The General Market Model

Một phần của tài liệu Continuous Stochastics calculus with Applications to Finance (Trang 245 - 268)

Chapter IV Application to Finance 1. The Simple Black Scholes Market

3. The General Market Model

Let T >0 be finite, (Ω,F,(Ft)t[0,T], P) a filtered probability space,F =FT. The filtration (Ft) is assumed to be augmented and right continuous and the σ- field F0 is trivial and hence allF0-measurable random variables constant. This is in accordance with our intuition that at time t = 0 (the present) the values of all processes can be observed and are thus not subject to uncertainty.

Recall that our theory of stochastic integration can handle only continuous integrators. Some naturally occurring local martingales M however are not nec- essarily continuous. This is the case for instance if Mt =d(Q|Ft)/d(P|Ft) is the density process of an absolutely continuous measure Q << P onF. This process is merely known to have a right continuous version with left limits. In order to force such processes into the scope of our integration theory, we make the following assumption, which is not uncommon in the theory of mathematical finance:

3.0 Assumption. (Ft)is the augmented filtration generated by some (not necessarily one dimensional)Brownian motion.

In consequence every (Ft)-adapted local martingale is automatically continuous (III.5.c.4).

3.a Preliminaries. Recall the conventions of III.6.e regarding processes with fi- nite time horizons and let S denote the family of all continuous semimartingales on (Ω,F,(Ft)t[0,T], P) and S+ denote the family of all semimartingales S ∈ S satisfyingS(t)>0,P-as., for allt∈[0, T].

To deal with markets trading infinitely many securities we need a slight ex- tension of the vectorial stochastic integral of section III.2.f. Let I be an index set, not necessarily finite, and letSI denote the family of all vectorsB= (Bi)iI, with Bi∈ S, for alli∈I.

For B ∈ SI let L(B) denote the family of all vectors θ = (θi)iI such that θi ∈L(Bi), for all i∈I, andθi = 0, for only finitely manyi∈I. Note that L(B) is a vector space. If θ∈L(B), the integral processY =

θãdB=θB is defined as Y =θB=

iIθiBi, that is, Y(t) =

t 0

θ(s)ãdB(s) =

iI

t 0

θi(s)dBi(s) (0) (the sum is finite). Here the stochastic differential dB is interpreted to be the vectordB= (dBi)iI and the stochastic differentialθãdB=

iθidBi is computed as expected. As in the one dimensional case the equality dY =θãdBis equivalent withY(t) =Y(0) + (θB)(t).

The vector valued process θ = (θi)iI is called continuous, progressively measurableandlocally boundedif each componentθi has the corresponding prop- erty. Ifθis progressively measurable and locally bounded and satisfiesθi= 0, for all but finitely many i∈I, thenθ∈L(B) and this condition is satisfied in particular ifθ is continuous.

CallB a local martingaleif each componentBi is a local martingale. In this case set L2loc(B) = L(B) and let Λ2(B) andL2(B) denote the space of all vectors θ L(B) such that θi Λ2(Bi) respectively θi L2(Bi), for all i I. Then L2(B)Λ2(B)⊆L2loc(B) =L(B).

Assume that B is a local martingale. If θ L(B), then Y =θB is a local martingale. If θ L2(B) (θ Λ2(B)), then Y =θB is a martingale in H2 (a square integrable martingale). All this follows from the corresponding facts in the one dimensional case.

We now have two versions of the stochastic product rule for vectorial stochastic differentials. Assume that θ, B ∈ SI and θi = 0, for all but finitely many i I.

ThenθãB=

iθiBi is defined and we have

d(θãB) =θãdB+Bãdθ+dθ, B, where θ, B =

iθi, Bi. If ξ∈ S andB ∈ SI, then ξB ∈ SI and we have the vectorial equation

d(ξB) =ξdB+Bdξ+dξ, B, (1) whereξ, Bis the vector

ξ, Bi

iI andBdξis the vector Bi

iI. This follows simply from the one dimensional stochastic product rule applied to each coordinate.

