Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 12 pps

... to price this option using Crystal Ball and OptQuest. This method uses OptQuest’s tabu search to identify an 186 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 12. 14 Distribution of the ... below. 170 184 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 12. 12 Decision table from model in BullSpread.xls to simulate the return on a bull spread f...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... tool. 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two diffe...

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... problem: 138 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 9.4 Optimal asset allocations and sustainable withdrawal rates for two planning horizons. Horizon LCS SCS CB USGB Spend 30-year .25 .12 ... problem, and gives financial planners an idea of how to use Crystal Ball and OptQuest to demonstrate to their clients the risks involved in retirement planning. 136...

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... Crystal Ball Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal ... NPV and IRR 107 Capital Budgeting 111 Customer Net Present Value 121 CHAPTER 8 Modeling Financial Statements 125 Deterministic Model 125 Tornado Char...

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... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND...

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... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppose a random sample of ... is lognormally distributed. 46 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.11 Triangular(90,100,110) assumption used for modeling revenue in Figure 4 .12. FIGURE 4...

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... second quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... through K are hidden. 94 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL different values for Abandon Point and seven different values for Expansion Point. If we used...

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... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the simulation, see the Crystal Ball User Manual ... here. FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball...

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... 3, 4, and 5, where each Z t is drawn from a 116 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.11 Spider chart. analysis of the relationships between the randomly generated inputs and ... cash flow) 112 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.6 ScooterNPV.xls spreadsheet model. In the next section, we use this model to demonstrate the...

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... up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 128 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8.4 Crystal Ball model for income statement in Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 ... Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8.5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2.xls. The values of the C...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20