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ETHNIC POLITICS AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY A COMPARISON OF SRI LANKA AND MALAYSIA NAVARATNAM RAVINTHIRAKUMARAN (B.A (Econ.) (Hons.) Jaffna, Dip-in-Econ, M.A Colombo) A THESIS SUBMITTED FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE 2006 i Acknowledgment There are many individuals and institutions who have contributed to the successful completion of my study First I would like to thank my supervisor, Professor Tilak Abeysinghe, for bringing the topic to my attention and for the able supervision, comments, and suggestions that have led to the completion of the thesis I also owe a debt of gratitude to other members of the thesis committee, Professor Anthony Chin and Dr Gamini Prenaretne who also offered very useful advice at various stages of the research I also express my sincere gratitude to Dr Ganeshamoorthy, OG Dayaratne Banda, and Gurpreet Singh Bhatia, who have helped me in various ways at different stages of my study I am also grateful to the National University of Singapore for providing financial support to enable me to complete my studies My deep appreciation goes to my parents Mr and Mrs Navaratnam, who have been very supportive of my ambition to pursue post-graduate studies This thesis is dedicated to my parents I also thank my father-in-law, Jeyaseelan, brothers and sisters, and my brothersin-law and sisters-in-law for offering me various forms of support during my studies Finally, I express my heartfelt appreciation to my wife Kalaichelvi and sons Saranyan and Hanosiyan for their support and encouragement throughout the duration of my study My wife also patiently read and provided excellent assistance in various ways ii Table of Contents Page Summary viii List of Tables x List of Figures xii List of Diagrams xii List of Appendices xiii Abbreviations xiv Chapter 1: Introduction 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Sri Lanka and Malaysia experience 1.3 The research focus 1.4 The organization of the thesis 10 Chapter 2: Ethnicity and Ethnic Conflict: General Concepts 2.1 Introduction 12 2.2 Definition of key terms 12 2.2.1 Ethnicity 13 2.2.2 Ethnic boundaries 15 2.2.3 Ethnic conflict 18 2.2.4 Economic openness 19 2.2.5 Economic growth and development 22 iii 2.2.6 Disciplined government 24 2.2.7 Democracy 25 2.2.8 Why ethnic conflicts occur? 26 2.3 Review of literature 28 2.3.1 Economic factors and ethnic conflicts 29 2.3.2 Political factors and ethnic conflicts 37 2.3.3 Cultural factors and ethnic conflicts 41 2.3.4 Justification of the literature studies 46 2.4 Summary 46 Chapter 3: Ethnic preference policies in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 3.1 Introduction 48 3.2 A brief background of ethnic preference policies 49 3.3 Ethnic preference policies in Sri Lanka 51 3.3.1 Evolution of ethnic preference policies 51 3.3.2 Ethnic preference in language 52 3.3.3 Ethnic preference in religion 55 3.3.4 Ethnic preference in education 56 3.3.5 Ethnic preference in employment 60 3.3.6 Ethnic preference in land settlement 64 3.3.7 Ethnic preference in policy decision 66 3.4 Ethnic preference policies in Malaysia 68 3.4.1 Evolution of ethnic preference policies 69 3.4.2 Ethnic preference in culture 69 iv 3.4.3 Ethnic preference in education 72 3.4.4 Ethnic preference in employment 76 3.4.5 Ethnic preference policies in other financial activities 78 3.5 Evaluation of EPPs in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 80 3.6 Summary 84 Chapter 4: Analytical explanation, theoretical and empirical analysis 4.1 Introduction 88 4.2 Analytical explanation 89 4.2.1 Degree of economic openness and ethnic conflict 93 4.2.2 The quality of governance and ethnic conflict 100 4.2.3 Economic growth and ethnic conflict 104 4.2.4 Poverty, inequality, deprivation and ethnic conflict 108 4.3 Theoretical model of ethnic conflict 111 4.3.1 Introduction 111 4.3.2 Assumptions of the model 112 4.3.3 The consequence of political options 113 4.3.4 Agreement or challenge? 119 4.3.5 Can ethnic peace be achieved? 122 4.3.6 The implications of the analysis 124 4.3.7 The degree of economic openness and ethnic peace or conflict 126 4.4 Empirical analysis 4.4.1 Research design 131 131 v 4.4.2 Estimation techniques 141 4.4.3 Results 143 4.4.3.1 Results of economic growth 143 4.4.3.2 Results of disciplined government 147 4.4.3.3 Results of ethnic conflict 149 4.5 Summary 153 Chapter 5: The impact of economic activity on inter-ethnic relations in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 5.1 Introduction 162 5.2 Economic activities and their outcome in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 164 2.1 Degree of economic openness in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 164 5.2.2 Role of the government in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 171 5.2.3 The level of macro-economic stability in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 176 5.2.4 Economic growth in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 182 5.2.5 Poverty and Inequality in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 186 5.3 Socio-economic status of ethnic groups in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 5.3.1 Ethnic composition and socio-economic attainment 195 196 5.3.1.1 Education achievement by ethnicity 197 5.3.1.2 Employment and unemployment pattern by ethnicity 200 5.3.1.3 Ownership of capital assets by ethnicity 210 5.3.1.4 Monthly mean income by ethnicity 213 vi 5.3.2 Geographical area and socio-economic performance of ethnic groups 216 5.3.2.1 Geographical area and socio-economic