CHAU IMY NGAY NAY SO 01-2020 29 CHINH TRI - LUAT KHUNG HOANG CHINH TRI Of KHU VUC MY LATINH Nguyen Nliam Tom tat: Tic ddu ndm den nay, bdt on chinh tri, nguy ca hdn loan dang lan truyin khdp khu vuc My Latinh tit nude nhd din nuac lan Venezuela dang trdi qua mot cuoc khiing hoang chinh tri vd kinh ti keo ddi: cuu tong thdng Bolivia ddphdi sang Mexico ti nan chinh tri sau cugc bdu cii tong thong: Chile bgo logn trudc thim Thugng dinh APEC: phe ddi lap a Paraguay mudn bdt ddu mot qud trinh ludn toi chdng lai tdng thong Ddy Id nhihig ddu hieu rdt khd kiem sodt, di ddy khu vuc vdo nhimg vong xody nguy hiem, khiin giai nghien cim vd du ludn dac biet quan tdm Tren ca sd ddnh gid thuc trgng vd nguyin nhdn ddn din tinh trgng bdt on chinh tri khu vuc, bdi viit dd de cgp din mot sd gidi phap dang dugc quan tdm hien Tir khoa: khu vuc My Latinh, bdt 6n, chinh tri Bat on chinh tri co nguy ca lan rong Cang thang chinh tri tai Venezuela bung phat khung hoang dau nam 2019, ong Juan Guaido tuyen bo khong cong nhan quyen lanh dao cua T6ng thong Nicolas Maduro, dong thoi tu ximg la tdng thong lam thai cua Venezuela Cu6i thang 4/2019, ong Guaido phat dong mot cuoc dao chinh Tuy nhien, ke hoach da khong cong ong khong thuyet phuc dugc quan doi dung ve phia minh Cac cupc biSu tinh phan doi Chinh phu T6ng th6ng Maduro bat dau tai Caracas va mot s6 khac ciia Venezuela vao 30/4/2019 sau mot nhom binh si diing yh phia thii linh phe doi lap Juan Guaido Hon 300 nguai bi thucmg va nguai thiet mang cac cupc dung dp giua nguoi bieu tinh va lire lupng an ninh chinh phii Tong thong Maduro da chi trich ong Guaido, cao buoc lanh dao doi lap hanh dong theo chi dao cua My nham muc tieu lat tong thong duong nhiem va chiem giir kho dau mo ciia Venezuela Tir den hai ben da tham gia cac vong dam phan Na Uy lam trung gian, nhung mdi chi dat duac thoa thuan dau tien ve viec lap mot co quan doi thoai thucmg true nham tirng butjc giai quyet bat dong chinh tri Phe doi lap tuyen bo muon cac cupc dam phan phai dua toi ket qua la ong Maduro tir chirc Trong 30 Tong thong duang nhiem Maduro, tuyen bo chinh quyen Venezuela coi mo v(M phucmg an thuang lupng vai cac nhom doi lap Chile tir lau tir hao la "oc dao binh yen" dang phai doi mat vol lan song hon loan ldn nhSt k€ tir nam 1990, din dgn viec Tdng thong Chile phai huy bo viec dang cai to chiic Hoi nghi Thuong dinh Dien dan Hop tac Kinh ti chau A - Thai Binh Duong (APEC) lan thu 31 va Hoi ngh) vS bien d6i hau cua Lien Hop Quoc (COP-25) Ly la sir gia tang gia phuong tien giao thong cong cong vao giir cao diem va tien dien vao dau thang 10/2019 Hang ngan nguoi xuong ducmg bieu tinh gay te liet thii Santiago, khien it nhat 18 ngucri thiet mang, hang tram ngucri bi thuang va hon 1.000 nguoi bj bat giir' Chinh phu Chile da phai chap nhan mot nhimg doi hoi cua ngucri bieu tinh la thong bao trung cau dan y ve HiSn phap moi Tai Paraguay, nhimg cupc bieu tinh lejn ch6ng lai T6ng thong Mario Abdo vi mot thoa thuan voi Brazil ve Nha may Thuy dien Itaipu bi cho la xam hai Ipi ich quoc gia Vcii vi6c chinh phu chi dat 31% tin nhiem, phe doi lap muon bat dau mot qua trinh luan toi chong