ODA của trung quốc cho các nước ASEAN và hàm ý cho việt nam

VIỆN HÀN LÂM KHOA HỌC XÃ HỘI VIỆT NAM HỌC VIỆN KHOA HỌC XÃ HỘI _ BÙI VIẾT THẮNG ODA CỦA TRUNG QUỐC CHO CÁC NƯỚC ASEAN VÀ HÀM Ý CHO VIỆT NAM LUẬN ÁN TIẾN SĨ KINH TẾ HÀ NỘI - 2020 VIỆN HÀN LÂM KHOA HỌC XÃ HỘI VIỆT NAM HỌC VIỆN KHOA HỌC XÃ HỘI _ BÙI VIẾT THẮNG ODA CỦA TRUNG QUỐC CHO CÁC NƯỚC ASEAN VÀ HÀM Ý CHO VIỆT NAM Chuyên ngành : Kinh tế Quốc tế Mã số : 9.31.01.06 LUẬN ÁN TIẾN SĨ KINH TẾ NGƯỜI HƯỚNG DẪN KHOA HỌC: PGS TS Phạm Thái Quốc PGS TS Dương Văn Huy HÀ NỘI - 2020 ii LỜI CAM ĐOAN Tôi xin cam đoan luận án công trình nghiên cứu của cá nhân tôi, số liệu nêu luận án trung thực Những kết luận khoa học của luận án chưa từng được công bố bất kỳ công trình khác Tác giả luận án Bùi Viết Thắng iii MỤC LỤC DANH MỤC CÁC CHỮ VIẾT TẮT i DANH MỤC CÁC BẢNG iii DANH MỤC CÁC HÌNH iv MỞ ĐẦU 1 Tính cấp thiết đề tài Mục tiêu nhiệm vụ nghiên cứu luận án Đối tượng phạm vi nghiên cứu luận án Phương pháp luận phương pháp nghiên cứu luận án 4.1 Phương pháp luận 4.2 Phương pháp nghiên cứu Đóng góp khoa học luận án 13 Ý nghĩa lý luận thực tiễn luận án 14 Cấu trúc luận án .14 Chương .16 TỔNG QUAN TÌNH HÌNH NGHIÊN CỨU 16 1.1 Các quan điểm ODA .16 1.1.1 Định nghĩa chung ODA 16 1.1.2 Động viện trợ ODA 17 1.1.3 Tác động ODA 20 1.2 Nghiên cứu ODA Trung Quốc 24 1.3 Nghiên cứu ODA dành cho nước Đông Nam Á 26 1.4 Đánh giá kết quả nghiên cứu trước .29 1.4.1 Đánh giá cơng trình nghiên cứu trước 29 1.4.2 Khoảng trống nghiên cứu 30 Chương .32 CƠ SỞ LÝ LUẬN VÀ THỰC TIỄN VỀ ODA CỦA TRUNG QUỐC 32 2.1 Cơ sở lý luận ODA Trung Quốc .32 2.1.1 Khái niệm ODA .32 2.1.1.1 Khái niệm chung ODA 32 2.1.1.2 Khái niệm ODA của Trung Quốc 35 2.1.2 Phân loại ODA .37 2.1.2.1 Các cách phân loại ODA nói chung 37 2.1.2.2 Phân loại ODA của Trung Quốc 38 2.1.3 Đặc điểm ODA .39 2.1.3.1 Đặc điểm ODA nói chung 39 2.1.3.2 Đặc điểm ODA của Trung Quốc 40 2.1.4 Các tiêu chí đánh giá chất lượng nguồn vốn ODA 42 iv 2.1.4.1 Bộ tiêu chí đánh giá theo QuODA .42 2.1.4.2 Bộ tiêu chí “Better Aid Scorecards” 44 2.1.4.3 Các tiêu chí khác 46 2.2 Cơ sở thực tiễn ODA Trung Quốc 47 2.2.1 Lịch sử phát triển ODA Trung Quốc 47 2.2.2 Thực trạng ODA Trung Quốc giai đoạn 2000-2020 49 2.2.2.1 Về quy mô viện trợ .49 2.2.2.2 Về hình thức viện trợ 51 2.2.2.3 Về phân bổ ODA 52 2.2.2.4 Về