financial modeling with crystal ball

... shops. It plans to 28 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball gives approximate ... portfolio. Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Introduction 5 FIGURE 1.1 Simple profit model in Profit.xls. Cells C5:C7 are defined as Crystal Ball assumptions. Cell C11 is a Crystal Ball forecast. In ... 249 Glossary 251 References 255 Index 263 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Analyzing Crystal Ball Forecasts 27 PRESENTING THE RESULTS The...

Ngày tải lên: 18/02/2014, 07:20

... 28 Simulation Modeling Process 28 Defining Crystal Ball Assumptions 29 Running Crystal Ball 32 Sources of Error 33 Controlling Model Error 35 CHAPTER 4 Selecting Crystal Ball Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s ... Confererences. xvii Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Contents Preface xi Acknowledgments xv About the Author xvii CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1 Financial Modeling ... Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball gives approximate rather than exact solutions. This ‘‘limitation’’...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... click Start. Crystal Ball will run 2,000 trials for each of the nine allocations. When Crystal Ball finishes its decision table analysis, you should see a new worksheet with nine Crystal Ball forecasts ... 30 percent chance that you will actually accumulate the mean wealth or more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years ... Wealth greater than the corresponding monetary value on the horizontal axis. 12 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.1 Spreadsheet segment from Accumulate.xls showing accumulated...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... simulation with Crystal Ball can be regarded as a sophisticated form of ‘‘what-if’’ analysis, as the program will keep track of all these changes during its run. Further, with Crystal Ball it is ... cell first Crystal Ball needs to recognize the location as a number cell. In Crystal Ball 7.2 and higher, when you attempt to define an assumption in an empty cell, a value of 0 Building a Crystal Ball ... and specifying Crystal Ball assumptions. Building a Crystal Ball Model 31 FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and normal distributions. To see all of Crystal Ball s distributions,...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppose ... Figure 4.24. For example, we chose to rank with the FIGURE 4.27 Goodness-of-fit statistics for data in file Lognormal.xls. 52 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.19 Mixture model ... the 68 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.33 Calculate Correlation Coefficient dialog for cell H2 in file PearsonSpearman.xls. FIGURE 4.34 First step in using Batch Fit with...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step 3 in using the Decision Table tool with the Project.xls model. FIGURE 5.22 Results from using the Decision Table tool with ... > 0) ≈ 40 percent. FIGURE 5.13 Crystal Ball forecast for NPV1 for the case of no flexibility in the Project.xls model. 82 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.14 Spreadsheet ... are truncated 71 84 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.17 CB forecast window from Project.xls model showing the possibility of expansion. The Crystal Ball output in Figure...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... important concepts for anyone involved with financial transactions. 1.3 Simple interest, bills and other money market securities The use of simple interest in financial markets is confined mainly ... policy. Part I. Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange 42 Financial Modeling for Managers What nominal rate compounded every month will equate with an effective annual rate of 6.16778%? In other words, ... would even want to. But pretty much all of us in the financial world will sooner or later have to come to grips with two things. The first is basic financial math and models. The second is spreadsheeting....

Ngày tải lên: 27/05/2014, 02:37

Ngày tải lên: 07/08/2013, 14:04

... need to do is to click on it with the left mouse button. Once the object is selected, it will be redisplayed with small squares (selection boxes) surrounding it. With this knowledge, let’s edit ... for seven different horizontal alignments within a cell. We can have the text (or numbers) aligned with the left or right sides of the cell or centered within the cell boundaries. Excel also allows ... program. • Can be “grabbed” with the mouse to move the window around within the Windows environment, if the window is not maximized. Spreadsheet Basics 3 35 Using Excel with Other Applications complete...

Ngày tải lên: 21/08/2013, 08:05

... file, it is assumed that it is associated with any existing circuit design open within the workspace. In both cases, a new file is created and initialized with a template file of the appropriate ... following line. Spice will continue reading beginning with column 2. Name fields must begin with a letter [a–z] and cannot contain any delimeters. Names within Spice netlists are considered case-insensitive 1 . ... are reserved by Apteq Design Systems, Inc. THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED FREE OF CHARGE, AS IS, AND WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EITHER OR EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE IMPLIED...

Ngày tải lên: 18/10/2013, 00:15

... 2. Đưa được phần mềm Crystal Ball hiển thị trên Màn hình Excel. Trong trường hợp trên Màn hình Excel chưa có hiển thị Crystal Ball, Anh/ Chị xem hướng dẫn cách đưa Crystal Ball lên Màn hình Excel ... thấy khung Crystal Ball trong danh sách Add-Ins thì nhấn vào nút Browse, sau đó tìm đến vị trí chứa phần mềm Crystal Ball trong máy (thông thường trong C:\>Program Files \ Crystal Ball) rồi ... đoạn 1,2,3,4. 6. Đưa Crystal Ball hiển thị trên Màn hình Excel. Trong trường hợp máy của các Anh/Chị chưa cài phần mềm Crystal Ball thì phải cài vào phần mềm Crystal Ball vào máy trước khi...

Ngày tải lên: 22/10/2013, 00:20

... Phân tích rủi ro bằng Crystal Ball Trần quang Trung 45 BÀI TẬP 1. Một công ty đồ chơi muốn giới thiệu một sản phẩm mới ... tương ứng là 7% và 12%. Cả hai đều có phân phối chuẩn. Hãy xây dựng mô hình mô phỏng bằng Crystal Ball để đánh giá hai dự án này. Bạn sẽ chọn dự án nào? 4. Một sinh viên vừa tốt nghiệp MBA ... nghiệp tương tự ở các thành phố có điều kiện tương tự, như sau Phân tích rủi ro bằng Crystal Ball Trần quang Trung 51 15. Giá của một cổ phiếu vừa yết giá trên thị trường chứng khoán...

Ngày tải lên: 24/10/2013, 04:15