World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 pptx

World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 [...]... rights reserved 6 4 28 History Forecast World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 Intra-Europe Intra-Europe air cargo forecast Led predominantly by express carriage and longer scheduled freight sectors to eastern and southern Europe, the intra-Europe air cargo market is forecast to expand at an average annual rate of 2.4% per year through 2031 The 20-year forecast growth in air cargo traffic is lower than the... 2012-2013 World Overview World air cargo traffic forecast World air cargo is the sum of freight and mail World air freight traffic is strongly related to GDP and average yield The world airmail component, however, depends less on yield and therefore correlates most strongly with GDP Low, baseline, and high annual growth of 4.6%, 5.3%, and 5.8%, respectively, are forecast for world air freight traffic High... billions 10 8 6 4 2 0 1970 1980 • • Non-containerized dry cargo Containerized cargo 1990 2000 2010 • • Tanker cargo Main bulk commodities 7 50 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 World Overview World air cargo and maritime traffic Containership traffic had a strong recovery, but is struggling with financial losses in the current economic environment Air cargo is only one part of the global goods distribution... America Asia • World containership traffic growth has outpaced air cargo growth World air cargo traffic RTKs in billions World maritime cargo traffic in containers RTKs in billions 12,000 1,200 800 8,000 400 4,000 0 1991 1996 2001 0 2011 2006 Comparative traffic growth rate Air cargo 1991–2011: 4.9%, 2001–2011: 3.7% Cargo in containers 1991–2011: 8.4%, 2001–2011: 8.3% • • Demand pulls air cargo traffic Copyright... 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Source: A4A Historical and forecast world economic growth by region Annual change percentage 10 History Forecast 5 0 -5 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 • Asia • World • North America • Europe 10 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 World Overview World economic growth outlook The world s economy is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 3.2% The global... Asia 20 40 60 80 100 120 14012 6.9% 5.8% 5.7% 200 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 World Overview Regional air cargo markets Air cargo markets linked to Asia, especially the Pacific Rim countries, will lead all other international markets in average annual growth between 2011 and 2031 Intra-Asia traffic will grow faster than any other international world market, averaging 6.9% growth per year The... in 2011 Air cargo moving to, from, and within the United States and Canada accounts for 9.1% of the world s air cargo traffic in terms of tonne-kilometers and 14.0% in terms of pure tonnage The North American air cargo market has grown modestly, reflecting the slow recovery from the global economic downturn The US domestic air cargo market, which accounts for 95.9% of total North American air cargo traffic,... 300 200 100 0 1985 • 1989 US to Canada 1993 1997 2001 2005 • 2009 Canada to US 14 10 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 North America Canada domestic air cargo market Canada’s share of the region’s air cargo market has remained steady The Canadian domestic market accounted for 2.2% of the total North American air cargo market in 2011 Typical of a mature market, domestic Canada traffic has remained... is forecast to average 2.6% growth per year between 2011 and 2031, while Canada’s GDP averages 2.4% annual growth during the same period Percentage 0 1 2 3 4 World United States Canada • 2011 Copyright © 2012 Boeing All rights reserved • US domestic air cargo *Figures include for-hire and private carriage • 2011–2021 • 2011–2031 16 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 North America North America air cargo. .. machinery • 19 World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 Latin America and North America Air cargo traffic will grow in both directions for all three Latin America subregions Air cargo traffic between Central and North America will grow at close to the average global rate, while Caribbean Basin air traffic growth will lag at around half that rate, owing to attractive maritime shipping alternatives Air trade between . reserved. World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 World Overview World air cargo components The US share of air cargo RTKs fell below 25% of the world total. World Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013