MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ***** Pham Tien Thanh MICROCREDIT AND WELFARE OF THE RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN VIETNAM h PHD DISSERTATION IN ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY, 2018 MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ***** Pham Tien Thanh MICROCREDIT AND WELFARE OF THE RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN VIETNAM h Major: Development Economics Code: 9310105 PHD DISSERTATION IN ECONOMICS ACADEMIC ADVISORS Dr PHAM KHANH NAM Assoc Prof Dr NGUYEN HUU DUNG HO CHI MINH CITY, 2018 i COMMITMENTS I hereby declare that this dissertation is my own work and it has not been previously submitted for a degree elsewhere While my work contains information from works done by other authors, all these references have been explicitly cited To the best of my knowledge, I would like to certify that the above statements are true The dissertation has been done under the supervision of Dr Pham Khanh Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Nguyen Huu Dung, the University of Economics, Hochiminh City This work was also done under the advice of Assoc.Prof.Dr Katsuhiro Saito, the University of Tokyo during my fellowship period granted by the World Bank Robert S McNamara at the University of Tokyo, Japan Pham Tien Thanh h ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I am deeply indebted to my academic supervisors Dr Pham Khanh Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Nguyen Huu Dung at the University of Economics Dr Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Dung have supported me a lot during my study They have also provided me with useful academic advice, valuable feedbacks, and encouragement I am also grateful to my academic advisor Assoc.Prof.Dr Katsuhiro Saito, who instructs me in applied econometrics, during my fellowship granted by the World Bank Robert S McNamara at the University of Tokyo I would also like to thank the academic committee at the University of Economics and the two independent external reviewers who gave me a lot of useful and precious comments, which thereby help me improve my dissertation I am also thankful to my lecturers who give me knowledge and advice on my dissertation I am particularly grateful to Assoc.Prof.Dr Pham Bao Duong, my h academic supervisor of master thesis, who encourage as well as support me with data and comments on my Ph.D dissertation I would also like to say thank to Mr Nguyen Khanh Duy at the University of Economics for many of his advice on research methodology and encouragement Last but not least, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my family, colleagues, and friends for their encouragement and support during the time I conduct my Ph.D dissertation Pham Tien Thanh iii TABLE OF CONTENTS COMMITMENTS i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ii TABLE OF CONTENTS iii ABBREVIATIONS viii LIST OF TABLES .ix LIST OF FIGURES xi CHAPTER - INTRODUCTION 1.1 Backgrounds 1.2 Research problems 1.2.1 Accessibility to microcredit 1.2.2 Microcredit and adoption of improved rice varieties 1.2.3 Impact of microcredit on households’ welfare 1.2.4 Microcredit and health shock h 1.3 Research objectives 10 1.4 Scopes of research 11 1.5 Research data 11 1.6 Research methods 11 1.6.1 Quantitative methods 11 1.6.2 Qualitative methods 12 1.7 Contribution of the research 12 1.7.1 Theoretical contributions 12 1.7.2 Practical contributions 13 1.8 Organization of the research 14 CHAPTER – LITERATURE REVIEW 15 2.1 Overview of microcredit 15 2.1.1 Some definitions 15 2.1.2 Characteristics of microcredit 16 2.2 Theory 17 iv 2.2.1 Overview of rural credit market 17 2.2.2 Asymmetric information 20 2.2.3 Theories on accessibility to credit 23 2.2.3.1 Theory of choice (Demand for credit) .23 2.2.3.2 Theory of credit rationing 24 2.2.4 Theoretical framework of outreach of microcredit 27 2.2.5 Farm household model under credit constraint 29 2.2.5.1 Producer problem .29 2.2.5.2 Consumer problem .30 2.2.5.3 Worker problem 30 2.2.5.4 Farm household model with credit 31 2.3 Empirical studies 32 2.3.1 Determinants of rural households’ accessibility to microcredit 32 2.3.2 Impact of microcredit on adoption of the improved rice varieties 38 h 2.3.3 Impact of microcredit on living standard 40 2.3.3.1 Empirical studies in the world 40 2.3.3.2 Empirical studies in Vietnam .41 2.3.4 Impact of health shocks and role of microcredit 44 2.3.4.1 Impacts of health shocks 44 2.3.4.2 Strategies to cope with health shocks and role of microcredit 46 2.4 Definitions of welfare 48 2.5 Logical framework of impact evaluation of microcredit on welfare 49 CHAPTER – OVERVIEW OF MICROCREDIT 52 3.1 Microcredit in the world 52 3.2 Microcredit in rural Vietnam 54 3.2.1 Microcredit providers 54 