Democratization in taiwan implications for china”

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Background If the Soviet Union and the United States were the two key players controlling world politics in the Cold War, the post Cold War witnesses the rise of China and USSino relationship has become high in the political agenda The relationship between the “Lonely Super power” – U.S and the “Emerging Power”- China is as a result the focus of many scholars Being formed and developed from the Cold War, U.S.-Sino relationship is believed to be one of the most complex in contemporary politics because it is impacted by many factors, e.g from human rights, fare trade issues to the matter of nuclear weapons proliferation (Ying, 2001) Among many factors, the Taiwan issue is considered as the most sensitive one It is suggested by many scholars that Taiwan can be the factor that can push US and China into fierce confrontations (Lap, 2001) Being a neighbour of China and having territory conflict with this big neighbour (over the Spratly islands, Vietnam has a need to have a better understanding of China including the strategic relationship between China and the U.S from the Taiwan issue perspective Therefore, I decided to take the topic of “Taiwan in the U.S.-Sino relationship after the Cold War” for my graduation thesis Literature review Through the past 50 years, the issue of Taiwan is complex and unpredictable This issue is considered as the most dangerous of security environment in Asia Pacific by many scholars With the long history of causing the tension and détente in the U.S -China relations and its potential threat, Taiwan issue is attracted by many international scholars Many American, Chinese, Taiwan and other scholars have contributed their research following the turbulence of the Taiwan issue For instance, the third Taiwan crisis in 1996 has been studied thoroughly by Zhao (1999) in his book titled “Mainland, China, Taiwan and the 1995-1996 Crisis” Martin L Lasater, and Peter Kien-hong Yu (2000) also offered an interesting research on Taiwan's security after the Deng era (The Taiwan Issue in Sino-American Relations) With the end of Cold War, the main confrontation between the two blocs- the U.S led capitalist and the USSR led socialist bloc disappeared and the political chessboard has changed from the trans-Atlantic to Asia Pacific region This also changed the focus of many scholar into Asia Pacific in particular the relation between the U.S and China The issue of Taiwan has, thus, drawn much more academic attention especially when it is considered as a potential threat to the security in East Asia and can easily cause direct confrontation between the U.S and China The unsolved question of Taiwan’s future is also an area attracting a wealth of research given the increasing democratization trend in Taiwan Many scenarios have been outlined by the U.S and China scholars Steven Tsang (2006) has attempted to explain and analyse the driving forces behind, the methods and consequences of China using force to reunify Taiwan in a book titled “Democratization in Taiwan: Implications for China” Also, he anticipates the cost of war to China Other scenarios are outlined taken into consideration the comparison of arm force between the PRC and ROC and the U.S intervention (see L Lasater, and Kien-hong Yu (2000)) This thesis endeavors to provide a general view and comprehensive analysis the issue of Taiwan To that end, the view point of three related parties and respective scholars will all be considered Research questions and scope The thesis “The Issue of Taiwan in the Sino-U.S relationship” is set out to address the following research questions: • What is the policy of related parties, i.e the U.S., China and Taiwan toward Taiwan issue? • How have U.S and China realised their Taiwan policy? • What could be the prospects for Taiwan in the next 50 years? The above mentioned questions will be discussed within the thesis scope as follows: • In terms of time: The thesis will focus on researching the position of Taiwan in the United States and China relationship as well as analyzing factors influencing the policy of two countries in the post Cold War era • In terms of content: The thesis will point out the development relations of three parties involved- the U.S.- China- Taiwan On the basis of analysing the challenges and advantages, the thesis suggests some scenarios for Taiwan issue in the next 50 years Research method and Materials The thesis will employ a qualitative method with content analysis focusing on secondary data, including: • • Some translated book Some thesis from Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam • Articles, journals, prestigious journals of research institutes such as: American Today, Institute of Chinese Studies, International Studies, etc However, it should be noticed that there are some inherent limitations in the availability of materials on political science in Vietnam and particularly in Hue Contribution Being the relationship between a super-power and an emerging power, U.S.-Sino relationship would definitely have significant impacts on world politics in general and Asia-Pacific region in particular A research on Taiwan in the United States and China relationship is expected to provide a deeper view over this powerful relationship from the perspective of the Taiwan issue In addition, the thesis is also expected to support the planning and adjusting Vietnamese policy toward China, our powerful neighbor with historical complicated relations Last but not least, the thesis is a general study about the Taiwan issue after the Cold War Being the first thesis of International Studies Department of Hue University, the thesis is expected to be the very first study in this topic, generalizing, analyzing the role of Taiwan in the U.S and China policy Thesis structure The Thesis “The Issue of Taiwan in the Sino-U.S Relationship” will be structured into three chapters: Chapter 1: History of Taiwan issue: the chapter would like to give some basic information about the Taiwan issue since Cold War Specifically, the chapter will give an overview of the origin of Taiwan issue after the People Democracy of China’s (PRC) establishment Some key events will also be listed to portray the process of triangle U.S.