Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Available online at www.sciencedirect.com PhysicsProcedia00(2011)000–000 Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia 2012InternationalConferenceonAppliedPhysicsandIndustrialEngineering DiscussionofPlanningandOperatingofChongmingQianwei Village’sNongjialetourismsite QingqingGUO,MinLIU* According to the sufficient market research the paper put forward the Construction and operation of Chongming Qianwei village Nongjiale tour website completed the Building program of this Business Website. Through needs analysisandfeasibilityanalysis,thispaperproposedbusinessmodelforthetargetsystem,transactionmode,revenue modelandcompetitiveedge.OpeningofthebridgewhichcontactShanghaiandChongming,comingoftheshanghai expo; will bring the growth of passenger traffic of chongming's tourism industry. This article is based on this background, discussing the exploitation and plan of tour website of ChongMing, Enhancing the Popularity and CompetitivenessofChongming’sTourism. under responsibility of ICAPIE Organization Committee © 2011 Published by Elsevier B.V Selection and/or peer-review ©2011PublishedbyElsevierLtd.Selectionand/orpeerreviewunderresponsibilityof[nameorganizer] Keywords:Qianweivillage,livinginthefarmhouse,tourwebsite,ChongmingTourism,ProjectPlanning Sinceenteringthe21stcentury,Electr1oniccommerceisboomingaroundtheworld.Thepaceofits development makes people hard to believe. Electronic commerce will bring new opportunities for the developmentofallwalksoflife. 2010WorldExpowillbeheldinShanghai.Accordingtothestatisticaldataofthepassengerflow volume of the Previous Expo, the passenger flow volume of the 2010 shanghai Expo will be about 40 millionpeopleaday.ShanghaiWorldExpowillbeaperiodof184days,passengerflowisexpectedto totalatleast73millionpassengers.Estimatethattheequaledwitheachpassingdaypassengerflowgoing sightseeing may reach 4000 people retinue according to 1%'s proportion, to Chongming’s tour, In *Correspondingauthor 1875-3892 © 2011 Published by Elsevier B.V Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of ICAPIE Organization Committee doi:10.1016/j.phpro.2012.02.243 1650 Qingqing GUO and Min LIU / Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 accordancewithafurther2%oftheproportionofindependenttravelChongmingdailyvisitorscanreach 80peopleatthesametimeastheirmeetingtime,dayselftourofthetrafficwillincrease. Through the data, it can be see that Shanghai's Expo will bring enormous business opportunities to tourism of Chongming. As the only county of shanghai, Chongming has beautiful scenery, Unique customs, Characteristicsof farmaccommodation,andManySpeciallocalproducts,Isagoodplacefor tourist,vacationandshopping. Qianwei Village has two hundred and twenty eight permanent farmers, Population 753.It has been named as one of the five hundred best global ecological villages. The tourist routes, with local characteristics, loved by tourists. As a sign of Chongming Tourism, Qianwei Village have received hundredsofthousandsofpeople,Formorethantwo years.Accordingtostatistics, Closetohalfofthe tourists to Chongming would choose to experience the QianWei Village's Farm tours, buy farm specialties.NongjialealmostbecomeamodeltourismprojectinChongming. According to concerned parties, compared with the same period last year Chongming’s passenger flowincreasedby15%in march.Thefirstquarterofthis year,Chongming’stourismenterprises have totalreceived107,051people,achievedthedirecttourismincomeof36501100Yuan,comparedwiththe sameperiodlastyearincreased5%and3%,bringabout146.0044millionYuanoftourismrevenue. ShownonthequestionnaireaccomplishedbytouristsandLocalspecialproductssuppliersin2008 73.5%ofrespondentsinthesurveysaidthattheyareStronginterestedinChongming’sNongjiale. 