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THE PAST AS PRESENT: are the USA, France, Germany, the UK, the EU, NATO, and Russia at it again, after all these years? Armando Marques Guedes Law, Politics and Security, NSL September 28th, 2022 The legendary Krupp's Big Bertha, a German 42cm howitzer used to crush the Belgian fortresses in 1914 Belgian refugees near Aydenarde, 1915 a muddy British outpost in Flanders, 1916 preparing to 'hop the bags' outside Beaumont Hamel 1st Battalion, Lancashire Fusiliers July, 1916 Péronne during the Battle of the Somme, 1916 “Don't be angry, just be amazed”, was the calling card left by Germans on the destroyed town hall of Péronne after their withdrawal to the Hindenberg Line in the relative comfort of a German trench, before the Woodrow Wilson and US decision to enter the war a mustard gas victim the arrival of Trotsky to Brest-Litovsk, for the formal negotiations started on the 22nd December, 1917; the photgraph below is of the failed attempt at a first draft of the Brest-Litovsk Treaty On the right hand side, a map of the territories ceded by the bolchevicks to the Germans after the definitive Treaty, signed only on the 3rd March, 1917 The territorial losses were humiliating to the Russian soviets President Woodrow Wilson announcing to the US Congress the official break of diplomatic relations with Germany, 3rd February, 1917 Playing it out, of course On February 24th, 2022, Russia massively invaded Ukriane AND SO IT BEGAN Energy Intelligence: ”The West is confronted with a military invasion of Ukraine which serves as a precursor for a new Cold War that will define Russia’s relationship with the West for years to come” Indeed a friendly crowd of 190,000 Russia troops just walked in, proudly Things, however, did not go as expected one of many examples of Moscow’s ineptitude: Kremlin furious as Russian Army suffers ‘significant losses’ after bombing own unit, mistaken regiment for Ukrainian troops another evidence of disfunction: Ukrainian soldiers examine destroyed Russian military vehicles following a battle in Bucha, Ukraine Germany’s Olaf Scholz on German national television: Russia can’t dictate peace deal in Ukraine ‘The Ukrainians will not accept that, and neither will we,’ German chancellor says OK, so where is he, and what is he really doing, other than talking every once in a while? Oh, and what about E Macron, who likes to talk and talk and talk? endish of Summer 2022, first and second weeks of September, look at the two contrasting images: Rockets launched from Russia's Belgorod region are seen at dawn in Kharkiv, northeastern Ukraine Meek, as they realized Ukraine had fooled them Kiev’s fast & furious counteroffensive in their northeast Not Kherson, south near Kharkiv, over 450 bodies have been found at a nearby mass grave, mostly civilians More were expected to be found Many already did Calls for a Nuremberg 2.0 are coming from everywhere Let us hope that happens soon a fast-forward to now: CNN, September 27, 2022: in dire straits, Vladimir Putin is forced to severely recalibrate and reorganize the sorry pattern of an unexpectedly badly failed invasion: Things did rather quickly fall apart, as Russia was stalled Protests, drafting mistakes and an exodus: Putin's mobilization off to chaotic start ‘RUSSIAN’ CONSCRIPTS OF ALL AGES ARE BEIBNG HEADED TO BATTLE, EXPRESSING OUTRAGE AT PUTIN’S INVASION THE KREMLIN MOVED PRETTY FAST TO QUASH “DISSENT” NOT SURPRISINGLY, MOST ARE FROM THE NORTH CAUCASUS AND SIBERIA, NOT FROM RUSSIA ITSELF since neither Plan A nor Plan B worked out, we move to Plan C voting in the Donbas on Tuesday, September 27, 2022 On average, over 99% voted for independence and annexation Four so-called referenda have ended in Russian-held regions of Ukraine - votes which Moscow will very probably use as grounds to annex more territory Oh, yes, and to claim Russia is being invaded; thus making it possible that Moscow has the right, as “self-defence”, to use weapons of mass destruction so as to protect its “democratically gained new territory” COOL, right? yesterday, September 27th, 2022 The sham elections Take a look at last night’s reactions Here, below, I am quoting the BBC Interestingly, there is no mention of Germany’s Olaf Scholz… “The UK responded to the so-called referendums with new sanctions targeting top Russian officials involved in enforcing the votes US Secretary of State Antony Blinken reiterated that the West would never recognise Russian annexations, warning the Kremlin of "additional swift and severe costs". French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna, who on Tuesday visited Ukraine, described the polls as a "masquerade" In China, a traditional Russian ally, foreign ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said the "sovereignty and territorial integrity of all countries must be respected", when answering a reporter's question about the so-called referendums President Putin defended the referendums, saying they were designed to stop the persecution of ethnic Russians and Russianspeakers by Ukraine - a charge the Ukrainian government denies."Saving people in all the territories where this referendum is being held is at the top of our minds and the focus of attention of our entire society and country," the Russian leader said in televised remarks” again, September 27, 2022, French foreign minister says sanctions will follow Russian-organized sham referendums in Ukraine The UK agrees As does the US Where is Scholz? The New York Times, days ago: “Germany’s Chancellor Has ‘a Lot’ for Ukraine But No Battle Tanks” WHY NOT?? I can hear an echo… Ukrainians have faces, they are real people And they have lots of guts and agency If we all help them ... 19411942, the peak of its expansion Setember 1942, the maximum world spread of the Axis powers, continental in one case, maritime in the other the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere just for the. .. watching the advancing column of the US 101st Ammunition Train Soulosse, France, April 10, 1918 the Supply Train of the US 129th Infantry, 33rd Division, on the road at Bethincourt one of the massive... Campaingn 011 The entry of the USA into World War I spelt disaster for Imperial Germany The massive superiority in men and materials which the Americans could provide meant that if Germany had