-Taiwan-China relations in the Cold War Chapter 2: The policy of involved parties (the U.S., China and Taiwan) over the Taiwan issue: This chapter will focus on analysing polices which have been applied for Taiwan and analysing Taiwan factor in the U.S.-Sino relationship Chapter 3: Scenarios for Taiwan future: The last chapter will offer three scenarios for Taiwan’s future, including: 1) China uses forces to reunify Taiwan; 2) China manages to return Taiwan in peace; and 3) Taiwan gains independence CHAPTER II HISTORY OF TAIWAN ISSUE The establishment of the Taiwan Strait Taiwan, also known as the Republic of China (ROC), is China's largest island and located approximately 100 miles off the Fujian coast of China It is an oceanic nation of 23 million people with a combined area of approximately 36,000 sq km It comprises the main island of Taiwan, the archipelagoes of Penghu (the Pescadores), Kinmen (Quemoy), and Matsu, and a number of other islands Taiwanese economy is considered as one of the highest trade/GNP ratios in the world in 1985 with its GNP of $ 57 billion and total volume of trade of $51 billion (Lasater, 1986) Taiwan is a territory of China which was invaded by Japan in 1895 In the war to gain Taiwan, the Communist party and Nationalist party supported each other to fight against Japan With the end of World War II in 1945, Japan was defeated and forced to return Taiwan for China At the time of Taiwan being returned for China, the Nationalist party did not cooperate to the Communist party This led to the Chinese civil war in three years (1946-1949) In the civil war, the United States administration supported military, money for the Chiang forces (Nationalist Party) in order to deter Chinese communist revolution However, the civil war was out of the U.S.’s control The Communists successfully defeated the Nationalist and forced them run away to Taiwan The People’s Republic of China has been established on st October 1949 In the same year, being supported by the U.S., the Republic of China has been established in December 1949 in Taiwan Since then, two different political regimes have been coexisted in parallel- the People’s Republic of China in the mainland and Republic of China in Taiwan Within this thesis, the People’s Republic of China will be referred as China and the Republic of China will be referred as Taiwan Since then, there have been a lot of efforts from China to return Taiwan and from US to protect its important ally This has led to ups and downs in Sino-U.S relationship which will be reviewed in the next section Some main events related to the Taiwan Strait in the Cold War On 25 June 1950 the Korean War broke out Being afraid of the expansion of communism to East Asia U.S President Truman declared the "neutralization of the Straits of Formosa" The Seventh Fleet was sent into the Straits in order to prevent the island from any the PRC’s attack Since then Taiwan has been placed under U.S military protection In the 1950s of the 20th century, the conflicts concerning Taiwan have further deteriorated U.S.-China relations Typically, there were crises: 1954-1955 and 1958 which led to the military confrontation involved all three parties The first Taiwan Strait crisis (1954-1955) It was a short armed conflict that took place between the governments of the PRC and ROC in the island of Quemoy and Matsu after the U.S lifted its blockade of Taiwan After placed Taiwan under U.S protection by sending the Seventh Fleet to the island, the Truman administration had resisted calls by hard-liners to “unleash Chiang Kai-shek” But shortly after his inauguration, on February 1953 President Eisenhower lifted the U.S Seventh Fleet's blockade which had prevented Chiang’s force from attacking mainland China under the Truman administration, making possible Nationalist attacks on mainland Being afraid of abandoned; in August 1954 Chiang reacted by placing 58,000 troops to Quemoy and 15,000 Matsu Zou En-lai, the Incumbent Prime Minister of the PRC declared that Taiwan must be liberated Then, the U.S warned PRC against action against Taiwan But on 3rd September 1954 began an artillery bombardment of Quemoy, and the Communist planes bombed the Tachen islands This incident has put the Taiwan issue into such a serious situation that in September 1954 the U.S Joint Chiefs of Staff suggested the possibility the use of nuclear weapons against China However, President Eisenhower refused to use this possibility or use of American troops to resolve the crisis On 2nd December 1954, the U.S and ROC signed the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT), officialise the strategic security cooperation between US and Taiwan After the MDT was ratified by the U.S Congress in February 1955, the U.S declared that they will use of nuclear weapons against mainland China In the face of a possible nuclear strike by the United States and without receiving the support from the Soviet Union ally, China called a ceasefire and negotiation on 23 April 1995 As a result of the conflict, except the losses of both two sides, the PRC did not “liberate” the Taiwan as Zou En-lai stated, even the nuclear war was prepared The U.S and ROC firstly clarified their interest by their commitment in the Mutual Defense Treaty This Treaty has a special meaning to Taiwan because it has successfully achieved that treaty to protect it further The legalization of the defense relation between the U.S and ROC set tension period in the U.S.