... and affiliated pro shops. It plans to
28
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHNCHARNES
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
■
Crystal Ball ... 249
Glossary 251
References 255
Index 263
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHNCHARNES
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Analyzing CrystalBall Forecasts
27
PRESENTING THE RESULTS
The ... at
www.wiley.com.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Charnes, John Martin.
Financial modelingwithcrystalballandExcel / John M. Charnes.
p. cm.—(Wiley finance series)
‘‘Published simultaneously...
... Confererences.
xvii
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHNCHARNES
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Contents
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xv
About the Author xvii
CHAPTER 1
Introduction 1
Financial Modeling ... Assumptions 36
Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36
Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54
Specifying Correlations 63
vii
10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
■
Crystal Ball gives ... at
www.wiley.com.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Charnes, John Martin.
Financial modelingwithcrystalballandExcel / John M. Charnes.
p. cm.—(Wiley finance series)
‘‘Published simultaneously...
... 18 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero
(0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more.
26 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two
different allocations into stocks and bonds ... Figure 2.2, the
possible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal
14 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative frequency chart showing accumulated...
... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to
28
32 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the
deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model.
30 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions ... selecting and specifying CrystalBall assumptions.
Building a CrystalBall Model
31
FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and
normal distributions. To see all of CrystalBall s...
... to disk and
reload it on demand. By default whenever you import large DTED les GROME will
break the region into multiple zones and hide them. Someone new to GROME might
be confused by a lengthy ... map on an island, you will want
lots of detail for the land and less in the sea region. However, game engines such
as Unity, UDK, and Ogre3 Dare are not easily adapted to deal with such variability ... document and the art lead has tasked us with
creating the exterior map for the "Volcano Lair" of the evil Doctor Yes and his
sidekick, Professor Maybe. Our game features the propitious handsome...
... Use a modeling tool that supports linkage and traceability between requirements and
use cases.
9. Link requirements to use cases by dragging and dropping.
8. Avoid dysfunctional requirements by ... through code and test
ã Update the process with a few new tricks we’ve learned over the years, and fully lever-
age some advances in modeling tools
ã Update the book to be current with the new ... “magic qualities” of learning by doing. The ICONIX Jumpstart courses are very
practical and hands-on; they draw students in by encouraging them to learn new skills by
practicing, often on the real...
... with lipid vesicles,
and their permeabilization, correlated with an increase in the
intrinsic fluorescence and a-helical content of the protein,
and with aggregation, which were not detected with
lysophospholipids. ... for the amide IÂ band (between 1600 and
1700 cm
)1
, with h ẳ 0 ). The integrals were calculated
from the corrected spectra, that with suffix L from the lipid
alone, and that with sufx amide IÂ ... lysophospholipids
and fatty acids, was confirmed by standard TLC and
electrospray ionization mass spectroscopy. Ammodytin I
2
alone did not affect ostreolysin-induced hemolysis, and
was not hemolytic by itself,...
... of theAND, OR,NAND, and NOR gates. Gates
of the same shape are enabled by the same Control level. ANDand NAND gates are enabled
by a HIGH on the Control input and inhibited by a LOW. OR and NOR ... conditions:
1. When A AND B AND C are all LOW, OR
2. When A is LOW AND B AND C are HIGH, OR
3. When A is HIGH AND B AND C are LOW.
KEY TERMS
FIGURE 3.16
Digital Circuit with
Unknown Function
Table ... newer way of representing standard logic gates is outlined in
IEEE/ANSI Standard 91-1984, a standard copublished by the Institute of Electrical and
3.2 ã Sum-of-Products and Product-of-Sums Forms...
... R
2
and z ∈ C’. You could leave the reader to guess at what you mean by x by its
first use, but some readers would misunderstand, and your referee would wonder
why you did not just come out and ... operations: , and . As per basic algebraic custom, and are
evaluated before
and , so is seven, and is five.
TWO TYPES OF DIVISION There are two ways to answer the question, “What
is 11 divided by 3?” ... and ever-
changing, but much of that is just
churn on the syntactic surface. The
fundamental concepts, conceived
by mathematicians with an eye to-
ward the simplicity and elegance of
pencil -and- paper...
... although to understand this point you need
to understand functions and global and local variables, which are covered later.
A variable’s value can be recalled or changed by the script, and when you ... Working with JavaScript
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So, you need to divide the
daysRemaining
by
86400000
to ... Works in Netscape 2 and
IE4 and later versions.
443
Chapter 11: Learning JavaScript
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