performance of ethnic groups in Sri Lanka 216 5.3.2.2 Geographical area and socio-economic performance of ethnic groups in Malaysia 5.4 Economic aspects of inter-ethnic relations in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 226 229 5.4.1 Inter-ethnic relation in Sri Lanka 229 5.4.2 Inter-ethnic relation in Malaysia 238 5.5 Summary 243 Chapter 6: Conclusion 6.1 Introduction 247 6.2 Summary of findings 247 6.3 Policy implications 259 Bibliography 262 vii Summary Sri Lanka and Malaysia are basket cases of socio-economic policies that have resulted in vastly different socio-economic outcomes Despite a vast and growing literature on ethnic tensions, the economic dimension of the problem remains largely unexamined; analyses on ethnic tensions have inevitably led to a misleading impression that both countries’ ethnic tensions are purely an ‘ethnic issue’ and that it has to be analyzed in the context of ethnic disparities of each country This thesis addresses this misconception focusing on the economic dimension of the problem The objective of the thesis is to analyze how economic policies can act as a stimulant to ethnic tensions or cordial ethnic relations, using Sri Lanka and Malaysia as case studies The thesis shows that a high degree of economic openness to trade and investment ensures high growth and a disciplined government that is turn set the pre-conditions for ethnic peace Chapter provides definitions and explanations regarding the key terms of ethnic-related issues such as ethnicity and ethnic conflict and then explores the relevant literature on ethnic conflicts Chapter discusses the origins and evolution of ethnic preference policies in Sri Lanka and Malaysia More specifically, the thesis highlights the following major components: the background of ethnic preference policies - the origin and nature of the ethnic polity in Sri Lanka and Malaysia and the rationale of their ethnic preference policies; an analysis of the major domains of ethnic contestation and state intervention in both countries; and a critical evaluation of the effectiveness and impacts of such ethnic preference policies in Sri Lanka and Malaysia viii Chapter provides a general theoretical and empirical framework Using an analytical framework, the thesis discusses the fundamental relationship between economic activities and ethnic conflict In order to explain the relationship further, it utilizes an adapted a game-theoretic model of conflict between ethnic groups based on their behavior It then provides an empirical analysis, using a panel data set for 12 multi-ethnic countries from 1980 to 2000, how openness, disciplined government and economic growth interact to create the necessary conditions for ethnic peace Chapter moves on examine the impact of economic activity on inter-ethnic relations in Sri Lanka and Malaysia In this context, it provides a critical evaluation of economic activities and there outcome in Sri Lanka and Malaysia, a critical assessment of the socioeconomic status of ethnic communities in both countries, and a critical examination of effectiveness and impacts of economic activities on inter-ethnic relations Lastly, in order to close the thesis, Chapter summarizes the major findings of the thesis and draws some policy implications ix List of Tables 2.1 Ethnic conflict and economic factors: A summary 30 2.2 Ethnic conflict and political factors: A summary 38 2.3 Ethnic conflict and social factors: A summary 41 3.1 Sri Lanka: Composition of public service 1948, 1979/80 62 3.2 Sri Lanka: Ethnicity of settlers in Mahaweli irrigation 67 4.1 List of countries by openness status and degree of governance 95 4.2 Relationship between degree of openness and growth: 1981-2000 97 4.3 Relationship between growth and inequality 107 4.4 Dependent variable: Economic Growth 144 4.5 Dependent variable: Disciplined Government 147 4.6 Dependent Variable: Ethnic conflict 149 5.1 Sri Lanka: Political parties in power and economic policy regimes 1951-2000 165 5.2 Malaysia: Political parties in power and economic policy regimes 1959-2000 166 5.3: Sri Lanka and Malaysia: Fiscal operations 1960-2000 180 5.4: Sri Lanka: Incidence of poverty 1969/70 - 1995/96 187 5.5: Sri Lanka: Income distribution and gini ratio 1953 - 2000 189 5.6: Malaysia: Incidence of poverty 1957/58 – 2000 190 5.7: Malaysia: Income distribution and Gini ratio 1957/58 - 2000 192 5.8: Sri Lanka: Employment and unemployment rate 19559/60-2000 201 5.9: Sri Lanka: Employment by ethnic group and occupation 1981/83 203 x La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Andrei, S and Vishny, R (1998), “The Quality of Government,” Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, Vol.15, No.1, pp.222279 Lake, David and Donald, Rothchild (1996), “Containing fear: The origins and management of ethnic conflict”, International Security, Vol 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Sri Lanka and Malaysia 182 5.2.5 Poverty and Inequality in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 186 5.3 Socio -economic status of ethnic groups in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 5.3.1 Ethnic composition and socio -economic. .. of economic openness in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 164 5.2.2 Role of the government in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 171 5.2.3 The level of macro -economic stability in Sri Lanka and Malaysia 176 5.2.4 Economic. .. section of the chapter, an attempt is made to provide a profile of Sri Lanka and Malaysia, outlining some key aspects Both Sri Lanka in South Asia and Malaysia in Southeast Asia were generally a colonial