-China- Taiwan relation later on The second Taiwan crisis (1958) It was a conflict between PRC and ROC in which the PRC also shelled the island of Matsu and Quemoy in the Taiwan Strait The crisis took place in context of Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev visiting China which aimed to force China follow the détente trend Being afraid of being abandoned, the ROC- Chiang announced that the Soviet Union and China were planning to employ the use of force into Taiwan In this context, on August 23, 1958, the PRC started a massive artillery bombardment of Quemoy and Matsu islands The ROC forces in Quemoy returned fire and called for help from the U.S Responding to the request of ROC's aid, the U.S reinforced its naval units and ordered naval vessels to protect Quemoy's supply lines based on the U.S.-ROC defense treaty signed in 1954 Moreover, the U.S replaced some ROC air force F-86 Sabres to new air-to-air missile AIM-9 Sidewinder which was more advanced than PRC air forces -major using MiG fighters produced by the Soviet Union With the dominant of advanced military technology, ten MiGs were shot down by the F-86s in a single day In the aftermath, the artillery crossfire lasted for 44 days and took approximately 1,000 lives Although the crisis 1958 caused China’s costs and people, China general gained some best objectives, e.g internationalizing the Taiwan question, forcing the U.S to resume ambassador talks and liberating Taiwan and destroying Chiang’s regime Likewise, with the advantages as China gained were the disadvantages for Taiwan Since then, Taiwan has lost strategic support of the U.S which was no longer a place of American vital interest To the U.S., although the U.S did not main major caused the crisis, the question of “Matsu and Quemoy” became an issue in 1960 American Presidential election when Richard Nixon accused John F Kennedy of being unwilling to commit to using nuclear weapon of the PRC invaded Taiwan Nixon’s shock In the late of 1960s and early of 1970s, the U.S - China relations seemed to be get warmer China sought to increase their power whereas the Soviet Union- China relations started to experience some obstacles Sharing the same concern over the Soviet Union’s expansion, the U.S and China got closer In October of 1971, the Republic of China’s seat at the United Nations was replaced by the People Republic of China (inevitably with U.S.’s support) In 1972, President Nixon while visiting Beijing officially confirmed U.S.’s position in the Shanghai Communiqué about the Taiwan issue In the communiqué, the Unites States asserted that “one China”, “Taiwan is a part of China” and "the United States Government does not challenge that position (Nga, 2004) Later in December of 1978, the United States accepted the three principles proposed by the Chinese government for the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries As the three principles, the United States should sever "diplomatic relations" and abrogate the "mutual defense treaty" with the Taiwan authorities and withdraw U.S military forces from Taiwan With the U.S.'s accepting the three principles led to formally establish the diplomatic relations between the two countries on 1st January of 1979 in which "The United States of America recognizes the Government of the People's Republic of China as the sole legal government of China Within this context, the people of the United States will maintain cultural, commercial and other unofficial relations with the people of Taiwan" and "the Government of the United States of America acknowledges the Chinese position that there is but one China and Taiwan is part of China" (Joint Communiqué on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations, 1979) With the consequence of Nixon's shock, China achieved its diplomatic relation with the U.S in 1979; however, its consequence caused the Taiwan's shock regarding its first effort diplomacy to gain recognition as a legitimate object (Minh, 2008).The mass of many countries changed their support from ROC to PRC The number of countries recognized China as the sole legitimate of China increased from 1- Canada in 1979 to 117 in 1979, while as the same period, the number of countries maintained their diplomatic relation with the ROC reduced only 24 in 1979 Other, in 1971, the United Nations replaced the PRC to ROC position Especially, the Carter President announced that the U.S will change its official relation to the PRC as well as terminated the mutual defense treaty with the ROC 1954 While the U.S.-Sino relations get warmer, the Taiwan got many difficulties while Taiwan always maintain close relation with the U.S as mention in the mutual defense treaty and the U.S support behavior since the ROC' s establishment Taiwan Relation Act However, Taiwan remained an area of U.S interest for its special position in U.S strategy to deter China as well as the dominant role of the supporting Taiwan forces in the U.S Congress, three month later, on 10, April of 1979 the United States Congress passed the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) which showed obvious support for Taiwan's position the triangle relations As stipulated on TRA, the U.S committed that "the United States decision to establish diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China rests upon the expectation that the future of Taiwan will be determined by peaceful means"; "consider any effort to determine the future of Taiwan by other than peaceful means "; continued "provide Taiwan with arms of a defensive character" and maintained “commercial, cultural and other relations with the people on Taiwan on an unofficial basis” (Taiwan Relations Act, 1979) To the U.S., the TRA is unique among foreign policy instruments which are strictly speaking a domestic law of the United States in order to clarify its relations with the POC and U.S after the U.S terminating its diplomatic relations with the ROC With the pass of the TRA by as a domestic law of the U.S., the TRA is considered as a unique act