financial modeling with crystal ball and excel john charnes

... and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball ... 249 Glossary 251 References 255 Index 263 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Analyzing Crystal Ball Forecasts 27 PRESENTING THE RESULTS The ... at www.wiley.com. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: Charnes, John Martin. Financial modeling with crystal ball and Excel / John M. Charnes. p. cm.—(Wiley finance series) ‘‘Published simultaneously...

Ngày tải lên: 18/02/2014, 07:20

... Confererences. xvii Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Contents Preface xi Acknowledgments xv About the Author xvii CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1 Financial Modeling ... Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball gives ... at www.wiley.com. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: Charnes, John Martin. Financial modeling with crystal ball and Excel / John M. Charnes. p. cm.—(Wiley finance series) ‘‘Published simultaneously...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two different allocations into stocks and bonds ... Figure 2.2, the possible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal 14 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative frequency chart showing accumulated...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions ... selecting and specifying Crystal Ball assumptions. Building a Crystal Ball Model 31 FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and normal distributions. To see all of Crystal Ball s...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppose a random sample of ... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0.36), and cell I2 is lognormal(1.13,0.22). The ... from the fact that it represents a random variable whose natural logarithm follows the normal distribution. Like the 68 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.33 Calculate Correlation...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... second quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... through K are hidden. 94 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL different values for Abandon Point and seven different values for Expansion Point. If we used more values with Decision Table, ... that Crystal Ball checks and thus speeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL To see the decision variable for threshold value of cash flow for expanding the project,...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the simulation, see the Crystal Ball User ... here. FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball executes the simulation cycle automatically, ... the precision of the estimate of the mean. 100 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.5 Run Preferences Sampling tab. these random numbers has the capability to produce over...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... map on an island, you will want lots of detail for the land and less in the sea region. However, game engines such as Unity, UDK, and Ogre3 Dare are not easily adapted to deal with such variability ... will be done with the Terrain tools. Working from the left-hand side to the right-hand side, the second row of icons are: Create (zone), Modiers, Selection, Texturing, Details, and Water. This ... with the creation of zones, we edit our heightmaps, paint and texture the landscape before adding landscape features such as roads, rivers, and vegetation. Finally, we export everything. Depending...

Ngày tải lên: 20/02/2014, 02:20

... through code and test ã Update the process with a few new tricks we’ve learned over the years, and fully lever- age some advances in modeling tools ã Update the book to be current with the new ... descriptions with some sort of storyboard, line drawing, screen mockup, or GUI prototype. 2. Review the use cases, domain model, and screen mockups/GUI prototypes with end users, stakeholders, and marketing ... provide a clue as to the nature of the error, and then invite you to scrutinize the diagram (and the relevant review chapter) and figure out what’s wrong with it. Trying to figure out what’s wrong...

Ngày tải lên: 15/03/2014, 02:20

... pedantic note on standards: this book makes an effort to comply with the ISO C99 standard and the IEEE POSIX standard. The C99 standard includes some features that do not appear in the great majority ... R 2 and z ∈ C’. You could leave the reader to guess at what you mean by x by its first use, but some readers would misunderstand, and your referee would wonder why you did not just come out and ... exceptions below. 3 You can use all of the usual operations: , and . As per basic algebraic custom, and are evaluated before and , so is seven, and is five. TWO TYPES OF DIVISION There are two ways to...

Ngày tải lên: 11/06/2014, 13:32

... 248 A1 Order of operations 264 A2 Multiplication and division with signed numbers 265 A3 Powers and indices 267 A4 Logarithms 272 A5 Calculus 273 with Excel applications Dawn E. Lorimer Charles ... with symbols and numbers is concerned, and even students might like a refresher. Fixed interest arithmetic is a excellent way to do this, for the math is not all that complicated in itself, and ... (4) Let’s take a moment and look at Equations (3) and (4). The left hand side of Equation (3) is a one year future value interest factor using the effective annual rate; the right hand side is the one...

Ngày tải lên: 27/05/2014, 02:37

... full number and let Excel format it to look like you wish. The manner in which Excel displays numbers will not affect any calculations. Regardless of the format, Excel always stores numbers with full ... cells that we want included, and Excel inserts them into the formula. Move to C7 and we will enter the formula using the pointer mode. First, type = which places Excel in edit mode. Now, instead ... can remedy this by using Excel s alignment options. Excel provides for seven different horizontal alignments within a cell. We can have the text (or numbers) aligned with the left or right sides...

Ngày tải lên: 21/08/2013, 08:05