3.2.2 Credit activities and clients 59 3.2.3 Poverty reduction role of microcredit 61 v CHAPTER – DETERMINANTS OF ACCESSIBILITY TO MICROCREDIT 62 4.1 Research method 62 4.1.1 Estimation strategy 63 4.1.2 Selection of variables 65 4.1.2.1 Dependent variable 65 4.1.2.2 Explanatory Variables 66 4.1.3 Research hypotheses 68 4.2 Research data 70 4.2.1 Data source 70 4.2.2 Research sample 71 4.2.3 Descriptive statistics 71 4.3 Results and discussions 74 CHAPTER – MICROCREDIT AND ADOPTION OF IMPROVED RICE VARIETIES 82 h 5.1 Research method 82 5.1.1 Estimation strategy 82 5.1.2 Selection of variables 86 5.1.2.1 Dependent variables 86 5.1.2.2 Independent variables 87 5.1.3 Research hypotheses 88 5.2 Research data 88 5.2.1 Data source 88 5.2.2 Research sample 88 5.2.3 Descriptive statistics 89 5.3 Results and discussions 91 CHAPTER – IMPACT EVALUATION OF MICROCREDIT ON WELFARE 103 6.1 Research method 103 6.1.1 Estimation strategy 103 6.1.1.1 Propensity Score Matching (PSM) 103 vi 6.1.1.2 Difference in Difference (DID) .105 6.1.1.3 PSM-DID 105 6.1.2 Selection of variables 107 6.1.2.1 Microcredit variable 107 6.1.2.2 Variables for calculation of propensity score 107 6.1.2.3 Welfare variables .108 6.1.3 Research hypotheses 108 6.2 Research data 109 6.2.1 Data source 109 6.2.2 Research sample 110 6.2.3 Descriptive statistics 110 6.3 Results and discussions 110 6.3.1 Propensity score and balancing test 110 6.3.2 Average impact of microcredit program 113 h CHAPTER – ROLE OF MICROCREDIT IN MITIGATING THE EFFECTS OF HEALTH SHOCKS 121 7.1 Research method 121 7.1.1 Estimation strategy 121 7.1.2 Selection of variable 123 7.1.2.1 Dependent variables 123 7.1.2.2 Health shocks variables 123 7.1.2.3 Microcredit variable 124 7.1.2.4 Other control (explanatory) variables 125 7.1.3 Research hypotheses 126 7.2 Research data 126 7.2.1 Data source 126 7.2.2 Research sample 127 7.2.3 Descriptive statistics 127 7.3 Results and discussions 129 vii 7.3.1 Are health shocks unanticipated? 129 7.3.2 First stage results using instrumental variables 130 7.3.3 Illness/ Disease/ Injury of working-age members (HS1W) 133 7.3.4 Illness/ Disease/ Injury of any members (HS1A) 136 CHAPTER – CONCLUSIONS 138 8.1 Objective 1: Determinants of accessibility to microcredit 138 8.1.1 Summary 138 8.1.2 Policy implications 139 8.1.3 Limitations and further studies 141 8.2 Objective 2: Microcredit and adoption of improved varieties 142 8.2.1 Summary 142 8.2.2 Policy implications 143 8.2.3 Limitations and further studies 144 8.3 Objective 3: Impact evaluation of microcredit on welfare 145 h 8.3.1 Summary 145 8.3.2 Policy implications 146 8.3.3 Limitations and further studies 147 8.4 Objective 4: Role of microcredit in mitigating the effects of health shocks 148 8.4.1 Summary 148 8.4.2 Policy implications 149 8.4.3 Limitations and further studies 149 REFERENCE 150 Reference in the world 150 Reference in Vietnam 167 Websites 171 APPENDICES 172 viii ABBREVIATIONS Abbr Meanings MF Microfinance MFIs Microfinance Institutions PCFs People’s Credit Funds ROSCAs Rotating Savings Credit Associations VBSP Vietnam Bank for Social Policies VBARD Vietnam Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development VPSC Postal Savings Company h 214 APPENDIX 7.1 (cont) CODE Variable PANEL 2: Other control variables MARI Marital Status of HHH Gender of HHH Education of HHH Ethnic of HHH Household size Female members Children members SAGE3 Elderly members LAND1 Land for cultivation and raising aquaculture LAND2 Total land POOR HOME INSU Poverty status Private house Insurance card CO135 COFAR ROAD h GENDER GRAD ETHI SIZE SFEM SAGE1 Commune of program 135 Remote commune Commune accessible by allweather road IMARK Market within commune REGI1 Red River Delta region; REGI2 Midlands and Northern Mountainous Areas REGI3 Northern and Coastal Central Region REGI4 Central Highlands REGI5 Southeast REGI6 Mekong Delta Note: Dummies are in italic Description Dummy (1=Married; 0=single, widow, divorced) Dummy (1=Male; 0=Female) Grade completed (from to 12) Dummy (1=Kinh; 0=Otherwise) Number of members Number of female members Number of members less than or equal to 14 years old Number of members above or equal to 61 years old Total area of land used for cultivation and water surface used for raising aquaculture (Hectare) Total area of land used or managed by households (Hectare) Dummy (1=Poor, 0=Non-poor) Dummy (1=Own; 0=Renting) Number of Insurance Card possessed by households Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) Dummy (1=Yes; 0=Otherwise) 215 APPENDIX 7.2 Unanticipation of health shocks HS1W in 2010 (HS1Wt-1) HS1W in 2012 (HS1Wt) 0.142*** 0.207*** (5.343) (8.434) HS1A in 2010 (HS1At-1) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME ISURE CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant VFE Observations Note: 0.0145 (0.851) 0.0140 (0.837) 0.0331* (1.930) -0.00199 (-1.181) 0.0203*** (3.095) 0.0180** (2.239) -0.0511*** (-7.205) -0.0601*** (-8.997) 0.0184* (1.803) -0.00244 (-0.404) 0.0514 (1.596) -0.00664 (-0.474) 0.0105** (2.189) -0.00745 (-0.431) -0.0282* (-1.680) -7.42e-05 (-0.00347) -0.00531 (-0.477) -0.0190 (-1.225) 0.00414 (0.280) -0.00532 (-0.225) 0.00539 (0.248) 0.0931*** (4.822) -0.0897** (-2.000) Without 3,021 h POOR 0.0104 (0.496) 0.0129 (0.652) 0.00979 (0.308) -0.000878 (-0.397) 0.0274*** (3.791) 0.00969 (1.119) -0.0453*** (-5.408) -0.0703*** (-7.359) 0.00264 (0.256) -0.00125 (-0.248) 0.0358 (1.009) -0.0177 (-0.992) 0.00759 (1.314) 0.0681 (0.393) 0.0897 (0.631) -0.0970 (-0.597) -0.573 (-1.436) 0.634 (1.537) 1.400*** (3.450) 1.061** (2.012) 0.494 (1.271) 0.445 (1.072) -0.0552 (-0.316) With 3,021 Robust t-statistics in parentheses *** indicates that the coefficients are significant at 1% HS1A in 2012 (HS1At) 0.103*** (4.167) 0.0448 (1.439) -0.00658 (-0.232) 0.0863 (1.515) -0.000584 (-0.209) 0.0166* (1.726) 0.00930 (0.791) 0.00553 (0.524) 0.0244* (1.853) -0.000811 (-0.0608) -0.00249 (-0.389) 0.0546 (0.825) 0.00307 (0.129) 0.0114 (1.480) -0.706 (-1.160) 0.359 (1.110) 0.419 (0.809) -0.402 (-0.916) 0.394 (0.880) 1.338*** (2.976) 0.746 (1.185) 0.348 (0.559) 0.881 (1.294) -0.751 (-1.429) With 3,021 0.209*** (10.44) 0.0441* (1.733) 0.00530 (0.225) 0.0631*** (2.628) -0.00261 (-1.175) 0.00688 (0.825) 0.0219** (2.153) -0.00546 (-0.594) 0.0100 (0.919) 0.0192 (1.523) -0.00465 (-0.587) 0.0642 (1.212) 0.00603 (0.295) 0.0142** (2.387) -0.0114 (-0.480) -0.0538** (-2.421) 0.000793 (0.0298) 0.00157 (0.106) -0.00529 (-0.243) 0.0294 (1.467) 0.0711** (2.042) 0.0598** (1.984) 0.213*** (8.343) -0.136** (-2.024) Without 3,021 216 APPENDIX 7.3 First stage estimates using IV for HS1W Commune Poverty Rate Distance to Bank HS1W MARI GENDER ETHI SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR ISURE IV Model Model 1b 1.094 (0.75) -0.001 (-0.08) 1.041** (2.16) -0.469 (-1.13) 0.029 (0.08) -0.595 (-0.95) 0.103** (2.37) 0.277** (2.09) -0.220 (-1.11) -0.412** (-2.20) -0.620*** (-3.66) -0.793*** (-2.75) 0.567** (2.17) 1.181*** (3.77) 3.977*** (7.43) 0.136 (1.36) IV Model Model 2a Model 2b 3.649 1.062 (0.94) (0.73) h GRAD Model 1a 13.660** (2.02) -0.244* (-1.70) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) 1.041** (2.16) -0.470 (-1.13) 0.030 (0.08) -0.592 (-0.95) 0.103** (2.37) 0.277** (2.09) -0.219 (-1.10) -0.413** (-2.22) -0.620*** (-3.66) -0.793*** (-2.75) 0.566** (2.17) 1.181*** (3.77) 3.977*** (7.44) 0.136 (1.37) IV Model Model 3a Model 3b 0.089 (0.94) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) 0.002 (0.09) 1.036** (2.14) -0.467 (-1.12) 0.041 (0.11) -0.697 (-1.17) 0.103** (2.37) 0.276** (2.09) -0.227 (-1.14) -0.412** (-2.20) -0.628*** (-3.72) -0.796*** (-2.76) 0.572** (2.19) 1.204*** (3.90) 4.046*** (7.62) 0.141 (1.43) 217 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 VFE Observations F(i,df) for IVa Prob>F Test of overidentification restrictionsc,d Note: h Constant -0.309 -0.198 (-0.12) (-0.36) 1.860 0.582 (1.44) (1.27) -0.583 0.431 (-0.28) (1.11) 1.218 -0.551** (0.52) (-2.05) -2.023 1.511*** (-0.71) (3.05) 4.234 1.494*** (1.53) (3.44) -4.916** -0.285 (-2.35) (-0.63) -9.297* -0.272 (-1.76) (-0.91) -0.642 -0.234 (-0.30) (-0.82) -1.260 -0.816 (-0.47) (-0.91) With Without 3,021 3,021 2.04 0.28 0.13 0.755 Chi2(2)=0.095 (p-value=0.758) -3.318 (-1.58) 2.490** (1.99) 2.404* (1.89) -2.688* (-1.82) 2.764* (1.70) 1.649 (0.87) -3.212 (-1.58) -0.812 (-0.29) 2.652 (1.55) -4.432** (-2.31) With 3,021 0.89 0.346 -0.202 (-0.36) 0.578 (1.28) 0.437 (1.13) -0.552** (-2.05) 1.508*** (3.06) 1.493*** (3.44) -0.290 (-0.64) -0.274 (-0.91) -0.236 (-0.83) -0.829 (-0.93) Without 3,021 0.54 0.4639 -4.414* (-1.71) 2.719** (2.05) 3.492* (1.73) -4.111* (-1.73) 4.509* (1.66) 0.707 (0.36) -2.592 (-1.24) 2.280 (0.75) 3.853 (1.62) -5.588** (-2.03) With 3,021 0.89 0.346 -0.057 (-0.11) 0.613 (1.36) 0.406 (1.05) -0.571** (-2.13) 1.577*** (3.19) 1.556*** (3.72) -0.271 (-0.59) -0.305 (-1.03) -0.234 (-0.82) -0.636 (-0.73) Without 3,021 0.1132 0.9248 Robust t-statistics in parentheses; *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively a F-test for H0: Week instruments If F-test > 10, reject H0, and vice versa c Overidentification test for H0: The instrument are valid, and vice versa d Since the IV 2SLS using VFE results in perfect multicollinearity between IVs and village dummies, only the overidentification test for model without VFE is conducted 218 APPENDIX 7.4 First stage estimates using IV for HS1A Commune Poverty Rate Distance to Bank HS1A MARI GENDER ETHI SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR ISURE IV Model Model 2a Model 2b 5.723 1.072 (1.27) (0.74) h GRAD IV Model Model 1a