The U.S uses its domestic legislation to institutionalize its relations with Taiwan while this act is not amended or terminated directly under the principle signed with the PRC by the Executive branch It also reflects the degree to which Congress has been and continues to be concerned with relations with Taiwan And even more importantly, it underscores how the TRA serves as a direct expression of the views of the American people toward the importance of maintaining ties with Taiwan To Taiwan, after being shocked by the consequence of Nixon’s visit China, Taiwan gained their important position in the U.S policy, especially in the U.S Congress as stipulated by the TRA which the TRA is one of fundamentally official document of the U.S policy regard the Taiwan issue later on In contrast to China, although there were no directly military tension of China's response to the enact of TRA, China views the TRA as "an unwarranted intrusion by the United States into the internal affairs of China." and said that the TRA violated the U.S.-Sino communiqué on normalization and constituted intervention in China's internal affairs The issue of Taiwan has continued to be a major obstacle in the PRC’s relation with the United States The Communiqué 1982 In order to resolve the issue of the U.S arms sales for Taiwan, the U.S and China negotiated and reached an agreement on 1982, later it became the third communiqué of two countries in which the U.S Government stated that: "attaches great importance to its relations with China, and reiterates that it has no intention of infringing on Chinese sovereignty and territorial integrity, or interfering in China's internal affairs, or pursuing a policy of "two Chinas" or "one China, one Taiwan"" and "does not seek to carry out a long-term policy of arms sales to Taiwan" which its arms sales to Taiwan would not exceed, either in qualitative or in quantitative terms (Joint Communiqué on Arms Sales to Taiwan, 1982) Generally, in the U.S policy, the Taiwan issue is mostly controlled in joint Communiqué: 1972, 1979, 1982 and the Taiwan Relations Act, in which the U.S.'s attitude asserts "one China", remains unofficial with the ROC and its arm sales commitments defense to Taiwan To China, the Taiwan's unification is a fundamental of China policy In summary, the 20th century witnessed many détente and tension periods in ChinaUS-Taiwan triangle relationship This is showed by three crises as mentioned above In the 21th century, there is not a directly military confrontation through the Taiwan Strait yet Hence, the question is raise whether the three involved parties want to remain status-quo CHAPTER III THE POLICY OF INVOLVED PARTIES (THE UNITED STATES, CHINA AND TAIWAN) OVER THE TAIWAN ISSUE International and Regional Context a International context The end of Cold entailed the collapse of socialism in the Soviet Union and Eastern European countries The confrontation of bipolar system was fragmented and replaced by new world order in the post Cold War However, the end of Cold War may not have brought a peaceful and stable situation of the world as many people desired 10 paragraph and shall promptly report to the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress Article In the event of employing and executing non-peaceful means and other necessary measures as provided for in this Law, the state shall exert its utmost to protect the lives, property and other legitimate rights and interests of Taiwan civilians and foreign nationals in Taiwan, and to minimize losses At the same time, the state shall protect the rights and interests of the Taiwan compatriots in other parts of China in accordance with law Article 10 This Law shall come into force on the day of its promulgation 38 TAIWAN RELATIONS ACT 10 April 1979 • Sec 3301 Congressional findings and declaration of policy o (a) Findings The President having terminated governmental relations between the United States and the governing authorities on Taiwan recognized by the United States as the Republic of China prior to January 1, 1979, the Congress finds that the enactment of this chapter is necessary  (1) to help maintain peace, security, and stability in the Western Pacific; and  (2) to promote the foreign policy of the United States by authorizing the continuation of commercial, cultural, and other relations between the people of the United States and the people on Taiwan o (b) Policy It is the policy of the United States  (1) to preserve and promote extensive, close, and friendly commercial, cultural, and other relations between the people of the United States and the people on Taiwan, as well as the people on the China mainland and all other peoples of the Western Pacific area;  (2) to declare that peace and stability in the area are in the political, security, and economic interests of the United States, and are matters of international concern;  (3) to make clear that the United States decision to establish diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China rests upon the expectation that the future of Taiwan will be determined by peaceful means;  (4) to consider any effort to determine the future of Taiwan by other than peaceful means, including by boycotts or embargoes, a threat to the peace and security of the Western Pacific area and of grave concern to the United States;  (5) to provide Taiwan with arms of a defensive character; and  (6) to maintain the capacity of the United States to resist any resort to force or other forms of coercion that would jeopardize the security, or the social or economic system, of the people on Taiwan o (c) Human rights Nothing contained in this chapter shall contravene the interest of the United States in human rights, especially with respect to the human rights of all the approximately eighteen million inhabitants of Taiwan The 39 preservation and enhancement of the human rights of all the people on Taiwan are hereby reaffirmed as