l£ii t6ng thong Trong do, Chii tich Ha vien Paraguay tuyen b6: "Chiing toi khong chap nhan luan toi tong thong, tiep tuc trao quyen iiiu hanh cho tong thong va mang lai sir yen tmh cho ngucri dan" Tinh hinh Bolivia dien bien phirc tap sau T6ng thong Evo Morales CHAU MY NGAY NAY ngucri da giil chirc t6ng thong gan 14 nam, gianh chien thing tai vong cupc bau cii 20/10/2019 Tuy nhien To chirc cac quoc gia chau My (GAS) - ca quan giam sat bau cu, thong bao da CO nhirng "hanh vi thao bing" bau cir, khuyen nghi hiiy bo ket qua va to chirc vong bau cir tiep theo Ong Morales da bac bo va tuyen b6 nham chiic nhiem ky thir tu, mot dong thai khien nguai dan phan no, xu6ng ducmg bilu tinh Ngay 12/11/2019, cmi T6ng thSng Bolivia Evo Morales phai tir chuc va chay sang Mexico tj nan chinh tri Tuy nhien, ong Morales khang dinh day la am muu chSng lai nen dan chu va la mot cupc dao chinh Chinh truong Peru ciing dang roi vao khung hoang mau thuSn giOa T6ng thong Martin Vizcarra vtji phe doi lap dang kiem soat Quoc hoi Dinh di6m la viec ong Martin Vizcarra tuyen b6 giai lan Quoc hoi de t6 chirc tong tuySn cii Slim, nhimg cac nha lap phap da tir ch6i roi nghi vien bdt chip cac cupc bilu tinh chong lai ho n6 tren khSp d& nuac Ong Vizcarra cao buoc Dang Dan ve (Popular Force), mot dang da s6 d6i lap cuu ling cu vien T6ng thdng Keiko Fujimori lanh dao, da c6 gang sii dung cac the che dan chii d6 true lai ca nhan Nghi vien b6 phi6u tuyta b6 ong Vizcarra tam thdi bi dmh chi chu:c vu, va chpn Phd Chu tich Mercedes Araoz 6& len thay thS ong Nhung nhirng n6 luc cua hp la v6 hieu, vi Qudc hoi da chinh thiic bj giai tan Trong dd, CHAU MY NGAY NAY S 01-2020 nhiJng ngudi biSu tinh ben ngoai toa nha Quoc hoi d Lima va cac khac tren ca nude ilng ho viec giai tan Quoc hoi cua ong Vizcarra, gSy ap lire len cac nha lap phap buoc hp phai rdi nghi vien Cac nha lap phap cho rang ong Vizcarra da vupt qua gidi ban v6 mat Hi& phap Cuu nghi sT Jorge del Castillo ndi: "Ong Vizcarra va cac bp trudng cua ong se phai ngdi tu Chirng toi se dupe luu danh sur sach!" Tai Ecuador Tdng thdng Lenin Moreno quyet dinh ngirng tra cap nhien lieu mdt thda thuan vdi Quy Tien te Qudc te (IIVEF), gia nhien lieu tang vpt khien cudc bidu tinh lan rong lam te het mdt phan dat nude, chinh quyen nude phai chuyin khdi thu Tdng thdng Moreno da cao budc nguoi tien nhiem cua minh dirng dang sau cac cudc biSu tinh, ca vien tro dupe ndi lai Ngudi dan Colombia cung dd xudng dudng Santiago phan ddi, yeu cau Tdng thdng Ivan Duque tir chure, nhudng chd cho nha lanh dao khac hieu qua hon Nhiing can benh "trim kha" keo dai nhiiu nam d khu vuc My Latinh nhu tham nhiing, tdi pham cac loai lan tran Venezuela tiSp tuc la qudc gia cd muc dp tham nhung cao nhit My Latinh, ttong cac cudc khiing hoang chinh tri, xa hdi va kinh ti cita dit nude cang diln manh me, tham nhung vin tiip tuc tdn tai Tai Haiti, cac cudc bilu tinh ddi Tdng thdng Haiti 31 Jovenel Moise tir chirc vi cd lien quan dBn kd hoach tham d cac khoan tien vien tro tir Venezuela Tdng thdng Honduras Juan Orlando Hernandez ciing phai ddi mat vdi cac tdi tham nhiing Tdi pham ma va toi pham cd td chiic