IfY =θB, thenξ, Y=θξ, B, equivalently

dξ, Yt=θ(t)ãdξ, Bt, (2) withdξ, B=

dξ, Bi

iI as above.

3.b Markets and trading strategies. Amarket is a vectorB = (Bi)iI of contin- uous, strictly positive semimartingales Bi ∈ S+ on the filtered probability space (Ω,F,(Ft)t[0,T], P). Here I is an index set, not necessarily finite. The number Tis the finite time horizon at which all trading stops. The semimartingalesBiare to be interpreted as the price processes of securities, which are traded in B, with Bi(t) being the cash price of securityBi at timet. We will callX a security in B, ifX =Bi, for somei∈I. The probabilityP will be called themarket probability to be interpreted as the probability controlling the realization of events and paths observed in the market. We make the following assumptions:

(a) The securities inBdo not pay dividends or any other cashflows to their holder.

(b) Our market is frictionless and perfectly liquid, that is, there are no transaction costs or trading restrictions, securities are infinitely divisible and can be bought and sold in unlimited quantities.

Trading strategies. A trading strategy θin B is an elementθ∈L(B) to be inter- preted as follows: the strategy invests in (finitely many of) the securities Bi,i∈I, with θi(t) being the number of shares of the securityBi held at time t. The value (cash price) Vt(θ) of this portfolio at timetis given by the inner product

Vt(θ) = (θãB)(t) =

iθi(t)Bi(t).

230 3.b Markets and trading strategies.

Note that the integrability condition θi L(Bi) is automatically satisfied if θi is locally bounded, especially ifθiis continuous. If the marketBis allowed to vary, we will write (θ, B) to denote a trading strategy investing inB andVt(θ, B) to denote its value at time t. Thus L(B) is the family of all trading strategies in B and this family is a vector space.

A trading strategy θis called nonnegativerespectively tame, if it satisfies Vt(θ)0, respectively, Vt(θ)≥m >−∞, P-as.,

for allt∈[0, T] and some constantm. The existence of a lower bound for the value of a tame strategy means that an upper bound for the credit necessary to maintain the strategy during its entire life is known at the time of its inception. A linear combination with nonnegative, constant coefficients of tame (nonnegative) trading strategies is itself a tame (nonnegative) trading strategy.

As a simple example consider optional times 0≤τ1≤τ2≤T and recall that ]]τ1, τ2]] denotes the stochastic interval {(ω, t) ×R+ | τ1(ω) < t τ2(ω)}. Consider the following trading strategy investing only in the asset Bj with weight θj = 1]]τ12]](θi = 0, fori=j). This strategy buys one share ofBj at time τ1(ω) and sells at time τ2(ω). Because of assumptions (a) and (b) the cumulative gains in this position up to time tare given by

G(t) =Bj(t∧τ2)−Bj(t∧τ1) = t

0

θj(s)dBj(s) = t

0

θ(s)ãdB(s).

By linearity the cumulative gains up to timetfrom trading according to a trading strategy θ, which is a linear combination of strategies as above, is similarly given by the stochastic integral G(t) =t

0θ(s)ãdB(s). By approximation a case can be made that this integral should be so interpreted for every trading strategyθ∈L(B) (III.2.c.7 and localization). This motivates the following definition: The strategyθ is called self-f inancing (inB) if it satisfies

Vt(θ) =V0(θ) + t

0

θ(s)ãdB(s), t∈[0, T]. (0) Note that this can also be written as Vt(θ) = V0(θ) + (θB)(t). Thus the self- financing condition means that the strategy can be implemented at time zero for a cost of θ(0)ãB(0) and thereafter the value of the portfolio evolves according to the gains and losses from trading only, that is, money is neither injected into nor withdrawn from the position. From (0) it follows that Vt(θ) is a continuous semimartingale. In differential form the self-financing condition can be written as

dVt(θ) =θ(t)ãdB(t), equivalently, d θãB

(t) =θ(t)ãdB(t).

A linear combination with constant coefficients of self-financing trading strategies is itself a self-financing trading strategy.

