS HAO xiaohua D a[.]
Hoi Cong nghi khoa nghiep md N G H I E N C t J t J SIS hoc ki thuat tien tien md qudc vi su phat ti trien bin 2010 viing A N T O A N T A I K H U VTJC S A N X U A T T R O N G MO TS HAO xiaohua D a i hoc K h o a hoc va C o n g t r i n h A n toan D a i hoc K y thuat L i e u N i n h , F u x i n , T r u n g Quoc Tdm tat: Dica tren suphdn tich toan dien cdc yen td nguy hiem qua trinh khai thac mo, tien hanh nghien ciai sitan toan khu vitc san xudt mo bang phuang phap tiep can danh gid tong hop tap md, xu ly so can tnic phan tich (AHP), i(ng dung ly thuyet bien doi tap md vd nguyen ly cap vien cao nM't Su an toan ddc thu cua khai trudng duoc xac dinh thong qua viec danh gid tdng hop Ket qua nghien ciai cho thay sutiep can danh gid tong hop tap md cd tinh den cdc yeu to khdc anh hudng tdi he thdng vd cho kit qua tot hon Ket qua nghien ciai cung cap co sd ly thuyet vd thuc tien de danh gid suan toan khu vuc san xudt cdc mo Tdkhod: danh gid tong hop tap md, khai thdc mo, cap viin cao nha't, an toan mo Ma dau: Than da la n g u o n nang l u o n g c h i n h va nguyen l i e u tho quan a Trung Qudc Than c h i e m v i t r i chien luoc quan trong nen k i n h te quoc gia T u y nhien, nhung su co mo than thuang xay ra, dac biet cac tai nan n g h i e m m o co hau qua tac dong cue ky n g h i e m H e thdng k h a i thac than bao g d m n g u d i - thiet b i - m d i trudng - to chuc quan l y dugc tao nen b d i nhieu yeu td Cd n h i £ u bien d o i k h o n g t u d n g m i n h (md) giua cac trang thai an toan cua he thdng va hai trang thai gan k h o n g cd ranh gidi rd rang Chinh n h d viec t i m dugc cac yeu t d ca ban anh h u d n g t d i sir an toan md than, chung ta cd the ap d u n g cac bien phap thich hgp de cai thien van de an toan m d Nhu v&y, toan hgc tap m d dugc d u n g de danh gia toan dien sir an toan k h u vuc san xuat m d [ 1 C o sd t o a n hoc d a n h gia t o n g h o p t a p m d D a n h gia tong hop tap m d la irng dung l y thuyet bien d o i tap m d va nguyen ly cap vien cao nhat, x e m xet cac yeu t d khac cd quan he v d i d d i tuong danh gia va xet tdng hop D a n h gia tong hop tap m d duoc phan danh gia m o t mdc va danh gia nhieu muc, bao g d m phan co ban: 1) Thiet lap pham v i yeu t d ciia d d i tuong danh gia: U = { u i , U , u m } Cu the la he thdng yeu t d danh gia cd the dugc xac d i n h dau tien, g i a i quyet van di nhirng yeu to nao duoc sir d u n g va tir chiing d i n h h u d n g danh gia d d i tugng thuc 2) Xac d i n h p h a m v i miic nhan xet: V ={vi, V , v } n Xac d i n h p h a m v i se nhan duoc vecta danh gia tap m d sir d u n g de danh gia tong hop tap m d T h d n g t i n ve cap vien ciia d d i tugng danh gia d d i n g h i c h c d i cac miic nhan xet dugc bieu t h i d v i i n g tap m d nay, nd phan anh t i n h chat k h o n g rd rang cua sir danh gia Sau xir l y , ket qua nhan dugc se tao dieu k i e n thuan l g i de t i n h toan tiep cac chi sd cap vien d d i chieu 460 Hoi Cong nghi khoa nghiep hoc ki thuat mo tien tien md quoc vi su phat te - trien 2010 ben viing 3) Danh gia yeu to don u, Uj (i-1,2, , m) Xac dinh cap vien cua ddi tuong d d i n g h i c h v d i muc V tir p h d i canh ciia U i ( i = l , 2, ; n) va nhan duoc m o t tap hop danh gia don ddi vdi Uj: ' = ( '', ^, , » a ) tap hop U va ta md ta la n £ fl = a,>0(i=l,2, ,n) 6) Lua chon toan tir phuc hop va tien hanh danh gia tong hop [3] M o hinh ca ban danh gia tdng hop tap m d cd the