Tobacco use, body mass and cancer mortality in Mumbai Cohort StudyMangesh S.. The Mumbai Cohort Study MCS, one of the largest prospective studies in the world and based in the largest ci
Trang 1Tobacco use, body mass and cancer mortality in Mumbai Cohort Study
Mangesh S Pednekara,* , James R He´berta,b,c, Prakash C Guptaa,c
a Healis-Sekhsaria Institute for Public Health, CBD Belapur, Navi Mumbai, India
b South Carolina Statewide Cancer Prevention & Control Program, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, United States
c
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, United States
1 Introduction
In developed countries, smoking and excess body weight (based
on measures of body mass adjusted for height), are two of the most
important modifiable risk factors for chronic disease incidence and
premature death[1–4] Use of tobacco in all forms is known to
increase the risk of many cancers[5–7], especially those of the
upper aerodigestive tract[1,8,9]
Both body weight and tobacco usage have strong behavioral
determinants, but neither is controlled adequately by
population-based approaches to behavior change [10–13] Although the
prevalence of smoking has declined modestly in some countries
over the past 30 years[14,15], the prevalence of both overweight
and obesity have risen steadily[16,17] It is well known that diet
and tobacco habits are related[14,18–20], though the evidences
from developing countries are often much different than what is
observed in Europe and North America[12,21–24]
Studies conducted primarily in the West have demonstrated that
overweight and obesity increase the risk of various types of cancer,
especially colorectal[25]and those at hormone-sensitive sites[26–
29] In contrast, studies from Asia, where overweight and obesity are relatively recent phenomena and prevalence is still low, results have often departed from what is observed in studies from the West[30] Furthermore, smoking of tobacco, a known strong risk factor for many cancers (but not particularly so for cancers related to obesity),
is less negatively associated with affluence and measures of socioeconomic status (SES) in developing countries than in the West[17,31–34] So, there is increased potential for confounding and effect modification of tobacco by body mass and SES The Mumbai Cohort Study (MCS), one of the largest prospective studies in the world and based in the largest city in South Asia, was designed specifically to investigate the effect of tobacco on various health outcomes, including cancer MCS has already demonstrated that use of tobacco in all forms[35]and low body mass index[36] [BMI = weight (kg)/height (m2)] independently increase the risk of cancer deaths Also the joint effect of tobacco use and BMI on all-cause mortality had been reported earlier[37] Now using data from the MCS we report the findings of the joint effect of tobacco and BMI on cancer mortality
2 Materials and methods Recruitment: The MCS was conducted in the main city of Mumbai, with mortality as the endpoint[38] A total of 148,173
A R T I C L E I N F O
Article history:
Accepted 24 September 2009
Keywords:
Cancer
Mortality
Body mass index
Tobacco
Cohort study
A B S T R A C T
Background: Tobacco use and body mass are major risk factors for many cancers Despite this, very little
is known about their combined effect on cancer mortality These relationships are virtually unexplored
in populations having patterns of both tobacco use and body habitus atypical of those typically enrolled
in epidemiologic studies Methods: A prospective cohort study of 148,173 men and women aged 35 years was conducted in Mumbai, India Subjects were recruited during 1991–1997, measured for a variety of risk factors, including tobacco use and anthropometry, and then followed for approximately 5–
6 years Results: During 774,129 person-years of follow up, a total of 796 cancer deaths were observed Tobacco use, especially smoking in men, was associated with particularly high risk of death in extreme categories of body mass At highest risk were underweight smoking males [hazard ratio (HR) = 9.45, 5.87, and 5.75 for those smokers who were extremely thin (<16.0 kg/m2), very thin (16.0 to <17.0 kg/m2), or thin (17.0 to <18.5), respectively] Significant effects of underweight among never and smokeless tobacco users disappeared with exclusion of individuals with 2 years of follow up Extremely thin (<16.0 kg/m2) women smokeless tobacco users had an elevation in risk, HR = 2.95, that actually appeared to increase (to 3.21) with exclusion of individuals who were diagnosed within 2 years of follow
up Conclusion: Tobacco use and undernutrition are known to be serious problems in developing countries The current study underlines the strikingly elevated risk of cancer when they occur together
ß2009 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved
* Corresponding author Tel.: +91 22 2757 5487; fax: +91 22 2786 3750.