The simplest example of a self-financing trading strategyθ is a buy and hold strategy: At time zero buyθi(0) shares of securityBi and hold to the time horizon.

Here the coefficientsθiare constants and the self-financing conditiond(θãB) =θãdB follows from the linearity of the stochastic differential.

Arbitrage. A trading strategy θ is called an arbitrage, if it is self-financing and satisfiesV0(θ) = 0,VT(θ)0,P-as., andP

VT(θ)>0

>0. Thus such a strategy can be implemented at no cost and allows us to cash out at time T with no loss and with a positive probability of a positive gain (free lunch). Such strategies can be shown to exist in very simple, reasonable markets (see example 1.c.3). Thus, in general, arbitrage can be ruled out only in restricted families of self-financing trading strategies.

LetS(B) denote the family of all tame, self-financing trading strategies inB.

Note thatS(B) is a convex cone in the spaceL(B) of all trading strategies inB. If the marketB is a local martingale, letS2(B) denote the family of all self-financing trading strategiesθ∈L2(B) and note thatS2(B) is a subspace ofL2(B).

Let us now develop the simplest properties of self-financing trading strategies.

Since a trading strategy θ invests in only finitely many securities in B we assume (for the remainder of section 3.b) that the market B = (B1, B2, . . . , Bn) is finite.

For a process ξ∈ S we set ξB= (ξB1, . . . , ξBn).

3.b.0 Numeraire invariance of the self-ịnancing condition. Let ξ∈ S+ and θ∈ L(B)∩L(ξB). Thenθis self-financing inB if and only if it is self-financing in the market ξB.

Proof. By assumption θis a trading strategy in bothB andξB. Assume now that θ is self-financing in B. Then (θãB)(t) = (θãB)(0) + (θB)(t), thus ξ, θãB= ξ, θB=θξ, Band sodξ, θãB=θãdξ, B. To see thatθis self-financing in the market ξBwe have to show thatd

θã(ξB)

=θãd(ξB). Indeed d

θã(ξB)

=d

ξ(θãB)

=ξd(θãB) + (θãB)+dξ, θãB

=ξθãdB+θã(Bdξ) +θãdξ, B

=θã

ξdB+Bdξ+dξ, B

=θãd(ξB).

Thus θ is self-financing in the marketξB. The converse follows by symmetry (re- place ξwith 1 andB withξB).

Remarks. (a) The marketξB can be viewed as a version of the market B, where security prices are no longer cash prices, but are expressed as a multiple of the numeraire process 1: B(t) =

ξ(t)B(t) 1(t)

. In this sense 3.b.0 shows that the self-financing condition is unaffected by a change of numeraire.

(b) Ifθi∈L(ξ),i= 1,. . .,n, then θ∈L(B) if and only ifθ∈L(ξB). See III.3.c.4.

232 3.c Deflators.

3.b.1 Corollary. Let j ∈ {1, . . . , n}and assume that θ∈L(B)∩L(B/Bj). Then θ is self-financing inB if and only if

θj(t) =θj(0) +

i=j

θj(0)Bi(0)

Bj(0)−θi(t)Bi(t) Bj(t)+

t 0

θi(s)d Bi

Bj

(s)

. (1) Proof. θ is self-financing in B if and only if θ is self-financing in B/Bj which is equivalent with

θ(t)ã B(t)

Bj(t) =θ(0)B(0) Bj(0)+

t 0

θi(s)ãd B

Bj

(s), equivalently, n

i=1

θi(t)Bi(t) Bj(t) =

n i=1

θi(0)Bi(0) Bj(0) +

n i=1

t 0

θi(s)d Bi

Bj

(s).

Noting thatd Bi/Bj

(s) = 0, fori=j, this is equivalent with

θj(t) +

i=j

θi(t)Bi(t)

Bj(t)=θj(0) +

i=j

θi(0)Bi(0) Bj(0) +

i=j

t 0

θi(s)d Bi

Bj

(s), which, after rearrangement of terms, is (1).