dang la vin nan nghiem trpng d khu vuc My Latinh Bit chap nd lire nhieu nam ciia nhieu nude My Latinh, cae bang dang tdi pham vin phat triin manh va cang cd xu hudng bao luc hem Uruguay da trd mot trung tam budn ban ma toan ciu nhirng nam gan day, vdi cac bang dang tdi pham boat dong chat chS vdi d ca Nam My va chau Au Mexico xung ddt giOa cac bang dang budn ban ma da khiln hon 30.000 ngudi thiet mang nam 2018 Nhimg nguyen nhan chii yeu Sir suy giam cua nen kinh te toan cau cung nhu cSng thing thucmg mai giira cac nen kinh te ldn the gidi da va dang tac ddng tieu cue den nin kinh te cac nude My Latinh vdn phu thudc vao viec xuit khau cac nguyen Ueu, nhien lieu thd vl ndng san va cac hang hda khac Ciing vdi do, su tranh gianh anh hudng cua mdt sd cudng qudc, dSc biet la tac ddng cua chinh quyen My viec gia tang ap lire, can thiep ddi vdi cac chinh phii canh ta cua cae nude khu vuc cQng la nhan to gdp phin gia tang bat on khu vuc Tuy nhien, day chi la su tac ddng ben ngoai ddi vdi tinh hinh chinh tri ndi bd khu vuc My Latinh 32 SO 01-2020 Nguyen nhan ndi tai cua tinh trang bat on dinh d khu vuc My Latinh mudn mau mudn ve nhung deu ed ngudn gdc tir nhOng van de chung nhat, dd la nhirng khd khan vl kinh te, tinh trang no nude ngoai keo dai nhieu nam, nhiing that bai eua cac chinh sach kinh te - xa hdi cua nhieu chinh phu, bat binh ding xa hdi, tinh trang tham nhung va mat Idng tin ve chinh tri Sau thdi ky tang trudng cao, kinh te khu vuc My Latinh bi roi vao dinh tre nhiing nam gin day IMF dir doan kinh te khu vuc My Latinh ehi tang trudng 0,2% nam nay, thip nhit cac Idiu vuc trSn the gidi, tham chi nhiiu nen kinh tl khu virc roi vao suy thoai^ Uy ban Kinh te Lien Hpp Qudc ve My Latmh va Caribbean (ECLAC) hdi thang 7/2019 da giam du bao xudng edn 0,5%, thap ban so vdi mire 1,3% lan du bao gan day Ba qudc gia tang midng am la Venezuela (-23%), Nicaragua (-5%) va Argentina (-1,8%)' Nhiing nha lanh dao chu chdt d My Latinh da mac nhieu sai lam viec cim quyen Nhieu dang canh ta My Latinh khdng edn phan dinh ro ranh gidi giila mong mudn cua ea nhan lanh dao, loi ich cita dang, va loi ich cua cac doanh nghiep, tap doan nha nude Hau hit cac nha lanh dao deu cd gang thay ddi hiln phap, nham cho phep ban than cd thi tai cu Dieu lam cho cac chuang trinh nghj sir bi gidi han va xoay quanh loi ich ca nhan, thay vi thue diy mdt ke hoach phat trien toan dien CHAU MY NGAY NAY dat nude khien long tin cila ngudi dan ddi vdi chinh quyen va cac chinh tri gia cang suy giam Tinh trang bat binh ding xa hdi tai My Latinh tir lau da la van de nan giai cua ca khu vuc He qua cua nd khdng gidi ban linh vuc kinh tl, ma da lan sang cac lihh vuc khac, anh hudng tieu cue tdi dn dinh chinh tri - xa hdi Ngay ca tai Chile, vdn dupe coi la "hinh mau" cho cac nude khac hpc tap, cung da am i nhieu van de xa hdi Ngoai bat binh ve gia ve phucmg tien cong cong, ngudi dan Chile edn bat binh ve hieu qua ciia viec dau tu cho giao due va y tl, luong huu thap bi cac edng ty tu nhan cd quan he vdi chinh phu thao tiing, nhat la khoang each giau ngheo cang tang (thu nhap cua nhdm 10% ngudi giau nhat cao gap 40 lan so vdi nhdm 