E-mail address: pednekarmangesh@healis.org (M.S Pednekar).
Contents lists available atScienceDirect
Cancer Epidemiology The International Journal of Cancer Epidemiology, Detection, and Prevention
j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w c a n c e r e p i d e m i o l o g y n e t
1877-7821/$ – see front matter ß 2009 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.
Trang 2individuals 35 years of age were recruited during 1991–1997.
House-to-house interviews were conducted in a face-to-face
manner using a structured questionnaire Electoral rolls (official
municipal government records), organized by area with a polling
station of 1000–1500 individuals as the smallest geographical unit,
were used as the sampling frame These electoral rolls provided
name, age, sex, and address of all the individuals aged 18 years
Face-to-face interviews were conducted by trained field
investi-gators using hand-held computers (electronic diaries) in local
languages (e.g., Marathi) but the responses were recorded in
English The study satisfied all the criteria with regard to the ethical
treatment of human subjects, especially those formulated by the
Indian Council of Medical Research Details regarding the
recruitment procedures have been described earlier[12,30,35–38]
Data Sources: The baseline survey included the following two
components: (1) anthropometry to measure weight (using a
bathroom scale that was calibrated to the nearest kilogram) and
height (using a measuring tape that was calibrated to the nearest
centimeter); and (2) interviewer administration of a structured
questionnaire For this study, data regarding age, sex, education
(proxy for SES), religion, mother tongue, height, weight, and details
regarding tobacco use were abstracted from the baseline survey[38]
Follow up: An active house-to-house follow up was conducted
on average 5.5 years after the initial survey The field investigators
were instructed to revisit each person If the person was alive and
available, a face-to-face re-interview was conducted If the person
was reported to have died, the date and place of death were
recorded with extra questioning and follow up as necessary
Permanent migration from the study area was considered as
withdrawal from the study, and the date of migration was noted
The re-interviews were conducted during 1997–2003 Follow up
results have been described earlier[35–37]
Cause of death: Deaths recorded during the MCS follow up were
linked with the dataset obtained from the Bombay Municipal
Corporation (BMC) death registers In Mumbai, almost all the
deaths are registered and medically certified [35] For matched
deaths, the underlying cause of death was derived from the cause
information copied from the corporation death registers and then
coded according to the International Classification of Diseases—10 guidelines Cause-specific analyses were performed for cancer deaths (ICD-10 codes C00–97) Of the total matched deaths 1685 were randomly selected, an independent field check was performed; matching was found to be nearly 100% accurate[35] Statistical analysis: Methodologic details regarding the estima-tion of person-years of follow up, anthropometric measurements, and information collected from the structured questionnaire have been described earlier [12,35–39] Multivariate analysis was performed by using the Cox proportional hazards regression modeling [40] The response variable, cancer death, was a dichotomous (‘‘yes’’ or ‘‘no’’) and the time to event (or censoring) was continuous BMI categories were defined as follows (all units kg/m2): extremely thin (BMI < 16.0); very thin (BMI 16.0 to