Remark. This means that the coefficientsθi,i=j, of a self-financing trading strat- egy can be chosen arbitrarily if the coefficient θj is adjusted accordingly. In more practical terms, the security Bj is used to finance the positions in the remaining securities.

3.c Deòators. A processξ∈ S+ is called adef latorfor the marketB= (Bi), ifξBi

is aP-martingale, for eachi∈I. The market B is calleddef latable(DF) if there exists a deflatorξforB.

Similarly alocal def latorforB is a processξ∈ S+ such thatξBi is aP-local martingale, for each i ∈I. The market B is called locally def latable (LDF) if it admits a local deflatorξ.

3.c.0. Letξbe a local deflator forB andθbe a self-financing trading strategy in the market B. Ifθ∈L(ξB), thenξ(t)Vt(θ)is a local martingale.

Proof. Assume that θ ∈L(ξB). By the numeraire invariance of the self-financing conditionθis also a self-financing trading strategy in the marketξB. Thus

ξ(t)Vt(θ, B) =ξ(t)θ(t)ãB(t) =Vt(θ, ξB) =V0(θ, ξB) + t

0

θ(s)ãd(ξB)(s) and the result now follows from the fact that ξB is a vector of local martingales and hence the integral processθ(ξB) a local martingale.

Remark. Ifθjis the buy and hold strategy investing inBj, thenVt(θj) =Bj(t) and ξVt(θj) is a local martingale by definition of a local deflator forB. Thus 3.c.0 can

be viewed as an extension of this property to certain other self-financing trading strategies. The buy and hold strategy θj is in L(ξB) since it is continuous and hence locally bounded. However, in general L(B)=L(ξB), that is, the marketsB andξB do not have the same trading strategies.

Note that each deflator ξ for B is also a local deflator for B. If B admits a local deflator ξ, then certain arbitrage strategies inB are ruled out:

3.c.1. If ξ is a local deflator for B, then there are no arbitrage strategies in the spacesS2(ξB)andS(ξB).

Proof. Ifθ∈S(ξB), thenVt(θ, ξB) =V0(θ, ξB) +

θ(ξB)

(t) is aP-local martin- gale which is bounded below and hence is a supermartingale (I.8.a.7). Ifθ∈S2(ξB), then Vt(θ, ξB) is a square integrable P-martingale. In every case Vt(θ, ξB) has a nonincreasing mean. Thus V0(θ, ξB) = 0 and VT(θ, ξB) 0 combined with E(VT(θ, ξB)) E(V0(θ, ξB)) = 0 implies that VT(θ, ξB) = 0, P-as. Thus θ cannot be an arbitrage strategy in the marketξB.

3.c.1 rules out arbitrage strategies in S2(ξB) and S(ξB). Now assume that θ is an arbitrage strategy in B. Then θ will be an arbitrage strategy in S2(ξB) respectively S(ξB) if it is an element ofS2(ξB) respectively S(ξB). This follows from Vt(θ, ξB) = ξ(t)Vt(θ, B). By the numeraire invariance of the self-financing condition θ will be in S2(ξB) whenever it is in L2(ξB). If θ is in S(B) it need not be in S(ξB) even if it is a trading strategy in the marketξB. IfVt(θ, B) is bounded below, the same need not be true of Vt(θ, ξB) =ξ(t)Vt(θ, B). However if Vt(θ, B) 0, then Vt(θ, ξB) 0. Thus, if θ is a nonnegative trading strategy in S(B)∩L(ξB), thenθ∈S(ξB). Note that the integrability condition θ∈L(B) is automatically satisfied (for every marketB) if the processθ is locally bounded.

Consequently 3.c.1 rules out the existence of arbitrage strategiesθin B which either satisfyθ∈L2(ξB) or which are nonnegative strategies satisfyingθ∈L(ξB).

Example 1.c.3 shows that arbitrage can occur even in a very simple marketBwith deflatorξ= 1, i.e., in which the securities are already martingales under the market probability P.