10% ngucd cd thu nhap thip xa hpi) Bat dn chinh tri tai My Latinh mdt phan cung la nhieu qudc gia tai khu vuc thieu cac eo quan quan ly va he thdng tu phap doc idp, manh me, lam cho van nan tham nhung tran lan Tdi pham ma tiiy va tdi pham cd td chiic dang tdn tai song hanh vdi cac nin chinh tri va tao nen cac chinh quyin dinh liu tdi pham ma tuy, lam kiet que cac ngudn tai nguyen, tdn hai din eac ngudn diu tu va lam ngheo hda mdt bd ph^n dan chung, khiln hp xudng dudng bieu tinh gay ap lire nhim thay ddi chinh quyin hoae ddi cac chinh tri gia dinh dang din tham nhung, tdi pham ma tit chirc CHAU MY NGAY NAY Van de dang bao dpng la cac chinh tri gia dudng nhu ed quyin "miln trir", tim moi each dl trdn tranh phap luat Sir phan irng hien cua dan chiing d My Latinh la the hien r6 rang hp khdng the dl mit cac quyen co ban, cung nhu ddi hdi cac chinh quyen hoan thien eac nghia vu cua minh O mdt so qudc gia, cac chinh tri gia ciing td chirc cae cudc bieu tinh chdng l?i ngudi dan nhim phan tan sir chii y cua hp, che day cae hanh dpng ehinh tri md am eiia minh Bit dn tai My Latinh edn xuit phat tir su ddi khang rat quyet liet giOa cac lire lupng canh ta va canh hiru cac nude ddi vdi cac van de phat triin kinh tl - xa hdi, vin de edng bang xS hdi, phan ting xa hdi va bit binh ding, hay nilm tin xa hdi Bit chip nhiing diln biln philc tap hien nay, cac nha lanh dao phe canh ta va phe canh hiiru tim each bien nhiing cudc khiing hoang chiin dja dl diu da nhau, uy tin lin nhau, cao budc ddi phuang la ke dimg sau gay tinh trang bit dn Ben canh dd, sir chia re, phan hda chinh trj sau sic cua cac nude My Latinh da lam suy ylu kha nang giai quyit hieu qua nhiing thach thirc anh hudng din khu vuc ndi chung Khi chinh phu canh ta d Venezuela, Mexico, Nicaragua, Cuba va Argentina deu cd eiing quan diim ve viec Tdng thdng Bolivia Evo Morales bi lat dd la bit hpp phap Trai lai cae nha lanh dao canh hilu d nhiiu nude edn lai cho ring viec dng Morales phai tir chirc la mdt chiin thing 33 Ngoai ra, cac phuang tien truyin thdng va mang xS hdi d cae nude khu vuc duac phe ddi lap hau thuin, da thdng tin phien dien, thilu trung thuc vl cac van de xa hdi, chi tap trung khai thac nhiing khia canh tieu cue, ehi trich nhiing van de tdn tai, tham chi bop meo, tuyen truyen sai lech, xuyen tac, bdi nhp hinh anh ciia cae nha lanh dao, nhim muc dich gay mat long tin cua ngucri dan, tim moi each phii nhan nhiing mat tich cue ma chinh quyen lam dupe Tham ehi edn ehi tien va cau ket vdi cac mang xa hdi de true loi cac chuyen gia dir bao cho rang, xu hudng cac mau thuan xa hdi se dien cang gay gat htm, sit ddi khang giOa lire lupng canh ta va canh hilu ciia cac qudc gia se tiep tuc diln quyit MSt, cac bat dn ehinh tri se cang gia tang, gay bat loi cho tuong lai khu vuc My Latinh Sir that bai cua mdt sd chinh quyen canh ta se gay khd khan hon cho chinh quyen canh ta cua eac nude edn lai Sir chia re, phan hoa giOa cac nude khu vuc eiing se tiip diln Day ciing la ca hdi thuan loi de eac the lire ben ngoai gia tang bien phap bao vay, cim van, phong toa va can thiep chdng pha chinh phii canh ta tai cac nude Nhirng giai phap