<17.0); thin (BMI 17.0 to <18.5); normal (BMI 18.5 to <25.0); overweight (BMI 25.0 to <30.0); and obese (BMI 30.0) Details regarding the BMI distribution in the Mumbai cohort have been published earlier[12,39] Respondents were broadly classified as having never used tobacco, used smokeless tobacco only, being a smoker (which also may include smokeless tobacco use) Being consistent with our earlier definition of the reference category, which was based on observed lowest death rate category [37]; never tobacco users having BMI 25 to <30 kg/m2was used as the referent throughout this analysis as well Age, education, religion, mother tongue, tobacco use, and BMI were fit as independent variables in the final Cox proportional hazards model Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for the joint effect of tobacco use and BMI on cancer mortality, stratified by gender Analyses also were conducted to study the multiplicative effect of tobacco use and BMI on cancer mortality Expected HRs were calculated by multiplying individual HRs for the various categories of tobacco users by BMI categories
3 Results
Of the total 148,173 (59,515 women and 88,658 men) cohort members, 7265 were not traceable (Fig 1); the most common reason for non-traceability was the demolition of their residential
Trang 3building (6452 persons) for the purpose of redevelopment Among
the remaining 140,908 individuals, 25,777 subjects, although alive,
had migrated outside the study area; thus, 115,131 subjects were
re-contacted A total of 13,261 deaths were reported For 260
deaths, date of expiry was found to precede the date of
recruitment; hence, these subjects were excluded Detailed
investigation of a sample of these deaths revealed that the death
had occurred very close to the date of recruitment of these
subjects Of the total 9259 matched and coded deaths 796 cancer
deaths were available for these analyses Re-interviews were
conducted for 90,282 individuals; the remaining 11,588
indivi-duals, although assessed to be alive and traceable, were not
available despite multiple visits In the latter group, the last date of
attempted follow up was regarded as the withdrawal date
In Table 1, we show the distributions of important variables,
including BMI and tobacco use, as well as important covariates that
could affect cancer-related outcomes Because they could function
as confounders and effect modifiers of hypothesized effects of BMI
and tobacco use in relation to cancer endpoints, they were
controlled in the Cox regression analyses
When compared with male never tobacco users having BMI 25
to <30 kg/m2 (Table 2), an elevated risk of cancer death was observed for smokers across all BMI categories In general, the thinnest individuals experienced the highest levels of risk In all instances, except in the obese, exclusion of individuals who had died in the first 2 years of follow up yielded results that were still significant at the nominal a= 0.05 In all but very thin (16.0 to
<17.0 kg/m2) smokeless tobacco users, there was an apparent reduction in risk, with the largest such reduction among the extremely thin (<16.0 kg/m2) In never-using men, risks at the two thinnest levels of BMI were significantly greater than 1.0 However, exclusion of individuals who had died in the first 2 years of follow
up yielded non-significant results Similarly, elevations of risk in extremely thin and normal weight male smokeless tobacco users disappeared when individuals with 2 years or less of follow up were excluded; though the reduction in normal-weight individuals was small
Only about half as many women died of cancer compared to men Very few women reported smoking, hence data on women smokers were excluded from the analysis The highest risk group,
Table 1
Summary of descriptive data.
Overall (n = 59,515) Deaths (n = 244) Overall (n = 88,658) Deaths (n = 552) Continuous variables Mean (SEM) Mean (SEM) Mean (SEM) Mean (SEM) Age (years) 48.13 (0.046) 56.96 (0.736) 52.68 (0.037) 62.24 (0.445) BMI (kg/m 2
Categorical variables % (95% CI) % (95% CI) % (95% CI) % (95% CI)
Age
35–39 24.84 (24.49–25.18) 5.74 (2.82–8.66) 9.45 (9.26–9.64) 1.81 (0.70–2.92) 40–44 16.90 (16.60–17.20) 7.38 (4.10–10.66) 7.94 (7.77–8.12) 2.17 (0.96–3.39) 45–49 15.35 (15.06–15.65) 9.02 (5.42–12.61) 26.74 (26.45–27.03) 8.70 (6.35–11.05) 50–54 13.30 (13.02–13.57) 17.62 (12.84–22.40) 16.15 (15.91–16.39) 9.60 (7.14–12.06) 55–59 9.87 (9.63–10.11) 12.70 (8.53–16.88) 12.15 (11.94–12.37) 12.50 (9.74–15.26) 60–64 9.20 (8.97–9.43) 18.85 (13.94–23.76) 11.06 (10.85–11.27) 18.66 (15.41–21.91) 65–69 5.09 (4.91–5.27) 12.70 (8.53–16.88) 7.60 (7.43–7.78) 18.84 (15.58–22.10)