For the remainder of section 3.c, let B = (B0, B1, . . . , Bn) be a finite market and let us develop conditions for the existence of a local deflator ξ for B. Recall that the compensator uX of a process X ∈ S is the unique continuous bounded variation process such thatuX(0) = 0 andXưuXis aP-local martingale. Similarly the multiplicative compensator UX of a process X ∈ S+ is the unique positive continuous bounded variation process such thatUX(0) = 1 andX/UX is aP-local martingale. The compensator uX and multiplicative compensatorUX are related by

duX

X = dUX UX

(III.3.f.0). (0)

234 3.c Deflators.

3.c.2. Let X ∈ S+ andY ∈ S. Then the equalityuX =−X, Yis equivalent with UX=exp

log(X), Y .

Proof. The second equality is equivalent with log(UX) = −log(X), Y. As both processes vanish at zero this is equivalent with d log(UX) =−dlog(X), Y. Using that UX is a bounded variation process and III.3.c.2.(b) this can be written as dUX(t)

UX(t) =−Xt1dX, Yt, equivalently (using (0)),duX(t) =−dX, Yt. As both uX andX, Yvanish at zero this is equivalent withuX =−X, Y.

3.c.3. Letj∈ {0,1, . . . , n},ξ, C∈ S+and assume thatξBj is aP-local martingale.

Then the following are equivalent:

(a) ξC is aP-local martingale.

(b) uC/Bj =C

Bj, log(ξBj) . (c) UC/Bj =exp

logC

Bj

, log(ξBj) .

Proof. The equivalence of (b) and (c) follows from 3.c.2. Let us now show the equivalence of (a) and (b). Write ξC = (C/Bj)(ξBj) and note that uξBj = 0.

Thus, using III.3.c.3.(a) and III.3.c.2.(c),

duξC =du(C/Bj)(ξBj)= (C/Bj)duξBj+ξBjduC/Bj+d

C/Bj, ξBj

=ξBj

duC/Bj + (ξBj)1d

C/Bj, ξBj

=ξBj

duC/Bj +d

C/Bj, log(ξBj)

=ξBjd

uC/Bj +

(C/Bj, log(ξBj) .

The equivalence of (a) and (b) follows sinceξC is aP-local martingale if and only ifduξC = 0.

3.c.4 Theorem. Fix j ∈ {0,1, . . . , n}. Then the market B is LDF if and only if there exists a process ξ∈ S+ such that

uC/Bj =C

Bj, log(ξBj)

, equivalently UC/Bj =exp

logC

Bj

, log(ξBj) ,

(1) for all C =B0, B1, . . . , Bn. Moreover if ξ is such a process then ξ/UξBj is a local deflator forB.

Proof. The equivalence of the equalities in (1) follows from 3.c.4. IfB is LDF and ξ a local deflator forB (consequentlyξBj a local martingale), then 3.c.5 yields (1) for allC=B1, B2, . . . , Bn.

Conversely assume thatξ∈ S+ is a process satisfying uC/Bj =C

Bj, log(ξBj)

, (2)

for all C = B0, B1, . . . , Bn and set ζ =ξ/UξBj. We must show that ζ is a local deflator for B. Note first that ζBj is a local martingale. Moreover log(ζBj) = log(ξBj)−log(UξBj), where the processlog(UξBj) is a continuous bounded variation process. Consequently (2) still holds whenξ is replaced withζ since this does not change the quadratic variation on the right. Thus 3.c.3 implies that ζC is a local martingale, for allC=B0, B1, . . . , Bn.

3.d Numeraires and associated equivalent probabilities. Assume thatξis a local deflator for the market B, that is, ξB is a P-local martingale. Let A ∈ S+ and set XA(t) =X(t)/A(t), for each processX ∈ S. Then the marketBA = (BiA(t))i

can be viewed as a version of the market B where the prices of securities are now expressed as multiples of the numeraire process Arather than as cash prices. The numeraire Aneed not be a security inB.

Assume thatξA is aP-martingale. Define the measurePA onF=FT as PA(E) =EP

(ξA)(T)/(ξA)(0) 1E

, for all setsE∈ F.

