Chapter 13: Replacement Analysis13-1For the Replacement Analysis Decision Map, the appropriate analysis method is a function of the cash flows and assumptions made regarding the defender
Trang 1Chapter 13: Replacement Analysis13-1
For the Replacement Analysis Decision Map, the appropriate analysis method is a function
of the cash flows and assumptions made regarding the defender and challenger assets.Thus, the answer would be the last it depends on the data and the assumptions
13-2
The replacement decision is a function of both the defender and the challenger
The statement is false
The answer is one year
13-5
The EUAC of installed cost will decline as the service life increases The EUAC of
maintenance is constant Thus total EUAC is declining over time
Answer: For minimum EUAC, keep the bottling machine indefinitely
13-6
The value to use is the present market value of the defender equipment (The book
indicates that trade-in value may be purposely inflated as a selling strategy, hence it may or may not represent market value.)
13-7
(a) Expected good performance, productivity, energy efficiency, safety, long service life
Retraining in operation and maintenance may be required High comfort of
operation High purchase price May not be immediately available Sales taxes to
be paid Can be depreciated Supplier warranty and spare parts backup available
Trang 2(b) All as in (a) except for lower price and probably faster delivery
(c) All as in (a) except for still lower cost, lost production during the rebuild period, and
that the rebuild costs can be expensed, at least partially No sales tax applies (d) Performance and productivity may not be as good as in option (c) Retraining in
operation and maintenance is not required Production will be lost during the
rebuilding period Cost may be substantially lower than in previous options The rebuild costs can be expensed No sales tax applies
(e) Performance, productivity, service life, energy efficiency, safety, reliability may be
significantly lower than in the other options Retraining in operation and
maintenance may be required if the new unit is different from the previous one Costmay be only 20-50% of the new equipment Immediate delivery is a possibility The sales tax applies Equipment can be depreciated
For a 1-year useful life
For a 2-year useful life
$2,000
$500
EUAC = $2,000 (1 + 0.15)1 + $500 = $2,800
Trang 4Alternate computation of maintenance in any year N:
EUACN = A = $2,000 (A/P, 15%, N) + $500 + $500 (A/G, 15%, N)
(a) Total EUAC = $2,250 + EUAC of Maintenance
Therefore, to minimize Total EUAC, choose the alternative with minimum EUAC of maintenance
Economical life = 3 years
(b) The stainless steel tank will always be compared with the best available replacement (the challenger) If the challenger is superior, then the defender tank probably will be replaced
It will cost a substantial amount of money to remove the existing tank from the plant, sell
it to someone else, and then buy and install another one As a practical matter, it seems unlikely that this will be economical
+ $2,100 (F/P, 15%, 1) + $4,500] (A/F, 15%, 7)
= $1,074
EUAC of Installed Cost
Year (P – S) (A/P, i%, n) + (S) (i) = EUAC of
Trang 5Year EUAC of Installed
Cost + EUAC of Maintenance = Total EUAC
Useful Life- 1 year
Useful Life- 2 years
$12,000
EUAC = $12,000 (A/P, 10%, 2) = $6,914
$12,000
EUAC = $12,000 (F/P, 10%, 1) = $13,200
Trang 6Useful Life- 3 years
Useful Life- 4 years
Useful Life- 5 years
Trang 7Useful Life- 6 years
Maintenance & Operating Cost = $235,000
Maintenance & Operating Gradient = $75,000
MARR = 10%
EUAB – EAUC = $1,050,000 (A/P, 10%, n) + $225,000 (A/F, 10%, n)
- $235,000 - $75,000 (A/G, 10%, n)Try n = 4 years:
Trang 8Maintenance for the Year
Sum of Decline in Value +
MaintenanceNew $11,200
Find: NPWOVERHAUL and NPWREPLACE