70 and up 5.46 (5.28–5.64) 15.98 (11.39–20.58) 8.91 (8.72–9.10) 27.72 (23.98–31.45) BMI categories
Extremely thin 5.75 (5.56–5.93) 11.89 (7.82–15.95) 4.30 (4.16–4.43) 11.05 (8.44–13.67) Very thin 4.32 (4.16–4.49) 4.92 (2.20–7.63) 3.95 (3.82–4.08) 7.07 (4.93–9.20) Thin 9.12 (8.88–9.35) 10.66 (6.78–14.53) 9.16 (8.97–9.35) 12.32 (9.58–15.06) Normal 51.36 (50.96–51.76) 50.41 (44.14–56.68) 62.39 (62.07–62.71) 54.71 (50.56–58.86) Overweight 22.54 (22.21–22.88) 16.39 (11.75–21.04) 17.54 (17.29–17.79) 12.68 (9.91–15.46) Obese 6.91 (6.71–7.12) 5.74 (2.82–8.66) 2.67 (2.56–2.77) 2.17 (0.96–3.39) Education
Illiterate 45.30 (44.90–45.70) 56.15 (49.92–62.37) 17.02 (16.77–17.27) 14.49 (11.56–17.43) Primary school 35.03 (34.65–35.42) 33.20 (27.29–39.11) 37.84 (37.52–38.16) 48.01 (43.84–52.18) Middle school 13.77 (13.49–14.05) 7.38 (4.10–10.66) 29.41 (29.11–29.71) 24.46 (20.87–28.04) Secondary school 4.26 (4.10–4.42) 2.05 (0.27–3.83) 9.37 (9.18–9.56) 7.61 (5.40–9.82) College 1.64 (1.53–1.74) 1.23 ( 0.15–2.61) 6.36 (6.20–6.52) 5.43 (3.54–7.33) Religion
Hindu 82.02 (81.72–82.33) 81.56 (76.69–86.42) 76.84 (76.56–77.11) 73.37 (69.68–77.06) Muslim 6.65 (6.45–6.85) 5.74 (2.82–8.66) 16.04 (15.80–16.29) 14.13 (11.22–17.04) Buddhist 7.61 (7.40–7.82) 8.20 (4.75–11.64) 4.20 (4.07–4.34) 6.52 (4.46–8.58) Christian 3.15 (3.01–3.29) 4.10 (1.61–6.59) 2.49 (2.39–2.59) 5.43 (3.54–7.33) Others 0.56 (0.50–0.62) 0.41 ( 0.39–1.21) 0.42 (0.38–0.47) 0.54 ( 0.07–1.16) Mother tongue
Marathi 75.29 (74.94–75.64) 81.56 (76.69–86.42) 55.50 (55.18–55.83) 60.69 (56.61–64.76) Hindi 6.91 (6.71–7.12) 2.05 (0.27–3.83) 16.91 (16.66–17.15) 4.53 (2.79–6.26) Gujarathi 5.53 (5.35–5.72) 3.69 (1.32–6.05) 9.61 (9.42–9.81) 17.39 (14.23–20.55) Urdu 3.75 (3.60–3.90) 4.51 (1.90–7.11) 8.87 (8.68–9.06) 8.51 (6.19–10.84) Sindian 8.03 (7.81–8.25) 7.38 (4.10–10.66) 8.91 (8.72–9.10) 8.33 (6.03–10.64) Others 0.49 (0.43–0.54) 0.82 ( 0.31–1.95) 0.20 (0.17–0.23) 0.54 ( 0.07–1.16) Tobacco use
Non-user 40.26 (39.86–40.65) 26.64 (21.09–32.19) 30.10 (29.79–30.40) 18.12 (14.90–21.33) Smokeless tobacco 59.30 (58.90–59.69) 72.54 (66.94–78.14) 38.48 (38.16–38.81) 30.43 (26.60–34.27) Smoker 0.45 (0.39–0.50) 0.82 ( 0.31–1.95) 31.42 (31.11–31.73) 51.45 (47.28–55.62)
Trang 4and the only one with a statistically significant risk of increase in
comparison to never-using women, were extremely thin
smoke-less tobacco users Exclusion of such women who died within 2
years of enrolment actually increased the point estimate of the RR
The observed joint effects of smokeless tobacco use and
thinness (thin, very thin, extremely thin) in terms of HRs were
higher than the expected HRs (estimated separately by assuming
additive and multiplicative interactions, Table 2); indicating
synergistic interaction in women In contrast, the observed joint
effects were lower than the expected, indicating antagonistic
interaction in men Also, the observed joint effects of smoking and
thinness among men were between expected effects estimated by
using additive and multiplicative interactions
4 Discussion
Worldwide, there are two major risk factors underlying the
major causes of death, tobacco use and body habitus[16,22,41–
43] Their effects are now increasing rapidly, with high and
increasing prevalence rates of smoking and other forms of tobacco
use in many parts of the world[15,32] Simultaneously, there is a
virtual epidemic of overweight and obesity and chronic
under-nutrition in some of the same, as well as other, parts of the world
[44–46] If the current patterns persist, there will be about 1 billion
deaths from tobacco in the 21st century, compared with only about
0.1 billion (100 million) during the entire 20th century Of the total
55.9 million annual deaths worldwide, tobacco and BMI are
responsible for approximately 20% [22] Diseases, especially
chronic diseases, and injuries are almost always caused by
multiple risk factors [47,48] Estimating the joint effects of