6.7%ofrespondentsinthesurveysaidthattheywillpurchasesomelocalspecialtieswhenthey travelatChongming. Figure1. figureofNongjialeinterestingsurvey 46.7%ofthevisitorspreferbookingaccommodationonline,andmostofthemareyoung. Figure2. theattitudeofonlinebookingnongjiale Inthebusinesssurvey,WefoundvariousshopssellingspeciallocalproductsismoreConcentrated inChongmingshipsidearea,Primarilytoattracttouristspurchaselocalproductswhenwaitingatthepier. Intheinquiry,wefoundthatthesestoresgenerallywanttoexpand,butunfortunatelytherewerenogood publicityplatformandmeans. Therefore,increasedpublicityisapriority;establishaWebsiteforsaleisagoodway. Qingqing GUO and Min LIU / Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 TheBusinessmodelofthiswebsiteisnetworkdirectmarketing.NetworkdirectmarketingadoptsB2C, C2C Mode. Use the unified management of board and lodging of Nongjiale, booking online, so as to achievetheB2Cbusinessmodel.ChongmingspecialtysalesonthenetachievetheC2Cbusinessmodel. Main sourceof income ofthe web site is the book incomeof Nongjiale accommodation, rentof the onlinesalesplatform,asmallamountofadvertisingrevenue.Directincomeoftheseincomesisthetourist and adjacent. Urban consumers will purchase specialty, book accommodation. The website have determinedQianweivillageastheplacesfortheaccommodation,gainincomethatthepersonfixesaroom in advance, advertising income is only the small amounts. Although the effects of advertising and releaseingproductinformationcan'tattractmanyeyesastheselargesites,theprofessionalismofthesite promotesitsadvertisingandproductinformationreleasehasprominenteffect. Localspecialproductssellingatpresentasfollows: Crabs,goatofChongming,Whitelentils,LiquorofChongming,Pumpkin,andMelonandsoon. DefineNetworkmode:Serverhosting. Webplatformandarchitecture:WithWindowsoperatingsystem,B/Sarchitecture. TechnologyTools:SQL+java+jsps,javacanbecrossplatformoperation. Database System: Background database used SQL Server , Can use the latest version of the MicrosoftSQLServer2005.ItisstrongfunctionsoftwarecanmeettheneedsofmediumsizedWebsite. Theaboveplatformisreliableandstableverymaturetechnologyandtools.Therefore,thisprogramis technicallyfeasible. According to the plans and construction budget, we can certain economic feasibility on the basis of investment period,developmentperiodand maturity.Everyperiodcan analyze itsInvestment, Revenue, profit.Specificdataanalysisasfollows: TABLEI. COSTATINPUTSTAGEANDREVENUEFORECAST Investment Softwarehardware investment 20000 ManagedInternet 1000 1651 1652 Qingqing GUO and Min LIU / Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 Websitedesign 10000 WebsiteMaintenance 4800 WebsitePromotion 3200 total 39000 Profit TABLEII. 39000 COST AT DEVELOPMENT PERIOD AND REVENUE FORECAST ManagedInternet 1125 Investment WebsiteMaintenance 5400 WebsitePromotion 3600 total 10125 incom e sell cost(90%) 18000 book cost(90%) 43200 0 Advertisingrevenue 5400 total 45540 0 40275 profit TABLEIII. COST AT MATURITY AND REVENUE FORECAST ManagedInternet 875 WebsiteMaintenance 4200 WebsitePromotion 2800 Investment total income profit 7875 sell cost(90%) 21000 book cost(90%) 672000 Advertisingrevenue 7000 total 700000 68425 Comprehensiveanalysisoftheabove,investmentperiodhaseightmonthsofthefinancialcalculations. Developmentperiodhaveninemonthsofthefinancialcalculations.Maturityperiodhavesevenmonthsof the financial calculations. Investment of hardware and software is 20,000 Yuan in onetime investment. According to current market management price are 1,500 Yuan per year. As the web technology developmentand network security considerations, etc.Thethreeperiod costsof maintenance were 4800 Qingqing GUO and Min LIU / Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 Yuan, 5400 Yuan, and 4200 Yuan. Since developing period and the maturation period, website extends need,thecostestimatewas3,200Yuan,3,600Yuan,and2,800Yuan. ThemainincomeisfromNongjialeaccommodation.Totalbetweenthetwophaseswereobtainedfor the455,400Yuanand700,000Yuan.Fromthelongview,costsoftheprojectisaonetimeinvestment, Throwintobystages,Butitsearningsrecoveryisalongprocessofreturn,Particularlyinthedeveloping andmatureperiod,Incomeisparticularlyevident.Wellinthesystemoperationandmarketconditions,the projectiseconomicallyfeasible. ROIofthewebsiteanditsprobabilitydistributionasfollows Economy probabilityP1 ROIK1 Input 0.2 0 Development 0.5 8.8% Maturity 0.3 9.7% Basedontheabovedata,theaverageweightedaccordingtotheirprobabilityreceivereturn,Expressed usingK,Then K=0×0.2+8.8%×0.5+9.7%×0.3=7.31% Theresultsshowedthatthesiteexpectedrateofreturnis7.31%,Butinfactthesitevariationinexpected returnsinbetween0to9.7%,Therefore,rateofreturnineachcaseconcentraterelatively,websiteriskis