Then PA is absolutely continuous with respect toP with strictly positive Radon- Nikodym derivative

dPA/dP = (ξA)(T)

(ξA)(0). (0)

Consequently the measurePAis equivalent to P. Set ZA(t) = (ξA)(t)/(ξA)(0), t∈[0, T].

ThenZA is aP-martingale withZA(0) = 1 and soEP

ZA(T)

=EP ZA(0)

= 1.

It follows thatPAis a probability measure. Let Mt= d(PA|Ft)

d(P|Ft) , t∈[0, T], (1)

where PA|Ft andP|Ft denote the restrictions of PA respectively P to the σ-field Ftas usual. Then Mtis a martingale with MT =ZA(T). Thus

Mt=ZA(t) = (ξA)(t)

(ξA)(0), for allt∈[0, T]. (2) PA is called the A-numeraire probability (associated with the deflator ξ). The change from cash to other numeraires in the computation of prices is an extremely useful technique (see the ubiquitous use of forward prices and the forward martingale measure (3.f) below).

3.d.0. Let 0 ≤t T, h an Ft-measurable random variable and X be any (Ft)- adapted process. Then

(a) h/A(t)∈L1(PA)if and only if ξ(t)h∈L1(P).

(b) XA(t)is aPA-martingale if and only if ξ(t)X(t)is aP-martingale.

(c) XA(t)is aPA-local martingale if and only ifξ(t)X(t)is aP-local martingale.

(d) If0≤s≤t andh/A(t)∈L1(PA), then A(s)EPA

h/A(t)|Fs

= 1(s)

EP

ξ(t)h|Fs

.

Proof. This follows from Bayes’ Theorem I.8.b.0 and (2) above. For example:

(b) XA(t) is a PA-martingale if and only ifMtXA(t) =ξ(t)X(t)(0)A(0) is a P- martingale. Hereξ(0) andA(0) are constants (convention aboutF0).

(d) Ifh/A(t)∈L1(PA), then EPA

h/A(t)|Fs

= EP

Mth/A(t)|Fs

Ms .

Using that Mt= [ξ(t)A(t)]/[ξ(0)A(0)], Ms = [ξ(s)A(s)]/[ξ(0)A(0)], cancelling the constant ξ(0)A(0) and multiplying withA(s) yields (d).

236 3.d Numeraires and associated equivalent probabilities.

3.d.1. Let A, C ∈ S+ be any two numeraires such that ξA, ξC are P-martingales, 0≤t≤T,han Ft-measurable random variable andX any (Ft)-adapted process.

Then

(a) h/A(t)∈L1(PA)if and only if h/C(t)∈L1(PC).

(b) XA(t)is aPA-martingale if and only if XC(t)is aPC-martingale.

(c) XA(t)is aPA-local martingale if and only ifXC(t)is aPC-local martingale.

(d) If0≤s≤t andh/A(t)∈L1(PA), then A(s)EPA

h/A(t)|Fs

=C(s)EPC

h/C(t)|Fs

.

Proof. This follows from 3.d.0. For example: (b) Both are equivalent withξ(t)X(t) being aP-martingale.

(d) Both sides of the equation are equal to 1(s)

EP

ξ(t)h|Fs

.

Formula (d) will be referred to as thesymmetricnumeraire change f ormula.

Local martingale measures. Let A ∈ S+. An A-martingale measure (A-local martingale measure) for B is a probability measure Q on F = FT which is equivalent to the market probability P and such that the process BiA(t) is a Q- martingale (Q-local martingale), for each securityBi in B.

3.d.2. Let A∈ S+,Qa probability on FT equivalent toP and Mt=d(Q|Ft)

d(P|Ft), t∈[0, T].

Then Q is an A-(local) martingale measure for B if and only if ξ(t) =MtA is a (local) deflator for B. In this case Q=PA is theA-numeraire measure associated with the deflator ξ.

Proof. By Bayes’ Theorem,BiA(t) is aQ-martingale (Q-local martingale) if and only if MtBAi (t) = ξ(t)Bi(t) is a P-martingale (P-local martingale), for each security Bi ∈B. Thus, if ξ is a deflator (local deflator) for B, then Qis an A-martingale measure (A-local martingale measure).