Model 1b 15.859** 1.110 (2.28) (0.76) -0.247* -0.002 (-1.72) (-0.10) 0.484 0.640** (1.16) (2.01) -0.861* -0.482 (-1.78) (-1.16) 0.393 0.040 (0.90) (0.11) 0.064 -0.600 (0.06) (-0.96) 0.119** 0.104** (2.21) (2.37) 0.487*** 0.298** (3.17) (2.26) -0.546** -0.212 (-2.32) (-1.07) -0.267 -0.476** (-1.32) (-2.52) -0.452** -0.704*** (-2.15) (-4.20) -0.056 -0.784*** (-0.20) (-2.73) 0.021 0.568** (0.08) (2.18) 0.762 1.188*** (1.22) (3.77) 3.717*** 3.965*** (7.32) (7.41) 0.069 0.138 (0.59) (1.38) 0.484 (1.16) -0.861* (-1.78) 0.393 (0.90) 0.064 (0.06) 0.119** (2.21) 0.487*** (3.17) -0.546** (-2.32) -0.267 (-1.32) -0.452** (-2.15) -0.056 (-0.20) 0.021 (0.08) 0.762 (1.22) 3.717*** (7.32) 0.069 (0.59) 0.640** (2.01) -0.483 (-1.16) 0.041 (0.11) -0.597 (-0.95) 0.104** (2.38) 0.298** (2.26) -0.212 (-1.07) -0.477** (-2.54) -0.704*** (-4.20) -0.785*** (-2.73) 0.567** (2.18) 1.189*** (3.78) 3.965*** (7.41) 0.138 (1.38) IV Model Model 3a Model 3b 0.139 (1.27) 0.484 (1.16) -0.861* (-1.78) 0.393 (0.90) 0.064 (0.06) 0.119** (2.21) 0.487*** (3.17) -0.546** (-2.32) -0.267 (-1.32) -0.452** (-2.15) -0.056 (-0.20) 0.021 (0.08) 0.762 (1.22) 3.717*** (7.32) 0.069 (0.59) 0.001 (0.08) 0.633** (1.98) -0.481 (-1.16) 0.052 (0.14) -0.703 (-1.17) 0.104** (2.37) 0.297** (2.26) -0.220 (-1.11) -0.476** (-2.52) -0.712*** (-4.26) -0.787*** (-2.74) 0.572** (2.19) 1.212*** (3.90) 4.035*** (7.59) 0.143 (1.45) 219 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 VFE Observations F(i,df) for IVsa Prob>F Test of overidentification restrictionsc,d Note: h Constant -0.070 -0.196 (-0.03) (-0.35) 1.791 0.587 (1.36) (1.28) -0.598 0.427 (-0.29) (1.10) 0.941 -0.556** (0.40) (-2.06) -1.750 1.499*** (-0.61) (3.02) 4.640* 1.479*** (1.80) (3.40) -4.633** -0.338 (-2.26) (-0.74) -10.017* -0.314 (-1.90) (-1.04) -0.613 -0.279 (-0.28) (-0.96) -1.359 -0.827 (-0.51) (-0.92) With Without 3,021 3,021 2.61 0.29 0.0738 0.7495 Chi2(2)=0.107 (p-value=0.74) -3.117 (-1.47) 2.429* (1.91) 2.426* (1.95) -3.013** (-2.11) 3.097* (1.94) 2.024 (1.18) -2.908 (-1.49) -1.426 (-0.50) 2.722 (1.63) -4.570** (-2.39) With 3,021 1.61 0.2053 -0.201 (-0.36) 0.583 (1.29) 0.435 (1.13) -0.557** (-2.07) 1.495*** (3.03) 1.478*** (3.41) -0.344 (-0.76) -0.316 (-1.04) -0.281 (-0.97) -0.842 (-0.95) Without 3,021 0.55 0.4602 -4.837* (-1.82) 2.789** (2.05) 4.133* (1.94) -5.246** (-2.05) 5.834** (1.98) 0.546 (0.27) -1.934 (-0.97) 3.425 (1.09) 4.606* (1.91) -6.383** (-2.21) With 3,021 1.61 0.2053 -0.053 (-0.10) 0.618 (1.37) 0.403 (1.04) -0.577** (-2.14) 1.566*** (3.16) 1.542*** (3.69) -0.323 (-0.70) -0.346 (-1.16) -0.278 (-0.95) -0.645 (-0.74) Without 3,021 0.01 0.9351 Robust t-statistics in parentheses; *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively a F-test for H0: Week instruments If F-test > 10, reject H0, and vice versa c Overidentification test for H0: The instrument are valid, and vice versa d Since the IV 2SLS using VFE results in perfect multicollinearity between IVs and village dummies, only the overidentification test for model without VFE is conducted 220 APPENDIX 7.5 Impact of HS1W and the Role of Microcredit – VFE VARIABLES HS1W (β1) HS1W*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0956* (-1.829) -0.00395 (-0.688) 0.0655 (1.362) 0.0744* (1.811) 0.161 (1.590) 0.00291 (0.617) 0.0658*** (4.055) -0.0274 (-1.532) -0.0226 (-1.373) -0.0388* (-1.690) -0.0591** (-2.309) 0.00512 (0.326) -0.102 (-0.771) -0.0695* (-1.678) -0.0230** (-2.108) -0.0794* (-1.776) -0.00317 (-0.605) -0.00185 (-0.0448) 0.0723** (1.997) 0.169* (1.871) -0.00107 (-0.266) 0.0121 (0.889) -0.00145 (-0.0904) -0.0111 (-0.771) -0.0379** (-2.095) -0.0540** (-2.296) 0.0146 (1.054) 0.0567 (0.520) -0.0771** (-2.203) -0.00894 (-0.906) 0.117** (2.205) 0.00530 (1.196) 0.0419 (0.829) -0.0177 (-0.381) 0.116 (1.305) -0.0134*** (-2.857) -0.0404*** (-2.653) -0.00846 (-0.452) 0.000730 (0.0436) -0.0459** (-2.210) -0.00357 (-0.133) 0.0209 (1.238) 0.0913 (0.835) -0.0258 (-0.663) 0.0251** (2.151) 0.0577 (0.690) -0.00703 (-0.862) -0.0602 (-0.715) -0.0571 (-0.730) 0.159 (0.978) 0.00475 (0.605) -0.0418 (-1.560) 0.0222 (0.708) 0.254*** (8.851) -0.0114 (-0.326) -0.0503 (-0.974) -0.0113 (-0.285) -0.173 (-0.941) -0.0980 (-1.421) 0.0325* (1.647) 0.341*** (3.640) 0.000434 (0.0397) 0.152 (1.518) -0.0317 (-0.352) -0.00832 (-0.0368) -0.00675 (-0.741) -0.0178 (-0.579) -0.0245 (-0.672) 0.0194 (0.581) 0.0590 (1.408) 0.0532 (1.055) -0.0385 (-1.049) 0.181 (0.784) 0.0294 (0.340) 0.0292 (1.246) 0.0307 (0.888) -1.03e-06 (-0.000350) -0.0338 (-1.055) 0.00877 (0.303) 0.131* (1.878) 0.00184 (0.596) 0.0442*** (4.164) -0.0117 (-0.926) -0.00159 (-0.142) -0.0223 (-1.498) -0.0324* (-1.780) -0.00291 (-0.268) 0.0134 (0.165) -0.0228 (-0.799) 0.00817 (1.039) -0.00664 (-0.134) 0.00417 (0.926) -0.00548 (-0.115) -0.0103 (-0.241) -0.0793 (-0.996) 0.000931 (0.219) 0.0531*** (3.557) -0.0281 (-1.564) 0.0186 (1.186) -0.0195 (-0.976) -0.0336 (-1.485) 0.00443 (0.353) 0.00303 (0.0293) 0.0217 (0.526) 0.0133 (1.157) 0.0504 (0.735) 0.00696 (1.227) -0.0212 (-0.339) -0.0182 (-0.317) 0.187* (1.705) -0.00759 (-1.318) 0.0264 (1.351) -0.00748 (-0.310) 0.00864 (0.411) -0.0342 (-1.287) -0.0252 (-0.758) 0.0200 (0.948) 0.0138 (0.102) 0.00499 (0.0962) 0.0117 (0.797) 0.00764 (0.265) -0.00434 (-1.250) 0.0102 (0.513) 0.00369 (0.206) 0.0914 (1.624) 0.00116 (0.526) -0.0258*** (-3.420) -0.0125 (-1.390) 0.0755*** (7.085) 0.0218** (2.158) 0.0316** (1.963) -0.0186 (-1.340) -0.0200 (-0.342) -0.0309 (-1.219) 0.000626 (0.118) 0.104*** (2.842) -0.00527 (-1.269) 0.0427 (1.096) -0.0106 (-0.333) 0.00558 (0.0898) 0.00908*** (2.845) 0.0197* (1.724) -0.0301** (-2.154) -0.00280 (-0.233) 0.147*** (7.919) 0.00879 (0.526) -0.00148 (-0.134) -0.0643 (-0.774) -0.00490 (-0.148) -0.00728 (-0.926) 0.0898** (2.490) -0.00749* (-1.752) 0.0362 (1.099) 0.00622 (0.219) 0.0887 (1.485) 0.00681** (2.317) -0.00955 (-0.977) -0.0331*** (-2.821) 0.0516*** (4.072) 0.127*** (8.117) 0.0297 (1.601) -0.0119 (-0.791) -0.0735 (-1.112) -0.0182 (-0.554) -0.00800 (-1.056) h SIZE EINC 221 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 Constant Observations Note: 0.364 (0.449) -0.00440 (-0.0166) -0.109 (-0.158) 0.622*** (3.074) 1.739** (2.236) -0.460 (-1.178) -1.169** (-2.213) 1.146*** (2.607) 0.575 (0.499) -0.756 (-1.462) 0.254 (0.247) 1.503 (1.206) -0.0251 (-0.0115) 0.328 (0.256) 0.299 (0.157) 1.985* (1.853) 0.818** (2.034) -0.304** (-2.298) -0.759** (-2.214) 0.473 (1.140) 0.983 (1.159) -0.586 (-1.159) -1.302*** (-2.637) 0.643*** (2.848) 0.730 (0.677) -0.0593 (-0.0891) -0.458 (-0.833) 0.576 (0.990) 0.102 (1.026) -0.0285 (-0.446) 0.0362 (0.605) 0.0247 (0.339) 0.710 (1.087) -0.000100 (-0.00133) 0.00664 (0.0904) 0.518 (1.348) 0.781 (1.148) -0.0169 (-0.381) 0.0467 (1.075) 0.315 (1.337) -0.118 (-0.157) -0.264 (-0.314) -0.811 (-0.981) -0.793 (-0.969) -0.714 (-0.713) 0.00334 (0.00336) 3,021 -0.565 (-0.875) -0.667 (-0.867) -1.022 (-1.417) -0.938 (-1.272) -1.019 (-1.085) 0.224 (0.242) 3,021 -1.209** (-2.391) -1.445** (-2.042) -0.986* (-1.691) -0.913 (-1.354) -2.030*** (-2.900) 1.359** (2.408) 3,021 -1.725 (-1.358) -2.497* (-1.816) -0.272 (-0.212) -0.595 (-0.400) -0.614 (-0.393) 0.0188 (0.0177) 3,021 -4.118*** (-3.366) -2.725** (-2.258) -2.510*** (-2.711) -3.338** (-2.375) -2.357 (-1.196) 0.118 (0.0598) 3,021 -0.500 (-0.961) -0.422 (-0.754) -0.204 (-0.420) -0.296 (-0.503) -0.921 (-1.621) 0.494 (1.217) 3,021 -0.0974 (-0.248) -0.537 (-1.436) 0.555 (0.909) 0.312 (0.609) -0.958* (-1.797) 0.796 (1.502) 3,021 -0.425 (-0.532) -0.340 (-0.378) -0.516 (-0.609) -0.342 (-0.345) -0.701 (-0.900) 0.0891 (0.154) 3,021 -0.0319 (-0.295) -0.0655 (-0.552) -0.560 (-0.868) -0.00371 (-0.0445) -0.0180 (-0.171) -0.0707 (-0.664) 3,021 -0.855 (-1.622) -0.579 (-1.454) -0.603 (-1.543) -0.548 (-1.413) -0.460 (-1.167) -0.122 (-1.166) 3,021 -0.645 (-1.497) -0.403 (-1.590) -0.493 (-1.403) -0.339 (-1.385) -0.272 (-1.095) -0.133 (-1.442) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively h REGI6 0.337 (0.396) 0.131 (0.406) -0.131 (-0.191) 0.518*** (3.014) 222 APPENDIX 7.6 Impact of HS1W and the Role of Microcredit – Without VFE VARIABLES HS1W (β1) HS1W*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0654* (-1.764) -0.00237 (-0.505) 0.0370 (0.891) 0.0670* (1.893) 0.123*** (3.095) -0.00216 (-0.618) 0.0338*** (2.640) -0.00646 (-0.455) -0.0261** (-1.992) -0.0652*** (-3.463) -0.0359** (-2.123) 0.00284 (0.310) -0.0758 (-0.848) -0.0454 (-1.307) -0.00410 (-0.498) -0.0478 (-1.453) -0.00190 (-0.476) -0.00826 (-0.237) 0.0733** (2.397) 0.123*** (3.451) -0.00458 (-1.551) -0.0140 (-1.251) 0.0168 (1.289) -0.0164 (-1.371) -0.0479*** (-3.153) -0.0307* (-1.919) 0.00487 (0.560) -0.0160 (-0.222) -0.0556* (-1.943) 0.00219 (0.293) 0.114*** (3.038) -0.00142 (-0.503) 0.0242 (0.600) 0.00682 (0.189) 0.0698* (1.774) -0.0107*** (-3.179) -0.0368*** (-3.005) -0.00257 (-0.169) -0.00304 (-0.228) -0.0472*** (-2.712) -0.00218 (-0.124) 0.00729 (0.613) 0.0171 (0.206) -0.00696 (-0.215) 0.0203** (2.449) 0.0561 (0.865) -0.00538 (-0.673) -0.0404 (-0.613) -0.0453 (-0.736) -0.0338 (-0.526) 0.00686 (1.199) -0.0211 (-0.974) -0.0134 (-0.525) 0.249*** (10.59) -0.0152 (-0.562) -0.0536 (-1.547) -0.0201 (-0.781) 0.0862 (0.571) -0.0973* (-1.839) 0.0222 (1.526) 0.412*** (6.485) 0.00832 (1.527) 0.123 (1.498) -0.0187 (-0.262) -0.0310 (-0.375) -0.00111 (-0.158) -0.00974 (-0.385) -0.0347 (-1.143) 0.0331 (1.186) 0.0633* (1.827) 0.0385 (1.066) -0.0568** (-2.149) -0.278 (-1.441) 0.0294 (0.425) 0.0359** (2.061) 0.0413 (1.497) 0.000388 (0.218) -0.0257 (-0.840) 0.0107 (0.389) 0.0306 (1.103) -0.00236 (-0.976) 0.0362*** (3.971) -0.00992 (-0.921) 0.00215 (0.228) -0.0348*** (-2.699) -0.00596 (-0.432) -0.00887 (-0.915) 0.00314 (0.0487) -0.0198 (-0.819) 