objectives of the United States • Sec 3302 Implementation of United States policy with regard to Taiwan o (a) Defense articles and services In furtherance of the policy set forth in section 3301 of this title, the United States will make available to Taiwan such defense articles and defense services in such quantity as may be necessary to enable Taiwan to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability o (b) Determination of Taiwan's defense needs The President and the Congress shall determine the nature and quantity of such defense articles and services based solely upon their judgment of the needs of Taiwan, in accordance with procedures established by law Such determination of Taiwan's defense needs shall include review by United States military authorities in connection with recommendations to the President and the Congress o (c) United States response to threats to Taiwan or dangers to United States interests The President is directed to inform the Congress promptly of any threat to the security or the social or economic system of the people on Taiwan and any danger to the interests of the United States arising therefrom The President and the Congress shall determine, in accordance with constitutional processes, appropriate action by the United States in response to any such danger • Sec 3303 Application to Taiwan of laws and international agreements o (a) Application of United States laws generally The absence of diplomatic relations or recognition shall not affect the application of the laws of the United States with respect to Taiwan, and the laws of the United States shall apply with respect to Taiwan in the manner that the laws of the United States applied with respect to Taiwan prior to January 1, 1979 o (b) Application of United States laws in specific and enumerated areas The application of subsection (a) of this section shall include, but shall not be limited to, the following:  (1) Whenever the laws of the United States refer or relate to foreign countries, nations, states, governments, or similar entities, such terms shall include and such laws shall apply with respect to Taiwan  (2) Whenever authorized by or pursuant to the laws of the United States to conduct or carry out programs, transactions, or other relations with respect to foreign countries, nations, states, governments, or similar entities, the President or any agency of the United States Government is authorized to conduct and carry out, 40      in accordance with section 3305 of this title, such programs, transactions, and other relations with respect to Taiwan (including, but not limited to, the performance of services for the United States through contracts with commercial entities on Taiwan), in accordance with the applicable laws of the United States (3)  (A) The absence of diplomatic relations and recognition with respect to Taiwan shall not abrogate, infringe, modify, deny, or otherwise affect in any way any rights or obligations (including but not limited to those involving contracts, debts, or property interests of any kind) under the laws of the United States heretofore or hereafter acquired by or with respect to Taiwan  (B) For all purposes under the laws of the United States, including actions in any court in the United States, recognition of the People's Republic of China shall not affect in any way the ownership of or other rights or interests in properties, tangible and intangible, and other things of value, owned or held on or prior to December 31, 1978, or thereafter acquired or earned by the governing authorities on Taiwan (4) Whenever the application of the laws of the United States depends upon the law that is or was applicable on Taiwan or compliance therewith, the law applied by the people on Taiwan shall be considered the applicable law for that purpose (5) Nothing in this chapter, nor the facts of the President's action in extending diplomatic recognition to the People's Republic of China, the absence of diplomatic relations between the people on Taiwan and the United States, or the lack of recognition by the United States, and attendant circumstances thereto, shall be construed in any administrative or judicial proceeding as a basis for any United States Government agency, commission, or department to make a finding of fact or determination of law, under the Atomic Energy Act of 1954 (42 U.S.C 2011 et seq.) and the Nuclear NonProliferation Act of 1978 (22 U.S.C 3201 et seq.), to deny an export license application or to revoke an existing export license for nuclear exports to Taiwan (6) For purposes of the Immigration and Nationality Act (8 U.S.C 1101 et seq.), Taiwan may be treated in the manner specified in the first sentence of section 202(b) of that Act (8 U.S.C 1152(b)) (7) The capacity of Taiwan to sue and be sued in courts in the United States, in accordance with the laws of the United States, shall not be abrogated, infringed, modified, denied, or otherwise 41 o o affected in any way by the absence of diplomatic relations or recognition  (8) No requirement, whether expressed or implied, under the laws of the United States with respect to maintenance of diplomatic relations or recognition shall be applicable with respect to Taiwan (c) Treaties and other international agreements For all purposes, including actions in any court in the United States, the Congress approves the continuation in force of all treaties and other international agreements, including multilateral conventions, entered into by the United States and the governing authorities on Taiwan recognized by the United States as the Republic of China prior to January 1, 1979, and in force between them on December 31, 1978, unless and until terminated in accordance with law (d) Membership in international financial institutions and other international organizations Nothing in this chapter may be construed as a basis for supporting the exclusion or expulsion of Taiwan from continued