Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel Chapter 6 docx

... discussed further here. FIGURE 6. 8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6. 1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball executes the simulation ... (z α/2 , s,andn) can be used to increase the precision of the estimate of the mean. 100 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 6. 5 Run Preferen...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20

... Crystal Ball Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36 Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54 Specifying Correlations 63 vii 10 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL ■ Crystal ... College on Simulation, and proceedings coeditor (19 96) and program chair (2002) for the Winter Simulation Confererences. xvii Financial Modeling wi...

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... that only 9, 761 trials are displayed, the value $3,775,824 for the mean in Figure 2.4 is calculated from all 10,000 trials of the simulation. 16 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE ... more. 26 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for two diff...

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... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to 28 32 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to the deterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND...

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... distribution. 66 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls. Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0. 36) , and cell I2 is ... 60 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by Crystal Ball for fitting distributions. Suppos...

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... second quarter of year, and abandon the project if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below − $6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... values that Crystal Ball checks and thus speeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL To see the decision variable for threshold...

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... sampling error from the means of $6. 02 and 20% shown in Figures 7.15 and 7. 16. This is a manifestation of Jensen’s 108 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL normal(0,1) distribution independently ... 3, 4, and 5, where each Z t is drawn from a 1 16 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 7.11 Spider chart. analysis of the relationsh...

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... most important driver of 20 06 EBIT. This emphasizes the need to come up with a good model for defining sales assumptions. 128 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 8.4 Crystal Ball model for ... Sengupta2.xls. Cells J6, J7, J10,andJ12 are Crystal Ball assumptions, and I3 is a forecast. FIGURE 8.5 Tornado chart for Crystal Ball model in Sengupta2....

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... problem, and gives financial planners an idea of how to use Crystal Ball and OptQuest to demonstrate to their clients the risks involved in retirement planning. 1 36 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL ... following mathematical programming problem: 138 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 9.4 Optimal asset allocations and sustainable withdra...

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... lose 140 1 46 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL TABLE 10.2 VaR and CVaR for independent investments modeled in CVaRSubadditivity.xls. 1% VaR 1% CVaR Total Loss $ 209.51 $ 4 ,68 7 Loss1 ... forecast window for Portfolio Loss in Figure 10.1. 144 FINANCIAL MODELING WITH CRYSTAL BALL AND EXCEL FIGURE 10.4 Crystal Ball model to find VaR and CVaR. no...

Ngày tải lên: 05/07/2014, 18:20