Delivery Tomorrow - Logistics 2050

Logistics 2050 A Scenario Study [...]... future of logistics by describing a number of different scenarios, or pictures of the world, in 2050 The Deutsche Post DHL Logistics 2050 scenario process was designed and conducted by experts from Z_punkt The Foresight Company The scenarios were developed based on input from internal logistics experts of Deutsche Post DHL and renowned external experts from diverse fields The experts included high-ranking... illustrate a number of possible futures that need to be taken into consideration before acting As an applied activity, futures research is related to planning, just as planning is to day-to-day decision-making Day-to-day decision-makers (administrators) typically make specific decisions on the basis of established strategic plans Futurists argue that, before strategic plans are formulated, organizations should... expected to today rise steeply over the next 40 years The European Commission has set a 60% GHG-reduction target for transport by 2050, but achieving even a modest absolute reduction in total GHG emissions will be hugely challenging for the logistics industry This is mainly 18 Delivering Tomorrow because demand for logistics services is expected to rise steeply over the next 40 years The Commission proposes... behind and the nation-state has become a second-tier actor Scenario 2, Mega-Efficiency in Megacities, Robotics has revolutionized the world of production and services Consumers have switched from product ownership to rent-anduse consumption Highly efficient traffic concepts, including underground cargo transport and new solutions for public transport, have relieved congestion Zero-emission automated... 1 futures book by the Association of Professional Futurists Logistics 2050 A Scenario Study 33 2 Imagination The Project This study aims to foster dialogue about the future of logistics through explorative scenarios of the world in 2050 Scenarios assist in identifying and clarifying strategic objectives and preparing knowledge for decision-makers Since the focus rests not only on the possible future... reflections on long-term oriented strategies and policy measures The Deutsche Post DHL Logistics 2050 scenario process was designed and conducted by foresight experts at Z_punkt The Foresight Company The scenarios were developed based on input from surveys of internal logistics experts from Deutsche Post DHL along with interviews with renowned experts from diverse fields, and a software-supported consistency... design blueprints for 3D printers, and have expanded into the online fabbing market The decentralized organization of production turns strong regional logistics capabilities and a highquality last-mile network into important success factors Logistics 2050 A Scenario Study 15 describes a world where, triggered by economic hardship, excessive nationalism and protectionist barriers, globalization has been... century Scenario 4, Paralyzing Protectionism, Implications for the logistics industry include challenges posed by the decline in world trade and the resulting regionalization of supply chains Governments view logistics as a strategic industry As relations between some blocs and countries are extremely strained, logistics providers in bloc-free countries act as intermediaries in international trade brokerage... in 2050, with regionalized trade, relies on a logistics sector that ensures supply security as a top priority, with backup infrastructure to guarantee reliable transport in unstable and hazardous times However, such extensive backup systems are asset-heavy and conflict with the aim of carbon reduction To counter this effect and balance energy efficiency and supply chain resilience, sophisticated logistics. .. chain resilience, sophisticated logistics planning is used to achieve high capacity utilization In addition, instead of complex just-in-time delivery processes, huge warehouse structures located close to the manufacturer are seen as indispensable buffers 16 Delivering Tomorrow Issues Secure Communications Jürgen Gerdes, member of the Deutsche Post DHL Board of Management responsible for MAIL, suggests . Logistics 2050 A Scenario Study