Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 13 ppt

... distribution with p = 0.8. FIGURE A.27 Yes-no distribution with p = 0.8. 192 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL are: market demand for products and services, labor supply and cost, or materials ... max[0,n −N +N x ], and b = min[N x , n]. FIGURE A.14 Hypergeometric distribution with N x = 50, n = 50, and N = 100. 204 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYST...

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... Crystal Ball Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal ... approximation to reality. 4 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL In short, probability and statistics help you weigh the potential rewar...

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... 3, 4, and 5, where each Z t is drawn from a 116 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.11 Spider chart. analysis of the relationships between the randomly generated inputs and ... year. These are 106 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.1 Spreadsheet segment to model annuity with deterministic cash flows of −$100 at the end...

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... up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 128 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8.4 Crystal Ball model for income statement in Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 ... Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8.5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2.xls. The values of the Cr...

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... tool. 18 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero (0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two diffe...

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... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND...

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... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppose a random sample of ... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0.36),...

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... second quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... through K are hidden. 94 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL different values for Abandon Point and seven different values for Expansion Point. If we used...

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... FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processing during each trial of the simulation, see the Crystal Ball User Manual ... here. FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball...

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... following mathematical programming problem: 138 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 9.4 Optimal asset allocations and sustainable withdrawal rates for two planning horizons. Horizon ... problem, and gives financial planners an idea of how to use Crystal Ball and OptQuest to demonstrate to their clients the risks involved in retirement planning. 136 F...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20