membership in any international financial institution or any other international organization • Sec 3304 Overseas Private Investment Corporation o (a) Removal of per capita income restriction on Corporation activities with respect to investment projects on Taiwan During the three-year period beginning on April 10, 1979, the $1,000 per capita income restriction in clause (2) of the second undesignated paragraph of section 2191 of this title shall not restrict the activities of the Overseas Private Investment Corporation in determining whether to provide any insurance, reinsurance, loans, or guaranties with respect to investment projects on Taiwan o (b) Application by Corporation of other criteria Except as provided in subsection (a) of this section, in issuing insurance, reinsurance, loans, or guaranties with respect to investment projects on Taiwan, the Overseas Private Insurance [1] Corporation shall apply the same criteria as those applicable in other parts of the world [1] Note: So in original Probably should be ''Investment'' • Sec 3305 The American Institute in Taiwan o (a) Conduct of programs, transactions, or other relations with respect to Taiwan Programs, transactions, and other relations conducted or carried out by the President or any agency of the United States Government with respect to Taiwan shall, in the manner and to the extent directed by the President, be conducted and carried out by or through  (1) The American Institute in Taiwan, a nonprofit corporation incorporated under the laws of the District of Columbia, or 42 (2) such comparable successor nongovernmental entity as the President may designate, (hereafter in this chapter referred to as the ''Institute'') (b) Agreements or transactions relative to Taiwan entered into, performed, and enforced Whenever the President or any agency of the United States Government is authorized or required by or pursuant to the laws of the United States to enter into, perform, enforce, or have in force an agreement or transaction relative to Taiwan, such agreement or transaction shall be entered into, performed, and enforced, in the manner and to the extent directed by the President, by or through the Institute (c) Preemption of laws, rules, regulations, or ordinances of District of Columbia, States, or political subdivisions of States To the extent that any law, rule, regulation, or ordinance of the District of Columbia, or of any State or political subdivision thereof in which the Institute is incorporated or doing business, impedes or otherwise interferes with the performance of the functions of the Institute pursuant to this chapter, such law, rule, regulation, or ordinance shall be deemed to be preempted by this chapter  o o • Sec 3306 Services to United States citizens on Taiwan o (a) Authorized services The Institute may authorize any of its employees on Taiwan  (1) to administer to or take from any person an oath, affirmation, affidavit, or deposition, and to perform any notarial act which any notary public is required or authorized by law to perform within the United States; [1]  (2) To act as provisional conservator of the personal estates of deceased United States citizens; and [1] Note: So in original Probably should not be capitalized  (3) to assist and protect the interests of United States persons by performing other acts such as are authorized to be performed outside the United States for consular purposes by such laws of the United States as the President may specify o (b) Acts by authorized employees Acts performed by authorized employees of the Institute under this section shall be valid, and of like force and effect within the United States, as if performed by any other person authorized under the laws of the United States to perform such acts • Sec 3307 Exemption from taxation o (a) United States, State, or local taxes The Institute, its property, and its income are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed by the United States (except to the extent that 43 o section 3310(a)(3) of this title requires the imposition of taxes imposed under chapter 21of title 26, relating to the Federal Insurance Contributions Act) or by any State or local taxing authority of the United States (b) Charitable contributions; transfers for public, charitable, and religious uses; charitable and similar gifts For purposes of title 26, the Institute shall be treated as an organization described in sections 170(b)(1)(A), 170(c),2055 (a), 2106(a)(2)(A), 2522(a), and 2522(b) of title 26 • Sec 3308 Activities of United States Government agencies o (a) Sale, loans, or lease of property; administrative and technical support functions and services Any agency of the United States Government is authorized to sell, loan, or lease property (including interests therein) to, and to perform administrative and technical support functions and services for the operations of, the Institute upon such terms and conditions as the President may direct Reimbursements to agencies under this subsection shall be credited to the current applicable appropriation of the agency concerned o (b) Acquisition and acceptance of services Any agency of the United States Government is authorized to acquire and accept services from the Institute upon such terms and conditions as the President may direct Whenever the President determines it to be in furtherance of the purposes of this chapter, the procurement of services by such agencies from the Institute may be effected without regard to such laws of the United States normally applicable to the acquisition of services by such agencies as the President may specify by Executive order o (c) Institute books and records; access; audit Any agency of the United States Government making funds available to the Institute in accordance with this chapter shall make arrangements with the Institute for the Comptroller General of the United States to have access to the books and records of the