financial modeling with crystal ball and excel 2nd edition

... and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball ... 249 Glossary 251 References 255 Index 263 Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Analyzing Crystal Ball Forecasts 27 PRESENTING THE RESULTS The ... 16 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.4 Forecast chart statistics for accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings where 50 percent was put into stocks and 50...

Ngày tải lên: 18/02/2014, 07:20

... Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball gives ... approximation to reality. 4 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL In short, probability and statistics help you weigh the potential rewards and punishments associated with the decisions you ... College on Simulation, and proceedings coeditor (1996) and program chair (2002) for the Winter Simulation Confererences. xvii Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel JOHN CHARNES John...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two different allocations into stocks and bonds ... Figure 2.2, the possible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal 14 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative frequency chart showing accumulated...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions ... selecting and specifying Crystal Ball assumptions. Building a Crystal Ball Model 31 FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and normal distributions. To see all of Crystal Ball s...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppose a random sample of ... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0.36), and cell I2 is lognormal(1.13,0.22). The ... from the fact that it represents a random variable whose natural logarithm follows the normal distribution. Like the 68 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.33 Calculate Correlation...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... second quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... through K are hidden. 94 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL different values for Abandon Point and seven different values for Expansion Point. If we used more values with Decision Table, ... that Crystal Ball checks and thus speeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL To see the decision variable for threshold value of cash flow for expanding the project,...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the simulation, see the Crystal Ball User ... here. FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball executes the simulation cycle automatically, ... the precision of the estimate of the mean. 100 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.5 Run Preferences Sampling tab. these random numbers has the capability to produce over...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... Element (deprecated) 48 Understanding Block and Inline Elements 48 Grouping Elements with <div> and <span> 49 Summary 50 Exercises 51 Chapter 2: Links and Navigation 53 Basic Links ... 56 Understanding Directories and Directory Structures 57 What Are You Linking To? 58 What a URL Is Made Up Of 59 Absolute and Relative URLs 61 The <base> Element 64 Creating Links with the ... tags, and the added meaning the tags give is describing the structure of the document. Between the opening <p> and closing </p> tags are paragraphs, and between the <h1> and...

Ngày tải lên: 31/03/2014, 16:51

... randomImageIndex, and use it to generate a random number. You’ll use the same method you used to generate a random die throw earlier, but without adding 1 to the result because you need a random number ... data and provide you with properties and methods. www.it-ebooks.info For your convenience Apress has placed some of the front matter material after the index. Please use the Bookmarks and Contents ... pages, and that they can have properties and methods. The Math object, for example, has among its properties one that represents the value of pi and among its methods one that generates a random...

Ngày tải lên: 28/04/2014, 15:45

... map on an island, you will want lots of detail for the land and less in the sea region. However, game engines such as Unity, UDK, and Ogre3 Dare are not easily adapted to deal with such variability ... will be done with the Terrain tools. Working from the left-hand side to the right-hand side, the second row of icons are: Create (zone), Modiers, Selection, Texturing, Details, and Water. This ... with the creation of zones, we edit our heightmaps, paint and texture the landscape before adding landscape features such as roads, rivers, and vegetation. Finally, we export everything. Depending...

Ngày tải lên: 20/02/2014, 02:20

... Populating Commands 320 Implementing Commands: Links and Settings Flyouts 321 User Data: Libraries, File Pickers, and File Queries 326 Using the File Picker 327 Media Libraries 336 Documents and Removable ... (local, roaming, and temp, which the app can freely access, along with settings files for key-value pairs and some other system-managed folders), and does any necessary fiddling with the registry ... commands, and possibly also a navigation bar on the top. When running full-screen, the user’s device can be oriented in either portrait or landscape, and apps can process various events to handle...

Ngày tải lên: 08/03/2014, 18:20

... through code and test ã Update the process with a few new tricks we’ve learned over the years, and fully lever- age some advances in modeling tools ã Update the book to be current with the new ... environment. 6. See page 431 of the first edition. 7745fmfinal.qxd 12/13/06 9:23 PM Page xxvii Doug Rosenberg and Matt Stephens Use Case Driven Object Modeling with UML Theory and Practice 7745fmfinal.qxd ... provide a clue as to the nature of the error, and then invite you to scrutinize the diagram (and the relevant review chapter) and figure out what’s wrong with it. Trying to figure out what’s wrong...

Ngày tải lên: 15/03/2014, 02:20

... developers. Standards-based apps are great because they run on multiple platforms; your knowledge and experience with standards like HTML5 and CSS3 are likewise portable. Unfortunately, because standards ... Events and Session State 99 Suspend, Resume, and Terminate 100 Basic Session State in Here My Am! 104 Data from Services and WinJS.xhr 106 Handling Network Connectivity (in Brief) 109 Tips and ... Populating Commands 320 Implementing Commands: Links and Settings Flyouts 321 User Data: Libraries, File Pickers, and File Queries 326 Using the File Picker 327 Media Libraries 336 Documents and Removable...

Ngày tải lên: 17/03/2014, 12:20