minor.Showsthatexpectedreturnsdonotaccuratelyreflecttheinvestmentrisk,onthesizeoftheactual risksofcommonlyusedmeasureofstandarddeviation. σExpressedwithstandarddeviation,then σ= = ∑( − ) (0 − 7.31%)2 × 0.2 + (8.8% − 7.31%)2 × 0.5 + (9.7% − 7.31%)2 × 0.3 = 3.60% Therefore,probabilityoftheWebsite’sprofitwillbemorethan7.31%is50%, Fromthiswecanseethesite'slossrateisverylow,suitableforfarmcooperativechoice. Forthetourismindustry,theuseofecommercetradewillacceleratetheinformationflowandlogistics, improveefficiencyandincreasepublicity.Traditionalsalesmethodsareancient.Marketisverydifficultto openup.Waytouseecommerce,fromordertodelivery,greatlyreducingthetime.Consumerscanalso pay less for a numberof vendors totheretailer from the layers increases, Conducive to tourism market development. In the past, smaller range of publicity, Specialty vendors’ time will be consumed, when publicity expanded, Business can reduce the unnecessary publicity and funding. This tourism website providesaplatformforonlinetradingandexchange,savingincostofsalesispossible,theplatformwill replacethecurrentoriginalmeanslikephoneandfax,directlytotradeandexchangeontheInternet. Riskisgenerallydividedintofourcategories. Ⅰ:Highprobability,andwhenhappen,itwillbeagreatloss; Ⅱ:Smallprobability,butwhenhappen,itwillbeagreatloss; Ⅲ:Highprobability,smallloss; Ⅳ:Smallprobability,smallloss. 1653 1654 Qingqing GUO and Min LIU / Physics Procedia 24 (2012) 1649 – 1654 According to the analysis, we can reach that the Nongjiale accommodation has following risk: customerloss(Ⅰ),financialrisk(Ⅳ) Smallersitescan’tbefullcomprehending,degreeofcustomerunderstandingandtrustisnotenough. At the same time, for the rapid development of ecommerce, similar web site will gradually increase; customerlossriskofthissitewillbeexist. Countermeasure: Before the appearance of similar sites, we can seize the opportunity to step up publicity,makeourownbrand,andsurvivethroughtheservicequality.Atthesametime,wecannegotiate with county leaders for cooperating with other tourist attractions. From the technology, it can enhance site’ssafetyandconvenienceofshopping,allowcustomerstoincreaseconfidenceandreducewastage. Inthedevelopmentofecommerce,largeenterprisesandsmallenterprisesaredifferent.Thissiteisa small site, compared with big site, its financial risks is Obvious. Simultaneously, changes of Nongjiale accommodationwillaffectsales,andscheduled,resultingincertaininvestmentrisks. Countermeasure: Rely on various methods to build the initial financing, ensure that funds are available.Theearlystageofbuildingecommerceshouldbestrict. The innovative features of this site are that Qianwei village is supported by the Government to provideaccommodation,thepassengerflowisstability,Havesomeeconomicbasis.Soifcanletittoline, Achieve interconnection with the dominance of traditional Nongjiale. It can not only evoke strong consumerdesireoftheyoungergeneration,butalsoattractmoretourists. [1] Jianzhengyang.CaseAnalysisofecommercesite[M].Xi'anElectronicScienceandTechnologyUniversityPress,2002. [2] Alibaba (China) Network Technology Co., Ltd. Alibaba ecommerce primary certification tutorials [M] Beijing: TsinghuaUniversityPress,2006. [3] FengcaiTian.SecuritymanagementoftheEcommerceonlinepaymentandrelatedlegalissues.2009 [4] Germany.Petermolas.Profitmodel:EcommerceSuccess.SocialSciencesAcademicPress.2003 [5] American.EdwardJ.Dick.EcommerceandInternetEconomics.2006 [6] American.Schneider,G.P.Ecommerce.2008. ... Shownonthequestionnaireaccomplishedbytourists? ?and? ??Localspecialproductssuppliersin2008 73.5%? ?of? ??respondentsinthesurveysaidthattheyareStronginterestedin? ?Chongming? ? ?s? ? ?Nongjiale. 6.7%? ?of? ??respondentsinthesurveysaidthattheywillpurchasesomelocalspecialtieswhenthey... enormous business opportunities to tourism? ?? of? ?? Chongming. As the only county of? ?? shanghai, Chongming? ?? has beautiful scenery, Unique customs, Characteristics? ?of? ?? farmaccommodation,? ?and? ??ManySpeciallocalproducts,Isagoodplacefor... income is only the small amounts. Although the effects of? ?? advertising and? ?? releaseingproductinformationcan'tattractmanyeyesastheselargesites,theprofessionalism? ?of? ??the? ?site? ??