Microcredit and welfare of the rural households in vietnam

MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ***** Pham Tien Thanh MICROCREDIT AND WELFARE OF THE RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN VIETNAM PHD DISSERTATION IN ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY, 2018 MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ***** Pham Tien Thanh MICROCREDIT AND WELFARE OF THE RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN VIETNAM Major: Development Economics Code: 9310105 PHD DISSERTATION IN ECONOMICS ACADEMIC ADVISORS Dr PHAM KHANH NAM Assoc Prof Dr NGUYEN HUU DUNG HO CHI MINH CITY, 2018 i COMMITMENTS I hereby declare that this dissertation is my own work and it has not been previously submitted for a degree elsewhere While my work contains information from works done by other authors, all these references have been explicitly cited To the best of my knowledge, I would like to certify that the above statements are true The dissertation has been done under the supervision of Dr Pham Khanh Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Nguyen Huu Dung, the University of Economics, Hochiminh City This work was also done under the advice of Assoc.Prof.Dr Katsuhiro Saito, the University of Tokyo during my fellowship period granted by the World Bank Robert S McNamara at the University of Tokyo, Japan Pham Tien Thanh ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I am deeply indebted to my academic supervisors Dr Pham Khanh Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Nguyen Huu Dung at the University of Economics Dr Nam and Assoc.Prof.Dr Dung have supported me a lot during my study They have also provided me with useful academic advice, valuable feedbacks, and encouragement I am also grateful to my academic advisor Assoc.Prof.Dr Katsuhiro Saito, who instructs me in applied econometrics, during my fellowship granted by the World Bank Robert S McNamara at the University of Tokyo I would also like to thank the academic committee at the University of Economics and the two independent external reviewers who gave me a lot of useful and precious comments, which thereby help me improve my dissertation I am also thankful to my lecturers who give me knowledge and advice on my dissertation I am particularly grateful to Assoc.Prof.Dr Pham Bao Duong, my academic supervisor of master thesis, who encourage as well as support me with data and comments on my Ph.D dissertation I would also like to say thank to Mr Nguyen Khanh Duy at the University of Economics for many of his advice on research methodology and encouragement Last but not least, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my family, colleagues, and friends for their encouragement and support during the time I conduct my Ph.D dissertation Pham Tien Thanh TABLE OF CONTENTS COMMITMENTS i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ii TABLE OF CONTENTS iii ABBREVIATIONS viii LIST OF TABLES ix LIST OF FIGURES xi CHAPTER - INTRODUCTION 1.1 Backgrounds 1.2 Research problems 1.2.1 essibility to microcredit 1.2.2 rocredit and adoption of improved rice varieties 1.2.3 mpact of microcredit on households’ welfare 1.2.4 rocredit and health shock 1.3 Research objectives 10 1.4 Scopes of research 11 1.5 Research data 11 1.6 Research methods 11 1.6.1 Quantitative methods 11 1.6.2 Qualitative methods 12 1.7 Contribution of the research 12 1.7.1 oretical contributions 12 1.7.2 tical contributions 13 1.8 Organization of the research 14 CHAPTER – LITERATURE REVIEW 15 2.1 Overview of microcredit 15 2.1.1 Some definitions 15 2.1.2 Characteristics of microcredit 16 2.2 Theory 17 2.2.1 Overview of rural credit market 17 2.2.2 mmetric information 20 2.2.3 ories on accessibility to credit 23 2.2.3.1 Theory of choice (Demand for credit) 23 2.2.3.2 Theory of credit rationing 24 2.2.4 oretical framework of outreach of microcredit 27 2.2.5 household model under credit constraint 29 2.2.5.1 .1 Producer problem 29 2.2.5.2 Consumer problem 30 2.2.5.3 Worker problem 30 2.2.5.4 .4 Farm household model with credit 31 2.3 Empirical studies 32 2.3.1 Determinants of rural households’ accessibility to microcredit .32 2.3.2 mpact of microcredit on adoption of the improved rice varieties 38 2.3.3 mpact of microcredit on living standard 40 2.3.3.1 Empirical studies in the world 40 2.3.3.2 Empirical studies in Vietnam 41 2.3.4 mpact of health shocks and role of microcredit 44 2.3.4.1 Impacts of health shocks 44 2.3.4.2 .2 Strategies to cope with health shocks and role of microcredit 46 2.4 Definitions of welfare 48 2.5 Logical framework of impact evaluation of microcredit on welfare .49 CHAPTER – OVERVIEW OF MICROCREDIT 52 3.1 Microcredit in the world 52 3.2 Microcredit in rural