Note: All costs which occur before today are sunk costs and are irrelevant
NPWOVERHAUL = -$1,800 - $800 (P/A, 5%, 2)
= -$1,800 - $800 (1.859) = -$3,287
= +$1,500 - $2,800 (1.859) = -$3,705Since the PW of Cost of the overhaul is less than the PW of Cost of the replacement car, thedecision is to overhaul the 1988 auto
By linear interpolation, the incremental before-tax rate of return is 12.7%
The 12.7% rate of return on the increment is unsatisfactory, so reject the increment and recondition the old tank car
Trang 9(a) Before-Tax Analysis
Year New Machine
BTCF Existing Machine BTCF New Machine rather than Existing Machine BTCF
40% IncomeTaxes
* Long term capital loss foregone by keeping machine:
$2,000 Book Value - $1,000 Selling price = $1,000 capital loss
Trang 10** The $1,000 long term capital loss foregone would have offset $1,000 of long term
capital gains elsewhere in the firm The result is a tax saving of 20% ($1,000) =
$200 is foregone
New Machine rather than Existing Machine
Year New Tool ATCF Existing
Tool ATCF
New- Existing ATCF
Compute Equivalent Uniform Annual Cost (EUAC)
Initial Cost: $196,000 (A/P, 9%, 8) = $196,000 (0.1807) = $35,453
Less Salvage Value: (6 x $750) (A/F, 9%, 8)= $4,500 (0.0907) = -$408
EUAC = $26,645
Alternative II: Keep 4 old machines and buy 3 new ones
Initial Cost:
Value of 4 old machines 4 x $2,000 $8,000
3 new machines at $32,000 each$96,000
Training Program at 3 x $700 $2,100
Annual Maintenance= 4 old x $1,500 + 3 new x $600 = $7,800 per year
Salvage Value 8 years hence= 4 old x $500 + 3 new x $750 = $4,250
Compute Equivalent Uniform Annual Cost (EUAC)
Initial Cost: $106,100 (A/P, 9%, 8) = $106,100 (0.1807) = $19,172
Trang 11Less Salvage Value: ($4,250) (A/F, 9%, 8) = $4,250 (0.0907) = -$385
EUAC = $26,587Decision: Choose Alternative II with its slightly lower EUAC
Loss in
MV (n)
Annual Costs (n)
Lost Interest
in (n)
Total Marg
13-19
For this problem we have marginal cost data for the defender, so we will check to see if that data is strictly increasing
Defender:
Current Market Value = $25,000 (0.70)5 = $4,202
Year Time Market Loss in Annual Lost Total
Trang 12Line Value (n) MV (n) Costs
(n)
Interest in (n)
(b) In looking at the table above one can see that the marginal cost data of the defender is strictly increasing over the next five year period Thus the Replacement Decision Analysis Map would suggest that we use Replacement Analysis Technique #1 We compare the defender marginal cost data against the challenger’s minimum EUAC
We would keep the defender asset for two more years and then replace it with the new automated shearing equipment After two years the MC (def) > Min EUAC (chal):
$113,000 > $110,000
Trang 13In this case we first compute the total marginal costs of the defender asset From Figure
13-1 the marginal cost data is available, and it is not strictly increasing (see Total MC column inthe table below) Thus, we use Replacement Analysis Technique #2, comparing minimumEUAC defender against minimum EUAC of challenger In the table below the minimumEUAC is at year 5 for the old paver (five years from today), the value is $59,703 Wecompare this value to the minimum EUAC for the challenger of $62,000 Thus, werecommend keeping the defender for at least one more year and reviewing the data forchanges
MARR% 20%
First
Cost
120000
YEAR OPER MAIN
T MV in LostMV LostInt. TotalMC NPW EUAC(n) Cost Cost (n) (n) (n) (n) (1 >n) (1 >n)
(a) The minimum cost life is where the EUAC of ownership is minimized for the number
of years held This would occur at 4 years for the defender where EUAC = $4,400.(b) The minimum cost life of the challenger is 5 years where the EUAC = $6,200
(c) Using Replacement Analysis Technique #3: Assuming that the defender and
