TAP 31 CHI PHAT TRIEN NHAN LL/C, SO 4(20)-2010 THAPNIENSOIilONIINHATTHEIillil THOI C A N - HIEN DAI TRAN NHU (') T jiap Men thtt nhat the ky XXI - M nam 2001 den het nam 2010 - dttdc coi la thap Men sdi ddng nhat the gidi teong vong nMeu team nam qua, bdi vi nMeu sif kien da va dang lam thay ddi ve ban chat nMeu gia tri ma chu ngMa M ban the gidi tMet lap va ap dat len toan the gidi may the ky qua va tham vpng ap dat nMeu the ky ntta Mot Id, cac gia tri va than Mdng quyen life My bi danh ddn cM ttt qua cude tan cdng khung bd bang nhttng cMec may bay chd khach phan life: hai cMec pha huy tan mdng tda thap ddi New York, bieu Mdng cua sttc manh kinh tetirumlen toan the gidi cua chu ngMa M ban ddc quyen xuyen qudc gia My; mot chiec danh sap mdt gdc Lau nam gdc, bieu Mdng cua sttc manh quan stt My Ttt dd den nay, nttdc My khdng bao gid cdn dttdc coi la "dc dao bat kha xam pham" (nhan dinh cua bao cM My nhan ky mem nam vu td ehttc 11-9-2010 tai cac dia diem bi khung bd) Hai la, cude "thap tif cMnh" George Bush phat ddng tan cdng Afghamstan (thang 11-2001) va dac biet cude tan cdng xam Ittdc Iraq (thang 3-2003) da vi pham tat ca nhttng tieu chuan td'i tMeu cua cdng phap qud'e te^ vdi vd van ly nguy tao va nguy bien Cuoc cMen tranh diet " TS Triet hpc, nguyen Trudng ban Triet, Vien Nghien ciiu phat trien chung va ettdp doat da can ban that bai (ngttdi My khdng gpi la thaft bai nhttng cung khdng dung mdt M nao ndi la cMen tiiang) Hdn 4.500 linh My hang tram linh danh thue chet tran, hdn 50.000 linh My va Hnh chtt hau bi thttdng, hang ngan binh linh khac rdi vao chttng loan than kinh NMeu ngMn ty USD da bien teo bui ma nhttng muc tieu cdt yen vIn xa vdi Dd la: Cttdp doat kho dau md khdng chi cua Iraq - kiem soat hoan toan Trung Ddng - bupc ca the' gidi chap nhan mpi yeu sach cua chu ngMa M ban ddc quyen xuyen qudc gia My tedng cac van de qudc te, dd rat quan trpng la "Toan cau hda chinh tri" dttdi quyen ap dat cua chu ngMa cifc quyen ddn phttdng Cude chien teanh Afghamstan dang trd ganh nang va rat cd the la tran dia quyet dinh so' phan cua tdng thd'ng Barack Obama neu dng ta khdng nhanh chdng nit Mi nhtt da quyet dinh nit Mi khdi Iraq (thang 8/2010 nit het quan cMen dau va het nam 2011 rut het 50.000 quan cdn lai) Hai cude cMen tranh da khang dinh sttc manh da bi han che tdi mtte td'i tMeu cua My Chinh sach de dpa bang chien tranh huy diet khdng edn dpa dttdc nMeu ngttdi, va lai sttc manh cua My la cd gidi han, het thdi ttt Mng ttt tac rdi! Ba la, cude khung hoang tai chinh - tien te bat ngudn ttt nhieu nguyen nhan, mdt nhttng nguyen nhan chu yeu la hau qua nhan tien khdng tranh khdi hai cude chien tranh 32 xam Ittdc AfghaMstan va Iraq George W Bush phat ddng va that bai (ngttdi My gpi la khdng thang) Ke den la stt sup cua thuyet trpng tien cua chu ngMa Mban ddc quyen xuyen qudc gia (Neohberahsm) vdi viec trao qua nhieu quyen cho cac tap doan tai pMet ngan hang tai chinh Cude khung hoang khdng cM lam tMet hai nMeu ngMn ty USD cho the gidi M ban ddc quyen xuyen qudc gia, trttdc het la My, va hau qua het sttc nang ne dd len dau cac nttdc ngheo va dan ngheo (ca long nttdc My va hang loat nttdc ttt ban chu ngMa phat trien) Cude khung hoang cung ddng thdi ket thuc