Vietnam 54 3.2.1 rocredit providers 54 3.2.2 it activities and clients 59 3.2.3 Poverty reduction role of microcredit 61 CHAPTER – DETERMINANTS OF ACCESSIBILITY TO MICROCREDIT 62 4.1 Research method 62 4.1.1 timation strategy 63 4.1.2 ection of variables 65 4.1.2.1 .1 Dependent variable 65 4.1.2.2 Explanatory Variables 66 4.1.3 earch hypotheses 68 4.2 Research data 70 4.2.1 source 70 4.2.2 search sample 71 4.2.3 criptive statistics 71 4.3 Results and discussions 74 CHAPTER – MICROCREDIT AND ADOPTION OF IMPROVED RICE VARIETIES 82 5.1 Research method 82 5.1.1 imation strategy 82 5.1.2 ection of variables 86 5.1.2.1 .1 Dependent variables 86 5.1.2.2 Independent variables 87 5.1.3 earch hypotheses 88 5.2 Research data 88 5.2.1 source 88 5.2.2 earch sample 88 5.2.3 criptive statistics 89 5.3 Results and discussions 91 CHAPTER – IMPACT EVALUATION OF MICROCREDIT ON WELFARE 103 6.1 Research method 103 6.1.1 imation strategy 103 6.1.1.1 .1 Propensity Score Matching (PSM) 103 6.1.1.2 .2 Difference in Difference (DID) 105 6.1.1.3 PSM-DID 105 6.1.2 ection of variables 107 6.1.2.1 .1 Microcredit variable 107 6.1.2.2 .2 Variables for calculation of propensity score 107 6.1.2.3 .3 Welfare variables 108 6.1.3 earch hypotheses 108 6.2 Research data 109 6.2.1 source 109 6.2.2 earch sample 110 6.2.3 criptive statistics 110 6.3 Results and discussions 110 6.3.1 opensity score and balancing test 110 6.3.2 Average impact of microcredit program 113 CHAPTER – ROLE OF MICROCREDIT IN MITIGATING THE EFFECTS OF HEALTH SHOCKS 121 7.1 Research method 121 7.1.1 imation strategy 121 7.1.2 ection of variable 123 7.1.2.1 Dependent variables 123 7.1.2.2 .2 Health shocks variables 123 7.1.2.3 .3 Microcredit variable 124 7.1.2.4 .4 Other control (explanatory) variables 125 7.1.3 earch hypotheses 126 7.2 Research data 126 7.2.1 source 126 7.2.2 earch sample 127 7.2.3 criptive statistics 127 7.3 Results and discussions 129 7.3.1 alth shocks unanticipated? 129 7.3.2 st stage results using instrumental variables 130 7.3.3 lness/ Disease/ Injury of working-age members (HS1W) 133 7.3.4 lness/ Disease/ Injury of any members (HS1A) 136 CHAPTER – CONCLUSIONS 138 8.1 Objective 1: Determinants of accessibility to microcredit 138 8.1.1 Summary 138 8.1.2 Policy implications 139 8.1.3 mitations and further studies 141 8.2 Objective 2: Microcredit and adoption of improved varieties 142 8.2.1 Summary 142 8.2.2 Policy implications 143 8.2.3 mitations and further studies 144 8.3 Objective 3: Impact evaluation of microcredit on welfare 145 8.3.1 Summary 145 8.3.2 Policy implications 146 8.3.3 mitations and further studies 147 8.4 Objective 4: Role of microcredit in mitigating the effects of health shocks 148 8.4.1 Summary 148 8.4.2 Policy implications 149 8.4.3 mitations and further studies 149 REFERENCE 150 Reference in the world 150 Reference in Vietnam 167 Websites 171 APPENDICES 172 ABBREVIATIONS Abbr Meanings MF Microfinance MFIs Microfinance Institutions PCFs People’s Credit Funds ROSCAs Rotating Savings Credit Associations VBSP Vietnam Bank for Social Policies VBARD Vietnam Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development VPSC Postal Savings Company APPENDIX 7.2 Unanticipation of health shocks HS1W in 2010 (HS1Wt-1) HS1W in 2012 (HS1Wt) 0.142*** 0.207*** (5.343) (8.434) HS1A in 2010 (HS1At-1) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR ISURE CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant VFE Observations Note: 0.0104 (0.496) 0.0129 (0.652) 0.00979 (0.308) -0.000878 (-0.397) 0.0274*** (3.791) 0.00969 (1.119) -0.0453*** (-5.408) -0.0703*** (-7.359) 0.00264 (0.256) -0.00125 (-0.248) 0.0358 (1.009) -0.0177 (-0.992) 0.00759 (1.314) 0.0681 (0.393) 0.0897 (0.631) -0.0970 (-0.597) -0.573 (-1.436) 0.634 (1.537) 1.400*** (3.450) 1.061** (2.012) 0.494 (1.271) 0.445 (1.072) -0.0552 (-0.316) With 3,021 0.0145 (0.851) 0.0140 (0.837) 0.0331* (1.930) -0.00199 (-1.181) 0.0203*** (3.095) 0.0180** (2.239) -0.0511*** (-7.205) -0.0601*** (-8.997) 0.0184* (1.803) -0.00244 (-0.404) 0.0514 (1.596) -0.00664 (-0.474) 0.0105** (2.189) -0.00745 (-0.431) -0.0282* (-1.680) -7.42e-05 (-0.00347) -0.00531 (-0.477) -0.0190 (-1.225) 0.00414 (0.280) -0.00532 (-0.225) 0.00539 (0.248) 0.0931*** (4.822) -0.0897** (-2.000) Without 3,021 Robust t-statistics in parentheses *** indicates that the coefficients are significant at 1% HS1A in 2012 (HS1At) 0.103*** (4.167) 0.0448 (1.439) -0.00658 (-0.232) 0.0863 (1.515) -0.000584 (-0.209) 0.0166* (1.726) 0.00930 (0.791) 0.00553 (0.524) 0.0244* (1.853) -0.000811 (-0.0608) -0.00249 (-0.389) 0.0546 (0.825) 0.00307 (0.129) 0.0114 (1.480) -0.706 (-1.160) 0.359 (1.110) 0.419 (0.809) -0.402 (-0.916) 0.394 (0.880) 1.338*** (2.976) 0.746 (1.185) 0.348 (0.559) 0.881 (1.294) -0.751 (-1.429) With 3,021 0.209*** (10.44) 0.0441* (1.733) 0.00530 (0.225) 0.0631*** (2.628) -0.00261 (-1.175) 0.00688 (0.825) 0.0219** (2.153) -0.00546 (-0.594) 0.0100 (0.919) 0.0192 (1.523) -0.00465 (-0.587) 0.0642 (1.212) 0.00603 (0.295) 0.0142** (2.387) -0.0114 (-0.480) -0.0538** (-2.421) 0.000793 (0.0298) 0.00157 (0.106) -0.00529 (-0.243) 0.0294 (1.467) 0.0711** (2.042) 0.0598** (1.984) 0.213*** (8.343) -0.136** (-2.024) Without 3,021 216 APPENDIX 7.3 First stage estimates using IV for HS1W Commune Poverty Rate Distance to Bank HS1W MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR ISURE Model 1a 13.660** (2.02) -0.244* (-1.70) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) IV Model Model 1b 1.094 (0.75) -0.001 (-0.08) 1.041** (2.16) -0.469 (-1.13) 0.029 (0.08) -0.595 (-0.95) 0.103** (2.37) 0.277** (2.09) -0.220 (-1.11) -0.412** (-2.20) -0.620*** (-3.66) -0.793*** (-2.75) 0.567** (2.17) 1.181*** (3.77) 3.977*** (7.43) 0.136 (1.36) IV Model Model 2a Model 2b 3.649 1.062 (0.94) (0.73) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) 1.041** (2.16) -0.470 (-1.13) 0.030 (0.08) -0.592 (-0.95) 0.103** (2.37) 0.277** (2.09) -0.219 (-1.10) -0.413** (-2.22) -0.620*** (-3.66) -0.793*** (-2.75) 0.566** (2.17) 1.181*** (3.77) 3.977*** (7.44) 0.136 (1.37) IV Model Model 3a Model 3b 0.089 (0.94) 0.627 (1.05) -0.845* (-1.76) 0.381 (0.88) 0.102 (0.09) 0.119** (2.21) 0.476*** (3.08) -0.549** (-2.34) -0.231 (-1.15) -0.390* (-1.82) -0.059 (-0.21) 0.021 (0.08) 0.767 (1.23) 3.731*** (7.34) 0.070 (0.60) 0.002 (0.09) 1.036** (2.14) -0.467 (-1.12) 0.041 (0.11) -0.697 (-1.17) 0.103** (2.37) 0.276** (2.09) -0.227 (-1.14) -0.412** (-2.20) -0.628*** (-3.72) -0.796*** (-2.76) 0.572** (2.19) 1.204*** (3.90) 4.046*** (7.62) 0.141 (1.43) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant VFE Observations F(i,df) for IVa Prob>F Test of overidentification restrictionsc,d Note: -0.309 -0.198 (-0.12) (-0.36) 1.860 0.582 (1.44) (1.27) -0.583 0.431 (-0.28) (1.11) 1.218 -0.551** (0.52) (-2.05) -2.023 1.511*** (-0.71) (3.05) 4.234 1.494*** (1.53) (3.44) -4.916** -0.285 (-2.35) (-0.63) -9.297* -0.272 (-1.76) (-0.91) -0.642 -0.234 (-0.30) (-0.82) -1.260 -0.816 (-0.47) (-0.91) With Without 3,021 3,021 2.04 0.28 0.13 0.755 Chi2(2)=0.095 (p-value=0.758) -3.318 (-1.58) 2.490** (1.99) 2.404* (1.89) -2.688* (-1.82) 2.764* (1.70) 1.649 (0.87) -3.212 (-1.58) -0.812 (-0.29) 2.652 (1.55) -4.432** (-2.31) With 3,021 0.89 0.346 -0.202 (-0.36) 0.578 (1.28) 0.437 (1.13) -0.552** (-2.05) 1.508*** (3.06) 1.493*** (3.44) -0.290 (-0.64) -0.274 (-0.91) -0.236 (-0.83) -0.829 (-0.93) Without 3,021 0.54 0.4639 -4.414* (-1.71) 2.719** (2.05) 3.492* (1.73) -4.111* (-1.73) 4.509* (1.66) 0.707 (0.36) -2.592 (-1.24) 2.280 (0.75) 3.853 (1.62) -5.588** (-2.03) With 3,021 0.89 0.346 -0.057 (-0.11) 0.613 (1.36) 0.406 (1.05) -0.571** (-2.13) 1.577*** (3.19) 1.556*** (3.72) -0.271 (-0.59) -0.305 (-1.03) -0.234 (-0.82) -0.636 (-0.73) Without 3,021 0.1132 0.9248 Robust t-statistics in parentheses; *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively a F-test for H0: Week instruments If F-test > 10, reject H0, and vice versa c Overidentification test for H0: The instrument are valid, and vice versa d Since the IV 2SLS using VFE results in perfect multicollinearity between IVs and village dummies, only the overidentification test for model without VFE is conducted APPENDIX 7.4 First stage estimates using IV for HS1A Commune Poverty Rate Distance to Bank HS1A MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE12 SAGE6 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR ISURE IV Model Model 1a Model 1b 15.859** 1.110 (2.28) (0.76) -0.247* -0.002 (-1.72) (-0.10) 0.484 0.640** (1.16) (2.01) -0.861* -0.482 (-1.78) (-1.16) 0.393 0.040 (0.90) (0.11) 0.064 -0.600 (0.06) (-0.96) 0.119** 0.104** (2.21) (2.37) 0.487*** 0.298** (3.17) (2.26) -0.546** -0.212 (-2.32) (-1.07) -0.267 -0.476** (-1.32) (-2.52) -0.452** -0.704*** (-2.15) (-4.20) -0.056 -0.784*** (-0.20) (-2.73) 0.021 0.568** (0.08) (2.18) 0.762 1.188*** (1.22) (3.77) 3.717*** 3.965*** (7.32) (7.41) 0.069 0.138 (0.59) (1.38) IV Model Model 2a Model 2b 5.723 1.072 (1.27) (0.74) 0.484 (1.16) -0.861* (-1.78) 0.393 (0.90) 0.064 (0.06) 0.119** (2.21) 0.487*** (3.17) -0.546** (-2.32) -0.267 (-1.32) -0.452** (-2.15) -0.056 (-0.20) 0.021 (0.08) 0.762 (1.22) 3.717*** (7.32) 0.069 (0.59) 0.640** (2.01) -0.483 (-1.16) 0.041 (0.11) -0.597 (-0.95) 0.104** (2.38) 0.298** (2.26) -0.212 (-1.07) -0.477** (-2.54) -0.704*** (-4.20) -0.785*** (-2.73) 0.567** (2.18) 1.189*** (3.78) 3.965*** (7.41) 0.138 (1.38) IV Model Model 3a Model 3b 0.139 (1.27) 0.484 (1.16) -0.861* (-1.78) 0.393 (0.90) 0.064 (0.06) 0.119** (2.21) 0.487*** (3.17) -0.546** (-2.32) -0.267 (-1.32) -0.452** (-2.15) -0.056 (-0.20) 0.021 (0.08) 0.762 (1.22) 3.717*** (7.32) 0.069 (0.59) 0.001 (0.08) 0.633** (1.98) -0.481 (-1.16) 0.052 (0.14) -0.703 (-1.17) 0.104** (2.37) 0.297** (2.26) -0.220 (-1.11) -0.476** (-2.52) -0.712*** (-4.26) -0.787*** (-2.74) 0.572** (2.19) 1.212*** (3.90) 4.035*** (7.59) 0.143 (1.45) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant VFE Observations F(i,df) for IVsa Prob>F Test of overidentification restrictionsc,d Note: -0.070 -0.196 (-0.03) (-0.35) 1.791 0.587 (1.36) (1.28) -0.598 0.427 (-0.29) (1.10) 0.941 -0.556** (0.40) (-2.06) -1.750 1.499*** (-0.61) (3.02) 4.640* 1.479*** (1.80) (3.40) -4.633** -0.338 (-2.26) (-0.74) -10.017* -0.314 (-1.90) (-1.04) -0.613 -0.279 (-0.28) (-0.96) -1.359 -0.827 (-0.51) (-0.92) With Without 3,021 3,021 2.61 0.29 0.0738 0.7495 Chi2(2)=0.107 (p-value=0.74) -3.117 (-1.47) 2.429* (1.91) 2.426* (1.95) -3.013** (-2.11) 3.097* (1.94) 2.024 (1.18) -2.908 (-1.49) -1.426 (-0.50) 2.722 (1.63) -4.570** (-2.39) With 3,021 1.61 0.2053 -0.201 (-0.36) 0.583 (1.29) 0.435 (1.13) -0.557** (-2.07) 1.495*** (3.03) 1.478*** (3.41) -0.344 (-0.76) -0.316 (-1.04) -0.281 (-0.97) -0.842 (-0.95) Without 3,021 0.55 0.4602 -4.837* (-1.82) 2.789** (2.05) 4.133* (1.94) -5.246** (-2.05) 5.834** (1.98) 0.546 (0.27) -1.934 (-0.97) 3.425 (1.09) 4.606* (1.91) -6.383** (-2.21) With 3,021 1.61 0.2053 -0.053 (-0.10) 0.618 (1.37) 0.403 (1.04) -0.577** (-2.14) 1.566*** (3.16) 1.542*** (3.69) -0.323 (-0.70) -0.346 (-1.16) -0.278 (-0.95) -0.645 (-0.74) Without 3,021 0.01 0.9351 Robust t-statistics in parentheses; *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively a F-test for H0: Week instruments If F-test > 10, reject H0, and vice versa c Overidentification test for H0: The instrument are valid, and vice versa d Since the IV 2SLS using VFE results in perfect multicollinearity between IVs and village dummies, only the overidentification test for model without VFE is conducted APPENDIX 7.5 Impact of HS1W and the Role of Microcredit – VFE VARIABLES HS1W (β1) HS1W*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU EINC TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0956* (-1.829) -0.00395 (-0.688) 0.0655 (1.362) 0.0744* (1.811) 0.161 (1.590) 0.00291 (0.617) 0.0658*** (4.055) -0.0274 (-1.532) -0.0226 (-1.373) -0.0388* (-1.690) -0.0591** (-2.309) 0.00512 (0.326) -0.102 (-0.771) -0.0695* (-1.678) -0.0230** (-2.108) -0.0794* (-1.776) -0.00317 (-0.605) -0.00185 (-0.0448) 0.0723** (1.997) 0.169* (1.871) -0.00107 (-0.266) 0.0121 (0.889) -0.00145 (-0.0904) -0.0111 (-0.771) -0.0379** (-2.095) -0.0540** (-2.296) 0.0146 (1.054) 0.0567 (0.520) -0.0771** (-2.203) -0.00894 (-0.906) 0.117** (2.205) 0.00530 (1.196) 0.0419 (0.829) -0.0177 (-0.381) 0.116 (1.305) -0.0134*** (-2.857) -0.0404*** (-2.653) -0.00846 (-0.452) 0.000730 (0.0436) -0.0459** (-2.210) -0.00357 (-0.133) 0.0209 (1.238) 0.0913 (0.835) -0.0258 (-0.663) 0.0251** (2.151) 0.0577 (0.690) -0.00703 (-0.862) -0.0602 (-0.715) -0.0571 (-0.730) 0.159 (0.978) 0.00475 (0.605) -0.0418 (-1.560) 0.0222 (0.708) 0.254*** (8.851) -0.0114 (-0.326) -0.0503 (-0.974) -0.0113 (-0.285) -0.173 (-0.941) -0.0980 (-1.421) 0.0325* (1.647) 0.341*** (3.640) 0.000434 (0.0397) 0.152 (1.518) -0.0317 (-0.352) -0.00832 (-0.0368) -0.00675 (-0.741) -0.0178 (-0.579) -0.0245 (-0.672) 0.0194 (0.581) 0.0590 (1.408) 0.0532 (1.055) -0.0385 (-1.049) 0.181 (0.784) 0.0294 (0.340) 0.0292 (1.246) 0.0307 (0.888) -1.03e-06 (-0.000350) -0.0338 (-1.055) 0.00877 (0.303) 0.131* (1.878) 0.00184 (0.596) 0.0442*** (4.164) -0.0117 (-0.926) -0.00159 (-0.142) -0.0223 (-1.498) -0.0324* (-1.780) -0.00291 (-0.268) 0.0134 (0.165) -0.0228 (-0.799) 0.00817 (1.039) -0.00664 (-0.134) 0.00417 (0.926) -0.00548 (-0.115) -0.0103 (-0.241) -0.0793 (-0.996) 0.000931 (0.219) 0.0531*** (3.557) -0.0281 (-1.564) 0.0186 (1.186) -0.0195 (-0.976) -0.0336 (-1.485) 0.00443 (0.353) 0.00303 (0.0293) 0.0217 (0.526) 0.0133 (1.157) 0.0504 (0.735) 0.00696 (1.227) -0.0212 (-0.339) -0.0182 (-0.317) 0.187* (1.705) -0.00759 (-1.318) 0.0264 (1.351) -0.00748 (-0.310) 0.00864 (0.411) -0.0342 (-1.287) -0.0252 (-0.758) 0.0200 (0.948) 0.0138 (0.102) 0.00499 (0.0962) 0.0117 (0.797) 0.00764 (0.265) -0.00434 (-1.250) 0.0102 (0.513) 0.00369 (0.206) 0.0914 (1.624) 0.00116 (0.526) -0.0258*** (-3.420) -0.0125 (-1.390) 0.0755*** (7.085) 0.0218** (2.158) 0.0316** (1.963) -0.0186 (-1.340) -0.0200 (-0.342) -0.0309 (-1.219) 0.000626 (0.118) 0.104*** (2.842) -0.00527 (-1.269) 0.0427 (1.096) -0.0106 (-0.333) 0.00558 (0.0898) 0.00908*** (2.845) 0.0197* (1.724) -0.0301** (-2.154) -0.00280 (-0.233) 0.147*** (7.919) 0.00879 (0.526) -0.00148 (-0.134) -0.0643 (-0.774) -0.00490 (-0.148) -0.00728 (-0.926) 0.0898** (2.490) -0.00749* (-1.752) 0.0362 (1.099) 0.00622 (0.219) 0.0887 (1.485) 0.00681** (2.317) -0.00955 (-0.977) -0.0331*** (-2.821) 0.0516*** (4.072) 0.127*** (8.117) 0.0297 (1.601) -0.0119 (-0.791) -0.0735 (-1.112) -0.0182 (-0.554) -0.00800 (-1.056) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant Observations Note: 0.337 (0.396) 0.131 (0.406) -0.131 (-0.191) 0.518*** (3.014) 0.364 (0.449) -0.00440 (-0.0166) -0.109 (-0.158) 0.622*** (3.074) 1.739** (2.236) -0.460 (-1.178) -1.169** (-2.213) 1.146*** (2.607) 0.575 (0.499) -0.756 (-1.462) 0.254 (0.247) 1.503 (1.206) -0.0251 (-0.0115) 0.328 (0.256) 0.299 (0.157) 1.985* (1.853) 0.818** (2.034) -0.304** (-2.298) -0.759** (-2.214) 0.473 (1.140) 0.983 (1.159) -0.586 (-1.159) -1.302*** (-2.637) 0.643*** (2.848) 0.730 (0.677) -0.0593 (-0.0891) -0.458 (-0.833) 0.576 (0.990) 0.102 (1.026) -0.0285 (-0.446) 0.0362 (0.605) 0.0247 (0.339) 0.710 (1.087) -0.000100 (-0.00133) 0.00664 (0.0904) 0.518 (1.348) 0.781 (1.148) -0.0169 (-0.381) 0.0467 (1.075) 0.315 (1.337) -0.118 (-0.157) -0.264 (-0.314) -0.811 (-0.981) -0.793 (-0.969) -0.714 (-0.713) 0.00334 (0.00336) 3,021 -0.565 (-0.875) -0.667 (-0.867) -1.022 (-1.417) -0.938 (-1.272) -1.019 (-1.085) 0.224 (0.242) 3,021 -1.209** (-2.391) -1.445** (-2.042) -0.986* (-1.691) -0.913 (-1.354) -2.030*** (-2.900) 1.359** (2.408) 3,021 -1.725 (-1.358) -2.497* (-1.816) -0.272 (-0.212) -0.595 (-0.400) -0.614 (-0.393) 0.0188 (0.0177) 3,021 -4.118*** (-3.366) -2.725** (-2.258) -2.510*** (-2.711) -3.338** (-2.375) -2.357 (-1.196) 0.118 (0.0598) 3,021 -0.500 (-0.961) -0.422 (-0.754) -0.204 (-0.420) -0.296 (-0.503) -0.921 (-1.621) 0.494 (1.217) 3,021 -0.0974 (-0.248) -0.537 (-1.436) 0.555 (0.909) 0.312 (0.609) -0.958* (-1.797) 0.796 (1.502) 3,021 -0.425 (-0.532) -0.340 (-0.378) -0.516 (-0.609) -0.342 (-0.345) -0.701 (-0.900) 0.0891 (0.154) 3,021 -0.0319 (-0.295) -0.0655 (-0.552) -0.560 (-0.868) -0.00371 (-0.0445) -0.0180 (-0.171) -0.0707 (-0.664) 3,021 -0.855 (-1.622) -0.579 (-1.454) -0.603 (-1.543) -0.548 (-1.413) -0.460 (-1.167) -0.122 (-1.166) 3,021 -0.645 (-1.497) -0.403 (-1.590) -0.493 (-1.403) -0.339 (-1.385) -0.272 (-1.095) -0.133 (-1.442) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively APPENDIX 7.6 Impact of HS1W and the Role of Microcredit – Without VFE VARIABLES HS1W (β1) HS1W*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU EINC TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0654* (-1.764) -0.00237 (-0.505) 0.0370 (0.891) 0.0670* (1.893) 0.123*** (3.095) -0.00216 (-0.618) 0.0338*** (2.640) -0.00646 (-0.455) -0.0261** (-1.992) -0.0652*** (-3.463) -0.0359** (-2.123) 0.00284 (0.310) -0.0758 (-0.848) -0.0454 (-1.307) -0.00410 (-0.498) -0.0478 (-1.453) -0.00190 (-0.476) -0.00826 (-0.237) 0.0733** (2.397) 0.123*** (3.451) -0.00458 (-1.551) -0.0140 (-1.251) 0.0168 (1.289) -0.0164 (-1.371) -0.0479*** (-3.153) -0.0307* (-1.919) 0.00487 (0.560) -0.0160 (-0.222) -0.0556* (-1.943) 0.00219 (0.293) 0.114*** (3.038) -0.00142 (-0.503) 0.0242 (0.600) 0.00682 (0.189) 0.0698* (1.774) -0.0107*** (-3.179) -0.0368*** (-3.005) -0.00257 (-0.169) -0.00304 (-0.228) -0.0472*** (-2.712) -0.00218 (-0.124) 0.00729 (0.613) 0.0171 (0.206) -0.00696 (-0.215) 0.0203** (2.449) 0.0561 (0.865) -0.00538 (-0.673) -0.0404 (-0.613) -0.0453 (-0.736) -0.0338 (-0.526) 0.00686 (1.199) -0.0211 (-0.974) -0.0134 (-0.525) 0.249*** (10.59) -0.0152 (-0.562) -0.0536 (-1.547) -0.0201 (-0.781) 0.0862 (0.571) -0.0973* (-1.839) 0.0222 (1.526) 0.412*** (6.485) 0.00832 (1.527) 0.123 (1.498) -0.0187 (-0.262) -0.0310 (-0.375) -0.00111 (-0.158) -0.00974 (-0.385) -0.0347 (-1.143) 0.0331 (1.186) 0.0633* (1.827) 0.0385 (1.066) -0.0568** (-2.149) -0.278 (-1.441) 0.0294 (0.425) 0.0359** (2.061) 0.0413 (1.497) 0.000388 (0.218) -0.0257 (-0.840) 0.0107 (0.389) 0.0306 (1.103) -0.00236 (-0.976) 0.0362*** (3.971) -0.00992 (-0.921) 0.00215 (0.228) -0.0348*** (-2.699) -0.00596 (-0.432) -0.00887 (-0.915) 0.00314 (0.0487) -0.0198 (-0.819) 0.0142** (2.303) 0.0230 (0.638) 0.00598* (1.817) -0.0465 (-1.124) 0.00219 (0.0591) 0.0268 (0.625) -2.68e-05 (-0.00787) 0.0431*** (3.453) -0.00823 (-0.547) 0.0248* (1.854) -0.0274 (-1.606) -0.00841 (-0.467) -0.00538 (-0.416) -0.0438 (-0.507) 0.0161 (0.468) 0.0142 (1.556) 0.0740 (1.547) 0.00252 (0.681) 0.00857 (0.166) -0.0345 (-0.747) 0.123** (2.426) -0.00913** (-2.071) 0.0371** (2.319) -0.00685 (-0.344) 0.00159 (0.0908) -0.0469** (-2.101) -0.0190 (-0.763) 0.0140 (0.768) 0.0283 (0.265) 0.0321 (0.754) 0.00288 (0.268) -0.0165 (-0.705) -0.00189 (-0.603) -0.0104 (-0.638) -0.00199 (-0.144) 0.0176 (0.904) 0.00319* (1.720) -0.0213*** (-3.498) -0.0138* (-1.884) 0.0695*** (7.634) 0.0214*** (2.833) 0.00349 (0.297) -0.00625 (-0.647) 0.0279 (0.675) -0.0165 (-0.824) -0.00253 (-0.592) 0.0314 (1.238) -0.00428 (-1.474) 0.0628* (1.757) -0.0356 (-1.186) -0.0434 (-1.498) 0.00598** (2.368) 0.0115 (1.279) -0.0159 (-1.589) -0.00294 (-0.315) 0.119*** (7.253) -0.00814 (-0.591) 0.00419 (0.382) -0.0398 (-0.909) 0.00646 (0.245) -0.00512 (-0.850) 0.0223 (0.860) -0.00383 (-1.201) 0.0391 (1.400) -0.0223 (-0.928) -0.000564 (-0.0218) 0.00709*** (2.998) -0.0112 (-1.497) -0.0284*** (-3.323) 0.0490*** (4.966) 0.108*** (8.182) -0.00203 (-0.150) -0.00204 (-0.179) 0.00233 (0.0467) -0.00819 (-0.319) -0.00635 (-1.191) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant Observations Note: 0.0297 (0.868) 0.0618** (2.003) 0.00929 (0.254) -0.0350 (-1.495) 0.0265 (0.865) 0.0544** (1.986) 0.0151 (0.465) -0.0169 (-0.820) 0.00496 (0.136) 0.0294 (0.931) -0.00399 (-0.102) 0.0243 (1.050) 0.0401 (0.652) 0.0421 (0.799) 0.0474 (0.697) -0.0160 (-0.415) 0.0185 (0.242) -0.0416 (-0.639) 0.0586 (0.712) -0.0392 (-0.849) 0.00743 (0.302) 0.0392* (1.729) 0.0241 (0.893) -0.00839 (-0.517) -0.0845** (-2.419) 0.112*** (3.558) -0.0446 (-1.148) 0.0448* (1.953) 0.0136 (0.287) 0.0226 (0.559) 0.0203 (0.408) 0.0290 (0.970) 0.00618 (0.298) -0.00459 (-0.279) 0.0281 (1.124) -0.00472 (-0.418) 0.00624 (0.229) 0.00965 (0.437) 0.0281 (0.980) -0.0153 (-0.938) 0.0242 (0.912) 0.00425 (0.200) 0.0537* (1.897) -0.0266* (-1.724) -0.0459 (-1.109) -0.0309 (-0.888) 0.115** (2.231) -0.0644 (-1.308) -0.0357 (-0.915) 0.0184 (0.160) 3,021 -0.0439 (-1.198) -0.0124 (-0.427) 0.119*** (2.624) -0.0755* (-1.859) -0.0743** (-2.270) 0.123 (1.315) 3,021 0.0341 (0.871) -0.0221 (-0.669) 0.0213 (0.413) -0.0237 (-0.529) -0.0995*** (-2.761) 0.141 (1.260) 3,021 -0.000864 (-0.0133) 0.0235 (0.448) 0.0806 (1.021) 0.00699 (0.0945) 0.0833 (1.431) -0.150 (-0.802) 3,021 -0.0787 (-0.974) -0.103 (-1.608) -0.0877 (-0.842) -0.114 (-1.314) -0.0405 (-0.587) 0.148 (0.611) 3,021 -0.0590** (-2.151) -0.0799*** (-3.352) -0.115*** (-3.115) -0.00165 (-0.0454) -0.139*** (-5.582) -0.0139 (-0.168) 3,021 -0.0429 (-1.041) -0.105*** (-3.166) -0.0960* (-1.917) -0.0243 (-0.543) -0.153*** (-4.156) 0.0212 (0.184) 3,021 0.0742 (1.419) -0.0341 (-0.793) 0.0355 (0.523) 0.0633 (1.099) -0.0757 (-1.627) -0.190 (-1.368) 3,021 -0.0270 (-1.576) -0.0133 (-1.040) -0.0500** (-2.304) -0.00344 (-0.217) -0.00430 (-0.290) -0.0415 (-0.758) 3,021 -0.00208 (-0.0740) -0.00366 (-0.153) -0.00792 (-0.226) -0.0110 (-0.429) 0.0195 (0.744) -0.00720 (-0.111) 3,021 -0.0298 (-1.151) -0.0151 (-0.691) -0.0280 (-0.901) -0.0136 (-0.556) 0.0157 (0.676) -0.0539 (-0.802) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively APPENDIX 7.7 Impact of HS1A and the Role of Microcredit – VFE VARIABLES HS1A (β1) HS1A*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU EINC TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.0159 (-0.407) -0.00136 (-0.273) 0.0653 (1.352) 0.0726* (1.760) 0.162 (1.590) 0.00296 (0.625) 0.0627*** (3.880) -0.0283 (-1.577) -0.0169 (-1.041) -0.0301 (-1.326) -0.0591** (-2.317) 0.00487 (0.309) -0.105 (-0.797) -0.0679 (-1.636) -0.0238** (-2.171) -0.0324 (-0.961) -7.87e-05 (-0.0174) -0.000864 (-0.0209) 0.0704* (1.938) 0.171* (1.882) -0.00106 (-0.265) 0.00970 (0.716) -0.00197 (-0.122) -0.00608 (-0.425) -0.0301* (-1.682) -0.0540** (-2.298) 0.0145 (1.040) 0.0550 (0.504) -0.0764** (-2.175) -0.00941 (-0.953) 0.0586 (1.436) 0.00675* (1.696) 0.0413 (0.815) -0.0163 (-0.350) 0.109 (1.231) -0.0135*** (-2.881) -0.0381** (-2.508) -0.00743 (-0.396) -0.00582 (-0.351) -0.0569*** (-2.757) -0.00332 (-0.124) 0.0217 (1.280) 0.0923 (0.836) -0.0316 (-0.813) 0.0250** (2.139) 0.0452 (0.703) -0.00549 (-0.787) -0.0620 (-0.737) -0.0561 (-0.718) 0.159 (0.969) 0.00478 (0.609) -0.0409 (-1.532) 0.0223 (0.710) 0.252*** (8.803) -0.0165 (-0.476) -0.0496 (-0.960) -0.0121 (-0.304) -0.175 (-0.948) -0.0973 (-1.407) 0.0324 (1.642) 0.355*** (4.911) 0.00794 (0.859) 0.140 (1.414) -0.0263 (-0.294) -0.0423 (-0.189) -0.00691 (-0.761) -0.0147 (-0.480) -0.0235 (-0.649) 0.000179 (0.00543) 0.0239 (0.582) 0.0553 (1.106) -0.0376 (-1.031) 0.172 (0.749) 0.0154 (0.179) 0.0267 (1.145) 0.00237 (0.0914) 0.000448 (0.166) -0.0334 (-1.043) 0.00906 (0.314) 0.131* (1.880) 0.00181 (0.587) 0.0450*** (4.264) -0.0113 (-0.897) -0.00308 (-0.278) -0.0248* (-1.682) -0.0323* (-1.777) -0.00290 (-0.267) 0.0142 (0.176) -0.0237 (-0.829) 0.00836 (1.063) -0.0385 (-1.028) 0.00969** (2.204) -0.00199 (-0.0420) -0.0123 (-0.288) -0.0805 (-1.007) 0.000764 (0.180) 0.0525*** (3.554) -0.0274 (-1.527) 0.0200 (1.296) -0.0174 (-0.889) -0.0336 (-1.487) 0.00534 (0.425) 0.00441 (0.0427) 0.0162 (0.394) 0.0131 (1.139) 0.0213 (0.407) 0.01000* (1.930) -0.0203 (-0.324) -0.0184 (-0.321) 0.181* (1.664) -0.00774 (-1.344) 0.0270 (1.387) -0.00670 (-0.278) 0.00598 (0.288) -0.0387 (-1.477) -0.0253 (-0.760) 0.0211 (1.001) 0.0144 (0.106) -0.00133 (-0.0257) 0.0113 (0.771) 0.00161 (0.0898) -0.00448* (-1.712) 0.00980 (0.495) 0.00398 (0.223) 0.0937* (1.666) 0.00120 (0.546) -0.0255*** (-3.420) -0.0126 (-1.399) 0.0754*** (7.108) 0.0213** (2.188) 0.0319** (1.984) -0.0192 (-1.385) -0.0202 (-0.344) -0.0290 (-1.139) 0.000824 (0.155) 0.0363 (1.351) -1.42e-05 (-0.00374) 0.0429 (1.101) -0.0102 (-0.319) 0.00372 (0.0596) 0.00899*** (2.814) 0.0214* (1.886) -0.0291** (-2.086) -0.00711 (-0.596) 0.139*** (7.627) 0.00967 (0.577) -0.00180 (-0.161) -0.0639 (-0.774) -0.00845 (-0.255) -0.00722 (-0.917) 0.0125 (0.519) -0.00376 (-1.149) 0.0369 (1.117) 0.00674 (0.237) 0.0909 (1.519) 0.00676** (2.294) -0.00753 (-0.778) -0.0322*** (-2.740) 0.0481*** (3.817) 0.120*** (7.862) 0.0305* (1.646) -0.0127 (-0.842) -0.0723 (-1.093) -0.0193 (-0.582) -0.00752 (-0.989) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant Observations Note: 0.319 (0.378) 0.133 (0.427) -0.114 (-0.167) 0.561*** (3.544) 0.336 (0.422) 0.00248 (0.00980) -0.0870 (-0.129) 0.651*** (3.447) 1.791** (2.236) -0.477 (-1.180) -1.209** (-2.206) 1.113*** (2.638) 0.610 (0.522) -0.767 (-1.471) 0.232 (0.221) 1.490 (1.195) 0.252 (0.120) 0.222 (0.167) 0.112 (0.0635) 1.959* (1.870) 0.822** (2.043) -0.304** (-2.324) -0.763** (-2.230) 0.459 (1.083) 0.959 (1.152) -0.579 (-1.169) -1.290*** (-2.687) 0.637*** (2.793) 0.752 (0.693) -0.0688 (-0.103) -0.477 (-0.860) 0.564 (0.989) 0.103 (1.017) -0.0273 (-0.418) 0.0369 (0.598) 0.0194 (0.264) 0.746 (1.135) -0.0102 (-0.128) -0.0192 (-0.237) 0.482 (1.186) 0.797 (1.169) -0.0184 (-0.411) 0.0340 (0.740) 0.275 (1.045) -0.167 (-0.226) -0.382 (-0.459) -0.902 (-1.117) -0.835 (-1.036) -0.742 (-0.748) -0.00119 (-0.00120) 3,021 -0.599 (-0.937) -0.740 (-0.968) -1.083 (-1.534) -0.968 (-1.337) -1.026 (-1.109) 0.208 (0.228) 3,021 -1.169** (-2.364) -1.361** (-1.963) -0.906 (-1.557) -0.891 (-1.279) -2.036*** (-2.877) 1.403** (2.402) 3,021 -1.708 (-1.345) -2.472* (-1.801) -0.242 (-0.189) -0.570 (-0.382) -0.625 (-0.397) 0.0435 (0.0403) 3,021 -4.075*** (-3.356) -2.730** (-2.296) -2.418** (-2.359) -3.323** (-2.175) -2.533 (-1.379) 0.373 (0.203) 3,021 -0.484 (-0.914) -0.380 (-0.673) -0.172 (-0.346) -0.281 (-0.471) -0.910 (-1.581) 0.495 (1.217) 3,021 -0.0931 (-0.237) -0.502 (-1.349) 0.577 (0.954) 0.301 (0.596) -0.936* (-1.797) 0.782 (1.511) 3,021 -0.411 (-0.518) -0.305 (-0.343) -0.479 (-0.570) -0.348 (-0.347) -0.706 (-0.909) 0.115 (0.196) 3,021 -0.0259 (-0.239) -0.0530 (-0.465) -0.552 (-0.855) 0.0108 (0.129) -0.0126 (-0.118) -0.0750 (-0.695) 3,021 -0.813 (-1.511) -0.478 (-1.146) -0.515 (-1.263) -0.507 (-1.246) -0.448 (-1.076) -0.0984 (-0.880) 3,021 -0.599 (-1.362) -0.287 (-1.042) -0.401 (-1.130) -0.286 (-1.056) -0.242 (-0.880) -0.131 (-1.404) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively APPENDIX 7.8 Impact of HS1A and the Role of Microcredit – Without VFE VARIABLES HS1A (β1) HS1A*CR (β2) MARI GENDER ETHI GRAD SIZE SFEM SAGE1 SAGE3 LAND1 LAND2 HOME POOR INSU EINC TINC TCON ECON HCON FCON NCFD NCFA CHILD OLD NWW -0.00882 (-0.292) 0.000469 (0.120) 0.0365 (0.877) 0.0655* (1.852) 0.122*** (3.060) -0.00211 (-0.606) 0.0322** (2.518) -0.00780 (-0.549) -0.0214* (-1.646) -0.0596*** (-3.204) -0.0371** (-2.187) 0.00299 (0.330) -0.0796 (-0.892) -0.0457 (-1.310) -0.00516 (-0.627) -0.0169 (-0.661) 0.000326 (0.0977) -0.00809 (-0.232) 0.0723** (2.363) 0.123*** (3.452) -0.00458 (-1.552) -0.0151 (-1.354) 0.0161 (1.230) -0.0129 (-1.083) -0.0437*** (-2.909) -0.0313* (-1.951) 0.00497 (0.572) -0.0179 (-0.250) -0.0557* (-1.940) 0.00160 (0.213) 0.0669** (2.299) 0.000632 (0.214) 0.0230 (0.570) 0.00780 (0.215) 0.0701* (1.791) -0.0107*** (-3.179) -0.0347*** (-2.836) -0.00184 (-0.121) -0.00956 (-0.723) -0.0559*** (-3.236) -0.00118 (-0.0672) 0.00742 (0.622) 0.0177 (0.210) -0.00891 (-0.276) 0.0203** (2.450) 0.0832* (1.761) -0.00357 (-0.546) -0.0439 (-0.666) -0.0450 (-0.730) -0.0370 (-0.574) 0.00701 (1.226) -0.0205 (-0.951) -0.0141 (-0.555) 0.247*** (10.57) -0.0199 (-0.745) -0.0540 (-1.559) -0.0201 (-0.780) 0.0823 (0.543) -0.0968* (-1.822) 0.0212 (1.459) 0.313*** (5.919) 0.0127** (2.304) 0.116 (1.418) -0.0165 (-0.231) -0.0378 (-0.459) -0.000937 (-0.133) -0.00167 (-0.0661) -0.0339 (-1.118) 0.00756 (0.274) 0.0301 (0.878) 0.0403 (1.122) -0.0559** (-2.126) -0.281 (-1.465) 0.0164 (0.237) 0.0347** (1.990) 0.0138 (0.682) 0.000263 (0.145) -0.0257 (-0.839) 0.0113 (0.409) 0.0312 (1.127) -0.00239 (-0.986) 0.0371*** (4.076) -0.00937 (-0.870) -0.000446 (-0.0478) -0.0380*** (-2.977) -0.00540 (-0.392) -0.00887 (-0.916) 0.00438 (0.0679) -0.0203 (-0.838) 0.0145** (2.347) -0.0218 (-0.783) 0.00832*** (2.765) -0.0440 (-1.066) 0.00162 (0.0438) 0.0296 (0.692) -0.000184 (-0.0541) 0.0441*** (3.536) -0.00763 (-0.507) 0.0234* (1.790) -0.0284* (-1.688) -0.00774 (-0.431) -0.00505 (-0.391) -0.0415 (-0.481) 0.0112 (0.324) 0.0145 (1.587) 0.0479 (1.295) 0.00388 (1.119) 0.00795 (0.154) -0.0343 (-0.743) 0.122** (2.425) -0.00913** (-2.071) 0.0387** (2.422) -0.00659 (-0.332) -0.00294 (-0.170) -0.0526** (-2.381) -0.0186 (-0.745) 0.0142 (0.778) 0.0283 (0.264) 0.0288 (0.677) 0.00273 (0.253) -0.00417 (-0.289) -0.00228 (-0.980) -0.0107 (-0.661) -0.00194 (-0.142) 0.0173 (0.887) 0.00322* (1.733) -0.0218*** (-3.559) -0.0139* (-1.915) 0.0706*** (7.747) 0.0225*** (3.074) 0.00331 (0.282) -0.00634 (-0.656) 0.0275 (0.664) -0.0151 (-0.742) -0.00258 (-0.600) 0.0117 (0.563) -0.000824 (-0.253) 0.0630* (1.765) -0.0355 (-1.187) -0.0415 (-1.427) 0.00592** (2.349) 0.0118 (1.326) -0.0157 (-1.566) -0.00382 (-0.414) 0.118*** (7.215) -0.00764 (-0.555) 0.00430 (0.392) -0.0399 (-0.913) 0.00606 (0.230) -0.00528 (-0.878) -0.000247 (-0.0134) -0.00216 (-0.846) 0.0395 (1.411) -0.0219 (-0.914) 0.00135 (0.0520) 0.00704*** (2.974) -0.0108 (-1.468) -0.0279*** (-3.277) 0.0483*** (4.979) 0.107*** (8.165) -0.00146 (-0.108) -0.00207 (-0.181) 0.00311 (0.0623) -0.00739 (-0.285) -0.00617 (-1.156) CO135 COFAR ROAD IMARK REGI1 is based REGI2 REGI3 REGI4 REGI5 REGI6 Constant Observations Note: 0.0313 (0.914) 0.0627** (2.022) 0.00856 (0.233) -0.0341 (-1.457) 0.0275 (0.896) 0.0545** (1.983) 0.0147 (0.451) -0.0163 (-0.787) 0.00598 (0.165) 0.0294 (0.932) -0.00456 (-0.116) 0.0241 (1.041) 0.0418 (0.680) 0.0448 (0.848) 0.0466 (0.683) -0.0161 (-0.419) 0.0234 (0.306) -0.0374 (-0.575) 0.0553 (0.668) -0.0404 (-0.872) 0.00724 (0.295) 0.0387* (1.711) 0.0241 (0.894) -0.00860 (-0.530) -0.0838** (-2.404) 0.110*** (3.479) -0.0450 (-1.159) 0.0455** (1.981) 0.0146 (0.309) 0.0228 (0.564) 0.0197 (0.393) 0.0290 (0.969) 0.00597 (0.287) -0.00422 (-0.256) 0.0282 (1.129) -0.00478 (-0.424) 0.00737 (0.270) 0.00882 (0.399) 0.0276 (0.966) -0.0148 (-0.907) 0.0244 (0.918) 0.00337 (0.158) 0.0538* (1.901) -0.0264* (-1.713) -0.0442 (-1.067) -0.0321 (-0.924) 0.115** (2.221) -0.0646 (-1.306) -0.0416 (-1.047) 0.0249 (0.216) 3,021 -0.0428 (-1.167) -0.0129 (-0.445) 0.120*** (2.640) -0.0746* (-1.833) -0.0758** (-2.300) 0.126 (1.350) 3,021 0.0330 (0.843) -0.0241 (-0.732) 0.0157 (0.304) -0.0280 (-0.624) -0.104*** (-2.849) 0.139 (1.241) 3,021 0.000269 (0.00414) 0.0203 (0.387) 0.0727 (0.917) 0.000423 (0.00569) 0.0679 (1.138) -0.143 (-0.759) 3,021 -0.0839 (-1.041) -0.113* (-1.766) -0.117 (-1.123) -0.136 (-1.566) -0.0764 (-1.091) 0.156 (0.648) 3,021 -0.0597** (-2.179) -0.0800*** (-3.356) -0.116*** (-3.132) -0.00227 (-0.0623) -0.138*** (-5.458) -0.0163 (-0.197) 3,021 -0.0448 (-1.089) -0.105*** (-3.167) -0.0943* (-1.885) -0.0222 (-0.495) -0.146*** (-3.896) 0.0165 (0.143) 3,021 0.0730 (1.396) -0.0358 (-0.834) 0.0309 (0.455) 0.0600 (1.042) -0.0802* (-1.701) -0.189 (-1.361) 3,021 -0.0263 (-1.539) -0.0131 (-1.020) -0.0495** (-2.267) -0.00326 (-0.204) -0.00488 (-0.312) -0.0407 (-0.745) 3,021 -0.00176 (-0.0626) -0.00470 (-0.196) -0.00861 (-0.246) -0.0115 (-0.451) 0.0199 (0.766) -0.00855 (-0.132) 3,021 -0.0295 (-1.143) -0.0152 (-0.694) -0.0273 (-0.879) -0.0132 (-0.538) 0.0186 (0.789) -0.0567 (-0.843) 3,021 T-statistics in parentheses *, **, and ***: significant at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively 228 APPENDIX 8.1 Access to Credit by Poverty status Source Microcredit Non-microcredit Formal Informal Any Sources Total NTP Commune No Yes 401 484 (45.3%) (54.7%) 1005 891 (53.0%) (47.0%) 975 933 (51.1%) (48.9%) 487 480 (50.4%) (49.6%) 1355 1299 (51.1%) (48.9%) 3849 3239 (54.3%) (45.7%) Poverty Status No Yes 649 236 (73.3%) (26.7%) 1496 400 (78.9%) (21.1%) 1468 440 (76.9%) (23.1%) 755 212 (78.1%) (21.9%) 2058 596 (77.5%) (22.5%) 5514 1574 (77.8%) (22.2%) Total 885 (100%) 1896 (100%) 1908 (100%) 967 (100%) 2654 (100%) 7088 (100%) APPENDIX 8.2 Difficulties in Accessing to Agricultural Input (Seed, Fertilizers) Difficulties No difficulties Lack of suppliers Prices too high Not enough information Not able to buy on credit Not enough access to credit Poor transport infrastructure Other Difficulties Total Non-adopters Adopters Whole Sample % No No % No % 305 63.7% 1,424 72.7% 1729 70.9% 18 3.8% 84 4.3% 102 4.2% 37 7.7% 217 11.1% 254 10.4% 16 3.3% 55 2.8% 71 2.9% 15 3.1% 73 3.7% 88 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 10 0.4% 76 15.9% 97 5.0% 173 7.1% 1.3% 0.3% 11 0.5% 479 100.0% 1,959 100.0% 2,438 100.0% ... evidence for the local authorities, policy-makers and practitioners to recognize and understand the role of microcredit in fostering investment and then improving living standard of the rural households. .. whether to adopt the improved varieties There have been limited number of studies on the decision of farmers in the two stages, including whether to adopt and intensity of adoption In Vietnam, there...MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ***** Pham Tien Thanh MICROCREDIT AND WELFARE OF THE RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN VIETNAM Major: Development