Institute and the opportunity to audit the operations of the Institute • Sec 3309 Taiwan instrumentality o (a) Establishment of instrumentality; Presidential determination of necessary authority Whenever the President or any agency of the United States Government is authorized or required by or pursuant to the laws of the United States to render or provide to or to receive or accept from Taiwan, any performance, communication, assurance, undertaking, or other action, such action shall, in the manner and to the extent directed by the President, be rendered or provided to, or received or accepted from, an instrumentality established by Taiwan which the President determines has the necessary authority under the laws applied by the people on Taiwan to 44 o o • provide assurances and take other actions on behalf of Taiwan in accordance with this chapter (b) Offices and personnel The President is requested to extend to the instrumentality established by Taiwan the same number of offices and complement of personnel as were previously operated in the United States by the governing authorities on Taiwan recognized as the Republic of China prior to January 1, 1979 (c) Privileges and immunities Upon the granting by Taiwan of comparable privileges and immunities with respect to the Institute and its appropriate personnel, the President is authorized to extend with respect to the Taiwan instrumentality and its appropriate personnel, such privileges and immunities (subject to appropriate conditions and obligations) as may be necessary for the effective performance of their functions Sec 3310 Employment of United States Government agency personnel o (a) Separation from Government service; reemployment or reinstatement upon termination of Institute employment; benefits  (1) Under such terms and conditions as the President may direct, any agency of the United States Government may separate from Government service for a specified period any officer or employee of that agency who accepts employment with the Institute  (2) An officer or employee separated by an agency under paragraph (1) of this subsection for employment with the Institute shall be entitled upon termination of such employment to reemployment or reinstatement with such agency (or a successor agency) in an appropriate position with the attendant rights, privileges, and benefits with [1] the officer or employee would have had or acquired had he or she not been so separated, subject to such time period and other conditions as the President may prescribe [1] Note: So in original Probably should be ''which''  (3) An officer or employee entitled to reemployment or reinstatement rights under paragraph (2) of this subsection shall, while continuously employed by the Institute with no break in continuity of service, continue to participate in any benefit program in which such officer or employee was participating prior to employment by the Institute, including programs for compensation for job-related death, injury, or illness; programs for health and life insurance; programs for annual, sick, and other statutory leave; and programs for retirement under any system established by the laws of the United States; except that employment with the Institute shall be the basis for participation in such programs only to the extent that employee deductions and employer contributions, as required, in payment for such participation for the period of 45 o o o • employment with the Institute, are currently deposited in the program's or system's fund or depository Death or retirement of any such officer or employee during approved service with the Institute and prior to reemployment or reinstatement shall be considered a death in or retirement from Government service for purposes of any employee or survivor benefits acquired by reason of service with an agency of the United States Government  (4) Any officer or employee of an agency of the United States Government who entered into service with the Institute on approved leave of absence without pay prior to April 10, 1979, shall receive the benefits of this section for the period of such service (b) Employment of aliens on Taiwan Any agency of the United States Government employing alien personnel on Taiwan may transfer such personnel, with accrued allowances, benefits, and rights, to the Institute without a break in service for purposes of retirement and other benefits, including continued participation in any system established by the laws of the United States for the retirement of employees in which the alien was participating prior to the transfer to the Institute, except that employment with the Institute shall be creditable for retirement purposes only to the extent that employee deductions and employer contributions, as required, in payment for such participation for the period of employment with the Institute, are currently deposited in the system's fund or depository (c) Institute employees not deemed United States employees Employees of the Institute shall not be employees of the United States and, in representing the Institute, shall be exempt from section of title 18 (d) Tax treatment of amounts paid Institute employees  (1) For purposes of sections and 913 of title 26, amounts paid by the Institute to its employees shall not be treated as earned income Amounts received by employees of the Institute shall not be included in gross income, and shall be exempt from taxation, to the extent that they are equivalent to amounts received by civilian officers and employees of the Government of the United States as allowances and benefits which are exempt from taxation under section 912 of title 26  (2) Except to the extent required by subsection (a)(3) of this section, service performed in the employ of the Institute shall not constitute employment for purposes of chapter 21 of title 26 and title II of the Social Security Act (42 U.S.C 401 et seq.) Sec 3310a Commercial personnel at