challenger costs do not change over the next 4 years we should keep the defender for four years and then reevaluate the costs with challengers at that time Here we are comparing the min EUAC (def) vs min EUAC (challenger) and $4,400 < $6,200thus we keep the defender
13-23
(a) The minimum cost life is where the EUAC of ownership is minimized for the number
of years held This would occur at 1 year for the defender, where EUAC = $4,000.(b) The minimum cost life of the challenger is 4 years where the EUAC = $3,300 (c) Using Replacement Analysis Technique #3: Given these costs for the defender and
challenger we should replace the defender with the challenger asset now This is because the min EUAC (def) > min EUAC (challenger): $4,000 > $3,300
Trang 14Here we use Replacement Analysis Technique #3 Because the remaining life of the defender and the life of the challenger are both 10 years we can use either the “opportunity cost” or “cash flow” approach to setting the first cost of each option (keep defender or replace with challenger) Let’s show each solution:
Opportunity Cost Approach
EUAC (def) = 4 ($600) (A/P, 25%, 10) = $672
EUAC (chal) = $5,000 (A/P, 25%, 10) - $10,000 (0.075) = $650
Cash Flow Cost Approach
EUAC (def) = $0.00
EUAC (chal) = ($5,000 - $2,400) (A/P, 255, 10) - $10,000 (0.075)= -$22
In either case we recommend that the new high efficiency machine be implemented today
13-25
From the facts stated, we see that if the old forklift is retained the EUAC is minimum for a one year useful life The problem says the challenger economic life is 10 years (Using the data provided this fact could be verified, but that is not part of the problem.)
Annual Cash-Flow Analysis:
Keep Old Forklift Another Year
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
ATCF
EUAC for one more year with old forklift = $240
Buy New Forklift
Year BTCF SL Deprec Taxable
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
13-26
The problem, with a 7-year analysis period, may be solved in a variety of ways A first step
is to compute an after-tax cash flow for each alternative
Trang 15Alternative A
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
40% IncomeTaxes
ATCF
Alternative E (Do Nothing)
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
Trang 16Choose the solution that maximizes NPW Choose Alternative C
Rate of Return Solution
Alternative A rather than Alternative E (Do nothing)
Year Alt A ATCF Alt E ATCF (A- E) ATCF
∆ROR = 6.4%
Reject Alternative A
Alternative D rather than Alternative E
Year Alt D ATCF Alt E ATCF (D- E) ATCF
∆ROR = 12.8%
Reject Alternative E
Alternative C rather than Alternative D
Year Alt C ATCF Alt D ATCF (C- D) ATCF
= $16,500
Trang 17Machine A annual depreciation = (P – S)/n = ($54,000 - $0)/12 = $4,500
Machine B annual depreciation = (P – S)/n = ($42,000 - $0)/12 = $3,500
Alternate 1: Keep A for 12 more years
Year BTCF SL Deprec Taxable
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
* If A were sold the Year 0 entries would be:
Year BTCF SL Deprec Taxable
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
ATCF
If A is kept, the entries are just the reverse
After-Tax Annual Cost
Alternate 2: Buy Machine B
Year BTCF SL Deprec Taxable
Income
40% IncomeTaxes
SOYD Deprec Book Value
Trang 18∆ Tax Income
+$2,560
* Foregone recaptured depreciation is $7,000 – BV5 = $1,000
** Loss is $1,600 – BV5 = -$2,000(b)
Year BTCF
CCA Depreciation (30% Income ∆ Tax ∆ Tax (40%) (SHSS) ATCF (Sonar) ATCF
Trang 19Here we use the Opportunity Cost Approach for finding the first costs
(a) Problem as given
Defender: SL Depr = ($50,000 - $15,000)/10 = $3,500 per year
(c) Defender Market Value = $18,000
Defender: SL Depr = ($50,000 - $15,000)/10 = $3,500 per year
Trang 201 )(
2 1 (
2 )
1 )(
2 1 (
1 )
2 (
1 2 1
d P UCC
n for d
d Pd CCA
n for
d P CCA
n n
n n
Trang 21Capital
Cost CCA
Book Value
AT Salvage
O&M cash flow
Taxable Income
PW Sum O&M - tax EAC