multiple distal and proximal risks is particularly important
because many factors act through complicated pathways involving numerous feedback mechanisms[22] Additionally they often act
in combination with other intermediate factors that interact with one another and with either tobacco or body habitus or both[49– 51] Considerable, but not conclusive, evidence has been provided regarding the effect of smoking on BMI-mortality association[52] Numerous prospective epidemiologic studies have evaluated the relationship between cancer mortality and relative weight, commonly expressed as BMI[25,52,53] Inconsistencies evident in the literature may be due to the confounding effects of tobacco use and the fact that many cancers are slowly fatal conditions associated with wasting and cachexia [54,55] Thus, a low BMI may be reflective of either a healthy lifestyle, including well regulated energy intake and physical activity expenditure, or may
be secondary to tobacco use (especially smoking), illness, or both Understanding the effects of BMI on mortality requires considera-tion of tobacco use and the potential effects of weight loss owing to pre-existing illnesses[56] Most studies have either adjusted for, or stratified by, BMI in assessing the mortality association according
to tobacco use However, none of the large prospective studies have assessed the joint effect of tobacco use and BMI on cancer mortality This is a first such an attempt from a large cohort study from India
In India, public health attention traditionally has focused on problems of undernutrition, though now there is evidence of a double burden of undernutrition as well as overnutrition, as was observed in this study[39]and in other places[57,58] Using MCS
we had reported low BMI as an independent risk factor for all cause
as well as cancer mortality[36] Tobacco is a public health concern worldwide However, patterns of tobacco use in India are quite different from those observed in the other developed countries In
Table 2
Adjusted relative risks a
(RRs) and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by sex, categories of body mass index [BMI = weight (kg)/height (m 2
)] and various tobacco habits, Mumbai Cohort Study.
Tobacco habits Relative risk of cancer death
BMI (kg/m 2 ) category Extremely
thin (<16.0)
Very thin (16.0 to <17.0)
Thin (17.0 to <18.5)
Normal (18.5 to <25.0)
Overweight (25.0 to <30.0)
Obese (30)
Men
Never users
Observed RR 4.35 (1.99–9.49) 3.07 (1.30–7.26) 1.55 (0.68–3.54) 1.11 (0.63–1.97) Reference 1.29 (0.37–4.47) Excluding first 2 year deaths b 2.04 (0.66–6.34) 1.48 (0.42–5.27) 1.77 (0.72–4.35) 0.96 (0.50–1.85) 1.08 (0.24–4.83) Smokeless tobacco users c
Observed RR 2.43 (1.09–5.45) 2.28 (0.99–5.25) 1.89 (0.93–3.80) 1.78 (1.03–3.08) 1.50 (0.78–2.89) 1.76 (0.58–5.31) Expected RR
Excluding first 2 year deaths b
1.85 (0.69–4.96) 0.96 (0.27–3.41) 1.39 (0.60–3.25) 1.59 (0.85–2.95) 1.22 (0.57–2.62) 2.18 (0.70–6.77) Smoker d
Observed RR 9.45 (5.18–17.22) 5.87 (3.03–11.37) 5.75 (3.17–10.42) 3.50 (2.05–5.98) 2.81 (1.52–5.21) 2.92 (1.06–8.05) Expected RR
Excluding first 2 year deaths b
4.85 (2.28–10.34) 6.18 (2.96–12.92) 4.38 (2.19–8.79) 2.97 (1.62–5.44) 3.04 (1.54–6.01) 1.49 (0.33–6.66) Women
Never users
Observed RR 0.88 (0.21–3.81) 1.15 (0.27–4.97) 1.32 (0.49–3.55) 1.01 (0.57–1.77) Reference 0.60 (0.20–1.75) Excluding first 2 year deaths b
0.71 (0.09–5.50) 0.93 (0.12–7.17) 0.42 (0.05–3.24) 1.17 (0.58–2.34) 0.69 (0.20–2.47) Smokeless tobacco users c
Observed RR 2.95 (1.60–5.46) 1.52 (0.67–3.43) 1.64 (0.85–3.15) 1.44 (0.85–2.42) 0.88 (0.46–1.66) 1.52 (0.70–3.32) Expected RR
Excluding first 2 year deaths b 3.21 (1.49–6.95) 2.04 (0.78–5.30) 1.83 (0.81–4.13) 1.79 (0.94–3.42) 1.12 (0.52–2.41) 1.76 (0.68–4.53) a
Adjusted for age, education, religion, and mother tongue; note that all relative risk significantly different from the referent are denoted by the use of bold font b
Excluding deaths occurring in the first 2 years to reduce effect of weight loss or smoking cessation due to symptoms of disease.