vai trd kiem soat thi trttdng tai chinh cua My va khdng cM hnh vttc tai chinh, hdn the, ca vai trd cua cac nttdc M ban phat trien nhat tap hdp "C^u lac bd G7" Mot "cau lac bd" mdi ddi cd ten la G20 (gdm G7, EU va 11 nen kinh te' mdi ndi tai cac chau luc) trd td ehttc quyet dinh xu the phat trien cua the gidi, tat nMen ca hnh vttc tai chinh - ngan hang Stt kien ddng thdi md giai doan mdi: trung tam kinh te the gidi dang bien ddi va dich ehuyen Bdn Id, the gidi dang dttng trttdc van de sd'ng cdn bien ddi kM hau Nhttng gi dien cM nam 2010 thdi du de keo cdi bao ddng: nhiet dp tang baft thttdng gay nhieu hau qua nghiem trpng ve ngttdi, rttng d chau Au (dac biet d Nga), chau My, lii lut kinh hoang d Pakistan, Trung Qudc va nMeu ndi khac Nghi dinh thtt Kyodo het han nam 2012 song Lien Hiep Qudc vIn cdn lung tung ve viec ky ket mdt thoa thuan mdi cat giam kM thai gay Meu ttng nha kinh, dang lam thay ddi kM hau tren pham vi toan cau, khdng chtta mdt ndi nao Hdi nghi Copenhagen (Dan Mach, thang 12-2009) chi dttdc mdt thdng cao chung chung nham khang dinh hdi nghi khdng that bai chtt khdng dat dttdc bat ett mdt thda thuan cu the nao Vi ldi ich Ich ky, ngttdi ta dang thtte stt day trai dat vao tham hpa khdng teanh khdi va nhttng ngttdi, nhttng nttdc thua tMet trttdc het va nMeu nhaft la ca tram nttdc ngheo vdi 3, ty ngttdi! Dd la chtta ndi den vu d nhiim the ky nd gian TRAN NHU - THAP NIEN SOI D O N G khoan dau md teen vinh Mexico bdi tac trach vi sieu ldi nhuan, lam hang chuc trieu thung dau thd tran bien Mnh tang dau keo dai 35 km, rpng km, gay hau qua het sttc tdi te, chtta Mng cd hch stt Ndm la, sdng than, ddng daft, bao lu xay cifc ky ngMem trpng: Sdng than 26-122004 tran ddng dat ngoai khdi Sumatra gay ettdp smh mang cua hdn 200.000 ngttdi d cac nttdc chau A, chau PM, pha tan hoang nMeu cdng trinh dan sinh tai nMeu nttdc Tran ddng dat thang 5-2008 lam tMet mang gan 90.000 ngttdi va pha tan ca mdt phd' d tinh Ttt Xuyen (Trung Qudc); ddng dat hdn 7,5 dp Richter lam tan hoang nMeu thi tra'n, lang mac d Nam CMle; lu lut d Pakistan cudn tedl hang ngan ngttdi va hang van nha ctta, pha nat cd sd tang ky thuat teen mdt dien tich rpng Idn d Pakistan lam tMet hai tren 50 ty USD, anh httdng tnfc tiep den hdn 25 trieu ngttdi; lu lut d Trung Qud'e lam tMet mang hang tram ngttdi, gay tMet hai tren 40 ty USD Sau la, bien ddi kM hau ma mdi trttdng sdng cua hdn ty ngttdi trd nen bap benh hdn Me nao hang loat dich benh mdi phat sinh kM can benh the ky AIDS vIn vd phttdng cutt chtta Trong thap Men thtt nhat the ky XXI da xuat Men dich SARS - cum gia cam H5N1 va cud'i nam 2009 cum H l N l xuat phat ttt Mexico da mdt phen lam the gidi phai lo lang Dich cum dang trd de tai ban cai sdi ndi ve each hanh xtt md am cua nhttng ehuyen gia cao cap WHO "an hoa hdng" bac ty USD cua cac tap doan dttdc pham ma bao ddng khdng dung ve dai dich cum, bupc hang chuc nttdc cd ca nhttng nttdc ngheo - phai bd nhttng khoan ngoai te manh mua thudc de huy Mdi day, lai xuat Men nMeu Men trang dang lo ngai mdi: vi khuan khang mpi loai thudc (d nMeu nttdc thudc cac chau luc), loai bp can chet ngttdi (d Trung Qudc) at la hau qua cua stt bien ddi kM hau bat thttdng! Do bien ddi kM hau baft thttdng da va