Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 5 pot

... quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5. 21 Step 3 in using ... ≈ 40 percent. FIGURE 5. 13 Crystal Ball forecast for NPV1 for the case of no flexibility in the Project.xls model. 82 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions to be added to AKGolf.xls. Assumption Cell Distribution Demand during Golf Season C6 Triangular (50 0,800, 150 0) Initial ... with a minimum of $ 355 , and a maximum of $3 95. The average end-of-season sales price is uniform with a minimum of $1 75, and a maximum of $1 95. Table 3.1...

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... indicator variables in the cells directly above them, C5:C10, F5:F16,andI5:I22, respectively. The cells 50 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 4.17 Distribution of sum of 30 days’ ... copied to other cells in your spreadsheet using Crystal Ball s CopyData and PasteData commands. Selecting Crystal Ball Assumptions 55 FIGURE 4.22 Crystal Ball mode...

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... forecast window for Portfolio Loss in Figure 10.1. 144 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 10.4 Crystal Ball model to find VaR and CVaR. normally distributed, but truncated at −100 ... lose 140 146 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 10.2 VaR and CVaR for independent investments modeled in CVaRSubadditivity.xls. 1% VaR 1% C...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... Ford. 156 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 11.8 Crystal Ball model on the ‘‘Vector Random Walk’’ worksheet of RandomWalkWithDrift.xls for forecasting a vector time series with ... 11.7 Crystal Ball model on the ‘‘Scalar Random Walk’’ worksheet of RandomWalkWithDrift.xls for forecasting a time series with a random walk with drift process. Cells...

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... approximation to reality. 4 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL In short, probability and statistics help you weigh the potential rewards and punishments associated with the decisions you ... distributed with mean, 100 +( 15 × 50 ) = $ 850 , and standard deviation, 15 ×10 = $ 150 . Using a table of cumulative probabilities for the standard normal distrib...

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... band extends from the 45th to 55 th percentile, the 25 percent band extends from the 37.5th percentile to the 62.5th percentile, the 50 percent band extends from the 25th percentile to the 75th ... tool. 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2 .5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at to...

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... increase the precision of the estimate of the mean. 100 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6 .5 Run Preferences Sampling tab. these random numbers has the capability to produce over ... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the si...

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... deterministically, the Sensitivity Analysis feature of Crystal Ball obtains its results through a statistical 120 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7. 15 NPV Forecast for ScooterSimulation.xls. FIGURE ... year. These are 106 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.1 Spreadsheet segment to model annuity with deterministic c...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 128 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8.4 Crystal Ball model for income statement in Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 ... Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8 .5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2.xls. The values of the...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20