lĩnh vực viện trợ 54 2.2.2.5 Về chế quản lý ODA của Trung Quốc 55 2.2.3 Đánh giá chung ODA Trung Quốc 57 2.2.3.1 Đánh giá quy mô ODA của Trung Quốc 58 2.2.3.2 Đánh giá mục tiêu viện trợ ODA của Trung Quốc 59 2.2.3.3 Đánh giá chất lượng ODA của Trung Quốc 60 2.3 Tiểu kết chương 64 Chương .66 THỰC TRẠNG ODA CỦA TRUNG QUỐC CHO CÁC NƯỚC ASEAN GIAI ĐOẠN 2000 - 2019 .66 3.1 Tình hình ODA Trung Quốc cho nước ASEAN giai đoạn 2000 - 2019 66 3.1.1 Quan hệ Trung Quốc - ASEAN 66 3.1.1.1 Vai trò chiến lược của Đông Nam Á Trung Quốc 66 3.1.1.2 Quan hệ Trung Quốc - ASEAN 67 3.1.2 ODA Trung Quốc cho nước ASEAN giai đoạn 2000 - 2019 70 3.1.3 Đánh giá chung ODA Trung Quốc cho nước ASEAN 78 3.1.3.1 Về quy mô viện trợ .78 3.1.3.2 Về mục tiêu viện trợ .79 3.1.3.3 Về chất lượng viện trợ 81 3.2 Nghiên cứu trường hợp: ODA Trung Quốc cho Campuchia, Lào Myanmar .81 3.2.1 ODA Trung Quốc cho Campuchia 81 3.2.1.1 Quan hệ Campuchia – Trung Quốc .81 3.2.1.2 Thực trạng ODA của Trung Quốc Campuchia 83 3.2.1.3 Động viện trợ ODA cho Campuchia của Trung Quốc 87 3.2.2 ODA Trung Quốc cho Lào 89 3.2.2.1 Quan hệ Trung Quốc – Lào 89 3.2.2.2 Thực trạng ODA của Trung Quốc cho Lào 90 3.2.2.3 Động viện trợ ODA của Trung Quốc cho Lào 96 3.2.3 ODA Trung Quốc cho Myanmar 97 3.2.3.1 Quan hệ Trung Quốc - Myanmar 97 3.2.3.2 Thực trạng ODA của Trung Quốc cho Myanmar 99 3.2.3.3 Động của Trung Quốc viện trợ cho Myanmar 102 3.2.4 Nhận định chung 104 3.3 Tiểu kết chương .105 v CHƯƠNG 107 ODA CỦA TRUNG QUỐC CHO VIỆT NAM VÀ MỘT SỐ HÀM Ý 107 4.1 Thực trạng ODA Trung Quốc Việt Nam 107 4.1.1 Quan hệ Việt Nam - Trung Quốc 107 4.1.2 Thực trạng ODA Trung Quốc Việt giai đoạn 2000 – 2019 109 4.2 Đánh giá thực trạng ODA Trung Quốc Việt Nam .113 4.2.1 Về quy mô viện trợ 114 4.2.2 Về chất lượng viện trợ 116 4.2.3 Về động viện trợ Trung Quốc cho Việt Nam 122 4.2.4 Về tác động vốn viện trợ Trung Quốc cho Việt Nam 124 4.2.4.1 Tác động tích cực 124 4.2.4.2 Về tác động tiêu cực 125 4.3 Định hướng viện trợ nước Trung Quốc thời gian tới định hướng tiếp nhận ODA Việt Nam 128 4.3.1 Định hướng viện trợ nước Trung Quốc thời gian tới 128 4.3.2 Định hướng Việt Nam vốn ODA Trung Quốc .130 4.4 Cơ hội, thách thức thu hút ODA Trung Quốc Việt Nam số hàm ý… .131 4.4.1 Cơ hội thách thức Việt Nam thu hút ODA Trung Quốc 131 4.4.1.1 Cơ hội 131 