dang tiep tue lam cho khiing hoang Ittdng thtte trd nen nguy Mem Gia gao va bdt mi tang gan gap hai Ian rttdl cdn Idc khung hoang kinh 33 TRAN NHU - THAP NIEN SOI DONG te khdi ngudn M My (thang 12-2007) den thang 5-2008 Nam 2010, san Ittdng Ma mi cua Nga that thu 1/3, cua Canada cung that thu han han, Trung Qud'e, Pakistan that thu lu lut, gay hau qua xau Nga bupc phai ban hanh lenh ca'm xuat khau Ma mi dang gay lo ngai cho hang tram trieu ngttdi ngheo teen the gidi Bay la, nhttng diem ndng hat nhan tiep tue thach thtte an ninh the gidi va dang diin bien phttc tap Du dttdi sttc ep cua My, Hoi ddng Bao an Lien Hiep Qudc da thdng qua nghi quye't thtt trifng phat Iran, nhttng Lien bang Nga, vd'n cd quyen ldi kinh te rat Idn d Iran, du phai ddng ^ thdng qua nghi quyet nhttng lai tiep tue xay dttng nha may dien hat nhan va M chdi mpi bien phap cam van khac khac Trung Qudc cung gan bd vdi dau md cua Iran cho nen du phai thdng qua Nghi quyet nhttng khdng chap nhan cac bien phap cifc doan Iran dang cd ldi the teong van de Cho nen, van de hat nhan cua Iran that stt chi trd ndng dd'i vdi My va ddng minh than can Israel Trong kM van de hat nhan Trieu Tien khdng nam quyen life quyet dinh cud'i cung cua My ma cdn hen quan tdi cac nttdc khac, cac van de khac va khdng he ddn gian (vi dang xuift M8n hang Mat van de bat ddng ndi com tai Ddng Bac A) Tdm la, cuoc hda dam Palestm - Israel dttdc ndi lai sau nam gian doan vdi khang dinh cua phia My la ndi teong vong mot nam (den thang 9-2011) hai ben hoan dam phan tien tdi ky Hiep dinh ve viec lap Nha nttdc Palestm ddc lap va cdng nhan an mnh cua Nha nttdc Do Thai Neu chinh quyen Obama that sif bupc ngttdi Do Thai chap nhan mdt Hiep dinh nhtt vay tiii qua la tao bttdc ngoat het sttc cd y ngMa van de cifc ky phttc tap Nhttng nhttng ngttdi lac quan nhat cd qua nMeu ly de ndi rang, cM la ehuyen cd tich bdi vi du neu qua that My mud'n nhttng Israel khdng mud'n tM My lam dttdc gi? Va lai My dung nha nttdc phuc vu ldi Ich trttdc het la cua My khu vttc sud't thap Men qua; bay gid tinh Mnh khu vttc rdi ram hdn bao gid tM lam hp lai bupc ddng minh cua minh nhtt vay! Va lai, cd the dng Obama that stt cd tMen cM mud'n giai quyet van de tdn tai da hdn 60 nam cho nen bupc dttdc ca hai ben ngdi lai vdi nam thtt hai nMem ky tdng thdng cua minh (chtt khdng phai nhtt George W.Bush va trttdc dd la BiU Chnton, trttdc dtt Man gay gat cua toan the gidi hp cung trieu tap hai ben nhulig vao gid chdt nMem ky cua hp, va kM hda dam tan vd tM cung la thdi diem hai dng vinh viin rdi khdi Nha Trang), edn nhtt cd bupc dttdc dng thu Mdng Do Thai cifc httu hay khdng, lai la ehuyen khac hoan toan Nhittig mdi day My cdng bd da dat dttdc thda thuan ban cho Arabia Saudi sd vu kM Men dai tri gia tdi 60 ty USD chac chan khdng phai de lam diu tinh Mnh cang thang, dan den nen hda binh va dn dinh lau dai cho khu vifc bat dn sud't 60 nam nay! Cd mdt dieu gidi binh Man ndi va viet cdng khai rang, la tdng thd'ng da mau dau tien teong hch stt 234 nam cua Hdp chung qud'e (1776-2010) nhttng teong toan bd cac van de ve chinh sach dd'i ngoai, dng Obama la "ban sao" cua tat ca cac tdng thdng da trang tien nMem, teong do, quan trpng hang dau la chinh sach Trung Ddng MIIM