Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 8 pptx

... up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 1 28 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8. 4 Crystal Ball model for income statement in Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 ... Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8. 5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2.xls. The values of t...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... xvii CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1 Financial Modeling 2 Risk Analysis 2 Monte Carlo Simulation 4 Risk Management 8 Benefits and Limitations of Using Crystal Ball 8 CHAPTER 2 Analyzing Crystal Ball ... Results 27 CHAPTER 3 Building a Crystal Ball Model 28 Simulation Modeling Process 28 Defining Crystal Ball Assumptions 29 Running Crystal Ball 32 Sources of Erro...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... for ScooterSimulation.xls. 1 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL between e 1,t and e 2,t is 0 .8, while the correlation between e 1,t and e 4,t is −0 .8. However, the errors are generated ... 3, 4, and 5, where each Z t is drawn from a 116 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.11 Spider chart. analysis of the relationships be...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... tool. 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two dif...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions to be added to AKGolf.xls. Assumption Cell Distribution Demand during...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B 78 and C2:C 78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1. 18, 0.36), and cell I2 is lognormal(1.13,0.22). The ... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fi...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step 3 in using the Decision Table tool with the Project.xls model. FIGURE 5.22 ... values that Crystal Ball checks and thus speeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL To see the decision variable for thres...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... discussed further here. FIGURE 6 .8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball executes the simulation cycle ... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... following mathematical programming problem: 1 38 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 9.4 Optimal asset allocations and sustainable withdrawal rates for two planning horizons. Horizon ... problem, and gives financial planners an idea of how to use Crystal Ball and OptQuest to demonstrate to their clients the risks involved in retirement planning. 136 F...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... lose 140 146 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 10.2 VaR and CVaR for independent investments modeled in CVaRSubadditivity.xls. 1% VaR 1% CVaR Total Loss $ 209.51 $ 4, 687 Loss1 $ 98. 22 ... lower than the sum of the component risks, and so it is a satisfactory measure of risk from this point of view. 142 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20