duoc the hien n h u sau: a day: B = A °R o la toan tir phuc hop Ta chon M (• + ) l a m m d h i n h t i n h toan B la tap hop mdc thd nhat danh gia tong hop, ky hieu B= (bi,b2, ,b ) , dd la not tap m hop tap m d tap hop nhan xet V N e u ta danh gia t o n g hop ket qua m £ b, * se dugc dang chuan tac D a n h g i a t o n g h o p t a p m d k h u v u c san x u a t m d Bai bao lay m d than F u x i n d L i e u N i n h l a m v i d u n g h i e n ciru su an toan k h u vuc san xuat md X a c d i n h t a p h o p cac y e u t d d a n h g i a Theo cac nguyen l y da thiet lap , chung t d i nghien cuu su an toan k h u vuc san xuat mo F u x i n Phan t i c h quan he giua cac yeu t d khac va chuc nang ciia cac yeu t d tir phan g d m c d Con n g u d i - Thiet b i - M d i t r u d n g - D i e u hanh quan l y , de xac d i n h he thdng danh gia k h u vuc san xuat m d ( H i n h 1) 461 Hoi nghi khoa hoc kT thuat mo qudc ti - 2010 Cong nghiep mo tien tien vi su phat trien ben viing Chi so danh gia sir an toan khai truong mo Fuxin Con nguoi a O e> c ST < » S3" C K> a 5" < — Q & a cr D Hinh Moi truong Thiet bi a JO =r w So K B ?: < o w O' n =r o>, TO O =r cau true < yeu EE o 5- 3s r 3 < 3" 5^ B' ro ET td danh gid i Q E < nv S> o s;' c o 3- (To c &/ Dieu hanh an toan ro B & 3" 3 — C S an toan khu vuc khai thdc md 2.2 Xac dinh pham vi cac miirc nhan xet Sau phan tich tong hop va nghien ciru khu vuc san xuat mo Fuxin, chung toi phan chia trang thai an toan mo muc: v={ an toan, kha an toan, binh thuong, kha nguy hiem, nguy hi6m } 2.3 Xac dinh cua moi yeu td va tap hop danh gia yeu td don [4] Trong luong neu d day la khai niem tuong ddi Trong luong ciia mdi yeu td he thdng cac yeu td danh gia bieu thi tam quan tuong ddi ciia yeu td dd cho phep thuc hien muc tieu va chuc nang danh gia Tinh hop ly ciia luong duoc xac dinh se ah hudng true tiep tdi cac ket qua danh gia Cd nhieu each xac dinh luong Bai bao sir dung phuong phap xir ly so cau true phan tich (ALTP) de phan tich tong hop Mdi yeu to duoc danh gia chii yeu dua theo diem sd chuyen gia vdi quan diem khoa hoc, don gian va di thuc hien Ket qua danh gia neu d Bang 462 c OS n3 C 3 — 09 r> (a a o Hdi Cong nghi khoa nghiep md hoc tien kT thuat tien mo quoc vi su phat te - trien 2010 ben Bang Gid tri trqng luong cdc yeu to khdc xa ket qua danh C h i so' Chi s6' d a n h gia muc d£u tien va t r o n g d a n h gia Trong An muc lugng toan thu Kha Binh an thuan toan viing gid Kha nguy Nguy hiem hidm g luong hai Con n g u o i Ull 0.32 10 0.37 0.35 0.08 0.10 U] Un 0.12 46 0.25 0.08 0.14 0.07 ( 0.26) U] 0.56 22 0.31 0.28 0.10 0.09 Quan l y an U] 0.26 11 0.32 0.33 0.15 0.09 u 2 0.47 30 0.50 0.20 0 u 0.27 27 0.40 0.27 0.05 0.01 U1 0.05 30 0.50 0.10 0.07 0.03 U32 0.107 21 0.23 0.12 0.22 0.22 U33 0.35 23 0.22 0.15 0.20 0.20 U34 0.493 12 0.17 0.24 0.22 0.25 U 0.045 12 0.24 0.30 0.16 0.18 U42 0.465 10 0.22 0.56 0.06 0.06 U43 0.149 20 0.35 0.26 0.12 0.07 U44 0.257 41 0.42 0.11 0.06 U45 0.084 33 0.17 0.21 0.14 0.15 toan u ( 0.06) M6i trudng u (0.12) Phuang t i e n u ( 0.56) 2.4 ] T h i e t l a p m a t r a n d a n h gia 2.4.1 M u c d a n h gia d a u t i e n 1) Yeu to n g u d i ( u i ) 0 0 =(0.38 0.12 0.38 0.12)o 26 35 48 17 0 0 53 45 15 42 0 0 13 13 25 12 = (0.3436 0.3628 0.1744 0.0720 0.0472) Cac tinh toan tiep theo tuong tir n h u tren: 2) Y e u t d quan l y an toan B W = A W (U2) R -(0.242 0) 0.3557 0.2852 0.0785 0.0386) 3) Yeu td ve sinh mdi trudng (U3) B = 7» (D , o £