4.4.1.2 Thách thức 132 4.4.2 Một số hàm ý cho Việt Nam .134 KẾT LUẬN 140 TÀI LIỆU THAM KHẢO 144 vi ADB AIIB ASEAN BRI CAFTA CELAC CIDCA CLMV CNY CPTPP DAC EPC EXIMBANK EU FDI FTA IMF LDCs LICs LMICs MOFCOM ODA OOF SCO UMICs USD WB WTO ii DANH MỤC CÁC BẢNG Bảng 2.1 So sán Bảng 2.2 So sán Bảng 2.3 So sán Bảng 2.4 Các n Bảng 2.5 Các ti Bảng 2.6 Cơ cấ Quốc Bảng 2.7 Mười Bảng 3.1 ODA Bảng 3.2 Các d giai đ Bảng 3.3 Cơ cấ 2014 Bảng 3.4 Phân 2014 Bảng 3.5 Lợi íc Bảng 3.6 ODA Bảng 3.7 ODA Việt N Bảng 4.1 ODA theo l iii Hình Khung ph Hình 2.1 Lịch sử ph Hình 2.2 Tổng lượn - 2017 Hình 2.3 Cơ cấu ph Hình 2.4 Phân bổ O 2000 - 201 Hình 2.5 Cơ quan cu Hình 3.1 Tỷ lệ viện đoạn 2000 Hình 3.2 Cơ cấu việ 2014 Hình 3.3 Cơ cấu OD Hình 3.4 Cơ cấu OD Hình 3.5 ODA USD) Hình 3.6 ODA T Hình 3.7 Cơ cấu OD đoạn 2000 Hình 4.1 Cơ cấu OD Hình 4.2 Cơ cấu OD Hình 4.3 Phân bổ O đoạn 2000 Hình 4.4 Phân bổ O đoạn 2014 Hình 4.5 Nguồn tài khổ BRI iv 63 Ewing, Isobel (2020) Hungary signs $2.1bn loan agreement with China for Budapest-to-Belgrade rail link, CGTN 22 June 2020 64 Fuller, Sarah (2002) “A Question of Motivations: Determining Why Donor Countries Give Aid”, Res Publica - Journal of Undergraduate Research, Vol 65 Garcia, L 2017 “Chinese Aid in Southeast Asia before the Belt and Road Initiative: Solidarity or Business as Usual?” Journal of Critical Perspectives on Asia, Vol 53:1, pp 66-99 66 Garret, M & Raimund, Z 2019 “The OECD’s new way of counting ODA loans What’s the impact?” Donor Tracker Insights, June 2019 67 Geng, L 2006 “Sino-Myanmar Relations: Analysis and Prospects”, The Culture Mandala, Vol 7, No 2, December 2006 68 Gibson, C., Andersson, K., Ostrom, E and Shivakumar, S (2005) The Samaritan’s dilemma: The political economy of development aid Oxford: Oxford University Press 69 Gulrajani, Nilima & Liam Swiss 2017 Why countries become donors? 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Lý luận thực tiễn ODA Trung Quốc (1)  Khái niệm, đặc điểm ODA Trung Quốc  Thực trạng ODA Trung Quốc  Đánh giá ODA Trung Quốc Quy mô (2) ODA Trung Quốc cho nước ASEAN (3) - ODA Trung Quốc cho. .. cho nước ASEAN - ODA Trung Quốc cho Campuchia, Lào, Myanmar Việt Nam - Đánh giá quy mô, mục tiêu, chất lượng ODA Trung Quốc cho Việt Nam 12 (1) Lý luận thực tiễn ODA Trung Quốc: Khái niệm ODA Trung