dang Suae quan tam Mot ld,ii han che tinh trang hdn loan hien nay, chinh phii cac nude My Latinh cin tranh sii dung siic manh qua mire va tinh trang bao luc cua luc lupng canh sat 34 S 01-2020 cac cudc bieu tinh Chang h£in d Chile, ehinh quyin Tdng thdng Sebastian Pinera ban bd mdt loat bien phap siSt chat an ninh, lire lupng canh sat diing ca xe bpc thep va hoi cay dl tran ap, dan den ngudi bieu tinh bi thiet mang, bi thucmg va hang nghin ngudi bi bat gin, khien cho bao luc lan rpng tai nhieu phd ldn Ngay 8/11/2019, sau mdt tuin thi sat khu vuc, phai doan gdm chuyen gia ddc lap eua Lien Hpp Qudc da ldn an vide su dimg sOtc manh qua miic va tinh trang bao lire cua lire lupng canh sat cac cudc bieu tinh Nhdm chuyen gia canh bao, bao lire khdng thi la cau tra idi cho cae yeu cau xa hpi va chinh tri eiia ngudi dan; nhdn manh sd ngudi bi thuang cao va viec sil dung tran lan vii khdng sat thuang da vupt qua nhu ciu giir gin trat tu, miic dp hpp ly va cac yeu cau ve nhan quyen Chinh phu cin dam bao tit ca ngudi dan dupe hudng quyin loi chinh dang cua minh, bao gdm ca quyen bilu tinh va dupe bao ve trudc cac hanh vi bao lire CHAU MY NGAY NAY Chang ban, chinh sach nai long tien te va dau tu edng rim rp cua nhiiu nude My Latinh, vdn ehi dua vao ngSn sach tir viee xuat khau dau thd, da phan tac dung gia dau xudng thap dot ngpt gay giam manh ngudn thu ngan sach, dan den ehinh phu khdng edn kha nang chi tra cho cac du an va chuang trmh phiic Ipi xa hpi nhu trudng hpp ciia Venezuela Argentina ap dung nhimg chinh sach nhim lam giam sir mit can ddi nin kinh te, nhung lai din den kim hSm nhu ciu tieu dimg nude; chinh sach nhap khiu md eira qua miic bdi canh cac nude cang uu tien cac bien phap bao hd; hay viee lo?ii bd cac khoan hd trp eho Imh v\re nang lupng khien cho cac loai chi phi tang cao, khien nude se tang trudng am nam 2019, theo nhu du bao cua IMF Trong dd, kinh te Mexico s6 ehi tang trudng 2,1%, giam dang kl so vdi sd udc tinh dua trudc dd, diu tu tu nhan tai qudc gia Trung My giam' Nhiing hien tuong nhu thily trilu de dpa nganh ngu nghiep eiia Chile, Hat Id, nin kinh tl cac nude My hay d nhilm khdng khdi xe tji thii Latinh v6n phu thudc nhieu vao viec xuit dd ciia Mexico la hau qua cua md hmh khiu eac nguyen lieu, nhien lieu thd vl phat triin khdng phii hpp, vdn ehu ylu ndng san va cac hang hda khac Nhiing dua vao boat ddng khai thac va sii dung cai each nude 4upc cho la dpng luc nhien lieu hda thach tang trudng kinh tl d khu vuc Tuy Cac ehuydn gia kinh t l cho ring, vin nhien, nhiing quyit sach kinh te d cac nhiing khd khan edn hien hilu cimg qudc gia dang lam cho khoang each nhiing thach thiic d phia trudc, cac nin giau - 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Vugt qua "ke thu" gucfng Ngay 21/10/2019 httpV/tapchimattran.vn: Nhung thdch thiic mdi ciia cugc chien ch6ng tham nhung a khu vuc My Utinh Ngdy 9/7/2018 ... ban so vdi mire 1,3% lan du bao gan day Ba qudc gia tang midng am la Venezuela (-2 3%), Nicaragua (-5 %) va Argentina (-1 ,8%)'' Nhiing nha lanh dao chu chdt d My Latinh da mac nhieu sai lam viec cim... 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