... and affiliated pro shops. It plans to
28
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHN CHARNES
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
■
Crystal Ball ... 243
Appendix D About the Download 249
Glossary 251
References 255
Index 263
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHN CHARNES
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Analyzing CrystalBall Forecasts
27
PRESENTING ... 16 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.4 Forecast chart statistics for accumulated value after 30 years
of retirement savings where 50 percent was put into stocks and 50...
... Assumptions 36
Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36
Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54
Specifying Correlations 63
vii
10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
■
Crystal Ball gives ... approximation to reality.
4 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
In short, probability and statistics help you weigh the potential rewards and
punishments associated with the decisions you ... College on Simulation, and proceedings coeditor (1996) and
program chair (2002) for the Winter Simulation Confererences.
xvii
Financial Modeling
with Crystal
Balland Excel
JOHN CHARNES
John...
... 18 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero
(0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more.
26 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two
different allocations into stocks and bonds ... Figure 2.2, the
possible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal
14 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative frequency chart showing accumulated...
... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to
28
32 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the
deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model.
30 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL
TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions ... selecting and specifying CrystalBall assumptions.
Building a CrystalBall Model
31
FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and
normal distributions. To see all of CrystalBall s...
... development, and sales and marketing.
Chapter 10 is the first of our financialmodeling chapters covering the concepts of profit and
loss and cash flow in detail and developing profit and loss financial ... 257
Understanding the Value and Investment Worksheet 258
Understanding the Value and Investment Dashboard 259
Understanding the Financial Statements and Analysis Dashboard 259
Understanding the Financial ... THINKING ANDFINANCIALMODELING FOR TECHNOLOGY STARTUPS
17
Thinking Critically About the Business and
Financial Model
Developing a financial model is an excellent exercise in critical thinking. Modeling...
... map on an island, you will want
lots of detail for the land and less in the sea region. However, game engines such
as Unity, UDK, and Ogre3 Dare are not easily adapted to deal with such variability ... will be done with the Terrain tools. Working from the left-hand
side to the right-hand side, the second row of icons are: Create (zone), Modiers,
Selection, Texturing, Details, and Water. This ... with the creation of zones, we edit our heightmaps, paint and texture the
landscape before adding landscape features such as roads, rivers, and vegetation.
Finally, we export everything. Depending...
... the command line with the chown
command (CHange OWNership):
sudo chown -R username /var/www
Now, you can modify all files and directories on the web site without using the sudo
command you ... Color Handling 140
Boxes and Borders 142
Box Sizing 142
Rounded Box Corners 143
Borders Drawn with Images 145
Shadows 147
Box Shadows 148
Text Shadows 149
Text Effect with Shadows and Outline ... App Design with HTML5 and CSS3 65
■Chapter 4: The Anatomy of a Web Application 67
The iPhone Revolution 67
i
Beginning iPhone and
iPad Web Apps
Scripting with HTML5, CSS3,
and JavaScript...
... through code and test
ã Update the process with a few new tricks we’ve learned over the years, and fully lever-
age some advances in modeling tools
ã Update the book to be current with the new ... descriptions with some sort of storyboard, line drawing,
screen mockup, or GUI prototype.
2. Review the use cases, domain model, and screen mockups/GUI prototypes with end
users, stakeholders, and marketing ... provide a clue as to
the nature of the error, and then invite you to scrutinize the diagram (and the relevant review
chapter) and figure out what’s wrong with it.
Trying to figure out what’s wrong...
... (nodes),
fragments are compared with each other and over-
laps are identified. Fragments are split if necessary
(e.g., fragment gh in E
5
is split into g and h when
matched with E
6
), and duplicates are removed. ... (Wan et
al., 2007), (Mihalcea and Tarau, 2004) and (Erkan
and Radev, 2004). Those methods built a complete
graph for all sentences in one or multiple documents
and measure the similarity between ... Shanahan, Yan Qu, and Janyce Wiebe. 2005.
Computing Attitude and Affect in Text: Theory
and Applications (The Information Retrieval Series).
Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.
Lokesh Shrestha and Kathleen...
... pedantic note on standards: this book makes an effort to comply with the ISO C99 standard and the IEEE
POSIX standard. The C99 standard includes some features that do not appear in the great majority ... R
2
and z ∈ C’. You could leave the reader to guess at what you mean by x by its
first use, but some readers would misunderstand, and your referee would wonder
why you did not just come out and ... exceptions below.
3
You can use all
of the usual operations: , and . As per basic algebraic custom, and are
evaluated before
and , so is seven, and is five.
TWO TYPES OF DIVISION There are two ways to...