c
Includes all types of smokeless tobacco products.
d
May include bidi plus cigarette smokers and may include smokers plus mixed (smoking and smokeless) users.
Trang 5India, tobacco is used in a wide variety of forms[59] Use of all
forms of tobacco is associated with higher all cause mortality in the
Indian population [60,61] In additional to corroborating these
national findings, MCS also highlights an association of tobacco use
with cancer mortality[35] Previously, we reported that tobacco
use (smoking and smokeless) is also associated with low BMI[12]
The high prevalence of tobacco use[38,62]and its association with
low BMI[12]raises important questions about its impact on public
health in India, a country which has a high prevalence of low BMI
among adults[39,57,58]
In developed countries, smoking and excess body weight are
two of the most important risk factors implicated in chronic
diseases and premature death[52,63] Smoking is associated with
lower body mass; quitting smoking has been associated with
significant amount of weight gain[17] In fact, smoking cessation
was estimated to be responsible for about one quarter of the
increase in prevalence of overweight among men in the USA during
the 1980s [64] In Mumbai, increased all-cause mortality was
observed not only among underweight and obese smokers, but also
among underweight and obese never tobacco users[37], and is
true for cancer mortality (Table 2) The population of India is not
immune to obesity [39,57,58,65–67] Additionally, patterns of
tobacco use[59,62]are very different than those observed in other
developed countries Specifically, smoking which is very common
among men is mainly in the form of bidi and followed by cigarette
smoking [59,62] Although smoking in women is very rare,
chewing of tobacco is quite common[38,59,62]
In India, nearly half of all rural adults and a quarter of urban
adults have a low BMI (i.e., <18.5 kg/m2)[57,58,68,69] Although
chronic energy deficiency due to inadequate diet may be the main
factor placing the population at risk of low BMI, factors other than
diet may play a significant role in explaining the low BMI within
this population These factors may act directly (by affecting
appetite or other aspects of physiology) or indirectly (by
decreasing the purchasing power for food) We had reported that
all forms of tobacco use are associated with low BMI independent
of (i.e., after accounting for) age, education, mother tongue, and
religion in this same population[12] In this study, the risk of
cancer death among men increases progressively from never
tobacco users having a BMI 18.5–25.0 kg/m2to smokers having a
BMI <16.0 kg/m2, when compared with the reference group A
similar increasing pattern of risk was observed for overweight/
obese men; the risk of death increases from smokeless tobacco
users having a BMI 25.0 to <30 kg/m2to smokers having a BMI
30.0 kg/m2
In the Mumbai Cohort Study, we had reported that education
(generally used as a proxy for SES) was associated with both
tobacco use [38] and BMI [39] Additionally, low BMI was
associated with lower educational attainment while higher
education was associated with high-BMI, a pattern that was
observed for both men and women[39] Higher cancer mortality
was observed among both extremely thin and obese men and
women in Mumbai One possible explanation might be the
relationship between occupation and education In countries in
transition less-educated people tend to be in labor-intensive
occupations and people with higher education generally lead more
sedentary lifestyles This is in contrast to economically advanced
countries where lower education may be associated with higher
unemployment or low-paid jobs that are not necessarily
labor-intensive Thus, the increased risk of death among obese men
across different tobacco habits may be an indication of the
upcoming obesity epidemic in India The protective effect[36]that
we observed in overweight (but not obese) individuals may be an
artifact of where India stands in the demographic transition; i.e.,
these individuals may have been in normal weight categories just a
few years earlier[39]and this risk estimate is residual to the effect
of being normal weight for a long time during early and middle adulthood This finding raises important questions about the magnitude of the adverse joint impact of tobacco use and BMI on public health
In this population, infectious agents and pollution are the other environment factors that may play a role in the interaction between tobacco and body habitus Tobacco use[70–72]and poor nutrition [73] impair the immune system Hence, tobacco users are more susceptible to infectious agents For example, smoking is associated with higher relative risk of TB mortality and prevalence of active TB