American Institute of Taiwan The American Institute of Taiwan shall employ personnel to perform duties similar to those performed by personnel of the United States and Foreign 46 Commercial Service The number of individuals employed shall be commensurate with the number of United States personnel of the Commercial Service who are permanently assigned to the United States diplomatic mission to South Korea • Sec 3311 Reporting requirements o (a) Texts of agreements to be transmitted to Congress; secret agreements to be transmitted to Senate Foreign Relations Committee and House Foreign Affairs Committee The Secretary of State shall transmit to the Congress the text of any agreement to which the Institute is a party However, any such agreement the immediate public disclosure of which would, in the opinion of the President, be prejudicial to the national security of the United States shall not be so transmitted to the Congress but shall be transmitted to the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives under an appropriate injunction of secrecy to be removed only upon due notice from the President o (b) Agreements For purposes of subsection (a) of this section, the term ''agreement'' includes  (1) any agreement entered into between the Institute and the governing authorities on Taiwan or the instrumentality established by Taiwan; and  (2) any agreement entered into between the Institute and an agency of the United States Government o (c) Congressional notification, review, and approval requirements and procedures Agreements and transactions made or to be made by or through the Institute shall be subject to the same congressional notification, review, and approval requirements and procedures as if such agreements and transactions were made by or through the agency of the United States Government on behalf of which the Institute is acting • Sec 3312 Rules and regulations The President is authorized to prescribe such rules and regulations as he may deem appropriate to carry out the purposes of this chapter During the three-year period beginning on January 1, 1979, such rules and regulations shall be transmitted promptly to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and to the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate Such action shall not, however, relieve the Institute of the responsibilities placed upon it by this chapter • Sec 3313 Congressional oversight o (a) Monitoring activities of Senate Foreign Relations Committee, House Foreign Affairs Committee, and other Congressional committees 47 o The Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives, the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate, and other appropriate committees of the Congress shall monitor  (1) the implementation of the provisions of this chapter;  (2) the operation and procedures of the Institute;  (3) the legal and technical aspects of the continuing relationship between the United States and Taiwan; and  (4) the implementation of the policies of the United States concerning security and cooperation in East Asia (b) Committee reports to their respective Houses Such committees shall report, as appropriate, to their respective Houses on the results of their monitoring • Sec 3314 Definitions For purposes of this chapter o (1) the term ''laws of the United States'' includes any statute, rule, regulation, ordinance, order, or judicial rule of decision of the United States or any political subdivision thereof; and o (2) the term ''Taiwan'' includes, as the context may require, the islands of Taiwan and the Pescadores, the people on those islands, corporations and other entities and associations created or organized under the laws applied on those islands, and the governing authorities on Taiwan recognized by the United States as the Republic of China prior to January 1, 1979, and any successor governing authorities (including political subdivisions, agencies, and instrumentalities thereof) • Sec 3315 Authorization of appropriations In addition to funds otherwise available to carry out the provisions of this chapter, there are authorized to be appropriated to the Secretary of State for the fiscal year 1980 such funds as may be necessary to carry out such provisions Such funds are authorized to remain available until expended • Sec 3316 Severability If any provision of this chapter or the application thereof to any person or circumstance is held invalid, the remainder of the chapter and the application of such provision to any other person or circumstance shall not be affected thereby 48 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1 Background Literature review Research questions and scope .2 Research method and Materials Contribution Thesis structure CHAPTER II HISTORY OF TAIWAN ISSUE .5 The establishment of the Taiwan Strait .5 Some main events related to the Taiwan Strait in the Cold War CHAPTER III 10 THE POLICY OF INVOLVED PARTIES (THE UNITED STATES, CHINA AND TAIWAN) OVER THE TAIWAN ISSUE 10 International and Regional Context 10 The U.S Policy Towards Taiwan 12 Chinese policy toward Taiwan 17 The Taiwan’s policy 19 CHAPTER IV 20 SCENARIOS FOR TAIWAN FUTURE 20 China uses force to reunify Taiwan 20 China manages to return Taiwan in peace 23 Taiwan gains independence .26 CHAPTER V 28 CONCLUSION 28 REFERENCES 30 APPENDIX 33 TABLE OF CONTENTS 49 ... of China using force to reunify Taiwan in a book titled ? ?Democratization in Taiwan: Implications for China” Also, he anticipates the cost of war to China Other scenarios are outlined taken into... the mainland China as well sought for strong independence for Taiwan The strongest action in seeking independence for Taiwan under Chen Shui-bian in 2000- 25 2008 was his promotion for Taiwan? ??s... with China, and reiterates that it has no intention of infringing on Chinese sovereignty and territorial integrity, or interfering in China''s internal affairs, or pursuing a policy of "two Chinas"