0.0142** (2.303) 0.0230 (0.638) 0.00598* (1.817) -0.0465 (-1.124) 0.00219 (0.0591) 0.0268 (0.625) -2.68e-05 (-0.00787) 0.0431*** (3.453) -0.00823 (-0.547) 0.0248* (1.854) -0.0274 (-1.606) -0.00841 (-0.467) -0.00538 (-0.416) -0.0438 (-0.507) 0.0161 (0.468) 0.0142 (1.556) 0.0740 (1.547) 0.00252 (0.681) 0.00857 (0.166) -0.0345 (-0.747) 0.123** (2.426) -0.00913** (-2.071) 0.0371** (2.319) -0.00685 (-0.344) 0.00159 (0.0908) -0.0469** (-2.101) -0.0190 (-0.763) 0.0140 (0.768) 0.0283 (0.265) 0.0321 (0.754) 0.00288 (0.268) -0.0165 (-0.705) -0.00189 (-0.603) -0.0104 (-0.638) -0.00199 (-0.144) 0.0176 (0.904) 0.00319* (1.720) -0.0213*** (-3.498) -0.0138* (-1.884) 0.0695*** (7.634) 0.0214*** (2.833) 0.00349 (0.297) -0.00625 (-0.647) 0.0279 (0.675) -0.0165 (-0.824) -0.00253 (-0.592) 0.0314 (1.238) -0.00428 (-1.474) 0.0628* (1.757) -0.0356 (-1.186) -0.0434 (-1.498) 0.00598** (2.368) 0.0115 (1.279) -0.0159 (-1.589) -0.00294 (-0.315) 0.119*** (7.253) -0.00814 (-0.591) 0.00419 (0.382) -0.0398 (-0.909) 0.00646 (0.245) -0.00512 (-0.850) 0.0223 (0.860) -0.00383 (-1.201) 0.0391 (1.400) -0.0223 (-0.928) -0.000564 (-0.0218) 0.00709*** (2.998) -0.0112 (-1.497) -0.0284*** (-3.323) 0.0490*** (4.966) 0.108*** (8.182) -0.00203 (-0.150) -0.00204 (-0.179) 0.00233 (0.0467) -0.00819 (-0.319) -0.00635 (-1.191) h SIZE EINC 223 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 Constant Observations Note: 0.0265 (0.865) 0.0544** (1.986) 0.0151 (0.465) -0.0169 (-0.820) 0.00496 (0.136) 0.0294 (0.931) -0.00399 (-0.102) 0.0243 (1.050) 0.0401 (0.652) 0.0421 (0.799) 0.0474 (0.697) -0.0160 (-0.415) 0.0185 (0.242) -0.0416 (-0.639) 0.0586 (0.712) -0.0392 (-0.849) 0.00743 (0.302) 0.0392* (1.729) 0.0241 (0.893) -0.00839 (-0.517) -0.0845** (-2.419) 0.112*** (3.558) -0.0446 (-1.148) 0.0448* (1.953) 0.0136 (0.287) 0.0226 (0.559) 0.0203 (0.408) 0.0290 (0.970) 0.00618 (0.298) -0.00459 (-0.279) 0.0281 (1.124) -0.00472 (-0.418) 0.00624 (0.229) 0.00965 (0.437) 0.0281 (0.980) -0.0153 (-0.938) 0.0242 (0.912) 0.00425 (0.200) 0.0537* (1.897) -0.0266* (-1.724) -0.0459 (-1.109) -0.0309 (-0.888) 0.115** (2.231) -0.0644 (-1.308) -0.0357 (-0.915) 0.0184 (0.160) 3,021 -0.0439 (-1.198) -0.0124 (-0.427) 0.119*** (2.624) -0.0755* (-1.859) -0.0743** (-2.270) 0.123 (1.315) 3,021 0.0341 (0.871) -0.0221 (-0.669) 0.0213 (0.413) -0.0237 (-0.529) -0.0995*** (-2.761) 0.141 (1.260) 3,021 -0.000864 (-0.0133) 0.0235 (0.448) 0.0806 (1.021) 0.00699 (0.0945) 0.0833 (1.431) -0.150 (-0.802) 3,021 -0.0787 (-0.974) -0.103 (-1.608) -0.0877 (-0.842) -0.114 (-1.314) -0.0405 (-0.587) 0.148 (0.611) 3,021 -0.0590** (-2.151) -0.0799*** (-3.352) -0.115*** (-3.115) -0.00165 (-0.0454) -0.139*** (-5.582) -0.0139 (-0.168) 3,021 -0.0429 (-1.041) -0.105*** (-3.166) -0.0960* (-1.917) -0.0243 (-0.543) -0.153*** (-4.156) 0.0212 (0.184) 3,021 0.0742 (1.419) -0.0341 (-0.793) 0.0355 (0.523) 0.0633 (1.099) -0.0757 (-1.627) -0.190 (-1.368) 3,021 -0.0270 (-1.576) -0.0133 (-1.040) -0.0500** (-2.304) -0.00344 (-0.217) -0.00430 (-0.290) -0.0415 (-0.758) 3,021 -0.00208 (-0.0740) -0.00366 (-0.153) -0.00792 (-0.226) -0.0110 (-0.429) 0.0195 (0.744) -0.00720 (-0.111) 3,021 -0.0298 (-1.151) -0.0151 (-0.691) -0.0280 (-0.901) -0.0136 (-0.556) 0.0157 (0.676) -0.0539 (-0.802) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively h REGI6 0.0297 (0.868) 0.0618** (2.003) 0.00929 (0.254) -0.0350 (-1.495) 224 APPENDIX 7.7 Impact of HS1A and the Role of Microcredit – VFE VARIABLES HS1A (β1) HS1A*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0159 (-0.407) -0.00136 (-0.273) 0.0653 (1.352) 0.0726* (1.760) 0.162 (1.590) 0.00296 (0.625) 0.0627*** (3.880) -0.0283 (-1.577) -0.0169 (-1.041) -0.0301 (-1.326) -0.0591** (-2.317) 0.00487 (0.309) -0.105 (-0.797) -0.0679 (-1.636) -0.0238** (-2.171) -0.0324 (-0.961) -7.87e-05 (-0.0174) -0.000864 (-0.0209) 0.0704* (1.938) 0.171* (1.882) -0.00106 (-0.265) 0.00970 (0.716) -0.00197 (-0.122) -0.00608 (-0.425) -0.0301* (-1.682) -0.0540** (-2.298) 0.0145 (1.040) 0.0550 (0.504) -0.0764** (-2.175) -0.00941 (-0.953) 0.0586 (1.436) 0.00675* (1.696) 0.0413 (0.815) -0.0163 (-0.350) 0.109 (1.231) -0.0135*** (-2.881) -0.0381** (-2.508) -0.00743 (-0.396) -0.00582 (-0.351) -0.0569*** (-2.757) -0.00332 (-0.124) 0.0217 (1.280) 0.0923 (0.836) -0.0316 (-0.813) 0.0250** (2.139) 0.0452 (0.703) -0.00549 (-0.787) -0.0620 (-0.737) -0.0561 (-0.718) 0.159 (0.969) 0.00478 (0.609) -0.0409 (-1.532) 0.0223 (0.710) 0.252*** (8.803) -0.0165 (-0.476) -0.0496 (-0.960) -0.0121 (-0.304) -0.175 (-0.948) -0.0973 (-1.407) 0.0324 (1.642) 0.355*** (4.911) 0.00794 (0.859) 0.140 (1.414) -0.0263 (-0.294) -0.0423 (-0.189) -0.00691 (-0.761) -0.0147 (-0.480) -0.0235 (-0.649) 0.000179 (0.00543) 0.0239 (0.582) 0.0553 (1.106) -0.0376 (-1.031) 0.172 (0.749) 0.0154 (0.179) 0.0267 (1.145) 0.00237 (0.0914) 0.000448 (0.166) -0.0334 (-1.043) 0.00906 (0.314) 0.131* (1.880) 0.00181 (0.587) 0.0450*** (4.264) -0.0113 (-0.897) -0.00308 (-0.278) -0.0248* (-1.682) -0.0323* (-1.777) -0.00290 (-0.267) 0.0142 (0.176) -0.0237 (-0.829) 0.00836 (1.063) -0.0385 (-1.028) 0.00969** (2.204) -0.00199 (-0.0420) -0.0123 (-0.288) -0.0805 (-1.007) 0.000764 (0.180) 0.0525*** (3.554) -0.0274 (-1.527) 0.0200 (1.296) -0.0174 (-0.889) -0.0336 (-1.487) 0.00534 (0.425) 0.00441 (0.0427) 0.0162 (0.394) 0.0131 (1.139) 0.0213 (0.407) 0.01000* (1.930) -0.0203 (-0.324) -0.0184 (-0.321) 0.181* (1.664) -0.00774 (-1.344) 0.0270 (1.387) -0.00670 (-0.278) 0.00598 (0.288) -0.0387 (-1.477) -0.0253 (-0.760) 0.0211 (1.001) 0.0144 (0.106) -0.00133 (-0.0257) 0.0113 (0.771) 0.00161 (0.0898) -0.00448* (-1.712) 0.00980 (0.495) 0.00398 (0.223) 0.0937* (1.666) 0.00120 (0.546) -0.0255*** (-3.420) -0.0126 (-1.399) 0.0754*** (7.108) 0.0213** (2.188) 0.0319** (1.984) -0.0192 (-1.385) -0.0202 (-0.344) -0.0290 (-1.139) 0.000824 (0.155) 0.0363 (1.351) -1.42e-05 (-0.00374) 0.0429 (1.101) -0.0102 (-0.319) 0.00372 (0.0596) 0.00899*** (2.814) 0.0214* (1.886) -0.0291** (-2.086) -0.00711 (-0.596) 0.139*** (7.627) 0.00967 (0.577) -0.00180 (-0.161) -0.0639 (-0.774) -0.00845 (-0.255) -0.00722 (-0.917) 0.0125 (0.519) -0.00376 (-1.149) 0.0369 (1.117) 0.00674 (0.237) 0.0909 (1.519) 0.00676** (2.294) -0.00753 (-0.778) -0.0322*** (-2.740) 0.0481*** (3.817) 0.120*** (7.862) 0.0305* (1.646) -0.0127 (-0.842) -0.0723 (-1.093) -0.0193 (-0.582) -0.00752 (-0.989) h SIZE EINC 225 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 Constant Observations Note: 0.336 (0.422) 0.00248 (0.00980) -0.0870 (-0.129) 0.651*** (3.447) 1.791** (2.236) -0.477 (-1.180) -1.209** (-2.206) 1.113*** (2.638) 0.610 (0.522) -0.767 (-1.471) 0.232 (0.221) 1.490 (1.195) 0.252 (0.120) 0.222 (0.167) 0.112 (0.0635) 1.959* (1.870) 0.822** (2.043) -0.304** (-2.324) -0.763** (-2.230) 0.459 (1.083) 0.959 (1.152) -0.579 (-1.169) -1.290*** (-2.687) 0.637*** (2.793) 0.752 (0.693) -0.0688 (-0.103) -0.477 (-0.860) 0.564 (0.989) 0.103 (1.017) -0.0273 (-0.418) 0.0369 (0.598) 0.0194 (0.264) 0.746 (1.135) -0.0102 (-0.128) -0.0192 (-0.237) 0.482 (1.186) 0.797 (1.169) -0.0184 (-0.411) 0.0340 (0.740) 0.275 (1.045) -0.167 (-0.226) -0.382 (-0.459) -0.902 (-1.117) -0.835 (-1.036) -0.742 (-0.748) -0.00119 (-0.00120) 3,021 -0.599 (-0.937) -0.740 (-0.968) -1.083 (-1.534) -0.968 (-1.337) -1.026 (-1.109) 0.208 (0.228) 3,021 -1.169** (-2.364) -1.361** (-1.963) -0.906 (-1.557) -0.891 (-1.279) -2.036*** (-2.877) 1.403** (2.402) 3,021 -1.708 (-1.345) -2.472* (-1.801) -0.242 (-0.189) -0.570 (-0.382) -0.625 (-0.397) 0.0435 (0.0403) 3,021 -4.075*** (-3.356) -2.730** (-2.296) -2.418** (-2.359) -3.323** (-2.175) -2.533 (-1.379) 0.373 (0.203) 3,021 -0.484 (-0.914) -0.380 (-0.673) -0.172 (-0.346) -0.281 (-0.471) -0.910 (-1.581) 0.495 (1.217) 3,021 -0.0931 (-0.237) -0.502 (-1.349) 0.577 (0.954) 0.301 (0.596) -0.936* (-1.797) 0.782 (1.511) 3,021 -0.411 (-0.518) -0.305 (-0.343) -0.479 (-0.570) -0.348 (-0.347) -0.706 (-0.909) 0.115 (0.196) 3,021 -0.0259 (-0.239) -0.0530 (-0.465) -0.552 (-0.855) 0.0108 (0.129) -0.0126 (-0.118) -0.0750 (-0.695) 3,021 -0.813 (-1.511) -0.478 (-1.146) -0.515 (-1.263) -0.507 (-1.246) -0.448 (-1.076) -0.0984 (-0.880) 3,021 -0.599 (-1.362) -0.287 (-1.042) -0.401 (-1.130) -0.286 (-1.056) -0.242 (-0.880) -0.131 (-1.404) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively h REGI6 0.319 (0.378) 0.133 (0.427) -0.114 (-0.167) 0.561*** (3.544) 226 APPENDIX 7.8 Impact of HS1A and the Role of Microcredit – Without VFE VARIABLES HS1A (β1) HS1A*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.00882 (-0.292) 0.000469 (0.120) 0.0365 (0.877) 0.0655* (1.852) 0.122*** (3.060) -0.00211 (-0.606) 0.0322** (2.518) -0.00780 (-0.549) -0.0214* (-1.646) -0.0596*** (-3.204) -0.0371** (-2.187) 0.00299 (0.330) -0.0796 (-0.892) -0.0457 (-1.310) -0.00516 (-0.627) -0.0169 (-0.661) 0.000326 (0.0977) -0.00809 (-0.232) 0.0723** (2.363) 0.123*** (3.452) -0.00458 (-1.552) -0.0151 (-1.354) 0.0161 (1.230) -0.0129 (-1.083) -0.0437*** (-2.909) -0.0313* (-1.951) 0.00497 (0.572) -0.0179 (-0.250) -0.0557* (-1.940) 0.00160 (0.213) 0.0669** (2.299) 0.000632 (0.214) 0.0230 (0.570) 0.00780 (0.215) 0.0701* (1.791) -0.0107*** (-3.179) -0.0347*** (-2.836) -0.00184 (-0.121) -0.00956 (-0.723) -0.0559*** (-3.236) -0.00118 (-0.0672) 0.00742 (0.622) 0.0177 (0.210) -0.00891 (-0.276) 0.0203** (2.450) 0.0832* (1.761) -0.00357 (-0.546) -0.0439 (-0.666) -0.0450 (-0.730) -0.0370 (-0.574) 0.00701 (1.226) -0.0205 (-0.951) -0.0141 (-0.555) 0.247*** (10.57) -0.0199 (-0.745) -0.0540 (-1.559) -0.0201 (-0.780) 0.0823 (0.543) -0.0968* (-1.822) 0.0212 (1.459) 0.313*** (5.919) 0.0127** (2.304) 0.116 (1.418) -0.0165 (-0.231) -0.0378 (-0.459) -0.000937 (-0.133) -0.00167 (-0.0661) -0.0339 (-1.118) 0.00756 (0.274) 0.0301 (0.878) 0.0403 (1.122) -0.0559** (-2.126) -0.281 (-1.465) 0.0164 (0.237) 0.0347** (1.990) 0.0138 (0.682) 0.000263 (0.145) -0.0257 (-0.839) 0.0113 (0.409) 0.0312 (1.127) -0.00239 (-0.986) 0.0371*** (4.076) -0.00937 (-0.870) -0.000446 (-0.0478) -0.0380*** (-2.977) -0.00540 (-0.392) -0.00887 (-0.916) 0.00438 (0.0679) -0.0203 (-0.838) 0.0145** (2.347) -0.0218 (-0.783) 0.00832*** (2.765) -0.0440 (-1.066) 0.00162 (0.0438) 0.0296 (0.692) -0.000184 (-0.0541) 0.0441*** (3.536) -0.00763 (-0.507) 0.0234* (1.790) -0.0284* (-1.688) -0.00774 (-0.431) -0.00505 (-0.391) -0.0415 (-0.481) 0.0112 (0.324) 0.0145 (1.587) 0.0479 (1.295) 0.00388 (1.119) 0.00795 (0.154) -0.0343 (-0.743) 0.122** (2.425) -0.00913** (-2.071) 0.0387** (2.422) -0.00659 (-0.332) -0.00294 (-0.170) -0.0526** (-2.381) -0.0186 (-0.745) 0.0142 (0.778) 0.0283 (0.264) 0.0288 (0.677) 0.00273 (0.253) -0.00417 (-0.289) -0.00228 (-0.980) -0.0107 (-0.661) -0.00194 (-0.142) 0.0173 (0.887) 0.00322* (1.733) -0.0218*** (-3.559) -0.0139* (-1.915) 0.0706*** (7.747) 0.0225*** (3.074) 0.00331 (0.282) -0.00634 (-0.656) 0.0275 (0.664) -0.0151 (-0.742) -0.00258 (-0.600) 0.0117 (0.563) -0.000824 (-0.253) 0.0630* (1.765) -0.0355 (-1.187) -0.0415 (-1.427) 0.00592** (2.349) 0.0118 (1.326) -0.0157 (-1.566) -0.00382 (-0.414) 0.118*** (7.215) -0.00764 (-0.555) 0.00430 (0.392) -0.0399 (-0.913) 0.00606 (0.230) -0.00528 (-0.878) -0.000247 (-0.0134) -0.00216 (-0.846) 0.0395 (1.411) -0.0219 (-0.914) 0.00135 (0.0520) 0.00704*** (2.974) -0.0108 (-1.468) -0.0279*** (-3.277) 0.0483*** (4.979) 0.107*** (8.165) -0.00146 (-0.108) -0.00207 (-0.181) 0.00311 (0.0623) -0.00739 (-0.285) -0.00617 (-1.156) h SIZE EINC 227 CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 Constant Observations Note: 0.0275 (0.896) 0.0545** (1.983) 0.0147 (0.451) -0.0163 (-0.787) 0.00598 (0.165) 0.0294 (0.932) -0.00456 (-0.116) 0.0241 (1.041) 0.0418 (0.680) 0.0448 (0.848) 0.0466 (0.683) -0.0161 (-0.419) 0.0234 (0.306) -0.0374 (-0.575) 0.0553 (0.668) -0.0404 (-0.872) 0.00724 (0.295) 0.0387* (1.711) 0.0241 (0.894) -0.00860 (-0.530) -0.0838** (-2.404) 0.110*** (3.479) -0.0450 (-1.159) 0.0455** (1.981) 0.0146 (0.309) 0.0228 (0.564) 0.0197 (0.393) 0.0290 (0.969) 0.00597 (0.287) -0.00422 (-0.256) 0.0282 (1.129) -0.00478 (-0.424) 0.00737 (0.270) 0.00882 (0.399) 0.0276 (0.966) -0.0148 (-0.907) 0.0244 (0.918) 0.00337 (0.158) 0.0538* (1.901) -0.0264* (-1.713) -0.0442 (-1.067) -0.0321 (-0.924) 0.115** (2.221) -0.0646 (-1.306) -0.0416 (-1.047) 0.0249 (0.216) 3,021 -0.0428 (-1.167) -0.0129 (-0.445) 0.120*** (2.640) -0.0746* (-1.833) -0.0758** (-2.300) 0.126 (1.350) 3,021 0.0330 (0.843) -0.0241 (-0.732) 0.0157 (0.304) -0.0280 (-0.624) -0.104*** (-2.849) 0.139 (1.241) 3,021 0.000269 (0.00414) 0.0203 (0.387) 0.0727 (0.917) 0.000423 (0.00569) 0.0679 (1.138) -0.143 (-0.759) 3,021 -0.0839 (-1.041) -0.113* (-1.766) -0.117 (-1.123) -0.136 (-1.566) -0.0764 (-1.091) 0.156 (0.648) 3,021 -0.0597** (-2.179) -0.0800*** (-3.356) -0.116*** (-3.132) -0.00227 (-0.0623) -0.138*** (-5.458) -0.0163 (-0.197) 3,021 -0.0448 (-1.089) -0.105*** (-3.167) -0.0943* (-1.885) -0.0222 (-0.495) -0.146*** (-3.896) 0.0165 (0.143) 3,021 0.0730 (1.396) -0.0358 (-0.834) 0.0309 (0.455) 0.0600 (1.042) -0.0802* (-1.701) -0.189 (-1.361) 3,021 -0.0263 (-1.539) -0.0131 (-1.020) -0.0495** (-2.267) -0.00326 (-0.204) -0.00488 (-0.312) -0.0407 (-0.745) 3,021 -0.00176 (-0.0626) -0.00470 (-0.196) -0.00861 (-0.246) -0.0115 (-0.451) 0.0199 (0.766) -0.00855 (-0.132) 3,021 -0.0295 (-1.143) -0.0152 (-0.694) -0.0273 (-0.879) -0.0132 (-0.538) 0.0186 (0.789) -0.0567 (-0.843) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively h REGI6 0.0313 (0.914) 0.0627** (2.022) 0.00856 (0.233) -0.0341 (-1.457) 228 APPENDIX 8.1 Access to Credit by Poverty status Source Microcredit Non-microcredit Formal Informal Any Sources Total NTP Commune No Yes 401 484 (45.3%) (54.7%) 1005 891 (53.0%) (47.0%) 975 933 (51.1%) (48.9%) 487 480 (50.4%) (49.6%) 1355 1299 (51.1%) (48.9%) 3849 3239 (54.3%) (45.7%) Poverty Status No Yes 649 236 (73.3%) (26.7%) 1496 400 (78.9%) (21.1%) 1468 440 (76.9%) (23.1%) 755 212 (78.1%) (21.9%) 2058 596 (77.5%) (22.5%) 5514 1574 (77.8%) (22.2%) Total 885 (100%) 1896 (100%) 1908 (100%) 967 (100%) 2654 (100%) 7088 (100%) APPENDIX 8.2 Difficulties in Accessing to Agricultural Input (Seed, Fertilizers) No difficulties Lack of suppliers Prices too high Not enough information Not able to buy on credit Not enough access to credit Poor transport infrastructure Other Difficulties Total Non-adopters Adopters Whole Sample No % No % No % 305 63.7% 1,424 72.7% 1729 70.9% 18 3.8% 84 4.3% 102 4.2% 37 7.7% 217 11.1% 254 10.4% 16 3.3% 55 2.8% 71 2.9% 15 3.1% 73 3.7% 88 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 10 0.4% 76 15.9% 97 5.0% 173 7.1% 1.3% 0.3% 11 0.5% 479 100.0% 1,959 100.0% 2,438 100.0% h Difficulties