in several studies in rural and urban India[61] In corroboration of this, increased mortality risk from TB was observed in MCS[74] Besides the direct physiological effect, tobacco use among the economically disadvantaged is known to reduce the resources available to purchase food, clothing, health, and education, all factors that contribute to poor nutritional status[75] This helps to explain why changes in the relationship between smoking and BMI vary with the secular shift toward affluence[76]
The current study not only underscores the importance of joint effect of tobacco use and BMI on cancer mortality, but also demonstrates that the joint effect of smokeless tobacco use and thinness is antagonistic in men and synergistic in women Also, the effect is most prominent for smoker men having BMI <16.0 or having BMI 30.0
Limitations: The study has several limitations The cause of death information was obtained from local death registries that may be associated with imprecision On the other hand, the Mumbai Registry is one of the oldest and the most efficient systems
of mortality ascertainment and therefore should be most reliable data from this country[35] Also, we excluded polling stations that served the upper-middle class and upper-class housing complexes because of security issues (i.e., they were essentially ‘‘gated communities’’) It should be noted, however, that they constituted
a small proportion when the cohort was formed during early 1990s We also excluded the very lowest SES individuals, consisting of footpath dwellers because they are not generally included in the electoral rolls; hence they would be very difficult to follow up[12,30,35–39] Therefore, the cohort may not be truly representative of Mumbai population Most other limitations of this study, including loss to follow up due to high migration and its impact on tobacco and mortality association[35,74], limitations in BMI[12,36,39](e.g., very few obese individuals and few who have been overweight or obese through most of their adulthood) have been discussed in earlier publications
Conclusions: This study, in a large well designed and conducted cohort representing all but the very highest and lowest economic strata of Indian society, shows that all forms of tobacco use[35] and BMI[36](a proxy for nutritional status) have an independent,
as well as joint impact (Table 2) on cancer mortality Tobacco and undernutrition are known to be serious problems in India As the prevalence of obesity is low, obesity is thus far associated with modest excess mortality However, obesity appear to be increasing [39]and with it we can expect increases in rates of chronic diseases [65], including cancer[25,77] It appears that the joint impact is stronger than their individual effects; thus, tobacco control and improvements in nutritional status will be necessary to reduce cancer mortality in India
Data access: Every author had access to data used in the paper Financial support: This work was supported by funding from the International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France (Collaborative Research Agreement DEP/89/12), the Clinical Trial Service Unit of the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, and the World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland Dr He´bert was supported by a USIA Fulbright Senior Research Fellowship for the 2008–9 academic year through the US Educational Foundation in India
Trang 6Conflict of interest statement
None declared
Authors contributions: MS Pednekar who developed the concept
for this paper, supervised the field work, was responsible for the
data management, data analyses and the statistical procedures
and tests, interpreted the results, conducted the literature search,
wrote the original draft of the paper, and interacted with
co-authors in subsequent drafts of the paper PC Gupta
conceptua-lized the study, evolved field instruments and procedures,
directed the field work, data management and data analyses,
interpreted the results and contributed towards writing of the
paper at all stages JR Hebert was responsible for helping in data
analysis, interpretation of results, and writing of the paper at all
stages
Acknowledgments
The authors appreciate the collaborative efforts of the
Inter-national Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France, The Clinical
Trial Service Unit of the University of Oxford, Oxford, United
Kingdom, and the World Health Organization, Geneva,
Switzer-land The authors also are grateful for the co-operation of the
Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (BMC) in providing
access to information on cause of death
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