Conversely, if Q is an A-martingale measure (A-local martingale measure), thenξwill be a deflator (local deflator) forBif it is a continuous process. However, since Mt is a martingale adapted to the Brownian filtration (Ft), it is continuous (III.5.c.4), and the continuity of ξfollows.

Assume nowthat ξ(t) = MtA is a local deflator forB. Note Mt = ξ(t)A(t).

Since Mt is a martingale with mean 1 andM0 is a constant, we have ξ(0)A(0) = M0 = 1. Hence dQ/dP = MT = ξ(T)A(T) = ξ(T)A(T)

ξ(0)A(0) and so Q=PA.

3.d.3 Remark. If ξis a local deflator for B then the market probability P itself is the local martingale measureP =PAfor the processA= 1/ξ∈ S+.

Thus there exists a deflator ξ for the marketB if and only if there exists an A-martingale measure for B, for some process A ∈ S+. In this case there exists

an A-martingale measure for B, for every process A ∈ S+ such that ξA is a P- martingale.

Moreover, if a process A ∈ S+ is fixed, then ξ = MA defines a one to one correspondence between A-martingale measures (A-local martingale measure) for B and deflators (local deflators) ξ for B such that ξ(0)A(0) = 1 and ξA is a P- martingale. In this sense deflators for B and (equivalent) martingale measures associated with numeraires are the same concept.

Riskless bond and spot martingale measure. A riskless bond in B is a security B0 ∈B which is of bounded variation and satisfies B0(0) = 1. It is the bounded variation property of the price process which makes investment in this security less risky. If B is locally deflatable, then B can contain at most one riskless bond.

Indeed, if ξ is any local deflator for B, then the local martingale property of ξB0

combined withB0(0) = 1 implies thatB0= 1/Uξ.

Conversely, ifBis locally deflatable andξa local deflator forB, thenB0= 1/Uξ

is a continuous bounded variation process such thatB0(0) = 1 andξB0is aP-local martingale. Thus B0 can be added to B as a riskless bond and ξ will remain a deflator for the enlarged market.

Assume nowthatB is locally deflatable. As we have just seen we may assume that B contains a riskless bondB0. B0 is then a distinguished numeraire asset. A B0-(local) martingale measure for B is called a (local) spot martingale measure forB. If a (local) deflatorξforBis fixed, then theB0-numeraire measureP0=PB0

(associated with the deflator ξ) is a (local) spot martingale measure for B and is referred to asthe(local) spot martingale measure forB. FromB0= 1/Uξ it follows that P0 has densitydP0/dP = (ξB0)(T)/(ξB0)(0) =ξ(T)(0)Uξ(T).

3.d.4. LetA∈ S+,QanA-local martingale measure forB,Mt=d(Q|Ft)/d(P|Ft), ξ=MA andθ∈L(B)∩L(ξB)a self-financing trading strategy. Then

(a) VtA(θ)is aQ-local martingale.

(b) There is no arbitrageθ∈L(B)∩L(ξB)such that the processVtA(θ)is bounded below.

Remark. The integrability conditionθ∈L(B)∩L(ξB) is automatically satisfied if θ is locally bounded.

Proof. (a) According to 3.c.0 the processMtVtA(θ) =ξ(t)Vt(θ) is aP-local martin- gale and hence VtA(θ) aQ-local martingale (3.d.0.(c)).

(b) Let θ ∈L(B)∩L(ξB) be self-financing such that the processVtA =VtA(θ) is bounded below. Then VtA is aQ-local martingale and hence aQ-supermartingale (I.8.a.7). In particular the meanEQ

VtA

is nonincreasing.

Assume nowthat VTA 0 andQ

VTA >0

>0. ThenEQ V0A

≥EQ VTA

>

0. Thus V0(θ)= 0 andθ cannot be an arbitrage strategy.

Một phần của tài liệu Continuous Stochastics calculus with Applications to Finance (Trang 245 - 268)

Tải bản đầy đủ (PDF)

(337 trang)